Talk:Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election

Please somebody upated this page with statewide recently polls

Reason for removal of RealClearPolitics polling average?

For nearly the entirety of the election cycle, this page displayed those polling averages, as do the pages for all recent presidential election polls. Given that these averages were frequently the most accurate, especially in 2020, wouldn't it be in the advantage of the reader for the RealClearPolitics average to also be included with the other aggregate poll averages? — Preceding unsigned comment added by 2600:6C40:6B00:3EC9:C73:137:2B08:2AB2 (talk) 23:43, 6 October 2024 (UTC)

Move Trump vs. Biden poll in Colorado to Hypothetical due to recent removal?

I have nothing against either candidates but due to the ruling in Colorado, due to accuracy, should we move the Colorado poll of Trump v Biden to Hypothetical until it gets overturned. 2600:100B:B1C5:E5F8:A065:BD91:EF9B:D122 (talk) 19:49, 20 December 2023 (UTC)

Sorry for the late reply. For now, it can stay since the ruling is not yet in effect. I lean towards adding to hypothetical if the ruling goes into effect. Yes, SCOTUS could eventually overturn the ruling, but I think reflecting the current situation would be in line with WP:CRYSTAL. Prcc27 (talk) 02:08, 25 December 2023 (UTC)

shouldn't it go in date order?

in other words, Sabato -> Cook -> CNN -> IE -> CNalysis. i would do it if it wasn't so sourcecoded 2603:6011:9600:52C0:39F5:EF1E:9EEE:4A9A (talk) 01:40, 12 June 2024 (UTC)

also new sabato crystal ball forecast (june 13, 2024):

Electoral College Rating Changes: Half-Dozen Moves Toward Republicans in What Remains a Toss-up Race - Sabato's Crystal Ball (centerforpolitics.org)

Sabato's Crystal Ball 2024 Electoral College Race Ratings - 270toWin 2603:6011:9600:52C0:297A:8AC6:C149:DB2F (talk) 03:18, 15 June 2024 (UTC)

538 aggregates

Why are only some state aggregates listed for 538? At first, I thought it was because only swing and lean states were added, but then I saw California listed.. Prcc27 (talk) 13:26, 4 July 2024 (UTC)

Harris won the newest Georgia poll, why does it look like Trump did?

Harris won 48.3% and Trump got 48.2%, yet the poll makes it look like Trump won. This is clearly a mistake aight? Leikstjórinn (talk) 18:16, 4 September 2024 (UTC)

transclude only polls for Harris matchup

This would fix the size issues SecretName101 (talk) 20:25, 16 September 2024 (UTC)

There is... literally nothing for the entirety of the Polling section..?

There's nothing but redirects to the pages for the polls in those states, can we get on this.. Cedaria00 (talk) 07:27, 17 September 2024 (UTC)

RealClearPolling

I noticed RealClearPolling was removed from the aggregates for all states on this page. Why was that the case? RCP was consistently the most accurate aggregator for the 2020 election, while FiveThirtyEight et al. were often many points off. 97.98.223.2 (talk) 21:27, 5 October 2024 (UTC)

MAP of Leading presidential candidate by state

Can sombody make a map for Leading presidential candidate by state or district/electoral vote count, based on opinion polls. The 2020, 2016 and 2012 pages have this. Can sombody make one for this 2024 page. Muaza Husni (talk) 10:00, 6 October 2024 (UTC)

Map Error

Why does the election map suggest Florida is a tossup when every forecaster predicts it voting for Trump? 22090912l (talk) 12:16, 9 October 2024 (UTC)

The map uses the average of aggregate margins, putting states with less than a 5% margin in the tossup category. While forecasters (many of which use win probability instead of win margin) have had FL in the Lean R or Likely R category for weeks/months, it was below a 5% average margin until a few days ago. An update to the map is in order, although I am unable to do so. --Spiffy sperry (talk) 19:08, 9 October 2024 (UTC)

Trump is now still ahead of Harris in Florida as of October 13 by over 5%. The margin is 45.2% to Harris and 50.5% to Trump. Thus, the lead seems to be a long enough timespan for Florida to be included as a 5–10% lead for Trump. Additionally, most pollsters have a consensus that Florida is also not a considered a swing state. Guotaian (talk) 12:37, 13 October 2024 (UTC)

I updated Florida on the map. Heitordp (talk) 11:56, 16 October 2024 (UTC)