Opinion polling and seat projections for the 2024 European Parliament election

The European Parliament election is set to take place in June 2024. This article lists national polls for the European Union (EU) election as well as EU-wide seat projections and popular vote estimates.

Polling aggregations

edit

Seat projections

edit

Europe Elects, Der Föderalist and Politico Europe have been presenting seat projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign. All projections make their national-level data transparent, except Politico Europe, which only presents aggregate EU-level data.

Polling aggregator Date updated Number of seats The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR ID NI Others
2024 election After reorganisation of groups 16 July 2024 720 46 136 53 77 188 78 84 (as PfE) 33+25 ESN
Dynamic[a][b][1] 9 June 2024 720 40 136 54 80 188 82 64 76
Baseline[c][2] 9 June 2024 720 39 136 54 78 177 73 58 48 67
PolitPro[3] 9 June 2024 720 40 139 40 81 174 74 89 43 40
Politico Europe[4] 6 June 2024 720 32 143 41 75 173 76 67 58 55
election.de[5] 6 June 2024 720 42 138 58 85 181 82 69 65
Cassandra-odds.com[6] 5 June 2024 720 38 145 57 89 167 84 73 67
euobserver[7] 5 June 2024 720 43 140 52 79 178 89 63 76
Europe Elects[8] 4 June 2024 720 38 136 55 81 182 79 69 76 4
Der Föderalist[9] Baseline[c] 3 Jun 2024 720 37 136 57 81 172 79 66 50 42
Dynamic[a] 720 40 137 58 85 186 80 78 56
Euronews[10] 23 May 2024 720 43 135 54 82 181 80 83 62
2019 election After Brexit 1 Feb 2020 705 40 148 67 97 187 62 76 28
Before Brexit 26 May 2019 751 41 154 74 108 182 62 73 57
edit

Europe Elects has been presenting popular vote projections throughout the legislative period. Other institutes started presenting data during the election campaign.

Polling aggregator Date updated The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR ID NI Others
2024 election 9 June 2024 6.7 % 19.2 % 8.8 % 10.4 % 21.2 % 12.3 % 9.0 % 9.0 % 3.4 %
PolitPro[11] 9 June 2024 5.6% 19.3% 5.6% 11.3% 24.2% 10.3% 12.4% 6.0% 5.3%
The Economist[12] 9 June 2024 6.0% 16.0% 6.0% 10.0% 22.0% 10.0% 9.0% 7.0% 14.0%
Europe Elects[8] 31 May 2024 6.4% 19.8% 7.7% 11.2% 21.1% 12.2% 8.5% 8.9% 4.2%
2019 election
Before Brexit 26 May 2019 6.5% 18.5% 11.7% 13.0% 21.0% 8.2% 10.8% 7.2% 3.1%

Seats

edit

361 seats are needed for an absolute majority in the European Parliament.

Organisation Release
date
Area Number of seats The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR ID NI Others Lead
election.de[13] 6 June 2024 EU27 720 42 138 58 85 181 82 69 65 43
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[14] 4 June 2024 EU27 720 38 136 55 81 182 79 69 76 4 46
election.de[15] 30 May 2024 EU27 720 43 141 57 84 179 81 68 67 38
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[16] 27 May 2024 EU27 720 39 138 56 86 180 75 68 76 2 42
23 May 2024 Germany's AfD is expelled from the Identity and Democracy (ID) group.[17]
election.de[18] 23 May 2024 EU27 720 43 139 56 87 179 83 80 53 40
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[19] 16 May 2024 EU27 720 43 134 54 85 182 83 83 54 2 48
election.de[20] 9 May 2024 EU27 720 40 140 55 89 177 80 84 55 37
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[21] 28 Apr 2024 EU27 720 44 140 48 86 183 86 84 48 1 43
EM Analytics[22] 30 April 2024 EU27 720 40 139 55 85 176 84 79 62 37
Der Föderalist[23] 26 Apr 2024 EU27 720 35 132 51 86 173 81 83 35 44 41
720 39 134 53 89 181 86 99 39 47
EM Analytics[24] 22 Apr 2024 EU27 720 39 139 51 86 181 86 77 61 42
election.de[25] 22 Apr 2024 EU27 720 39 138 52 90 173 80 87 61 35
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[26] 16 Apr 2024 EU27 720 40 139 52 84 184 82 84 52 3 45
election.de[27] 8 Apr 2024 EU27 720 39 138 55 86 176 81 85 60 38
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[28] 28 Mar 2024 EU27 720 47 135 52 87 184 81 82 48 4 49
election.de[29] 22 Mar 2024 EU27 720 40 139 54 89 176 84 83 55 37
Ipsos for Euronews[30] 19 Mar 2024 EU27 720 42 136 55 85 177 76 81 68 41
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[31] 18 Mar 2024 EU27 720 46 135 50 86 183 84 89 43 4 48
Politico Europe[32] 9 Mar 2024 EU27 720 33 141 48 90 180 87 89 52 39
election.de[33] 8 Mar 2024 EU27 720 39 142 51 86 171 86 86 59 29
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[34] 1 Mar 2024 EU27 720 45 140 49 82 181 83 92 44 4 41
Der Föderalist[35] 26 Feb 2024 EU27 720 35 135 48 85 176 78 85 36 42 41
37 137 48 89 183 82 101 43 46
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[36] 19 Feb 2024 EU27 720 44 140 48 85 180 83 92 43 6 40
election.de[37] 7 Feb 2024 EU27 720 42 138 49 78 176 88 94 55 38
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[38] 1 Feb 2024 EU27 720 42 140 51 82 180 80 91 49 5 40
ECFR[39] 23 Jan 2024 EU27 720 44 131 61 86 173 85 98 42 42
Europe Elects for EURACTIV[40] 15 Jan 2024 EU27 720 37 143 50 84 178 80 93 49 6 35
election.de[41] 9 Jan 2024 EU27 720 41 141 45 80 179 86 95 53 38
Politico Europe[42] 9 Jan 2024 EU27 720 33 145 43 86 178 89 96 50 33
Der Föderalist[43] 8 Jan 2024 EU27 720 33 141 45 86 169 75 89 43 39 28
35 143 47 91 177 85 108 34 34
Europe Elects[44] 30 Dec 2023 EU27 720 36 142 49 84 179 81 93 50 6 37
Politico Europe[45] 11 Dec 2023 EU27 720 33 145 47 87 175 91 91 51 30
Europe Elects[46] 30 Nov 2023 EU27 720 38 141 52 89 175 82 87 52 4 35
KAS[47] 29 Nov 2023 EU27 720 42 143 48 87 171 78 79 41 30 35
Politico Europe[48] 9 Nov 2023 EU27 720 38 143 49 91 179 90 85 45 36
Der Föderalist[49] 6 Nov 2023 EU27 720 43 137 43 90 170 78 76 37 45 33
46 138 47 96 178 89 92 34 40
Europe Elects[50] 31 Oct 2023 EU27 720 45 139 51 92 173 80 76 53 11 34
12 Oct 2023 PES (S&D's party) suspends Slovakia's Smer–SD and Hlas–SD due to their coalition with the sovereignist SNS party.[51]
Politico Europe[52] 9 Oct 2023 EU27 720 40 151 49 89 172 93 82 44 21
Europe Elects[53] 30 Sep 2023 EU27 720 43 145 52 90 165 86 74 56 10 21
22 Sep 2023 The European Council approves the new apportionment in the European Parliament from 705 to 720 seats.[54]
Der Föderalist[55] 11 Sep 2023 EU27 720 43 147 46 91 162 77 74 36 43 15
45 147 50 96 171 90 89 32 24
705 42 144 46 90 157 77 72 35 41 13
44 144 50 95 165 89 87 31 21
Politico Europe[56] 7 Sep 2023 EU27 705 42 146 46 91 167 93 76 44 21
Europe Elects[57] 31 Aug 2023 EU27 720 38 149 53 90 164 83 75 58 10 15
Politico Europe[58] 9 Aug 2023 EU27 705 45 145 48 89 165 89 77 47 20
Europe Elects[59] 31 Jul 2023 EU27 705 45 143 49 90 157 82 82 55 12 14
Der Föderalist[60] 17 Jul 2023 EU27 705 41 136 48 94 160 79 70 36 41 24
43 137 52 99 167 89 87 31 30
Der Föderalist[61] 22 May 2023 EU27 705 49 137 50 92 162 79 67 33 36 25
50 137 54 99 172 82 83 28 35
Europe Elects[62] 28 Apr 2023 EU27 705 51 141 49 89 163 85 64 51 11 22
Der Föderalist[63] 27 Mar 2023 EU27 705 44 137 42 94 162 78 68 38 42 25
46 141 46 102 170 81 84 35 29
Der Föderalist[64] 1 Feb 2023 EU27 705 50 135 42 96 168 78 65 37 34 33
52 138 47 103 172 82 80 31 34
Der Föderalist[65] 6 Dec 2022 EU27 705 51 136 44 93 166 79 64 37 35 30
53 139 50 100 170 83 80 30 31
Europe Elects[66] 7 Dec 2022 EU27 705 49 142 56 100 158 84 63 46 7 16
Europe Elects[67] 1 Nov 2022 EU27 705 55 135 53 106 162 81 66 41 6 27
Der Föderalist[68] 12 Oct 2022 EU27 705 52 127 42 100 169 79 63 35 38 42
54 130 48 108 174 84 80 27 44
Der Föderalist[69] 20 Aug 2022 EU27 705 52 134 47 98 170 75 63 27 39 36
54 137 53 107 175 80 76 23 38
Der Föderalist[70] 22 Jun 2022 EU27 705 54 133 44 101 165 77 64 31 36 32
56 136 54 106 168 81 79 25 32
Der Föderalist[71] 25 Apr 2022 EU27 705 59 139 39 97 157 78 64 37 35 18
60 143 49 102 159 84 76 32 16
Der Föderalist[72] 1 Mar 2022 EU27 705 53 139 36 98 158 78 62 45 36 19
55 142 44 105 160 109 62 28 18
Europe Elects[73] 8 Jan 2022 EU27 705 49 152 55 99 158 78 62 35 17 6
Der Föderalist[74] 4 Jan 2022 EU27 705 51 142 39 99 165 73 62 34 40 23
53 146 43 105 166 102 62 28 20
Europe Elects[75] 7 Dec 2021 EU27 705 50 155 55 103 146 81 75 36 4 9
Der Föderalist[76] 8 Nov 2021 EU27 705 50 144 42 96 155 75 72 36 35 11
52 148 48 107 156 23 120 51 8
Europe Elects[77] 4 Nov 2021 EU27 705 50 155 51 102 151 81 75 35 5 4
Europe Elects[78] 8 Oct 2021 EU27 705 50 154 47 94 156 78 75 36 15 2
Der Föderalist[79] 13 Sep 2021 EU27 705 54 141 42 98 160 70 75 33 32 19
56 145 48 107 160 22 116 51 15
Der Föderalist[80] 21 Jul 2021 EU27 705 52 133 45 97 167 71 74 31 35 34
54 138 49 108 168 23 117 48 30
Europe Elects[81] 9 Jul 2021 EU27 705 52 144 55 94 156 75 77 34 18 12
Europe Elects[82] 5 Jun 2021 EU27 705 51 146 58 92 155 76 74 35 18 9
Der Föderalist[83] 24 May 2021 EU27 705 50 125 50 95 167 74 73 33 38 42
52 130 54 109 167 87 74 32 37
Europe Elects[84] 2 May 2021 EU27 705 52 144 56 93 158 75 74 34 19 14
Europe Elects[85] 2 Apr 2021 EU27 705 51 151 52 93 159 74 74 32 19 8
Der Föderalist[86] 29 Mar 2021 EU27 705 52 136 46 96 164 71 73 34 33 28
54 141 49 109 164 85 73 30 23
3 Mar 2021 Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.[87]
Der Föderalist[88] 2 Feb 2021 EU27 705 52 135 45 94 184 70 71 21 33 49
53 141 48 107 184 73 71 28 49
Europe Elects[89] 5 Jan 2021 EU27 705 55 138 47 97 190 73 72 22 11 52
Der Föderalist[90] 9 Dec 2020 EU27 705 52 136 47 93 188 67 73 20 29 52
53 140 40 103 188 73 73 25 48
Europe Elects[91] 2 Dec 2020 EU27 705 55 136 48 95 195 68 73 23 12 59
Europe Elects[92] 31 Oct 2020 EU27 705 54 136 48 93 197 70 74 24 9 61
Der Föderalist[93] 12 Oct 2020 EU27 705 51 127 49 96 193 67 71 21 30 66
52 136 52 102 193 71 71 28 57
Europe Elects[94] 4 Oct 2020 EU27 705 55 136 49 95 195 71 77 23 4 59
Europe Elects[95] 31 Aug 2020 EU27 705 55 134 49 96 196 71 75 24 5 62
Europe Elects[96] 14 Aug 2020 EU27 705 54 134 49 97 198 70 75 23 5 64
Europe Elects[97] 24 Jul 2020 EU27 705 54 133 48 97 198 71 77 24 3 65
Europe Elects[98] 28 May 2020 EU27 705 55 135 47 98 197 70 77 23 3 62
Europe Elects[99] 30 Apr 2020 EU27 705 55 140 46 94 193 72 78 23 4 53
Europe Elects[100] 31 Mar 2020 EU27 705 57 135 51 92 188 72 83 21 6 53
Europe Elects[101] 29 Feb 2020 EU27 705 56 133 55 99 184 68 85 21 6 51
Europe Elects[102] 31 Jan 2020 EU27 705 55 130 53 101 182 70 85 23 6 52
31 Jan 2020 The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.[103]
Europe Elects[104] 31 Dec 2019 EU27 705 54 131 52 102 182 70 86 25 3 51
Europe Elects[105] 31 Dec 2019 EU28 751 53 153 52 103 177 103 82 25 3 24
Europe Elects[106] 30 Nov 2019 EU28 751 49 157 61 107 176 95 80 25 1 19
Europe Elects[106] 31 Aug 2019 EU28 751 46 151 62 115 175 92 78 30 2 24
Europe Elects[106] 30 Sep 2019 EU28 751 48 151 63 118 170 87 79 32 3 19
Europe Elects[106] 31 Aug 2019 EU28 751 47 154 64 116 166 89 80 32 3 12
Europe Elects[106] 31 Jul 2019 EU28 751 48 153 65 117 168 85 79 33 3 15
Europe Elects[106] 30 Jun 2019 EU28 751 46 145 74 119 167 64 80 54 2 22
Redistribution of seats after Brexit 1 Feb 2020 EU27 705 40 148 68 97 187 62 76 27 39
2019 European Parliament election 26 May 2019 EU28 751 41 154 74 108 182 62 73 57 28
edit

The following table shows the projected popular vote share for the groups in the EU Parliament aggregated on the European level. EU27 excludes the United Kingdom in this context. EU28 includes the United Kingdom.

Organisation Release
date
Area The Left S&D G/EFA Renew EPP ECR ID NI Others Lead
23 May 2024 Germany's AfD is expelled from the Identity and Democracy group.[17]
EM Analytics[22] 30 Apr 2024 EU27 7.3% 18.9% 7.5% 10.0% 21.7% 10.9% 12.0% 6.8% 5.0% 2.8%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[107] 28 Apr 2024 EU27 6.3% 18.3% 7.7% 9.9% 22.9% 11.8% 11.2% 6.6% 5.2% 4.6%
EM Analytics[108] 22 Apr 2024 EU27 7.0% 18.5% 7.9% 10.3% 22.0% 11.1% 12.1% 6.7% 4.6% 3.5%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[109] 16 Apr 2024 EU27 5.9% 18.0% 7.6% 10.4% 24.3% 11.0% 10.9% 6.5% 5.4% 6.3%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[110] 28 Mar 2024 EU27 7.7% 18.4% 8.1% 10.6% 23.0% 11.2% 11.2% 6.0% 3.8% 4.6%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[111] 18 Mar 2024 EU27 4.8% 18.5% 8.1% 10.4% 22.2% 11.1% 11.6% 7.3% 6.1% 3.7%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[112] 1 Mar 2024 EU27 5.5% 18.9% 7.3% 9.5% 22.6% 11.6% 11.7% 7.4% 5.2% 3.7%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[113] 19 Feb 2024 EU27 6.7% 18.5% 7.3% 9.7% 22.9% 11.3% 11.4% 7.1% 5.0% 4.4%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[114] 1 Feb 2024 EU27 6.8% 18.4% 6.9% 9.5% 22.6% 11.3% 12.3% 5.9% 6.2% 4.2%
Europe Elects for Euractiv[115] 15 Jan 2024 EU27 5.9% 18.3% 6.8% 10.3% 23.5% 10.9% 12.5% 6.1% 5.5% 5.2%
Europe Elects[116] 30 Dec 2023 EU27 5.5% 17.9% 7.0% 10.4% 22.8% 11.1% 12.1% 6.2% 6.9% 4.9%
Europe Elects[117] 30 Nov 2023 EU27 5.7% 18.4% 7.2% 10.7% 22.4% 11.0% 11.7% 6.1% 6.7% 4.0%
Europe Elects[118] 31 Oct 2023 EU27 5.9% 18.5% 7.5% 10.5% 22.4% 11.3% 11.3% 6.1% 6.5% 3.9%
Europe Elects[119] 30 Sep 2023 EU27 6.9% 19.1% 7.0% 9.9% 21.3% 11.8% 10.8% 6.0% 7.0% 2.2%
Europe Elects 31 Aug 2023 EU27 6.1% 19.5% 7.1% 10.2% 21.6% 11.8% 10.5% 6.0% 7.0% 2.1%
Europe Elects[120] 31 Jul 2023 EU27 7.2% 19.5% 6.9% 10.5% 20.6% 11.5% 10.6% 6.4% 6.7% 1.1%
Europe Elects[121] 28 Jun 2023 EU27 6.9% 18.7% 7.0% 10.4% 21.4% 11.7% 10.5% 6.3% 7.1% 2.7%
Europe Elects[122] 31 May 2023 EU27 7.5% 18.8% 6.9% 10.8% 20.7% 11.7% 9.6% 6.1% 7.6% 1.9%
Europe Elects[123] 30 Apr 2023 EU27 7.8% 18.2% 7.0% 10.4% 21.4% 11.6% 9.6% 6.0% 7.8% 3.2%
Europe Elects[124] 31 Mar 2023 EU27 7.3% 19.0% 7.3% 11.1% 21.6% 11.4% 9.0% 6.0% 7.1% 2.6%
Europe Elects[125] 28 Feb 2023 EU27 7.1% 18.7% 7.3% 11.1% 21.7% 11.5% 9.2% 6.0% 7.2% 3.0%
Europe Elects[126] 31 Jan 2023 EU27 7.4% 18.5% 7.4% 11.3% 21.5% 11.5% 9.0% 6.1% 6.8% 3.0%
Europe Elects[127] 31 Dec 2022 EU27 7.1% 18.7% 7.6% 11.5% 21.1% 11.6% 8.9% 5.4% 7.9% 2.4%
Europe Elects[66] 7 Dec 2022 EU27 7.2% 18.8% 8.1% 11.7% 21.2% 11.2% 8.9% 5.5% 7.2% 2.4%
Europe Elects[67] 1 Nov 2022 EU27 8.0% 18.3% 8.1% 12.0% 21.6% 11.3% 8.7% 5.7% 6.1% 3.3%
Europe Elects[73] 8 Jan 2022 EU27 6.7% 20.6% 7.2% 11.9% 20.7% 10.3% 8.8% 5.0% 8.8% 0.1%
Europe Elects[75] 7 Dec 2021 EU27 7.0% 20.4% 7.4% 13.6% 17.9% 10.3% 10.4% 4.8% 6.9% 1.2%
Europe Elects[77] 4 Nov 2021 EU27 6.9% 20.7% 7.2% 13.0% 19.5% 10.7% 10.2% 5.3% 6.5% 1.2%
Europe Elects[78] 8 Oct 2021 EU27 7.3% 20.3% 7.2% 12.0% 20.3% 10.5% 10.3% 5.3% 6.8% Tie
Europe Elects[81] 9 Jul 2021 EU27 7.2% 17.9% 8.0% 11.8% 21.2% 10.3% 10.6% 5.0% 8.0% 3.3%
Europe Elects[82] 5 Jun 2021 EU27 7.8% 18.0% 9.1% 11.4% 20.6% 10.5% 10.4% 5.0% 7.1% 2.6%
Europe Elects[99] 2 May 2021 EU27 7.9% 18.3% 8.5% 11.3% 20.3% 10.5% 10.6% 5.1% 7.4% 2.0%
Europe Elects[100] 2 Apr 2021 EU27 8.0% 18.7% 8.2% 11.2% 21.6% 10.2% 10.8% 4.9% 6.3% 2.9%
3 Mar 2021 Hungary's Fidesz party leaves the EPP Group.[87]
Europe Elects[89] 2 Mar 2021 EU27 7.9% 18.9% 7.5% 11.1% 23.1% 10.3% 10.8% 3.8% 6.6% 4.2%
Europe Elects[89] 2 Feb 2021 EU27 8.2% 18.6% 7.5% 10.9% 24.4% 10.1% 10.5% 3.8% 6.0% 5.8%
Europe Elects[89] 31 Dec 2020 EU27 8.4% 18.9% 7.5% 10.9% 24.1% 10.2% 10.5% 3.6% 5.9% 5.2%
Europe Elects[91] 2 Dec 2020 EU27 8.2% 18.5% 7.7% 10.9% 24.8% 9.5% 10.5% 3.8% 6.0% 6.3%
Europe Elects[92] 31 Oct 2020 EU27 7.6% 18.4% 7.7% 10.8% 25.0% 9.9% 10.6% 4.0% 6.1% 6.6%
Europe Elects[94] 4 Oct 2020 EU27 7.9% 17.9% 7.8% 11.4% 24.4% 9.7% 11.0% 4.1% 5.7% 6.5%
Europe Elects[95] 31 Aug 2020 EU27 8.1% 18.3% 7.4% 11.5% 25.0% 9.6% 10.9% 4.1% 5.2% 6.7%
Europe Elects[96] 14 Aug 2020 EU27 8.0% 18.0% 7.2% 11.5% 25.3% 9.4% 10.8% 3.8% 6.0% 7.3%
Europe Elects[97] 24 Jul 2020 EU27 8.3% 17.9% 7.4% 11.6% 25.7% 9.5% 10.9% 4.1% 4.6% 7.8%
Europe Elects[98] 28 May 2020 EU27 8.2% 18.0% 7.2% 11.3% 25.2% 9.6% 11.1% 4.0% 5.4% 7.2%
Europe Elects[99] 30 Apr 2020 EU27 8.2% 18.5% 7.2% 10.9% 25.3% 9.8% 11.4% 3.9% 4.7% 6.8%
Europe Elects[100] 31 Mar 2020 EU27 8.5% 18.2% 8.0% 10.7% 24.1% 10.0% 11.8% 3.8% 4.9% 5.9%
Europe Elects[101] 29 Feb 2020 EU27 9.1% 18.0% 8.4% 10.9% 22.7% 9.7% 12.5% 3.8% 4.9% 4.7%
Europe Elects[102] 31 Jan 2020 EU27 8.0% 18.6% 8.4% 12.4% 20.5% 12.1% 12.1% 4.0% 3.9% 1.9%
31 Jan 2020 The United Kingdom leaves the European Union.[103]
Europe Elects[106] 31 Dec 2019 EU28 8.1% 18.8% 8.2% 11.8% 20.9% 12.4% 11.9% 4.2% 3.7% 2.1%
Europe Elects[106] 30 Nov 2019 EU28 8.0% 18.4% 8.4% 12.3% 20.3% 12.0% 12.0% 4.0% 3.8% 1.9%
Europe Elects[106] 31 Oct 2019 EU28 6.5% 17.8% 8.3% 13.1% 20.3% 10.0% 11.3% 4.8% 7.9% 2.5%
Europe Elects[106] 30 Sep 2019 EU28 6.6% 19.5% 8.3% 12.3% 19.6% 9.7% 11.3% 4.8% 7.9% 0.1%
Europe Elects[106] 31 Aug 2019 EU28 6.9% 19.0% 8.7% 12.9% 20.0% 9.6% 11.4% 5.6% 5.9% 1.0%
Europe Elects[106] 31 Jul 2019 EU28 6.6% 19.0% 9.4% 12.8% 19.3% 9.3% 11.5% 5.3% 6.7% 0.3%
Europe Elects[106] 30 Jun 2019 EU28 6.9% 18.9% 10.3% 13.3% 19.1% 9.8% 11.4% 5.1% 5.2% 0.2%
2019 European Parliament election[128] 26 May 2019 EU27 7.0% 18.9% 11.2% 12.3% 22.6% 8.1% 11.5% 4.3% 4.1% 3.7%
2019 European Parliament election[106] EU28 6.5% 18.5% 11.7% 13.0% 21.0% 8.2% 10.8% 4.8% 5.5% 2.5%

National opinion polling

edit

Austria

edit
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size ÖVP
EPP
SPÖ
S&D
FPÖ
ID
Grüne
G/EFA
NEOS
Renew
KPÖ
Left
DNA
ECR
Others Lead
Lazarsfeld Society 3–4 Jun 2024 2,000 19-22
4
22-25
5
27-30
6
8-10
2
12-15
3
3
0
2
0
5
Lazarsfeld Society 24–28 May 2024 2,000 22
4
23
5
28
6
9
2
15
3
2
0
1
0
5
Market 24–28 May 2024 814 22
4
24
5
27
6
9
2
14
3
3
0
1
0
3
IFDD 22–24 May 2024 1,080 22
5
23
5
28
6
10
2
12
2
3
0
2
0
5
Lazarsfeld Society 17–21 May 2024 1,000 22
4
24
5
27
6
9
2
15
3
2
0
1
0
3
Spectra 13–20 May 2024 1,000 22
5
23
5
26
5
11
2
13
3
3
0
2
0
3
IFDD 15–17 May 2024 1,000 23
5
22
5
27
6
11
2
12
2
4
0
1
0
4
Peter Hajek 13–17 May 2024 1,200 23
5
23
5
30
6
10
2
10
2
3
0
1
0
7
OGM 7–8 May 2024 1,007 22
5
22
5
26
5
13
2
14
3
2
0
1
0
4
Lazarsfeld Society 6–8 May 2024 2,000 21
4
21
4
26
6
14
3
15
3
2
0
1
0
5
Triple-M 3–7 May 2024 800 19
4
23
5
27
6
14
3
11
2
4
0
2
0
4
Market 22–25 Apr 2024 842 20
4
24
5
27
6
12
2
13
3
3
0
1
0
3
Lazarsfeld Society 22–24 Apr 2024 2,000 21
4
23
5
27
6
12
2
13
3
3
0
1
0
4
Ipsos 23 Feb5 Mar 2024 1,000 21.0
4
22.0
5
28.2
6
13.0
3
11.8
2
2.1
0
1.9
0
6.2
Lazarsfeld Society 26–28 Feb 2024 1,000 20
4
22
5
26
5
14
3
16
3
2
0
4
Market 5–7 Feb 2024 800 24
5
23
5
27
6
11
2
12
2
2
0
1
0
3
Lazarsfeld Society 29–31 Jan 2024 1,000 24
5
20
4
27
6
13
2
14
3
2
0
3
OGM 22–31 Jan 2024 2,076 22
5
21
4
26
6
14
3
12
2
2
0
3
0
4
IFDD 25–28 Jan 2024 1,000 21
4
24
5
27
6
14
3
9
2
3
0
2
0
3
Lazarsfeld Society 11–13 Dec 2023 1,000 22
5
22
5
30
6
13
2
9
2
2
0
2
0
8
Peter Hajek 22–29 Nov 2023 1,600 23
5
24
5
30
7
12
2
7
1
3
0
1
0
6
IFDD 1–4 Oct 2023 837 25
5/6
25
5/6
25
5/6
14
3
8
1
3
0
Tie
2019 legislative election 29 Sep 2019 37.5
8
21.2
5
16.2
3
13.9
3
8.1
1
0.7
0
2.5
0
16.3
2019 European election 26 May 2019 34.6
7
23.9
5
17.2
3
14.1
3
8.4
1
0.8
0
1.0
0
9.7

Projected turnout:

According to the OGM poll for the "Kurier" newspaper (May 7-8, 2024), a total of 66% of those surveyed said they are "certain" to vote. This would represent an increase of more than 6% compared to the 2019 election, which had 59.8% turnout. It would also be the highest turnout since the first EU parliament election in Austria in 1996, when turnout was 67.7%.

Other pollsters like the Lazarsfeld Society or Spectra are estimating turnout at between 52% to 63%.

Belgium

edit

Dutch-speaking

edit
Date(s) conducted Polling firm Publisher Sample size N‑VA
ECR
VB
ID
Open Vld
Renew
cd&v
EPP
Groen
G/EFA
Vooruit
S&D
PVDA
Left
Others Lead
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 Ipsos Euronews[129] 1,500 18.7%
3
23.5%
3
12.7%
2
11.5%
1
9.7%
1
13.8%
2
9.3%
1
0.8%
0
4.8%
26 May 2019 European election 22.4%
3
19.1%
3
15.9%
2
14.5%
2
12.4%
1
10.2%
1
4.9%
0
0.5%
0
3.3%

French-speaking

edit
Date(s) conducted Polling firm Publisher Sample size PS
S&D
Ecolo
G/EFA
MR
Renew
PTB
Left
LE
EPP
DéFI
NI
Others Lead
23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 Ipsos Euronews[129] 1,500 26.7%
2
12.8%
1
22.8%
2
19.2%
2
11.0%
1
2.8%
0
4.7%
0
3.9%
26 May 2019 European election 26.7%
2
19.9%
2
19.3%
2
14.6%
1
8.9%
1
5.9%
0
4.7%
0
6.8%

Bulgaria

edit
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample GERB—SDS
EPP
BSPzB
S&D
DPS
Renew
VMRO
ECR
PP–DB
Renew-EPP[d]
Revival
NI
ITN
ECR[e]
Blue Bulgaria
ECR
Others NOTA Lead
Alpha Research 1-4 June 2024 1000 25
5
7.9
2
14.1
3
15.9
3
15.7
3
5.9
1
2.9
0
12.6[f] 9.1
CAM 1-4 June 2024 821 26.2
5
8.1
2
14.1
3
17.7
4
14.8
3
5.3
0
2.1
0
8.5
Sova Haris 29 May-3 June 2024 1000 26.4
6
8.9
2
14.4
3
15.4
3
15.3
3
5.6
0
14 11
Market Links 22 May-2 June 2024 1004 28.8
6
8.7
2
12.4
3
20.2
4
11.4
2
3.9
0
2.2
0
7.4[g] 2.1 8.6
TREND 11–18 May 2024 1003 25.9
5
8.1
2
14.6
3
1.2
0
16.1
4
15.1
3
5.5
0
1.8
0
12.4[h] 5.3 9.8
Sova Harris 8–13 May 2024 1000 28.3
6
10.3
2
13.3
3
15.8
3
15
3
5.2
0
11.5 12.5
MarketLinks 29 April–9 May 2024 29.4
6
9.3
2
13.1
3
20.6
4
12.3
2
2.7
0
1.7
0
6.4[i] 4.2 8.8
Alpha Research 28 April–5 May 2024 1000 25.1
5
8.0
2
14.4
3
18.5
4
14.8
3
4.8
0
2.4
0
12.0[j] 6.6
Gallup 22 April–2 May 2024 808 26.4
5
8.2
2
14.9
3
1.3
0
17.5
4
14.7
3
4.5
0
1.4
0
11.1[k] 8.9
TREND 12–19 April 2024 1002 27.2
5
9.4
2
15.4
3
17.2
4
15.3
3
5.1
0
10.1[l] 10.1
Gallup 28 March-5 April 2024 805 28.7
5
10.1
2
15.3
3
18.2
4
15.1
3
5.5
0
9.8 6.2
IPSOS N/A N/A 27.1
5
8.8
2
13.0
2
20.9
4
15.1
3
6.1
1
8.9[m] 6.2
Alpha Research 1-7 March 2024 1000 27.0
5
10.6
2
10.0
2
23.8
5
15.8
3
5.9
0
6.9 3.2
Market Links 24 February-3 March 2024 1058 26.4
5
9.7
2
14.0
3
22.7
4
13.5
3
3.8
0
6.1 3.9 3.7
2019 election 26 May 2019 30.4
6
23.5
5
16.1
3
7.1
2
5.9[n]
1
1.0
0
2.6 4.1 6.9

Croatia

edit
Publication
date
Polling firm Sample
size
HDZ
EPP
SDP
S&D
Most
ECR
PiP
NI
IDS
RE
DP
ID
M!
G/EFA
Others Undecided Lead
6 Jun 2024 Ipsos 1001 31.9
5
24.6
4
6.1
1
- 3.7
0
5.8
1
6.5
1
-[o]
7.7 7.3
5 Jun 2024 Promocija plus 1300 28.4
5
20.5
4
5.7
1
3.9
0
3.2
0
6.9
1
7.4
1
11.7[p]
0
12.3 7.9
2 Jun 2024 2x1 komunikacije 1041 31.2
5
22.0
3
7.1
1
3.7
0
3.8
0
8.7
1
11.1
2
- 11.0 9.2
25 May 2024 Ipsos 990 28.5
5
17.8
3
5.4
1
1.8
0
3.8
0
7.4
1
9.9
2
12.2[q]
0
14.9 10.7
4 May 2024 Promocija plus 1000 30.6
5
24.2
4
5.4
1
2.5
0
2.3
0
6.7
1
7.5
1
- - 6.4
17 Apr 2024 2024 parliamentary election 34.4 25.4 8.0 [r] 2.3 9.6 9.1 11.2 - 9.0
26 May 2019 2019 European election 27.1
4
22.1
4
17.6
1
13.6
2
11.9
1
1.8
0
5.8 - 5.0

Cyprus

edit
Date Polling firm DISY
EPP
AKEL
Left
ELAM
ECR
DIKO
S&D
EDEK
S&D
DIPA
Renew
KOSP
G/EFA
APC
Left
EP
NI
VOLT
G/EFA
Fidias
NI
Others Lead
09 June 2024 Election Results 24.8 21.5 11.2 9.7 5.1 2.2 1.3 0.3 1.3 2.9 19.4 0.3 3.3
27-30 May 2024 IMR 26.6 28.3 13.7 10.6 3.4 3.0 3.2 - 2.0 2.8 7.5 0.6 1.7
22-28 May 2024 CMRC 28.7 27.4 14.0 12.1 3.8 1.9 3.8 1.9 - 3.8 3.8 1.3 1.3
20-25 May 2024 RAI Consultants 27.3 25.2 12.5 9.3 4.4 2.7 2.1 0.9 2.1 4.5 8.7 0.3 2.1
13-25 May 2024 CYMAR Market Research Ltd 26.0 24.0 13.0 12.0 5.0 3.0 3.0 - - 4.0 6.0 4.0 2.0
20-24 May 2024 Symmetron 25.6 24.2 12.0 10.2 3.7 4.3 2.6 - - 3.9 2.5 1.6 1.5
17-24 May 2024 SIGMA 29.0 27.7 13.5 12.9 3.9 2.6 3.9 - - 2.6 2.6 1.3 1.3
16-22 May 2024 Pulse Market Research 25.8 23.5 13.6 12.1 4.5 3.0 3.0 - - 5.3 6.1 3.0 2.3
9-14 May 2024 Analytica Market Research 24.3 24.9 14.5 11.9 6.0 3.5 3.7 - 3.3 3.9 - 4.0 0.6
10-22 Apr 2024 CMRC 29.0 27.5 15.2 12.3 3.6 1.4 3.6 2.9 - 3.6 - 0.7 1.5
08-19 Apr 2024 CYMAR Market Research Ltd 28.1 25.0 15.6 12.5 6.3 1.6 1.6 - - 3.1 - 6.3 3.1
14–23 Mar 2024 SIGMA 28.1 28.1 15.1 13.7 4.1 2.7 2.7 - - 2.7 - 2.7 0
20–26 Feb 2024 Pulse Market Research 31.3 25.8 14.7 12.9 5.5 0.5 3.7 - - - - 5.5 5.5
12–16 Feb 2024 SIGMA 29.0 27.5 14.5 11.6 4.3 4.3 2.9 1.4 - 1.4 - 2.9 1.5
11 Feb 2024 Symmetron 25.3 23.9 11.3 9.0 3.1 3.1 2.8 - - 2.5 - 1.5 1.7
29 Jan – 02 Feb 2024 Interview 31.7 31.8 15 9.0 2.4 2.2 6.8 - - - - 1.1 0.1
22–26 Jan 2024 L.S.Prime 26.4 26.4 13.8 11.1 4.2 4.2 2.8 - - - - 11.1 0
03–11 Jan 2024 IMR 25.7 27.8 17.4 9.7 3.2 3.3 4.9 - - 1.8 - 3.5 2.1
30 May Election 2021 27.8% 22.3% 6.8% 11.3% 6.7% 6.1% 4.4% 1.0% 3.3% - 10.3% 5.5
26 May Election 2019 29.0% 27.5% 8.2% 13.8% 10.6% 3.8% - 0.8% - - 3.0% 1.5

Czech Republic

edit
Polling firm Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
SPOLU
ECREPP
ANO
Renew
Piráti
G/EFA
STAN
EPP
SPD
Trikolóra
ID
Stačilo!
Left
SOCDEM
S&D
Svobodní
NI
PaM
NI
Zelení
EGP
PRO
NI
Others Lead
7–8 June 2024 Election result 22.3
6
26.1
7
6.2
1
8.7
2
5.7
1
9.6
2
1.9
0
1.8
0
10.3
2
1.6
0
2.2
0
3.9
0
3.8
STEM 22–26 May 2024 1,623 21.5
6
23.1
6
9.4
2
10.0
3
9.5
2
8.1
2
2.9
0
2.7
0
4.7
0
1.9
0
1.8
0
4.1
0
1.6
STEM/MARK 20–27 May 2024 1,398 22.3
5
26.1
6
12.1
3
8.1
2
7.9
2
7.7
2
3.6
0
2.3
0
7.2
1
1.4
0
1.0
0
0.3
0
3.8
Phoenix Research 1–13 May 2024 1,018 17.5
5
27.4
7
9.9
2
11.5
3
6.2
1
7.0
2
5.0
1
1.3
0
2.2
0
4.2
0
7.8
1
9.9
SANEP 2–7 May 2024 1,800 19.8
5
26.7
7
10.6
3
9.9
2
10.1
3
5.9
1
3.7
0
2.9
0
4.8
0
0.5
0
3.2
0
1.9
0
6.9
STEM/Mark 28 Mar–8 April 2024 1,009 20.0
5
27.5
7
10.1
2
10.4
3
10.4
2
6.7
1
3.4
0
2.5
0
6.0
1
0.9
0
1.9
0
7.5
Data Collect 25 Mar 2024 20.9 27.3 10.8 9.3 10.9 7.1 2.9 1.5 2.5 2.5 1.9 2.4 6.4
IPSOS 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 1,517 21.6 26.3 11.3 13.4 7.9 6.1 2.7 2.8 4.9 4.7
IPSOS Dec 2023 TBA 25.2 26.3 10.0 12.0 7.7 6.0 12.8 1.1
STEM/MARK 23–28 Nov 2023 1,010 15.0 33.8 11.4 7.3 14.7 5.4 3.6 2.9 6.0 18.8
2021 parliamentary election 8–9 Oct 2021 27.8 27.1 15.6 9.6 3.6 4.7 2.8[s] 4.7 1.0 0.9 0.7
2019 European election 24–25 May 2019 21.8[t] 21.2 14.0 11.7[u] 9.1 6.9 4.0 0.7 10.6 0.6

Denmark

edit
Polling execution Parties Alliances
Polling

firm

Fieldwork

date

Sample

size

V
Renew
A
S&D
F
G/EFA
O
ID
B
Renew
C
EPP
Ø
Left
Å
G/EFA
I
EPP
M
Renew
Æ
ECR
Others AFÅ BMV CI
2024 EP election 14.7
2
15.6
3
17.4
3
6.4
1
7.1
1
8.8
1
7.0
1
2.7
0
7.0
1
5.9
1
7.4
1
35.7
6
27.7
4
15.8
2
Epinion (exit poll) 9 June ? 13.9
2
15.4
3
18.4
3
6.5
1
6.9
1
7.4
1
6.6
1
3.3
0
7.8
1
6.2
1
7.6
1
37.1
6
27.0
4
15.2
2
Verian 29 May–5 Jun 2024 2,301 11.5
2
18.9
3
16.6
3
7.0
1
5.4
0
6.8
1
6.4
1
2.0
0
10.5
2
5.9
1
8.8
1
37.5
6
22.8
3
17.3
3
Verian 29 May–5 Jun 2024 2,301 11.5
2
18.9
3
16.6
3
7.0
1
5.4
0
6.8
1
6.4
1
2.0
0
10.5
2
5.9
1
8.8
1
37.5
6
22.8
3
17.3
3
Epinion 28 May–3 Jun 2024 2,085 10.8
2
17.7
3
16.6
3
6.4
1
4.9
0
8.3
1
7.8
1
4.1
0
8.5
2
6.0
1
8.9
1
38.4
6
21.7
3
16.8
3
Epinion 8–14 May 2024 2,025 12.5
2
21.4
4
13.1
2
7.4
1
5.4
1
7.1
1
6.8
1
1.7
0
9.9
2
4.0
0
10.4
1
36.2
6
21.9
3
17.0
3
Verian 8–14 May 2024 1,565 13.6
2
18.6
3
14.0
3
9.6
1
4.7
1
6.8
1
6.2
1
1.2
0
12.2
2
3.9
0
9.1
1
33.8
6
22.2
3
19.0
3
Epinion 23–29 Apr 2024 1,938 11.2
2
20.1
4
14.6
2
6.5
1
7.0
1
6.8
1
6.9
1
2.3
0
12.0
2
4.5
0
8.1
1
37.0
6
22.7
3
18.8
3
Epinion 6–13 Mar 2024 1,074 12
2
24
4
14
2
7
1
5
1
5
1
7
1
3
0
9
1
7
1
7
1
41
6
24
4
14
2
Ipsos 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 1,000 10.5
2
21.0
4
12.0
2
5.0
0
6.0
1
6.0
1
8.0
1
2.0
0
13.0
2
7.0
1
8.5
1
35.0
6
23.5
4
19.0
3
Epinion 24–31 Jan 2024 1,051 11
2
22
4
12
2
7
1
6
1
6
1
7
1
1
0
10
1
7
1
9
1
35
6
24
4
16
2
2022 general election 13.3
(3)
27.5
(6)
8.3
(1)
2.6
(0)
3.8
(0)
5.5
(1)
5.1
(0)
3.3
(0)
7.9
(1)
9.3
(2)
8.1
(1)
5.2
(0)
39.1
(7)
26.4
(4)
13.4
(2)
2021 municipal elections 21.2
(4)
28.4
(5)
7.6
(1)
4.1
(0)
5.6
(1)
15.2
(3)
7.3
(1)
0.7
(0)
1.4
(0)
8.5
(0)
36.7
(6)
26.8
(5)
16.6
(3)
2019 general election 23.4
(5)
25.9
(6)
7.7
(1)
8.7
(1)
8.6
(0)
6.6
(1)
6.9
(1)
3.0
(0)
2.3
(0)
6.9
(0)
36.6
(7)
32.0
(5)
9.0
(1)
2019 EP election 23.5
(4)
21.5
3
13.2
2
10.8
1
10.1
2
6.2
1
5.5
1
3.4
0
2.2
0
3.7
0

Estonia

edit
Polling execution Parties Lead
Polling

firm

Fieldwork

date

Sample

size

 Reform Renew  
SDE

S&D

 
Centre

Renew

 
EKRE ID
 
Isamaa EPP
 

E200

EER G/EFA  

Parem

Koos

Others Party EP group
Norstat 8–20 May 2024 1,471 19.1
1
19.3
2
11.5
1
14.2
1
21.3
2
3.8
0
0.9
0
4.3
0
2.9
0
2.7
0
2.0 4.6
Kantar Emor 6–15 May 2024 1,471 17.2
2
23.6
2
11.0
1
13.6
1
14.0
1
4.1
0
0.9
0
7.2
0
3.1
0
5.4
0
6.4 9.3
Norstat 29 Apr–6 May 2024 1,484 19.3
2
21.4
2
9.4
1
17.9
1
17.1
1
3.9
0
0.9
0
4.5
0
3.0
0
2.7
0
2.1 7.3
Kantar Emor 8-17 Apr 2024 1,484 18.8
2
20
2
13.8
1
13.8
1
16.8
1
4.7
0
1.5
0
6
0
4.5
0
1.2 12.6
Norstat 11-15 Apr 2024 3,500 20.1
2
22.0
2
11.0
1
17.2
1
17.6
1
5.0
0
1.2
0
4.7
0
1.2
0
1.9 9.1
Kantar Emor 14-20 Mar 2024 1,135 18.9
2
21.4
2
13.9
1
15.4
1
16.7
1
5.6
0
[v] 5.9
0
2.1
0
2.5 11.4
2023 parliamentary election 31.2
3
9.3
1
15.3
1
16.1
1
8.2
0
13.3
1
1.0
0
2.3
0
3.3
0
15.1 30.4
2019 EP election 26.2
2
23.3
2
14.4
1
12.7
1
10.3
1
3.2
0
1.8
0
8.0
0
2.9 17.3

Finland

edit
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
KOK
EPP
VIHR
G/EFA
SDP
S&D
PS
ECR
KESK
Renew
VAS
Left
SFP
Renew
KD
EPP
LIIK
NI
Others Lead
Taloustutkimus[133] 29 May–4 June 2024 2,111 20.6
4
9.3
1
19.4
3
16.4
3
11.9
2
10.8
2
4.2
0
4
0
1.1
0
2.2
0
1.2
Taloustutkimus[134] 23–29 Apr 2024 2,118 21.7
4
10.5
2
19.7
3
14.1
2
13.6
2
10.5
2
4.0
0
2.9
0
1.0
0
2.1
0
2.0
Verian[135] 18–25 Mar 2024 1,372 22
4
11
2
17
3
14
2
12
2
9
1
5
0
6
1
4
0
5
Ipsos[136] 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 1,000 22.5
4
9.0
1
20.0
4
19.0
3
10.5
2
8.5
1
3.5
0
3.5
0
3.5
0
2.5
2023 parliamentary election 20.8 7.0 19.9 20.1 11.3 7.1 4.3 4.2 2.4 2.9 0.7
2019 EP election 20.8
3
16.0
3
14.6
2
13.8
2
13.5
2
6.9
1
6.3
1
4.9
0
3.1
0
4.8

France

edit
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
LO
NI
NPA
Left
PCF
Left
LFI
Left
ND
S&D
PSPP
S&D
EELV
G/EFA
GE
NI
PRG
G/EFA[w]
PS
diss.
UDMF
NI
EAC
G/EFA
ÉPT
Renew
PP
G/EFA
PA
Left
Ens.
Renew
AR NE
EPP
LR
EPP
DLF
ECR
UPR
NI
LPVIA
ECR
RN
ID
REC
ECR
Others Lead
FNC [fr]
NI
R!
NI
Ipsos 06–07 Jun 2024 8,923 0.5 0.5 2.5 9.5 0.5 14.5 5 0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 2.5 15 1.5 7 0.5 1 32 5.5 1[x] 17
Harris Interactive[failed verification] 05–07 Jun 2024 2,200 0.5 0.5 3 9.5 <0.5 13 5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 14 1 7.5 1 1 32 5 [y] 18
Elabe 05–07 Jun 2024 2,001 1 0.5 2.5 9.5 <0.5 14.5 5.5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 2.5 16 1.5 6 1 1 32 5.5 1.5[z] 16
Ifop 04–07 Jun 2024 2,710 0.5 0.5 2.5 9 <0.5 13.5 5.5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 2.5 14.5 1.5 7 1 1 33 6 1.5 18.5
Odoxa 05–06 Jun 2024 1.008 1.5 0.5 2 7 0.5 14 5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 <0.5 3.5 15 2 7 1 1 32 6 [aa] 17
Ipsos 05–06 Jun 2024 1,738 0.5 0.5 2.5 9 <0.5 13.5 6 0.5 <0.5 1.5 <0.5 <0.5 1.5 15.5 1 7 1 1 32 5.5 1.5[ab] 16.5
OpinionWay 04–06 Jun 2024 2,182 1 1 2 8 <1 14 5 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 3 15 1 6 1 1 33 6 3[ac] 18
Cluster17 04–06 Jun 2024 1,165 1 0.5 2 9 0.5 13 5 0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 <0.5 2.5 15 1.5 7 1.5 1.5 31 5.5 <3[ad] 16
OpinionWay 04–06 Jun 2024 1,027 1 1 3 7 13 6 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 2 15 1 7 1 1 33 6 4[ae] 18
Harris Interactive[failed verification] 04–06 Jun 2024 2,200 0.5 0.5 3.5 8.5 <0.5 13 5.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 14.5 1 7 1 1 32 5 [af] 17.5
Ifop 03–06 Jun 2024 2,710 0.5 0.5 2 8.5 <0.5 13.5 5.5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 2.5 15 1.5 7 1 1 33 6 1.5 18
Harris Interactive[failed verification] 04–05 Jun 2024 2,130 0.5 0.5 3 9 <0.5 13 6 <0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 14 1 7.5 1 1 32 5 [ag] 17.5
BVA 03–05 Jun 2024 1,500 1 <0.5 2.5 7.5 0.5 14 5.5 0.5 <0.5 1 <0.5 <0.5 2.5 16 1 6.5 1.5 0.5 33 5 3[ah] 17
Ifop 01–05 Jun 2024 2,724 0.5 0.5 2.5 8 <0.5 13.5 5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 2.5 15 1 7.5 0.5 1 33 6 1.5 18
YouGov 31 May5 Jun 2024 1,035 1 <1 3 6 1 12 4 1 1 3 15 1 6 1 1 32 6 2 15
Harris Interactive[failed verification] 03–04 Jun 2024 2,130 0.5 0.5 3 9 <0.5 13 6 <0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 14.5 1 7.5 1 1 32 5 [ai] 17.5
Ifop 31 May04 Jun 2024 2,734 0.5 0.5 2.5 7.5 <0.5 14 5.5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 15 1 7 1 1 33 6 2 18
Harris Interactive 02–03 Jun 2024 2,130 0.5 0.5 3 9 <0.5 13 6 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 14.5 1 7.5 1 1 32 5 [aj] 17.5
Ifop 30 May03 Jun 2024 2,751 0.5 0.5 2.5 7.5 <0.5 14 6 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 15.5 1 7 1 1 33.5 6 1.5 18
Elabe 29–31 May 2024 1,688 1 0.5 3 8.5 <0.5 13 7 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 16 1 6.5 1 1 32.5 5 1.5[ak] 16.5
Harris Interactive 30–31 May 2024 2,178 0.5 0.5 3 8.5 <0.5 13.5 5.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 14.5 1 7 1 1 32 5.5 [al] 17.5
Ifop 28–31 May 2024 2,713 0.5 0.5 3 7 <0.5 14 6.5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 2 15.5 1 7 0.5 0.5 33.5 6.5 1.5 18
OpinionWay 28–30 May 2024 2,149 1 2 2 6 <1 14 5 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 2 15 1 7 <1 1 33 6 4[am] 17
Cluster17 28–30 May 2024 1,165 1 0.5 2 8 0.5 13.5 5 0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 <0.5 2.5 15.5 1.5 7 1.5 1.5 30 6 <3[an] 14.5
Harris Interactive 29–30 May 2024 2,200 0.5 0.5 3 8 <0.5 13.5 5.5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 1.5 14.5 1 7 1 1 33 5.5 [ao] 18.5
Ipsos 27–30 May 2024 11,430 0.5 0.5 2 8 0.5 14.5 6 0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 1.5 16 1 7 1 1 33 5 [ap] 17
Ifop 26–30 May 2024 2,700 0.5 0.5 3 7 <0.5 14 6.5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 1.5 16 1 7 0.5 1 33.5 6.5 1 17.5
OpinionWay 28–29 May 2024 1,008 1 3 2 6 14 5 2 15 1 7 1 1 32 7 3 17
Harris Interactive 28–29 May 2024 2,016 0.5 0.5 3 8 0.5 14 5.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 1 14.5 1 7 1 1 32.5 5 4[aq] 17.5
Ifop 25–29 May 2024 2,250 0.5 <0.5 3 7 <0.5 14 6.5 0.5 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 1.5 16 1 7 1 1 33.5 6.5 1 17.5
Harris Interactive 27–28 May 2024 2,016 0.5 0.5 3 8.5 0.5 14 5 0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 1 15 1 7.5 1 1 32 5 4[ar] 17
Ifop 24–28 May 2024 1,809 0.5 <0.5 2.5 7.5 <0.5 14 6 0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 1 15.5 1 7 1 1 34 6 1.5 18.5
Harris Interactive 24–27 May 2024 2,016 0.5 0.5 3 8.5 0.5 14 5 0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 <0.5 1 14.5 1 7 1 1 32 5 4[as] 17.5
Ifop 23–27 May 2024 1,362 0.5 0.5 2 7.5 <0.5 14.5 5.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1 16 1 7.5 0.5 1 33.5 6 1 17.5
Elabe 24–25 May 2024 1,688 1 <0.5 2 8 <0.5 13 6 <0.5 <0.5 1 0.5 0.5 2 15.5 1.5 7 1 0.5 33 5.5 2[at] 17.5
Odoxa 23–24 May 2024 991 2 1 2.5 7 <0.5 13.5 6 0.5 0.5 1.5 15 1 7 0.5 1.5 34 4 0.5 16.5
Ifop 21–24 May 2024 1,362 0.5 0.5 2 7.5 <0.5 14.5 5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 16 1 7.5 0.5 1.5 33 6.5 1.5 17
OpinionWay 21–24 May 2024 2,024 2 2 2 7 <1 13 5 <1 <1 <1 <1 <1 1 15 <1 8 <1 1 32 7 5[au] 17
Ifop 20–23 May 2024 1,356 1 0.5 2 7 <0.5 15 5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 2 16 1 7.5 0.5 1 33 6 1.5 17
Cluster17 21–22 May 2024 1,043 1 0.5 2 8 0.5 14 5 1 0.5 0.5 2 16 1.5 6.5 1.5 1.5 29 6 3 13
OpinionWay 21–22 May 2024 1,067 1 2 2 7 13 5 1 16 1 8 1 1 32 7 3 16
Ifop 20–22 May 2024 1,344 1 0.5 2 7.5 0.5 15 5.5 <0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 16 1 7.5 1 1 32.5 6 0.5 16.5
Vivavoice 20–21 May 2024 1,059 0.5 0.5 1 6.5 <0.5 14 7 <0.5 0.5 1 1.5 17 1.5 6.5 1 1 32 6 2 15
Ifop 19–21 May 2024 1,344 1 <0.5 2 7.5 0.5 15 5.5 0.5 <0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 16.5 1 7.5 1 1 32 6 0.5 15.5
Elabe 15–17 May 2024 1,398 1 0.5 1.5 7.5 <0.5 13 7.5 0.5 1 1 15.5 1 7.5 1 1 32 5.5 3 16.5
Ifop 15–17 May 2024 1,334 0.5 0.5 2.5 7 1 14.5 5.5 0.5 0.5 1 0.5 1.5 16.5 1 8 <0.5 <0.5 32 6 1 15.5
Harris Interactive 15–17 May 2024 2,014 0.5 0.5 2.5 8 0.5 14.5 5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1 15 1 7.5 1 1 31.5 5.5 3.5 16.5
BVA 15–16 May 2024 1,500 1.5 1 2.5 8 <0.5 13 6.5 <0.5 1 2 17 1 <0.5[av] 6 1[aw] 1 <0.5 31 6 1 14
OpinionWay 14–16 May 2024 2,025 1 <1 2 7 <1 14 6 <1 1 1 16 2 7 1 1 31 8 2 15
Ifop 13–16 May 2024 1,338 0.5 0.5 2.5 7 1 14.5 5.5 <0.5 0.5 1 2 16.5 1.5 8 0.5 0.5 32 5.5 0.5 15.5
OpinionWay 14–15 May 2024 1,006 1 <1 2 8 <1 14 6 <1 <1 1 16 2 7 <1 1 31 8 3 15
Cluster17 13–15 May 2024 1,285 0.5 0.5 2.5 8 1 14 5.5 0.5 1 0.5 1.5 15.5 1.5 6 1.5 1.5 29.5 6 2.5 14
Ifop 11–15 May 2024 1,348 0.5 0.5 2.5 7.5 0.5 14 5.5 0.5 0.5 2 16.5 1.5 8 0.5 1 32.5 5.5 0.5 16
YouGov 6–15 May 2024 1,028 1 <1 2 6 1 13 5 <1[ax] 2 1 17 2 <1[av] 6 2 2 32 6 2 15
Ipsos 13–14 May 2024 1,530 0.5 0.5 2 8 <0.5 14.5 6.5 0.5 1.5 1 16 1.5 7 1 1 31 6 1.5 15
Ifop 10–14 May 2024 1,348 0.5 <0.5 2.5 7.5 <0.5 14 6 <0.5 0.5 1.5 17 1.5 8 1 1 32.5 6 0.5 15.5
Harris Interactive 10–13 May 2024 2,294 0.5 0.5 3 8 0.5 14 5.5 0.5 1 0.5 1 15 2 7 1 1 31.5 5 2.5 16.5
Ifop 9–13 May 2024 1,348 0.5 0.5 2.5 8 <0.5 14 6 <0.5 0.5 1 17 1 7.5 1 1 32.5 6 1 15.5
Ifop 6–10 May 2024 1,325 0.5 0.5 2.5 8.5 0.5 13.5 6.5 0.5 1 1 17 1.5 7.5 1 1 32 6.5 0.5 15
Cluster17 6–9 May 2024 1,208 0.5 0.5 2 8.5 0.5 13 6 0.5 1 0.5 2 15.5 1.5 6.5 1.5 1.5 29.5 6 3 14
Ifop 5–9 May 2024 1,325 0.5 0.5 2.5 8.5 0.5 13 6.5 0.5 1 1 17 1.5 7.5 1 1 31.5 6.5 0.5 14.5
OpinionWay 6–7 May 2024 1,029 1 <1 3 6 <1 14 6 <1 1 1 17 2 6 1 1 30 8 3 13
Ifop 3–7 May 2024 1,325 0.5 0.5 2.5 8.5 0.5 13 6.5 0.5 1 1 16.5 1.5 8 1 1 31.5 6 0.5 15
OpinionWay 5–6 May 2024 1,026 1 <1 3 7 <1 14 7 <1 1 <1 16 1 7 1 1 31 7 3 15
Ifop 2–6 May 2024 1,325 0.5 0.5 3 8 0.5 13 6.5 0.5 1 1.5 16 1 8 0.5 1 32 6 0.5 16
Elabe 30 Apr3 May 2024 1,375 1 0.5 2 8.5 0.5 12 8 <0.5 1.5 1 16.5 1 <0.5 6.5 0.5 1 32 5 2.5 15.5
Harris Interactive 30 Apr3 May 2024 2,043 0.5 0.5 2.5 8.5 0.5 14 5.5 0.5 1 0.5 1 15 2 <0.5 7 1 1 31 5.5 2.5 16
Ifop 30 Apr3 May 2024 1,345 0.5 0.5 3 7.5 0.5 13.5 6.5 <0.5 1 2 16.5 1 <0.5 7.5 0.5 1 31.5 6.5 0.5 15
OpinionWay 29–30 Apr 2024 1,075 <1 2 6 <1 14 7 <1 1 1 17 2 <1 7 1 2 31 7 3 14
Ifop 29 Apr2 May 2024 1,375 <0.5 0.5 3 7.5 0.5 13.5 7 <0.5 1 1.5 16.5 1.5 <0.5 7.5 1 1 31 6.5 0.5 14.5
Cluster17 29 Apr1 May 2024 1,337 1 0.5 2.5 8 0.5 13 6 0.5 0.5 0.5 2 15.5 1.5 0.5 6 1 2 29.5 5.5 2 14
OpinionWay 29–30 Apr 2024 1,009 1 4 7 <1 14 7 0.5 1 0.5 17 1 0.5 7 1 1 29 8 1 12
Ifop 26–30 Apr 2024 1,360 <0.5 0.5 3 7 0.5 14 7 0.5 1 1 16 1.5 0.5 7.5 0.5 1 31.5 6.5 0.5 15.5
Harris Interactive 24–26 Apr 2024 2,319 0.5 0.5 2 9 <0.5 13 6 0.5 0.5 0.5 1 16 2 <0.5 7 1 1 31 6 2 15
Ifop 25–29 Apr 2024 1,345 <0.5 0.5 2.5 7 <0.5 14.5 7.5 0.5 1 1.5 16 1.5 0.5 8 0.5 0.5 31.5 6 0.5 15.5
Odoxa 25–26 Apr 2024 1,005 1.5 1 2.5 7 <0.5 12 7 0.5 1.5 1.5 15.5 1.5 <0.5 8 1 1.5 32 5.5 0.5 16.5
BVA 25–26 Apr 2024 1,434 1 1 1.5 6.5 13 8 <0.5 1.5 3 17 1 <0.5 6 1[aw] 1 1 31 5.5 1 14
Ifop 23–26 Apr 2024 1,345 0.5 0.5 2 7.5 <0.5 14 8 0.5 1 1.5 16.5 1 0.5 8 0.5 0.5 31.5 5.5 0.5 15
OpinionWay 24–25 Apr 2024 1,011 1 3 6 <1 14 6 <1 1 1 18 1 <1 7 1 2 29 8 3 11
Cluster17 23–25 Apr 2024 1,164 0.5 0.5 3 8 1 12.5 6.5 1 0.5 1 2 16 2 0.5 6 1 1.5 29.5 6 2 13.5
Ifop 22–25 Apr 2024 1,350 0.5 0.5 2.5 7.5 0.5 13 8 <0.5 1.5 1 17.5 1 0.5 8 0.5 <0.5 31 5.5 1 13.5
OpinionWay 23–24 Apr 2024 1,007 1 3 8 <1 13 7 <1 1 2 18 2 <1 6 1 1 30 6 1 12
Ifop 20–24 Apr 2024 1,335 0.5 0.5 2.5 7 0.5 12.5 7.5 <0.5 1.5 1.5 17.5 1.5 0.5 8.5 <0.5 0.5 31 5.5 1 13.5
Ipsos 19–24 Apr 2024 10,651 0.5 1 2.5 7 0.5 14 6.5 0.5 1 1 17 1 <0.5 6.5 1 1 32 5.5 1.5 15
Ifop 19–23 Apr 2024 1,335 0.5 0.5 2.5 7 0.5 12 7.5 0.5 2 1.5 17 1 0.5 8 0.5 0.5 31.5 5.5 1 14.5
Harris Interactive 19–22 Apr 2024 2,319 0.5 0.5 3 8 <0.5 13 6 0.5 0.5 0.5 1 16 2 0.5 7 1 1 31 6 1.5 15
Ifop 18–22 Apr 2024 1,339 0.5 0.5 2 7 0.5 12 7.5 0.5 2 2 17 1 1 8 <0.5 1 31.5 5.5 0.5 14.5
Ifop 16–19 Apr 2024 1,371 0.5 0.5 2 8 0.5 11.5 7.5 0.5 1.5 2 17.5 1 0.5 8 <0.5 1 31.5 5.5 0.5 14
OpinionWay 17–18 Apr 2024 1,021 <1 3 7 <1 13 7 <1 2 1 19 1 <1 7 1 1 29 7 2 10
Ifop 15–18 Apr 2024 1,376 1 0.5 2.5 8 <0.5 11.5 7.5 0.5 1.5 1.5 17.5 0.5 0.5 8 <0.5 1 32 5.5 0.5 14.5
OpinionWay 16–17 Apr 2024 1,002 1 4 8 <1 12 6 <1 1 1 19 2 <1 7 1 1 29 6 2 10
Ifop 13–17 Apr 2024 1,364 0.5 0.5 2.5 7.5 0.5 11.5 7.5 <0.5 2 1.5 17.5 0.5 0.5 8 <0.5 1 32.5 5.5 0.5 15
Ifop 12–16 Apr 2024 1,349 0.5 <0.5 3 7 <0.5 12 7.5 <0.5 1.5 1.5 18 1 0.5 8 <0.5 0.5 32.5 6 0.5 14.5
Harris Interactive 12–15 Apr 2024 2,005 0.5 0.5 3 8 <0.5 14 6 0.5 0.5 0.5 1 16 2 0.5 7 0.5 1 30 6 2.5 14
Ifop 11–15 Apr 2024 1,326 0.5 <0.5 3 7.5 <0.5 12 7 <0.5 1 1.5 18 1 0.5 8 <0.5 1 32.5 6 0.5 14.5
Ifop 9–12 Apr 2024 1,347 0.5 0.5 3 8 <0.5 12.5 6.5 0.5 1 1 18 1 <0.5 8.5 0.5 0.5 31.5 6 0.5 13.5
Ipsos 10–11 Apr 2024 1,500 1 0.5 3 7 0.5 13 7 0.5 1 1.5 16 0.5 0.2 6.5 1 1 32 6.5 1.5 16
Cluster17 9–11 Apr 2024 1,164 0.5 0.5 2.5 8.5 1 12 6 1 0.5 1 1.5 17 1 0.5 6 1.5 1.5 29 6 2 12
Ifop 8–11 Apr 2024 1,355 0.5 0.5 3 8 0.5 12.5 6 0.5 1 1.5 18 0.5 <0.5 8.5 0.5 0.5 31 6.5 0.5 13
Ifop 6–10 Apr 2024 1,343 0.5 0.5 2.5 8 0.5 12 5.5 0.5 1.5 1 18.5 1 <0.5 8.5 0.5 0.5 31.5 6.5 0.5 13
Ifop 5–9 Apr 2024 1,335 1 0.5 3 7.5 <0.5 12 5.5 0.5 1.5 1 18.5 0.5 <0.5 8 0.5 1 32 6.5 0.5 13.5
YouGov 3–9 Apr 2024 1,028 2 2 5 12 6 1[ax] 1 1 19 <1 7 2[aw] 29 9 2 10
Harris Interactive 5–8 Apr 2024 2,018 1 3 9 12 6 0.5 1 1 1 17 1 0.5 7 0.5 0.5 30 6 3.5 13
Ifop 4–8 Apr 2024 1,343 1 0.5 3 7.5 0.5 11 6.5 <0.5 1 2 19 <0.5 <0.5 7.5 0.5 1 32 6 1 13
OpinionWay 3–5 Apr 2024 1,509 1 2 7 12 7 <1[ax] 1 2 19 2 <1 8 1 29 7 2 10
Elabe 2–4 Apr 2024 1,504 1.5 2.5 7.5 12 8.5 0.5 2 1 16.5 1 <0.5 7 0.5 0.5 30 5.5 3.5 13.5
Harris Interactive 28–29 Mar 2024 2,220 1 3 8 13 6 0.5 0.5 0.5 1 17 1 0.5 7 0.5 1 31 6 2.5 14
BVA 27–28 Mar 2024 1,518 1 0.5 2.5 7 11 6 <0.5 0.5 <0.5 1 20 1 <0.5 8 3[aw] 1 1 30 5.5 1 10
Harris Interactive 22–25 Mar 2024 2,027 1 3 7 12 7 0.5 0.5 0.5 1 18 1 0.5 7 2 0.5 0.5 30 6 2 12
Ifop 19–20 Mar 2024 1,112 0.5 3 6 11 7 0.5 1.5 1.5 21 1 0.5 7 2 0.5 0.5 30 6 0.5 9
Harris Interactive 15–18 Mar 2024 2,124 1 2 8 13 7 0.5 0.5 1 0.5 1 18 1 0.5 7 2 0.5 0.5 30 6 1 12
OpinionWay 13–14 Mar 2024 1,008 1 2 6 11 8 1[ax] 1 1 20 1 <1 8 3 1 27 6 3 7
Cluster17 8–9 Mar 2024 1,016 0.5 3 8 10 8 0.5 1.5 1 17 2 0.5 7 3 1 29 6 2 12
Elabe 5–7 Mar 2024 1,504 2 3 7.5 8.5 9.5 <0.5 1.5 1.5 17 1 7 3 0.5 29.5 4.5 3 12.5
YouGov 26 Feb7 Mar 2024 1,008 1 2 6 10 7 <1[ax] 1 2 20 1 6 3 33 5 3 13
Ipsos 1–6 Mar 2024 11,700 1 3.5 7 11.5 8.5 0.5 1.5 18 0.5 7 2.5 0.5 0.5 31 5 1.5 13
Ipsos 23 Feb5 Mar 2024 2,000 3.0 7 12.2 8.1 18.1 7.6 2.5 30.7 5.5 5.4 12.6
Ifop 29 Feb1 Mar 2024 1,348 1 3.5 8 9 8 1[ax] 1 2 19 <0.5 1.5 <0.5 8 1.5 0.5 <0.5 29 6 1 10
BVA 27–28 Feb 2024 1,344 2 3 7 11 7 <0.5 1.5 <0.5 1.5 18[ay] 0.5 0.5 <0.5 8 2 0.5 0.5 30 6 1 12
Odoxa 21–22 Feb 2024 1,005 1.5 1.5 6 11 8.5 <0.5 19[az] 1 8.5 4 30 7 2 11
Stack Data Strategy 17–22 Feb 2024 799 0.5 3.1 9.9 9.9 5.6 2.8[ax] 2.6 1.4 14.5[ba] 1.3 4.7 3.1 31.5 6.5 3.2 16.0
OpinionWay 14–15 Feb 2024 1,009 <1 3 7 10 8 2[ax] 1 <1 19 1 <1 8 2 1 27 8 3 8
Elabe 7–9 Feb 2024 1,426 1.5 2.5 9 9 9.5 <0.5 2 2 16.5 1 8 3 0.5 27.5 5 3 11
Ifop 7–8 Feb 2024 1,356 1.5 3.5 7 9.5 8 1.5[ax] 1.5 1.5 19[az] 0.5 0.5 <0.5 7 1 0.5 0.5 29 6.5 1.5 10
1 3 7.5 10.5 8.5 1[ax] 1 1 19[ba] 1 1 <0.5 7.5 1.5 1 <0.5 28.5 6 1.5 9.5
1 3.5 8 10.5 8 1.5[ax] 1.5 1.5 18[ay] 0.5 0.5 <0.5 7.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 28 6 1.5 10
YouGov 29 Jan7 Feb 2024 1,001 1 2 8 8 8 1[ax] 1 1 19[bb] 1 6 2 32 8 3 13
Portland 24–31 Jan 2024 469 2 3 6 9 9 1 14 1 8 3 33 6 5 19
OpinionWay 17–18 Jan 2024 1,019 1 4 8 10 6 2[ax] 1 1 20 <1 <1 8 2 27 7 3 7
Ifop 16–17 Jan 2024 1,348 0.5 4 7.5 9.5 7 1.5[ax] 1.5 1 19[bb] <0.5 0.5 <0.5 6.5 2 <0.5 0.5 31 7 1 12
Harris Interactive 12–15 Jan 2024 1,217 1 3 7 11 8 1 2 1 19[bb] 1 8 2.5 28 6 1.5 9
Ifop 12–15 Jan 2024 875 1 4 6.5 9 9 1 20[bb] 1 7.5 3 30 6 2 10
YouGov 8–15 Jan 2024 1,004 2 2 2 7 8 9 20[bc] 6 4 30 7 3 10
Cluster17 13–14 Jan 2024 1,209 1 3 7.5 11 8 0.5 1.5 1 18[bb] 1 7 3 28.5 7 2 10.5
Elabe 10–12 Jan 2024 1,400 1.5 3 7.5 9.5 8.5 0.5 1.5 1 18[bc] 1 8.5 2.5 0.5 28.5 5 3 10.5
Ifop 3–5 Jan 2024 1,090 0.5 3 6 10 9 3[ax] 2.5 1.5 17[bc] 0.5 0.5 0.5 8 2 0.5 0.5 28 6.5 0.5 11
Odoxa 13–14 Dec 2023 1,004 2.5 3 6.5 9 6 0.5 21[bc] 0.5 9 2 31 6 3 10
OpinionWay 13–14 Dec 2023 1 3 6 10 8 2[ax] <1 1 19 <1 <1 9 3 27 8 3 8
Ipsos 29 Nov12 Dec 2023 11,691 1.5 3 7.5 10.5 9.5 0.5 20[bc] 0.5 8 2.5 28 6.5 2 8
Ifop 8–11 Dec 2023 1,062 1.5 4.5 7 10 8 1.5 18[bc] 1 7.5 2.5 30 7.5 1 12
OpinionWay 15–16 Nov 2023 2 3 7 9 8 3[ax] <1 1 19 <1 8 2 28 7 3 9
Ipsos 9–10 Nov 2023 1,412 2 2 8.5 10 10 22[bd] 6 2 29 6 2.5 7
2 2 8.5 10.5 10.5 20[bc] 6.5 2 29 6 3 9
Ifop 12–13 Oct 2023 1,515 1 5 9 9 8 2 20[bc] 8 2 28 6 2 8
1 5 9 9 9 1.5 20[be] 8.5 2.5 28 5 1 8
Ifop 30–31 Aug 2023 1,126 1 5 10 9 8 2 21[bc] 8 3 25 6.5 1.5 4
2 6 12[bf] 10 2 23[bc] 9 3 25 7 2 2
1 5 9[bg] 10 8 1.5 21[bc] 9 3 25 6.5 1 4
Cluster17 16–19 Aug 2023 983 1.5 3 22.5 2.5 5 2.5 20.5[bc] 7 3 23 7 2.5 0.5
1.5 20.5 7.5 2.5 3 2.5 20[bc] 7 3 23.5 7 2 3
1.5 25[bh] 2.5 4 2.5 20[bc] 7.5 4 24 7 2 1
1 25[bi] 3 4 3 20[bc] 7.5 3.5 24 7 1.5 1
2 23[bj] 3 4.5 3 21[bc] 7.5 3 24 7 2 1
2 25[bk] 2.5 4.5 2.5 20[bc] 7 4 24 7 1.5 1
Ifop 4–5 Jul 2023 1,008 1 4 8 9 9 20[bc] 11 4 26 7 1 6
Ipsos 16–26 Jun 2023 10,631 1.5 4 8.5 10 10 21[bc] 9 2.5 24 6.5 3 3
2 24 24[bc] 10 3 25 7 5 1
1.5 5 9.5 15 23[bc] 9 2.5 25 6.5 3 2
Elabe 19–21 Jun 2023 1,397 1.5 2 8.5 9.5 11 22.5 8.5 2.5 26 5.5 2.5 3.5
1.5 24.5 26 9 2.5 27 5.5 4 1
Cluster17 17–19 May 2023 1,760 2 4 11 9 11 19.5[bc] 7.5 3 24 6.5 3.5 4.5
2 27 23[bc] 8.5 4 25.5 7 3 1.5
Ifop 10–11 May 2023 1,310 1 5 10 10 10 19[bc] 8 3 25 6 3 6
2 26[bl] 22[bc] 11 3 26 6 4 Tie
Harris Interactive 5–9 May 2023 1,262 2 23[bm] 3 26 13 2 21 5 5 3
1 19[bm] 5 6 3 24 12 2 20 5 3 4
1 3 9 10 11 1 23 12 2 20 5 3 3
2019 European election 26 May 2019 0.8 [bn] 2.5 6.3 6.2 13.5 1.8[bo] [bp] 0.1 [bq] 0.1 2.2 24.9[br] 8.5 3.5 1.2 0.6 23.3 7.0 0.9

Germany

edit
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Union
EPP
Grüne
G/EFA
SPD
S&D
AfD
NI
Linke
Left
FDP
Renew
PARTEI
NI
FW
Renew
Tiersch.
Left
ÖDP
G/EFA
FAM
EPP
Volt
G/EFA
PIRAT
G/EFA
BSW
NILeft
Others Lead
Wahlkreisprognose 6–7 Jun 2024 1,000 30 13.5 12.5 15.5 2.5 4.5 2.5 7.5 11.5 14.5
Wahlkreisprognose 4–6 Jun 2024 1,300 31 14.5 14.5 14 2.5 4 2 6.5 11 16.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 5–6 Jun 2024 1,223 30 14 14 14 3 4 3 7 13 16
Ipsos 29 May–5 Jun 2024 2,000 30 15 15 14 3 5 3 7 8 15
Wahlkreisprognose 27 May1 Jun 2024 2,000 30.5 15 13.5 15 3 4 1.5 2.5 1.5 6 7.5 15.5
INSA 30–31 May 2024 1,001 29 13 14 16 3 4 3 7 11 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 27–29 May 2024 1,197 30 15 14 14 4 4 6 13 15
Infratest dimap 27–29 May 2024 1,515 29 14 15 14 3 4 3 6 12 14
INSA 23–24 May 2024 1,002 30 13 14 17 3 4 3 7 9 13
Wahlkreisprognose 13–21 May 2024 2,600 31 15 12.5 16 3 3.5 1.5 2.5 2 6.5 6.5 15
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 14–16 May 2024 1,247 31 15 14 15 3 4 5 13 16
INSA 10–13 May 2024 2,100 29 13 15.5 17 4 4 3 2 7 5.5 12
YouGov 3–8 May 2024 1,247 29 15 16 20 4 4 6 6 9
Infratest dimap 29–30 Apr 2024 1,323 30 15 14 15 4 7 15 15
INSA 25–26 Apr 2024 1,202 29 13 16 17 4 4 3 7 7 12
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 23–25 Apr 2024 1,228 30 17 15 15 3 3 4 13 13
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen 9–11 Apr 2024 1,254 30 15 16 16 3 3 5 12 14
INSA 5–8 Apr 2024 2,100 28.5 11.5 16.5 19 4 5 3 2 6 4 9.5
Ipsos 23 Feb–02 Mar 2024 2,613 29 16 17 16 4 4 7 4 12
Forsa 12–13 Mar 2024 1,008 34 14 16 15 2 3 3 4 9 18
INSA 8–11 Mar 2024 2,100 28.5 11 16 20 4.5 6 1 2.5 2 0.5 0.5 0.5 5.5 1.5 8.5
Ipsos 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 2,613 29 16 17 16 4 4 3 7 4[bs] 12
Wahlkreisprognose 24–29 Feb 2024 1,900 31.5 16 12 16 2 3 1.5 3.5 2.5 7.5 4.5 15.5
Stack Data Strategy 17–22 Feb 2024 980 25.5 9.8 16.5 15.1 2.7 6.0 3.2 4.1 3.1 1.3 1.2 9.3 3.4 9.0
INSA 8–12 Feb 2024 2,101 27 10.5 16 22 4.5 3 1 3.5 3 1 1 1 5.5 1.5 5
Portland 24–31 Jan 2024 555 29 13 16 17 3 5 1 3 3 0 0 1 1 6 2 12
Wahlkreisprognose 11–18 Jan 2024 1,440 28 13 9 23 3 4.5 1.5 5 1.5 7 4.5 5
Wahlkreisprognose 1–7 Dec 2023 1,440 31 12 10 25 3 3 1.5 2.5 2 7 3 6
INSA 31 Jul 2023 1,001 26 15 19 23 5 7 6 3
Wahlkreisprognose 7–14 Jul 2023 1,040 23 13.5 15 22 2.5 3.5 2 3 1.5 8.5 5.5 1
Wahlkreisprognose 15–16 Dec 2022 1,100 22 21 21 18.5 3.5 3.5 2 3.5 2.5 2.5 1
Wahlkreisprognose 24–26 Feb 2022 1,722 22 19.5 22.5 12.5 3 7.5 2.5 3 2 5.5 0.5
2021 federal election 26 Sep 2021 24.2 14.7 25.7 10.4 4.9 11.4 1.0 2.4 1.5 0.2 0.4 0.4 2.9 1.6
2019 European election 26 May 2019 28.9 20.5 15.8 11.0 5.5 5.4 2.4 2.2 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 3.8 8.4

Greece

edit
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size ND
EPP
SYRIZA
Left
PASOK
S&D
KKE
NI
XA[bt]
NI
EL
ECR
MeRA25
Left
PE
NI
R
NI
Antarsya
NI
SP
NI
NIKI
NI
FL
PfE
NA
Left
DIMO
Renew
KOS
G/EFA
PAT
NI
Other Lead
Alco/Alpha[137] 13–15 May 2024 1,000 32.5 16.0 13.0 9.0 10.0 2.2 3.3 3.5 2.4 2.9 2.5 3.0 16.5
Pulse RC/Skai[138] 13–15 May 2024 1,104 33.0 16.0 12.5 8.0 9.0 3.0 3.5 3.5 2.4 3.0 2.1 1.2 2.8 17.0
MARC/ANT1[139] 10–15 May 2024 1,209 33.8 15.2 12.2 8.0 8.3 3.0 4.5 3.2 2.8 3.0 2.5 3.3 18.6
MRB/Open[140] 10–14 May 2024 1,100 32.3 16.0 14.0 8.0 9.9 2.2 3.4 2.9 2.8 3.8 2.4 2.2 16.3
Interview/Politic[141] 8–13 May 2024 2,405 33.3 17.2 12.2 6.7 7.8 2.7 3.4 5.0 11.8 16.1
Good Affairs/To Vima[142] 31.8 16.1 11.8 8.3 10.3 2.3 3.1 4.2 2.1 2.8 2.6 1.1 15.7
Marc/Proto Thema[143] 18–25 Apr 2024 1,049 33.4 14.7 11.4 8.5 9.8 2.4 5.4 2.4 3.4 2.2 2.5 1.7 2.2 18.7
GPO/Parapolitika[144] 17–22 Apr 2024 1,400 33.6 16.3 13.5 8.8 9.1 2.1 3.1 2.4 3.4 2.7 2.2 2.8 17.3
Metron Analysis/Mega[145] 10–16 Apr 2024 1,304 32.3 15.4 12.0 9.8 8.3 1.6 4.2 2.5 3.6 1.4 3.1 2.0 1.0 2.8 16.9
Prorata/Attica[146] 5–10 Apr 2024 1,000 29.5 15.0 12.7 9.2 9.8 2.3 4.6 1.7 3.5 1.7 4.0 1.7 1.2 3.0 14.5
Opinion Poll/Action 24[147] 8–10 Apr 2024 1,006 32.1 15.0 12.4 8.5 10.7 1.3 3.7 2.6 3.7 1.4 3.2 3.0 2.3 17.1
Interview/Politic[148][149] 4–8 Apr 2024 2,355 27.7 16.1 12.7 6.9 11.8 2.4 2.8 1.7 1.2 4.3 2.3 4.7 2.2 3.2 11.6
Alco/Alpha[150] 2–5 Apr 2024 1,000 29.9 14.3 13.3 9.4 9.6 2.3 4.1 2.7 4.2 1.4 3.0 2.2 3.5 15.6
Palmos Analysis/Eleftheros Typos[151] 1–4 Apr 2024 1,008 31.8 14.1 13.0 9.4 10.3 4.2 3.3 3.5 4.0 6.6 17.7
GPO/Parapolitika[152] 1–3 Apr 2024 1,000 33.4 15.9 14.2 9.0 9.5 1.8 3.0 2.2 3.3 2.2 2.2 3.3 17.5
MRB/Open[153] 1–3 Apr 2024 1,000 31.5 15.9 13.4 8.1 9.9 1.9 4.3 2.1 3.6 1.8 3.8 1.6 2.3 15.6
Pulse RC/Skai[154] 1–3 Apr 2024 1,105 33.0 15.0 12.5 8.5 9.0 2.5 3.5 3.0 3.5 1.8 3.0 1.8 2.9 18.0
Opinion Poll/Action24[155] 15–20 Mar 2024 1,010 34.4 13.4 12.5 9.4 10.1 1.9 2.9 2.5 4.3 2.9 2.8 2.8 21.0
Metron Analysis/Mega[156] 12–19 Mar 2024 1,317 31.4 15.1 13.0 10.1 9.7 1.9 4.3 0.6 2.0 3.2 2.4 3.0 1.0 0.6 1.7 16.3
Good Affairs/To Vima[157] 12–14 Mar 2024 3,229 30.8 13.1 12.9 8.2 9.8 2.2 2.1 2.2 3.6 2.5 2.9 1.5 17.7
Marc/Proto Thema[158] 11–14 Mar 2024 1,086 36.2 13.4 12.6 9.4 9.2 2.4 3.1 2.6 2.8 2.6 2.1 3.7 22.8
GPO/Star[159] 11–13 Mar 2024 1,200 34.8 14.3 13.9 9.5 8.0 2.3 2.9 1.8 3.4 3.0 2.6 3.5 20.5
Interview/Politic[160] 7–11 Mar 2024 2,250 29.1 14.4 12.4 7.1 12.0 2.5 1.8 4.6 4.9 11.3 14.7
Alco/Alpha[161] 1–6 Mar 2024 1,000 32.8 12.7 14.1 10.8 7.9 2.8 3.6 2.9 4.5 3.4 4.0 18.7
Ipsos/Euronews[162] 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 1,000 35.0 13.6 13.4 9.0 8.7 <3.0 3.2 2.9 4.0 3.3 3.9 21.4
Pulse RC/Skai[163] 27 Feb–1 Mar 2024 1,106 35.5 14.0 14.0 9.0 8.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 3.5 21.5
GPO/Parapolitika[164] 26–29 Feb 2024 1,000 36.4 13.5 14.4 10.7 8.2 2.4 2.7 2.2 3.4 2.9 3.2 22.0
Opinion Poll/Action24[165] 21–27 Feb 2024 1,504 33.9 11.9 13.9 10.1 10.2 2.6 3.5 2.7 4.2 3.3 3.7 20.0
Opinion Poll/Action24[166] 13–16 Feb 2024 1,004 34.3 12.5 14.6 9.4 9.5 2.4 3.7 2.7 3.8 3.3 3.8 19.7
Interview/Politic[167] 6–12 Feb 2024 2,155 33.3 14.2 12.8 8.3 9.1 2.6 2.1 5.1 5.1 9.7 19.1
Alco/Alpha[168] 1–7 Feb 2024 1,201 34.5 12.6 15.0 11.2 7.5 2.2 3.1 2.8 3.9 2.6 4.3 19.5
GPO/Star[169] 20–25 Jan 2024 1,100 38.8 14.0 14.2 9.6 7.2 2.7 2.6 2.2 3.3 3.0 2.4 24.6
MRB/Open[170] 22–24 Jan 2024 1,000 36.1 12.1 12.1 9.3 9.5 2.8 4.0 2.8 3.7 2.7 4.8 24.0
Marc/Ant1[171] 17–23 Jan 2024 1,092 37.1 12.6 16.8 9.4 7.0 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.1 2.4 2.6 20.3
Interview/Politic[172] 10–15 Jan 2024 2,388 31.5 14.1 14.2 10.8 8.0 2.3 2.6 5.2 4.1 7.2 17.3
Prorata/Attica[173] 5–9 Jan 2024 1,000 36.6 12.8 15.9 11.0 6.1 1.8 3.0 3.7 3.7 3.7 1.8 20.7
Alco/Alpha[174] 2–5 Jan 2024 1,002 35.3 13.8 14.3 11.3 6.9 2.4 3.3 3.2 3.3 2.7 3.6 21.0
Interview/Politic[175] 4–8 Dec 2023 2,356 34.0 16.1 14.4 7.9 7.6 3.0 2.3 3.8 2.9 7.9 17.9
GPO/Parapolitika[176] 5–7 Dec 2023 1,000 41.7 12.1 13.5 10.3 6.6 1.9 2.1 3.4 2.4 3.7 2.3 28.3
2019 election 26 May 2019 33.1 23.8 7.7 5.4 4.9 4.2 3.0[bu] 1.6 0.7 0.4 1.5[bv] 13.7 9.3

Hungary

edit
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size Fidesz-KDNP
PfE
Momentum
Renew
DK
S&D
MSZP
S&D
P
G/EFA
LMP
G/EFA
Jobbik
NI
MMN
EPP
Our Homeland
ESN
MKKP
G/EFA
MEMO
EPP
NP
NI
2RK
NI
TISZA
EPP
Other Lead
Publicus 3–5 June 2024 1,001 43 4 15 1 2 5 4 25 1 18
Medián 27-29 May 2024 1,000 48 5 9 0 1 1 6 2 1 29 19
IDEA 20–29 May 2024 1,500 44 4 12 0 0 1 5 4 2 26 2 18
Társadalomkutató May 2024 4,000 51 1 8 2 1 1 4 5 1 25 26
Real-PR 93 27-29 May 2024 1,000 45 1 10 1 1 5 7 1 2 28 17
Alapjogokért Központ 22-24 May 2024 1,000 47 2 8 1 1 1 6 6 1 1 26 21
Századvég 20-28 May 2024 1,000 45 3 10 1 1 1 6 9 1 23 22
Nézőpont 20-22 May 2024 1,000 47 1 9 1 1 1 7 7 1 1 24 23
Závecz Research 2–10 May 2024 1,000 39 4 17 1 1 2 6 3 1 26 0 13
IDEA 25 Apr–4 May 2024 1,500 40 4 17 0 1 1 4 5 2 3 21 2 19
Nézőpont 29 Apr – 2 May 2024 1,000 48 1 12 1 1 1 5 7 0 3 21 27
Publicus 26–30 Apr 2024 1,000 42 3 24 1 1 4 2 23 18
Medián 26–29 Apr 2024 1,000 45 4 9 1 1 2 4 6 1 2 25 20
Iránytű 17–19 Apr 2024 1,073 50 3 10 1 3 4 2 26 1 24
9–12 Apr 2024 53 3 9 2 6 4 1 20 2 33
Závecz Research 4–11 Apr 2024 1,000 33 7 26 3 1 8 5 14 3 7
Nézőpont 2–4 Apr 2024 1,000 47 4 13 1 1 1 6 11 2 2 13 2 34
Ipsos 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 1,025 47.6
13
7.2
1
16.5
4
2.6
0
2.8
0
3.0
0
9.6
2
4.2
0
2.0
0
4.7 31.1
Nézőpont 26–28 Feb 2024 1,000 47
13
7
1
14
3
2
0
2
0
2
0
2
0
4
0
8
2
8
2
1
0
4
0
33
21 Kutatóközpont 22–26 Feb 2024 1,200 44 9 18 2 1 2 3 3 7 8 1 2 26[bw]
44 9 17 1 1 3 2 5 5 6 3 3 27[bx]
Republikon Jun 2023 46 7 19 4 6 6 9 4 27
Nézőpont 15–17 May 2023 1,000 51 9 16 2 1 3 5 6 3 4 35
Závecz Research 28 Apr–5 May 2023 1,000 46 8 19 6 2 4 6 7 3 27
Nézőpont 2–4 Jan 2023 1,000 56 6 14 2 1 3 2 6 4 6 42
2022 parliamentary election 3 Apr 2022 54.1 34.4 5.9 3.3 1.0 1.3 19.7
2019 election 26 May 2019 52.6 9.9 16.1 6.6 2.2 6.3 3.3 2.6 0.4 36.5

Italy

edit

  Exit poll

Fieldwork date Polling firm Sample size Lega
ID
PD
S&D
M5S
NI
FI
EPP
NM
EPP
FdI
ECR
AVS
LeftG/EFA
PTD[by]
Left
SUE A
Renew
DSP
NI
Italexit
NI
Libertà
NI
Others Lead
+E
Renew
IV
Renew
8–9 Jun 2024 Consorzio Opinio 8–10 21–25 10–14 8.5–10.5 26–30 5–7 1–3 3.5–5.5 2.5–4.5 0–2 0–3 9–1
20–24 May 2024 SWG 2,000 8.6 22.0 14.7 8.6 27.3 4.6 2.5 4.2 4.0 2.0 5.3
25–25 May 2024 Noto 1,000 9.0 20.5 15.0 9.0 28.0 4.0 2.2 4.0 4.0 3.0 7.5
22–23 May 2024 Demopolis 2,000 8.8 22.0 14.5 8.7 27.0 4.3 2.2 4.2 3.7 2.8 5.0
21–22 May 2024 Eumetra 800 8.7 21.1 16.2 8.9 27.1 4.2 2.2 4.5 3.8 2.0 6.0
22–23 May 2024 Termometro 3,900 9.0 19.6 15.7 8.5 26.8 4.0 2.5 4.5 3.9 1.8 1.0 7.2
19–23 May 2024 Quorum 1,604 9.0 20.3 15.9 8.5 27.2 4.9 1.9 4.1 3.9 0.9 0.5 6.9
19–23 May 2024 EMG 2,000 9.3 20.9 15.7 7.9 26.9 4.2 4.5 3.7 6.0
20–21 May 2024 Ipsos 1,000 8.6 22.5 15.4 9.2 26.5 4.6 1.9 4.1 3.6 2.0 0.7 4.0
19–21 May 2024 Cluster 17 1,051 8.7 20.8 15.5 8.2 26.9 4.3 2.2 4.6 3.7 1.0 2.2 1.9 7.1
20–21 May 2024 Bidimedia 1,190 9.1 21.2 15.2 8.3 27.1 4.4 2.0 4.6 4.0 2.5 1.6 6.0
17–22 Apr 2024 SWG 1,200 8.5 20.0 15.9 8.4 26.8 4.3 2.1 4.7 4.1 1.4 2.2 1.6 6.8
17–19 Apr 2024 Quorum 801 7.2 20.5 16.5 7.6 27.8 4.4 1.9 5.0 3.3 1.6 4.2 7.3
17–18 Apr 2024 Demos 1,005 8.5 20.2 16.4 8.0 28.0 4.2 4.1 4.0 6.6 7.8
16–18 Apr 2024 Termometro Politico 4,100 8.5 19.7 16.1 8.3 27.5 3.2 2.5 5.2 3.8 1.9 1.6 1.7 7.8
16–17 Apr 2024 Eumetra 8.5 19.7 16.4 8.3 27.4 3.8 1.9 5.1 3.8 1.3 1.9 2.0 7.7
10–15 Apr 2024 SWG 1,200 8.6 19.4 16.0 8.4 27.2 4.1 1.8 5.2 4.2 1.4 1.9 1.8 7.8
13 Apr 2024 Tecnè 7.9 19.8 16.2 10.1 27.3 3.7 1.6 5.5 3.6 2.0 2.3 7.5
8–12 Apr 2024 Ixè 1,000 8.0 19.9 16.4 8.4 26.6 4.2 1.1 4.0 3.7 1.3 6.4 6.7
9–11 Apr 2024 Termometro Politico 3,700 8.8 19.5 15.6 8.0 27.8 3.3 2.4 5.1 3.9 1.8 1.8 2.4 8.3
8–9 Apr 2024 Demopolis 2,000 8.0 20.0 15.8 8.7 27.0 3.8 2.2 4.6 3.5 2.1 2.0 7.0
3–8 Apr 2024 SWG 1,200 8.8 19.8 15.6 7.8 26.9 3.9 1.6 5.3 4.0 1.4 1.5 3.4 7.1
8 Apr 2024 Euromedia 800 8.7 19.7 17.6 8.5 26.9 3.7 1.8 4.4 3.8 3.7 1.2 7.2
5 Apr 2024 EMG 7.8 20.2 16.7 9.0 1.0 27.2 3.3 1.2 6.2 3.2 4.2 7.0
4–5 Apr 2024 Quorum 801 7.5 19.8 16.0 7.8 27.7 3.9 2.2 4.6 3.1 1.6 4.7 7.9
2–4 Apr 2024 EMG 1,000 7.8 20.2 16.7 9.0 27.2 3.3 1.2 6.2 3.2 5.2 7.0
28–30 Mar 2024 BiDiMedia 2,000 8.3 20.2 16.6 7.1 27.1 4.4 1.5 5.1 4.4 1.3 1.1 2.7 6.9
27 Mar 2024 Euromedia 800 8.8 19.3 17.5 8.0 0.7 27.5 3.5 2.0 4.7 4.0 1.7 2.3 8.2[bz]
8.7 19.5 17.5 8.3 0.6 27.9 3.0 2.0 4.8 4.1 1.7 1.9 8.5[ca]
19–25 Mar 2024 Ipsos 1,000 8.0 20.5 16.1 8.7 0.7 27.5 3.3 1.5 2.8 3.3 2.5 1.2 1.5 2.4 7.0
20 Mar 2024 Ipsos 8.2 19.0 17.4 8.2 27.0 4.1 2.6 3.4 3.0 7.1 8.0
19 Mar 2024 Noto 8.0 19.0 17.0 8.0 2.0 28.0 3.5 2.5 3.0 3.5 5.5 9.0[bz]
7.0 20.0 16.0 8.0 2.0 30.0 3.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 5.0 10.0[ca]
11 Mar 2024 Euromedia 800 8.7 19.7 17.2 7.7 0.7 28.0 3.9 2.7 3.5 4.0 4.0 8.3[bz]
8.6 20.2 16.9 8.2 0.4 28.7 3.4 1.5 3.8 4.0 3.3 8.5[ca]
7 Mar 2024 Noto 8.0 19.5 16.5 7.5 2.0 27.0 4.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 5.5 7.5[bz]
7.5 20.5 16.5 8.0 1.5 29.0 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 4.0 8.5[ca]
23 Feb5 Mar 2024 Ipsos 1,503 8.2 19.0 17.4 8.2 27.0 4.1 2.6 3.4 3.0 7.1 8.0
28 Feb1 Mar 2024 Quorum 803 8.1 19.9 15.9 6.6 0.7 27.1 4.6 3.4 3.5 3.7 1.6 4.9 7.2
28 Feb 2024 Euromedia 800 8.6 19.6 17.0 7.9 1.4 27.6 4.0 2.6 3.1 4.3 3.9 8.0[bz]
8.7 20.0 17.2 8.5 1.2 28.1 3.9 2.5 3.5 4.0 2.4 8.1[ca]
26–28 Feb 2024 Bidimedia 1,000 8.5 20.0 15.5 7.5 0.8 28.1 3.9 1.5 2.4 3.0 4.3 1.2 1.3 2.0 8.1
25–28 Feb 2024 Cluster17 1,022 9.1 19.7 16.0 7.6 0.4 27.3 4.6 0.7 2.1 3.0 4.0 1.6 1.9 2.1 7.6
20–22 Feb 2024 Ipsos 1,000 8.3 18.3 17.0 7.9 1.1 28.2 3.5 1.8 2.2 3.6 3.3 1.0 2.0 1.8 9.9
17–22 Feb 2024 Stack Data Strategy 944 8.7 19.9 15.5 6.6 0.9 27.1 3.7 1.4 4.2 4.9 3.3 1.7 2.1 7.3
21 Feb 2024 Noto 8.0 19.5 18.0 7.0 2.0 27.5 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.5 4.5 8.0
30 Jan1 Feb 2024 Termometro Politico 3,800 9.4 19.6 16.2 6.8 29.1 3.0 1.5 2.4 2.6 3.8 1.7 1.4 2.5 9.5
30–31 Jan 2024 Demopolis 9.0 20.0 15.8 7.2 28.0 3.6 2.0 2.7 3.8 8.1 8.0
24–31 Jan 2024 Portland 502 7.0 21.0 16.0 10.0 28.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 2.0[cb] 7.0
24–27 Jan 2024 BiDiMedia 1,000 9.0 19.3 16.1 6.6 1.0 28.6 3.8 1.3 2.5 3.1 4.2 1.3 1.2 2.0 9.3
25–26 Jan 2024 Quorum 803 9.3 19.2 13.6 6.5 1.6 28.4 4.3 2.6 2.9 3.7 1.5 6.4 9.2
22–24 Jan 2024 Winpoll 1,000 9.1 21.5 14.6 7.8 27.8 3.0 1.5 2.4 2.5 3.2 1.3 5.3[cc] 6.3
12–22 Jan 2024 Euromedia 800 8.4 19.5 17.8 7.5 0.3 28.5 3.4 2.5 2.8 4.3 1.4 3.6 9.0[bz]
8.2 19.0 18.1 7.2 0.3 29.3 3.3 2.4 3.3 4.6 1.4 2.9 9.3[ca]
16 Jan 2024 Noto 8.0 19.5 17.0 7.0 2.0 28.0 3.5 2.0 3.0 3.0 7.0 8.5[cd]
6.5 20.0 17.0 6.5 1.5 32.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 4.5 12.0[ca]
15–16 Jan 2024 Tecnè 800 8.4 19.8 15.6 9.2 29.0 2.9 3.9 11.2 9.2[bz]
8.3 19.5 15.6 9.3 29.3 2.9 3.9 11.0 9.8[ca]
4 Jan 2024 IZI 1,068 9.3 19.5 17.0 7.4 27.1 4.2 3.0 3.0 3.5 6.0 7.6
30 Dec4 Jan 2024 Lab2101 1,000 10.2 19.8 16.2 5.8 0.7 29.4 4.0 2.3 2.8 3.9 2.3 2.6 9.6
26 May 2019 2019 European election 34.3 22.7 17.1 8.8 6.4 4.1[ce] 3.1 0.9 4.5 7.6

Ireland

edit

National polls

edit
Last date
of polling
Polling firm / Commissioner Sample
size
SF
Left
FF
Renew
FG
EPP
GP
G/EFA
Lab
S&D
SD PBP–S Aon II O/I[cf]
27 May 2024 Ireland Thinks/The Journal[177] 1,161 17.4 17.7 18 7.2 3.5 5.3 2.8 5[cg] [ch] 23
22 May 2024 Red C/Business Post[178] 1,021 21 14 20 5 3 5 4 3 [ch] 25[ci]
15 May 2024 Ipsos B&A/Irish Times[179] 1,500 16 22 19 4 6 3 3 2 4 21
7 May 2024 Ireland Thinks/The Journal[180] 1,633 22 16 19 6 3 5 2 4 [ch] 24
7 April 2024 Ireland Thinks/The Journal[181] 1,334 23 17 20 6 3 6 3 5 [ch] 17
7 February 2024 Ireland Thinks/The Journal[182] 1,255 26 19 19 6 4 4 3 [ch] [ch] 19
8 February 2020 2020 general election 24.5 22.2 20.9 7.1 4.4 2.9 2.6 1.9 [cj] 13.5
24 May 2019 2019 EP election 11.7 16.6 29.6 11.4 3.1 1.2 2.3 [cj] [cj] 24.1

Dublin

edit
Last date
of polling
Polling firm / Commissioner Sample
size
Andrews (FF) L. Boylan (SF) Doherty (FG) Ó Riordáin (Lab) Cuffe (GP) Smith (S–PBP) Daly (I4C) Gibney (SD) N. Boylan (II) Doolan (SF) Considine (Aon) Others
31 May 2024[183] Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent 496 14.1 11.2 15 7.4 7.4 4.8 8.3 4.6 9.2 3.4 2.1 12.5
15 May 2024[179] Ipsos B&A/The Irish Times 500 18 15 12 10 8 6 6 5 5 3 2 14
7 May 2024[184] Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent 457[185] 17 16 14 7 8 6 5 4 7 3 2 11

Midlands–North-West

edit
Last date
of polling
Polling firm / Commissioner Sample
size
Flanagan (Ind) Walsh (FG) Cowen (FF) Chambers (FF) Carberry (FG) Gildernew (SF) Mullooly (II) MacManus (SF) Blaney (FF) Casey (Ind) Tóibín (Aon) Others
31 May 2024[183] Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent 614 12.1 12.5 10.5 5.3 7 7.2 6.4 5.6 2.6 2.9 7.5 20.5
15 May 2024[179] Ipsos B&A/The Irish Times 500 11 10 10 9 9 8 7 6 4 4 4 17
7 May 2024[184] Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent 631[185] 10 9 10 6 9 8 8 7 2 4 6 21

South

edit
Last date
of polling
Polling firm / Commissioner Sample
size
Kelly (FG) Kelleher (FF) Funchion (SF) Ní Mhurchú (FF) Gavan (SF) Hourigan (Lab) McNamara (Ind) Mullins (FG) Blighe (IF) O'Sullivan (GP) Wallace (I4C) Doyle (SD) Others
31 May 2024[183] Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent 660 18.5 14.4 9.5 4.6 5.7 3.6 9.9 4.2 4.3 6.2 4.7 3.3 10.5
15 May 2024[179] Ipsos B&A/The Irish Times 500 23 18 11 7 6 5 4 4 4 3 3 2 10
7 May 2024[184] Ireland Thinks/Sunday Independent 643[185] 14 16 13 4 5 3 8 6 4 5 5 5 12

Latvia

edit
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
JV
EPP
S
S&D
NA
ECR
LA
Renew
Par!
Renew
ZZS AS JKP PRO
G/EFA
TZV CP TVS S! LPV SV AJ Lead
SKDS/LTV[186] March 2024 1.505 16.6 (1) 10.1 (1) 17.1 (2) 8.9 (1) 1.5 3.4 6.1 (1) 3.5 9.6 (1) 0.2 2.1 0.6 6.4 (1) 8.2 (1) 3.8 1.9 0.5
SKDS/LTV[187] 10-14 February 2024 1,505 17.9 (2) 9.1 (1) 16.5 (1) 9.2 (1) 0.6 4.0 7.4 (1) 3.5 8.9 (1) 0.8 2.1 0.5 7.5 (1) 6.6 (1) 3.2 2.3 1.4
2019 election 25 May 2019 26.4 (2) 17.6 (2) 16.5 (2) 12.5 (1) 5.6 (0) 5.0 4.4 2.9 0.9 6.8 (1)[ck] 0.2 8.7

Lithuania

edit
Pollster Fieldwork dates Sample size TS–LKD
EPP
LVŽS
G/EFA
DP
NI
LSDP
S&D
LP
Renew
LRLS
Renew
LRP PLT DSVL
G/EFA
Others[cl] Lead
Baltijos tyrimai 10-21 April 2024 1,020 14.3
2
11.6
1
8.9
1
27.1
3
4.1
0
6.6
1
5.1
1
2.7
0
13.3
2
6.5[cm]
0
12.8
2020 Lithuanian parliamentary election 1,133,561 25.77
(4)
18.07
(3)
9.77
(1)
9.58
(1)
9.45
(1)
7.04
(1)
3.28
(0)
2.06
(0)
9.22
(0)
7.70
2019 European Parliament election 1,259,954 19.74
3
12.56
2
8.99
1
15.88
2
6.59
1
2.36
0
1.92
0
31.96
2
3.86

Luxembourg

edit

No opinion polls are expected to be done for the European Parliament election in Luxembourg. The results of recent elections are shown in the absence of that.

Polling execution Parties
Polling

firm

Fieldwork

date

Sample

size

DP
Renew
CSV
EPP
Greens
G/EFA
LSAP
S&D
ADR
ECR
Pirate
G/EFA
Lénk
Left
Volt
G/EFA
KPL DK Fokus
Others
2023 general election[188] 19.1
(2)
29.3
(3)
8.3
(0)
18.2
(1)
9.6
(0)
6.7
(0)
3.6
(0)
0.2
(0)
0.5
(0)
1.4
(0)
2.6
(0)
2023 municipal elections[189] 19.8
(1)
26.5
(2)
11.6
(1)
21.9
(2)
20.3
(0)
2019 EP election[190] 21.4
(2)
21.1
(2)
18.9
(1)
12.2
(1)
10.0
(0)
7.7
(0)
4.8
(0)
2.1
(0)
1.1
(0)
0.5
(0)

Malta

edit

It is not uncommon for smaller parties to be grouped together or excluded in polls by Maltese media houses.

Polling firm Sample
size
      ABBA   IND/
Others
Lead Not
voting[cn]
Don't
know/
Invalid[cn]
30 May–04 June 2024 L-Orizzont[co] 1,800 50.9 40.1 3.5 5.5 10.8 31 33 Invalid
22 May–04 June 2024 MaltaToday[cp] 1,007 43.3 48.1 1.9 0.6 - - 6.2 4.8
3–10 May 2024 MaltaToday 657 49.4 41.7 8.9 7.7 30.6
6–10 May 2024 It-Torċa[cq] 1,000 51.5 40.3 5.1 4.1 11.2 31
15–24 April 2024 MaltaToday 656 50.7 44.2 5.1 6.5 29
1–13 April 2024 Esprimi 600 45.4 38.0 3.2 13.4 7.4 41.0
7 March - 21 March 2024 MaltaToday 657 52.8 42.6 4.6 10.2 23.4
27 Feb – 12 Mar 2024 Esprimi/Times of Malta 600 52.4 39.3 8.3 13.1 33
26 Jan–05 Feb 2024 MaltaToday 647 47.9 41.0 11.1 6.9 37.5
26 Mar 2022 2022 Maltese general election 55.1 41.7 n/a 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 13.4 24.4 2.9
25 May 2019 2019 European Parliament election in Malta 54.3 37.9 3.17 2.7[cr] 0.5[cs] n/a 1.2 16.4 27.3 2.6

Netherlands

edit

  Exit poll

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
Total GL–PvdA VVD
Renew
CDA
EPP
FvD
NI
D66
Renew
SGP
ECR
CU
EPP
PvdD
Left
50PLUS
Renew
PVV
ID
SP
Left
Volt
G/EFA
BBB
EPP
NSC
EPP
Lead Ref
PvdA
S&D
GL
G/EFA
Ipsos 6 Jun 2024 31 8 4 3 0 3 1 0 1 0 7 0 1 2 1 1 [191]
Peil.nl 5 Jun 2024 31 8 4 2 1 2 1 0 1 0 8 0 2 1 1 Tie [192]
Ipsos 3–5 Jun 2024 2,030 31 8 5 2 0 2 0 0 1 0 8 1 1 1 2 Tie [193]
Ipsos 24–27 May 2024 2,048 31 8 5 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 9 1 2 1 1 1 [194]
I&O Research 17–21 May 2024 2,141 31 7 4 2 0 2 1 0 1 0 9 1 2 1 1 2 [195]
Peil.nl 17–18 May 2024 31 8 5 2 1 2 0 0 1 0 8 1 1 1 1 Tie [196]
I&O Research 10–14 May 2024 2,102 31 8 4 2 1 2 1 1 0 0 8 1 2 0 1 Tie [195]
Peil.nl 3–4 May 2024 31 8 5 2 1 2 0 0 1 0 8 1 1 1 1 Tie [197]
I&O Research 12–15 Apr 2024 2,182 31 7 5 2 0 3 1 0 1 0 8 1 1 1 1 1 [198]
I&O Research 22–25 Mar 2024 1,586 31 7 5 2 0 2 1 0 1 0 10 0 2 1 0 3 [195]
Ipsos 23 Feb5 Mar 2024 1,890 31 6 5 2 0 2 0 0 1 0 9 1 2 1 2 3 [199]
2019 election 23 May 2019 29 6 3 5 4 4 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 1

  Exit poll

Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
GL–PvdA VVD
Renew
CDA
EPP
FvD
NI
D66
Renew
SGP
ECR
CU
EPP
PvdD
Left
50PLUS
Renew
PVV
ID
SP
Left
Volt
G/EFA
JA21
ECR
BBB
EPP
NSC
EPP
Others Lead Ref
PvdA
S&D
GL
G/EFA
Ipsos 6 Jun 2024 21.6% 11.6% 9.7% 2.5% 8.1% 3.4% 2.7% 4.4% 0.8% 17.7% 2.0% 4.9% 5.3% 3.8% 1.7% 3.9% [200]
Ipsos 3–5 Jun 2024 2,030 19.5% 13.8% 6.1% 2.7% 7.1% 2.4% 2.7% 3.6% 0.6% 21.3% 3.6% 4.4% 4.0% 5.0% 3.3% 1.8% [201]
Ipsos 24–27 May 2024 2,048 20.3% 12.5% 5.3% 3.2% 6.4% 2.3% 3.0% 3.1% 0.6% 22.7% 3.2% 6.3% 3.9% 4.7% 2.5% 2.4% [202]
I&O Research 17–21 May 2024 2,141 19.3% 10.9% 5.7% 2.9% 7.1% 3.8% 3.0% 4.5% 23.0% 3.3% 5.9% 1.4% 4.4% 3.5% 1.4% 3.7% [195]
I&O Research 10–14 May 2024 2,102 21.3% 11.8% 5.8% 3.6% 6.8% 3.8% 3.3% 3.2% 22.5% 3.4% 5.4% 0.8% 3.2% 3.5% 1.8% 1.2% [195]
I&O Research 12–15 Apr 2024 2,182 18.7% 12.6% 5.4% 3.1% 7.8% 3.3% 3.0% 4.6% 22.0% 3.6% 4.7% 1.1% 4.3% 4.2% 1.6% 3.3% [198]
I&O Research 22–25 Mar 2024 1,586 18.6% 14.1% 5.5% 3.0% 7.0% 3.8% 3.1% 4.0% 25.1% 2.9% 5.2% 1.0% 3.9% 3.1% 6.5% [203]
Ipsos 23 Feb5 Mar 2024 1,890 16.0% 12.7% 5.6% 2.3% 6.0% 2.6% 2.4% 3.7% 22.4% 3.2% 4.9% 4.5% 4.7% 8.8% 6.4% [199]
Portland 24–31 Jan 2024 535 17% 12% 5% 2% 5% 3% 1% 3% 1% 25% 3% 3% 2% 4% 12% 2% 8% [204]
2019 election 23 May 2019 19.0% 10.9% 14.6% 12.2% 11.0% 7.1% 6.8% 4.0% 3.9% 3.5% 3.4% 1.9% 1.6% 4.4%

Poland

edit
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
United Right
ECR
Third Way
EPPRen.
Civic Coalition
EPPG/EFARen.
The Left
S&D
Confederation
NI
There is One Poland
NI
Bezpartyjni Samorządowcy
NI
PolExit
NI
Others Don't know Lead
Law and Justice Kukiz'15 New Left Left Together
SLD Spring
IPSOS (Late Poll) 10 June 35.7
20
7.3
4
37.4
20
6.6
3
11.8
6
0.8
0
0.3
0
0.1
0
1.7
IPSOS 9 June 33.9
19
8.2
4
38.2
21
6.6
3
11.9
6
0.8
0
0.3
0
0.1
0
4.3
Pollster / Republika 6–7 Jun 2024 1,083 33 11 34 9 12 1 1
OGB 4–7 Jun 2024 800 36.04
18
7.54
5
37.45
20
5.01
4
11.49
6
0.59
0
0.15
0
1.73
0
1.41
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 6 Jun 2024 30.5 9.6 31.5 8.1 9.7 0.6 0.1 10.0 1.0
Pollster / "SE.pl" 5–6 Jun 2024 1,031 31.63 11.65 34.86 8.94 10.72 2.20 3.23
IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM 4–6 Jun 2024 1,000 29 10 33 7 11 2 1 7 4
ewybory.eu 17 May–6 Jun 2024 5,709 33.7 10.9 33.3 9.6 10.2 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.4
Opinia24 / Gazeta Wyborcza 4–5 Jun 2024 1,001 29.8
19
8.9
5
32.1
20
7.7
4
9
5
3.6
0
8.9 2.3
Opinia24 / TVN 4–5 Jun 2024 1,000 32 9 34 8 10 2 1 1 3 2
CBOS 20 May–5 Jun 2024 1,038 28.9 11.4 33.4 9.7 10.5 0.5 0.4 5.3 4.5
IPSOS / TVP 3–4 June 2024 29.2
16
10.9
6
34.5
20
8.0
4
13.6
7
2.6
0
0.6
0
5.3
IBRiS / Onet 3 Jun 2024 1,067 31.3
18
11.6
7
33.1
19
8.2
4
9.0
5
0.2
0
6.6 1.8
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 3 Jun 2024[ct] 30.1 10.7 29.5 8.0 9.5 2.0 0.1 10.0 0.6
Research Partner 31 May–3 Jun 2024 1,073 32.1
20
9.0
5
31.5
19
6.5
4
9.4
5
2.9
0
0.1
0
8.5 0.6
CBOS 20 May–2 Jun 2024 1,038 29 12 27 7 10 2 1 11 2
United Surveys / WP.pl 24–26 May 2024 1,000 30.8 10.8 32.4 7.8 11.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 5.9 1.6
IPSOS / TVP 22–25 May 2024 1,000 30 9 29 8 13 1 0 1 9 1
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 20 May 2024[cu] 30.0 10.1 30.8 8.1 8.8 2.1 0.0 10.1 0.8
Opinia24 13–14 May 2024 1,000 29 8 31 6 10 2 13 2
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 10–12 May 2024 1,000 32.7
19
12.6
7
30.3
17
9.6
5
8.6
5
0.9
0
0.0[205]
0
0.2
0
5.1 2.4
IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM 26 Apr–9 May 2024 1,096 27 9 28 8 10 2 1 12 1
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 7–8 May 2024 1,000 29.3 12.1 28.3 9.7 9.9 1.5 9.2 1.0
Opinia24 / TOK FM 6–8 May 2024 1,001 30.6 7.7 30.8 9.0 8.3 2.7 10.9 0.2
29 Apr 2024 Confederation announces There is One Poland candidates on their lists.[206]
OGB 22–25 Apr 2024 804 32.66
18
13.81
7
33.21
18
5.57
3
12.30
7
2.45
0
0.55
Ipsos / Euronews 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 1,000 29.2 16.5 31.3 8.4 13.9 2.1
Opinia24 / TOK FM 26–28 Feb 2024 1,002 22 11 31 11 10 3[cv] 11 9
Opinia24 / More In Common Polska 2–13 Feb 2024 2,027 29.0 14.0 33.5 8.5 7.5 1.3 6.2 4.5
Portland Communications 24–31 Jan 2024 632 29 16 35 9 8 3 6
Parliamentary election 15 Oct 2023 21,596,674[cw] 35.38 14.40 30.70 8.61 7.16 1.63 1.86 0.28 4.68
Parliamentary election 13 Oct 2019 18,678,457[cx] 43.59 8.55 27.40 12.56 6.81 0.78 0.31 16.19
European election 26 May 2019 13,647,311[cy] 45.38
27
3.69
0
38.47
22
6.06
3
1.24
0
4.55
0
0.06 0.54 6.91

Portugal

edit

  Exit poll

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout  
            O Lead
     
S&D EPP EPP NI PfE Left Left G/EFA G/EFA Renew
2024 EP election 9 Jun 2024 36.6 32.1
8
31.1
7
9.8
2
4.3
1
4.1
1
1.2
0
3.8
0
9.1
2
4.5
0
1.0
CESOP–UCP 9 Jun 2024 14,185 37–40 28–34
6/8
28–33
6/8
8–12
2/3
3–5
0/1
3–5
0/1
1–2
0
3–5
0/1
8–12
2/3
0.5
ICS/ISCTE–GfK/Metris 9 Jun 2024 15,839 36.7 29.2–33.6
7/8
28.4–32.8
7/8
7.5–10.9
2/3
2.8–5.8
0/1
2.8–5.8
0/1
0.4–2.0
0
2.9–5.9
0/1
8.1–11.5
2/3
3.3–6.3
0
0.8
Pitagórica 9 Jun 2024 24,619 35.5–41.5 27.7–33.7
6/8
26.0–32.0
6/8
6.6–12.6
2/3
3.0–7.0
0/1
2.0–6.0
0/1
0.7–2.7
0
2.5–6.5
0/1
8.3–12.3
2/3
1.7
Intercampus 9 Jun 2024 19,502 38–42 27.2–33.2
6/8
26.9–32.9
6/8
7.5–11.5
2/3
3.1–6.1
0/1
2.3–5.3
0/1
0.3–2.3
0
3.0–6.0
0/1
8.3–12.3
2/3
2.8–8.8
0
0.3
Intercampus[cz] 29 May–4 Jun 2024 604 ? 27.5
7
28.3
7
13.7
3
6.6
1
2.9
0
3.5
0
5.1
1
10.4
2
2.0
0
0.8
CESOP–UCP 27 May–3 Jun 2024 1,552 ? 33
7/9
31
6/8
12
2/4
4
0/1
4
0/1
1
0
4
0/1
8
1/2
3
0
2
Aximage 17–22 May 2024 801 55.3 30.6
7/8
26.6
6
15.5
4
6.3
1
3.5
0
1.6
0
5.2
1
7.5
1/2
3.2
0
4.0
Intercampus[da] 12–20 May 2024 609 ? 23.1
5
22.0
5
18.1
4
9.2
2
3.7
0
4.0
1
6.9
1
12.0
3
1.0
0
1.1
CESOP–UCP 13–18 May 2024 965 ? 30
6/8
31
6/8
15
3/4
5
1
5
1
1
0
5
1
6
1/2
2
0
1
Duplimétrica 6–13 May 2024 800 ? 34
9
32
8
10
2
3
0
3
0
1
0
3
0
9
2
5
0
2
ICS/ISCTE 27 Apr–8 May 2024 1,001 ? 32
8
26
6
18
4
5
1
4
1
2
0
2
0
4
1
7
0
6
Intercampus[db] 18–23 Apr 2024 605 ? 33.4
8
28.2
7
13.0
3
7.4
1
3.3
0
1.3
0
5.8
1
4.4
1
3.3
0
5.2
Aximage 12–16 Apr 2024 805 58.0 31.3
7/8
24.8
6
18.4
4
5.9
1
4.1
1
1.8
0
3.6
0/1
5.8
1
4.3
0
6.5
2024 legislative elections 10 Mar 2024 59.8 28.0
(7)
28.8
(7)
18.1
(5)
4.4
(1)
3.2
(0)
1.9
(0)
3.2
(0)
4.9
(1)
7.5
(0)
0.8
Ipsos 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 2,000 ? 29.6
8
31.0
8
3.4
0
14.2
3
4.4
1
2.3
0
2.1
0
3.6
0
4.5
1
4.9
0
1.4
2022 legislative elections 30 Jan 2022 51.5 41.4
(10)
29.1
(7)
1.6
(0)
0.0
(0)
7.2
(1)
4.4
(1)
4.3
(1)
1.6
(0)
1.3
(0)
4.9
(1)
4.7
(0)
12.3
2019 legislative elections 6 Oct 2019 48.6 36.3
(10)
27.8
(7)
4.2
(1)
0.2
(0)
1.3
(0)
9.5
(2)
6.3
(1)
3.3
(0)
1.1
(0)
1.3
(0)
8.8
(0)
8.5
2019 EP election 26 May 2019 30.7 33.4
9
21.9
6
6.2
1
1.5
0
9.8
2
6.9
2
5.1
1
1.8
0
0.9
0
12.5
0
11.5

Romania

edit
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CNR PUSL
S&D
AUR+ ADU PRO
S&D
UDMR
EPP
AER AD
ECR
S.O.S.
NI
REPER
Renew
Others Lead
PNL
EPP
PSD
S&D
PNȚCD
ECR
AUR
ECR
FD
EPP
PMP
EPP
USR
Renew
PER
NI
PV
G/EFA
INSCOP 20 - 25 May 2024 1,100 43.7 1.3 17.5 14.1 6.0 4.4 1.3 11.7[207] 26.2
Sociopol 17–22 May 2024 1,002 47 2 21 15 5 0 2 4 4[dc] 24
CSPS 7–15 May 2024 2,613 27 34 25 7 3 4 3 7
INSCOP 12–20 April 2024 1,100 46.6 1.5 16.7 13.8 2.7 5.1 2.4 2.0 4.5 1.8 2.8 29.9
CSPS 1-7 April 2024 4,085 27.2 30.2 23.4 4.8 2.8 5.8 5.7 3
Sociopol 26 March-2 April 2024 1,002 47 5 23 14 1 4 2 3 0 1 24
CURS 19-28 March 2024 1,067 53 4 14 14 5 5 5 39
CSPS 17-29 March 2024 2,088 37 27 21 4 11 10
Euractiv March 2024 42 25 14 2 5 5 1 6 17
Ipsos 23 Feb–5 Mar 2024 970 42.4 3.0 20.7 14.2 5.1 3.4 5.9 5.2 21.7
INSCOP 22-29 Feb 2024 1,100 43.7 20.6 13.7 3.7 3.9 3.4 6.4 0.9 3.7 23.1
Sociopol Feb 2024 42 1 28 15 2 5 2 0 3 1 1[dd] 14
17 31 1 24 13 2 5 2 0 3 1 1[de] 14
INSOMAR Feb 2024 1,030 40.8 1.5 30.5 11.5 1.7 4.5 2 7.5[df] 10.3
Avangarde 19–20 Feb 2024 950 20 31 18 15 5 8 2 1 11
CURS 3–14 Feb 2024 1,067 20 31 2 20 13 2 4 4 4[dg] 11
60m.ro 20 Jan 2024 927 16 28 30 17 5 4 2
INSCOP 16-24 Jan 2024 1,100 18.8 29.5 18.4 12.9 3.0 4.8 3.5 6.5 0.5 2 10.7
CURS 15–27 Jan 2024 1,082 19 30 3 21 14 5 4 4 9
Avangarde 8-22 Jan 2024 1,150 21 31 19 14 5 8 1 1 10
INSOMAR Jan 2024 1,050 21 25 22 2 9 1 3 3 9[dh] 3
Sociopol Jan 2024 17 29 1 0 23 13 2 5 2 1 3 1 1[di] 6
CIRA Jan 2024 1,000 20 30 18 2 2 14 5 6 2 1 10
CURS 26–30 Dec 2023 852 19 31 4 19 1 4 9 2 4 5 2 12
Mercury Research 30 Oct–6 Nov 2023 1,227 16 26 0 19 22 3 7 1 5 4
16 28 1 19 2 4 15 3 7 1 3 9
Avangarde 20–28 Sep 2023 994 21 31 19 1 3 13 1 5 5 1 10
LARICS 11–25 Sep 2023 1,003 22.9 31.5 1.0 14.6 4.4 15.2 3.2 4.7 2.4 8.6
INSOMAR 28–31 Aug 2023 1,030 15 25 2 27 3 3 7 4 4 10 2
2020 parliamentary election 6 Dec 2020 6.058.625 25.2 28.9 1.0 9.1 4.9 15.4 4.1 5.7 1.3 0.4 0.0 4.1 3.7
2019 election 26 May 2019 9.069.822 27.0 22.5 5.8 22.4 6.4 5.3 6.6 4.5

Slovenia

edit
Fieldwork date Polling firm Publisher(s) Sample size SDS
EPP
SLS
(Gregorčič)
EPP
ZS
NI
SD
S&D
NSi
EPP
Levica
Left
DeSUS
EDP
DD
NI
GS
Renew
Resni.ca
NI
PPS
G/EFA
Vesna
(Prebilič)
G/EFA
NOT
NI
Logar
NI
Rupar
NI
Others None Und. Abst. Lead Source
3–6 Jun 2024 Ninamedia Dnevnik 629 25.1 6.4 2.1 10.3 6.8 4.8 4.4 19.5 5.4 13.1 2.1 5.6 [208]
3–5 Jun 2024 Mediana Delo 734 20.5
3
6.0
0
1.5
0
6.5
1
7.8
1
4.4
0
1.9
0
18.4
3
3.9
0
7.7
1
1.5
0
19.9 2.1 [209]
21–24 May 2024 Mediana POPTV 713 17.9
4
3.0
0
2.6
0
9.1
1
6.0
1
4.1
0
1.4
0
12.8
2
5.5
0
8.1
1
0.9
0
0.1
0
4.0 14.7 6.2 5.1 [210]
13–16 May 2024 Ninamedia Dnevnik 1,000 27.4
3
4.4
0
3.6
0
11.5
1
7.9
1
5.7
0
2.8
0
17.6
2
3.2
0
14.0
1
1.7
0
9.8 [211]
23–25 Apr 2024 Mediana POPTV 723 21.7 3.3 5.7 7.1 3.0 2.6 15.5 3.1 2.8 7.1 0.9 0.2 4.3 14.7 4.2 6.2 [212]
5–7 Mar 2024 Mediana Delo 723 20.7 2.4 6.4 6.2 4.5 13.0 4.1 3.3 3.3 2.7 1.7 6.4 18.6 4.3 7.7 [213]
4–7 Dec 2023 Ninamedia 700 14.6 3.7 11.4 6.3 4.0 11.6 8.3 12.4 0.9 19.7 7.1 2.2 [214]
24 April 2022 2022 parliamentary election 23.48 3.41 6.69 6.86 4.46 0.66 1.70 40.23[dj] 2.86 1.63 1.35 6.13 (29.04) 16.75
26 May 2019 2019 election 26.25 2.22 18.66 11.12 6.43 5.67 0.53 19.46[dk] 9.67 (71.11) 6.79

Slovakia

edit
Polling firm Date Sample
size
PS
Renew
Democrats
EPP
Smer
NI
ĽSNS
NI
Život
NI
SNS
ID
KDH
EPP
SASKA
ECR

ECR
OĽaNO
EPP

EPP
MA
EPP
SR
ID
Hlas
NI
Republika
NI
Others Lead
Ipsos[215] 30 May–4 Jun 2024 1,225 21.9
4
5.2
1
24.6
4
1.0
0
3.2
0
6.3
1
5.7
1
1.5
0
4.4
0
5.1
1
11.2
2
8.7
1
1.2[dl] 2.7
NMS[216] 30 May–3 Jun 2024 1,020 23.2
5
3.3
0
22.1
4
0.7
0
3.1
0
5.0
1
6.4
1
1.2
0
3.2
0
3.7
0
11.9
2
11.0
2
5.1 1.1
Median[217] 21–27 May 2024 640 20.6 4.9 22.5 1.4 2.3 7.2 7.0 6.6 3.3 14.0 9.4 0.8 1.9
Ipsos[218] 14–21 May 2024 414 23.5
4
3.4
0
24.4
4
1.7
0
4.0
0
7.1
1
5.7
1
5.3
1
4.8
0
10.3
2
9.0
2
0.8 0.9
NMS[219] 9–13 May 2024 1,020 23.4
5
3.5
0
17.3
4
0.9
0
3.0
0
4.8
0
7.4
1
1.6
0
4.8
0
3.1
0
11.2
2
12.6
3
6.3[dm] 6.1
AKO[220] 7–14 May 2024 1,000 25.6
4
3.4
0
17.6
3
1.0
0
5.2
1
7.0
1
6.7
1
0.6
0
2.7
0
3.7
0
14.4
3
8.5
2
3.6 8.0
NMS[221] 18–24 April 2024 1,010 24.3
5
4.4
0
19.8
4
0.7
0
3.2
0
4.6
0
7.0
1
0.8
0
3.6
0
2.9
0
12.0
3
10.7
2
5.8[dn] 4.5
AKO[222] 9–16 April 2024 1,000 27.2
5
2.7
0
15.2
3
1.0
0
4.1
0
6.7
1
6.5
1
0.8
0
3.2
0
5.0
1
14.2
3
7.5
1
5.9[do] 12.0
Ipsos[223] 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 1,502 24.6
5
2.3
0
26.7
5
2.1
0
4.8
0
8.2
2
4.6
0
4.9
0
2.4
0
11.8
2
6.4
1
1.2 2.1
2023 elections 30 Sep 2023 2,967,896 17.96 2.21 22.95 0.84 5.63 6.82 6.32 8.90 4.39 2.93 14.70 4.75 1.60 4.99
2020 elections 29 Feb 2020 2,881,511 6.97 18.29 7.97 3.16 4.65 6.22 25.03 5.77 3.91 8.24 9.34 6.74
2019 elections 25 May 2019 985,680 20.11
4
15.72
3
12.07
2
2.07
0
4.09
0
9.70
2
9.62
2
3.85
0
5.26
1
4.96
0
3.23
0
9.32 4.29

Spain

edit
Color key:

  Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls

Voting preferences

edit

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences

edit

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a European Parliament election taking place.

Victory likelihood

edit

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a European Parliament election taking place.

Preferred candidate

edit

The table below lists opinion polling on candidate preferences.

Sweden

edit
Polling execution Parties
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size V
Left
S
S&D
MP
G/EFA
C
Renew
L
Renew
M
EPP
KD
EPP
SD
ECR
Oth. Lead
Demoskop 23 May–1 Jun 2024 3,222 10.0
2
25.2
6
11.3
3
5.7
1
3.1
0
18.0
4
5.5
1
18.6
4
2.7
0
6.6
Novus 2–29 May 2024 2,325 10.0
2
29.4
7
11.0
2
4.7
1
5.1
1
15.5
4
3.8
0
19.1
4
1.3
0
10.3
Verian 22–28 May 2024 1,000 9.5
2
25.1
6
10.6
2
4.9
1
4.7
1
17.2
4
5.4
1
19.6
4
3.1
0
5.5
Demoskop 11–20 May 2024 2,994 8.7
2
27.5
7
9.8
2
4.6
1
2.8
0
18.5
4
3.9
0
19.9
5
4.3
0
7.6
Ipsos 7–19 May 2024 1,646 7.6
2
29.6
7
10.8
3
3.6
0
4.7
1
19.1
4
3.9
0
17.8
4
2.9
0
10.5
Demoskop 24 Apr–7 May 2024 3,970 8.7
2
28.5
6
9.2
2
4.6
1
3.2
0
17.3
4
4.4
1
19.9
5
4.2
0
8.6
Verian 25–30 Apr 2024 1,900 8.8
2
29.7
7
9.5
2
4.5
1
3.7
0
18.3
4
4.2
1
17.2
4
4.2
0
11.4
Novus 1–28 Apr 2024 2,311 8.5
2
31.1
8
10.3
2
3.6
0
3.8
0
17.7
4
3.5
0
18.8
5
2.6
0
12.3
Indikator Opinion 28 Mar – 22 Apr 2024 6,943 8.1
2
32.3
8
9.7
2
4.6
1
3.3
0
19.0
4
2.3
0
18.6
4
2.1
0
12.9
Ipsos 23 Feb – 5 Mar 2024 1,003 9.6
2
30.4
6
8.3
2
7.0
1
4.7
1
16.4
4
4.5
1
17.5
4
1.5
0
12.9
Novus 19 Feb – 3 Mar 2024 504 7.3
2
32.4
7
8.0
2
4.6
1
3.3
0
18.1
4
4.2
1
20.5
4
1.7
0
11.9
2022 general election 11 Sep 2022 6.8
1
30.3
7
5.1
1
6.7
1
4.6
1
19.1
4
5.3
1
20.5
5
1.5
0
9.8
2019 EP election 26 May 2019 6.8
1
23.5
5
11.5
3
10.8
2
4.1
1
16.8
4
8.6
2
15.3
3
2.5
0
6.7

Notes

edit
  1. ^ a b Groups all parties not represented in the European Parliament into a group or non-inscrits.
  2. ^ Follows Europe Elects's assignment of parties into groups.
  3. ^ a b Groups all parties not represented in the European Parliament into "others", unless it is a member of a political party at the European level.
  4. ^ PP–DB is an electoral alliance, including parties with different european affiliations. PP has expressed interest in joining Renew Europe,[130] while MEP Radan Kanev from DSB sits in the EPP Group and DaB! is considering applying for EPP membership.[131]
  5. ^ ITN, despite not being an official member yet, has announced its intention to join the ECR Group.[132]
  6. ^ Includes Solidary Bulgaria at 2.3, winning no seats
  7. ^ Includes, CENTER at 2% and Solidary Bulgaria at 1.7% , all winning no seats
  8. ^ Includes, Solidary Bulgaria at 2.1%, Left at 1.2%, BV at 1.2%, all winning no seats
  9. ^ Includes, Solidary Bulgaria at 2.5% winning no seats
  10. ^ Includes, Solidary Bulgaria at 2.3%, Levitsata! at 1.9%, and Bulgarian Rise at 1.2%, all winning no seats
  11. ^ Includes, Solidary Bulgaria at 2.2%, winning no seats
  12. ^ Includes BV and Levitsata!, both at 1.8% and winning no seats
  13. ^ Includes BV at 2.9% and Levitsata! at 2.2%, both winning no seats
  14. ^ Democratic Bulgaria only
  15. ^ HSU at 3.8%; all others under 3.5% each
  16. ^ Including Gen Z list at 2.1%, RF at 1.3%, HSU at 1.1%, and Ladislav Ilčić at 1.0%
  17. ^ Including HSU at 1.9%, The Gen Z list at 1.9% and Republika at 1.1%
  18. ^ with DP
  19. ^ with Trikolora
  20. ^ ODS 14.6%, KDU-ČSL 7.2%
  21. ^ with TOP 09
  22. ^ Included under Others.
  23. ^ Alliance with R&PS and Volt France
  24. ^ PRC <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  25. ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  26. ^ France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Association nationale des communiste <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  27. ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  28. ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, , Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%
  29. ^ PT <1%, Association nationale des communiste <1%, PRC <1%, The Nationalists <1%, Équinoxe <1%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <1%, EDE <1%, Démocratie représentative <1%, Défendre les enfants <1%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <1%, Rester libre <1%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <1%, Parti des citoyens européens <1%, Décidons nous-mêmes <1%, Changement citoyen <1%, La Ruche citoyenne <1%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <1%
  30. ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, , Parti des citoyens européens 0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%
  31. ^ PT <1%, Association nationale des communiste <1%, PRC <1%, The Nationalists <1%, Équinoxe <1%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <1%, EDE <1%, Démocratie représentative <1%, Défendre les enfants <1%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <1%, Rester libre <1%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <1%, Parti des citoyens européens <1%, Décidons nous-mêmes <1%, Changement citoyen <1%, La Ruche citoyenne <1%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <1%
  32. ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  33. ^ , PT<0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  34. ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, PT 0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  35. ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  36. ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  37. ^ France Libre–Union de la Résistance 0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Association nationale des communiste <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  38. ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  39. ^ PT <1%, Association nationale des communiste <1%, PRC <1%, The Nationalists <1%, Équinoxe <1%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <1%, EDE <1%, Démocratie représentative <1%, Défendre les enfants <1%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <1%, Rester libre <1%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <1%, Parti des citoyens européens <1%, Décidons nous-mêmes <1%, Changement citoyen <1%, La Ruche citoyenne <1%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <1%
  40. ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, , Parti des citoyens européens 0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%
  41. ^ PRC 0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance 0.5%, Défendre les enfants 0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  42. ^ PRC <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  43. ^ République souveraine–L'appel au peuple 0.5%, PT 0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens 0.5%, Défendre les enfants 0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  44. ^ The Nationalists <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  45. ^ The Nationalists <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, PT <0.5%, Association nationale des communistes <0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <0.5%, Décidons nous-mêmes <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  46. ^ Décidons nous-mêmes 0.5%, Parti des citoyens européens 0.5%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc 0.5%, PT 0.5%, Changement citoyen <0.5%, PRC <0.5%, Équinoxe <0.5%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <0.5%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <0.5%, Rester libre <0.5%, The Nationalists <0.5%, Association nationale des communiste <0.5%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <0.5%, La Ruche citoyenne <0.5%, Défendre les enfants <0.5%, Démocratie représentative <0.5%, EDE <0.5%, Liberté Démocratique Française <0.5%
  47. ^ , PT <1%, Association nationale des communiste <1%, PRC <1%, The Nationalists <1%, Équinoxe <1%, France Libre–Union de la Résistance <1%, EDE <1%, Démocratie représentative <1%, Défendre les enfants <1%, République souveraine–L'appel au peuple <1%, Rester libre <1%, Fédération citoyenne–Nous Citoyens <1%, Parti des citoyens européens <1%, Décidons nous-mêmes <1%, Changement citoyen <1%, La Ruche citoyenne <1%, Écologie politique et de pacifisme et objection de croissanc <1%
  48. ^ a b Mentré retires as of May 2
  49. ^ a b c d Dupont-Aignan retires as of March 26
  50. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q PRG and Bernard Cazeneuve's The Convention
  51. ^ a b RE list led by Valérie Hayer, confirmed as candidate on February 29th
  52. ^ a b RE list led by Clément Beaune
  53. ^ a b RE list led by Julien Denormandie
  54. ^ a b c d e RE list led by Olivier Véran
  55. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y RE list led by Stéphane Séjourné
  56. ^ RE list led by Bruno Le Maire
  57. ^ RE list led by Thierry Breton
  58. ^ LFI–PS list led by Segolène Royal
  59. ^ LFI list led by Segolène Royal
  60. ^ NUPES list led by Marie Toussaint (EELV)
  61. ^ NUPES list led by Manon Aubry (LFI)
  62. ^ NUPES list led by Léon Deffontaines (PCF)
  63. ^ NUPES list led by Olivier Faure (PS)
  64. ^ NUPES list led by LFI and EELV
  65. ^ a b NUPES list led by EELV
  66. ^ endorsed LO
  67. ^ with MEI and MdP
  68. ^ with PS
  69. ^ with EELV
  70. ^ incl. UDI with 2.50%
  71. ^ Die Partei has 2 seats, Tierschutz has one seat.
  72. ^ De facto banned, popular former XA member Ilias Kasidiaris supported Spartans for the 2023 Greek legislative election.
  73. ^ 49 votes below the 3% threshold.
  74. ^ Alongside Union of Centrists.
  75. ^ without leaders
  76. ^ with leaders
  77. ^ Polls before 12 March 2024 refer to it as People's Union (UP).
  78. ^ a b c d e f g Without leaders
  79. ^ a b c d e f g h With leaders
  80. ^ SVP 0.0%
  81. ^ PSI 0.8%
  82. ^ With party symbols
  83. ^ Combined results for Green Europe (EV) and The Left (LS) lists at the election
  84. ^ The figure for 'Others/Independents' (including Independents 4 Change candidates) is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.
  85. ^ Includes 'Others'.
  86. ^ a b c d e f Not specifically mentioned in the report.
  87. ^ Includes 21% for 'Independent' and 4% for 'Other Party'.
  88. ^ a b c Did not contest this election.
  89. ^ Latvian Russian Union: 6.3% (1); Centre Party: 0.5%
  90. ^ Parties which received less than 1% of the vote.
  91. ^ Coalition of Peace 1.5%, Lithuanian Green Party 1.4%, National Alliance 1.4%, People and Justice Union 0.9%, Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania 0.7%, Christian Union 0.2%, Lithuanian People's Party 0.2%, Lithuanian List 0.2%
  92. ^ a b Excluded from calculation for the party percentages.
  93. ^ Sister newspaper of 'It-Torċa', a GWU-owned newspaper, closely aligned to the Labour Party.
  94. ^ Survey was candidate based, thus the quantity in 'Other' will definitely include parties listed here and might overflow 100%. Percentages brought about by combining candidate first-preference vote shares. Thus the lead percentage and winning party may not be realistic.
  95. ^ Sister newspaper of 'L-Orizzont', a GWU-owned newspaper, closely aligned to the Labour Party.
  96. ^ Combined result of Democratic Alternative and Democratic Party vote shares before party merger
  97. ^ As Alliance for Change
  98. ^ Publication date
  99. ^ Publication date
  100. ^ KORWiN – 1
  101. ^ Turnout: 74,38%
  102. ^ Turnout: 61,74%
  103. ^ Turnout: 45,69%
  104. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (12.5%). With their inclusion results are: AD: 24.8%; AD: 24.1%; CHEGA: 12.0%; IL: 9.1%; BE: 5.8%; Livre: 4.5%; PAN: 3.1%; CDU: 2.5%; Others/Invalid: 1.8%.
  105. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (3.7%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 22.2%; AD: 21.2%; CHEGA: 17.4%; IL: 11.6%; BE: 8.9%; Livre: 6.6%; PAN: 3.9%; CDU: 3.6%; Others/Invalid: 0.9%.
  106. ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (17.5%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 27.5%; AD: 23.2%; CHEGA: 10.7%; BE: 6.1%; Livre: 4.8%; IL: 3.6%; CDU: 2.7%; PAN: 1.1%; Others/Invalid: 2.7%.
  107. ^ Independents 4%, Greater Romania Party 0%, Socialist Romania 0%, Patriotic Party 0%, United Diaspora Party 0%
  108. ^ Independents 1%, Sovereign Romania Party 0%
  109. ^ Independents 1%, Sovereign Romania Party 0%
  110. ^ Romanian Sovereigntist Bloc (NI): 4.2%
  111. ^ Party of the Patriots: 2%
  112. ^ Romanian Sovereigntist Bloc (NI): 3%
  113. ^ Independents 2%, ALDE 0%, Sovereign Romania Party 0%
  114. ^ Compared with the 2022 results of GS + LMŠ and SAB which have both merged with GS
  115. ^ Compared with the 2019 results of LMŠ and SAB which have both merged with GS
  116. ^ Common Sense 0.7%
  117. ^ Common Sense 2.2, MySlovensko 0.8, KSS 0.7, SOS 0.5, Slovak PATRIOT 0.4, SDKÚ-DS 0.4, Socialisti.sk 0.3, SOSK 0.3, Volt 0.3, SRDCE 0.2, Piráti 0.2, SĽS 0.0
  118. ^ Common Sense 2.2, MySlovensko 0.6, Piráti 0.6, Slovak PATRIOT 0.6, SOS 0.5, SDKÚ-DS 0.4, Socialisti.sk 0.3, SOSK 0.2, SRDCE 0.2, Volt 0.1, KSS 0.1, SĽS 0.0%
  119. ^ Common Sense 1.5, SRDCE 1.2, SOSK 0.7, KSS 0.7, SDKÚ-DS 0.5, Piráti 0.5, MySlovensko 0.5, SĽS 0.3, SOS 0.1, Volt 0.1, Slovak PATRIOT 0.0, Socialisti.sk 0.0
  120. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw ax ay az ba bb bc bd be bf bg bh bi bj bk bl Within Sumar.
  121. ^ Alternative projection based on raw CIS data.

References

edit
  1. ^ "Projected composition: Members of the European Parliament by political group and member state (excluding post-election shifts in affiliation)". Europe Elects. Europe Elects. Retrieved 24 June 2024.
  2. ^ "Projected composition: Members of the European Parliament by political group and member state (excluding post-election shifts in affiliation)". Europe Elects. Europe Elects. Retrieved 24 June 2024.
  3. ^ "EU-Parliament: Polls and trends for the European Parliament election 2024". politpro. 2024-06-09. Retrieved 2024-06-09.
  4. ^ "POLITICO Poll of Polls — European Election polls, trends and election news". POLITICO. 2023-12-20. Retrieved 2024-06-06.
  5. ^ Moehl, Matthias (2024-06-06). "Wahl zum Europäischen Parlament - Prognose Stand 06.06.2024". election.de (in German). Retrieved 2024-06-06.
  6. ^ Di Lella, Gianmarco (2024-05-19). "Chi vincerà le elezioni europee". Cassandra-odds.com (in Italian). Retrieved 2024-05-09.
  7. ^ "Pollwatch: Final EUobserver update before Sunday's big results night". EUobserver. 2024-06-06. Retrieved 2024-06-07.
  8. ^ a b "EU Parliamentary Projection: Chaos on the Right". Europe Elects. 31 May 2024.
  9. ^ Müller, Eingestellt von Manuel. "European Parliament seat projection (May 2024): The last polling numbers – who will win, who will lose, and who will form a majority?". Retrieved 2024-06-03.
  10. ^ "EPP leads European polls while far right makes dramatic gains". euronews. 2024-05-23. Retrieved 2024-05-24.
  11. ^ "EU-Parliament: Polls and trends for the European Parliament election 2024". politpro. 2024-06-09. Retrieved 2024-06-09.
  12. ^ "European Parliament elections tracker: who's leading the polls?". The Economist. 2 May 2024. Retrieved 15 June 2024.
  13. ^ Moehl, Matthias (2024-06-06). "Europäische Rechtspopulisten gewinnen - Liberale und Grüne verlieren". election.de (in German). Retrieved 2024-06-06.
  14. ^ "EU elections Projection: Early-June". euractiv.com. 2024-06-04. Retrieved 2024-06-04.
  15. ^ Moehl, Matthias (2024-05-30). "Zahl der Fraktionslosen im Europaparlament steigt auf Rekordhoch". election.de (in German). Retrieved 2024-05-30.
  16. ^ "EU elections Projection: Late-May". twitter.com. 2024-05-27. Retrieved 2024-05-28.
  17. ^ a b "Far-right ID group expels Alternative for Germany". POLITICO. 2024-05-23. Retrieved 2024-05-24.
  18. ^ Moehl, Matthias (2024-05-23). "Rechte ID-Fraktion nach neuer Prognose nur noch auf Platz fünf". election.de (in German). Retrieved 2024-05-23.
  19. ^ "EU elections Projection: Mid-May". twitter.com. 2024-05-16. Retrieved 2024-05-16.
  20. ^ Moehl, Matthias (2024-05-09). "Moderate Fraktionen legen in neuer EU-Prognose zu". election.de (in German). Retrieved 2024-05-09.
  21. ^ "EU election projection: German SPD, far-right AfD battle for second place".
  22. ^ a b "Unveiling Pollwatch: A weighted 'poll-of-polls' for the June EU elections". EUobserver. 2024-04-23. Retrieved 2024-05-16.
  23. ^ Müller, Manuel (26 April 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (April 2024): EPP far ahead, third place remains contested, Greens regain ground". Der (europäische) Föderalist.
  24. ^ EM, Analytics (2024-04-22). "EU Observer Pollwatch". euobserver.com. Retrieved 2024-04-22.
  25. ^ Moehl, Matthias (2024-04-22). "Das Rennen um Platz drei in Europa bleibt spannend". election.de (in German). Retrieved 2024-04-22.
  26. ^ "Magyar scores three seats but fails to weaken Orbán: EU election projection".
  27. ^ Moehl, Matthias (2024-04-08). "Zahl der Fraktionslosen im EU-Parlament nimmt zu". election.de (in German). Retrieved 2024-04-08.
  28. ^ "Far-right and liberals continue tight race for third place: EU elections projection".
  29. ^ Moehl, Matthias (2024-03-22). "Europäische Volkspartei baut Vorsprung leicht aus". election.de (in German). Retrieved 2024-03-22.
  30. ^ "Breaking news. Exclusive Euronews poll projects pro-EU grand coalition straining, but still alive". 19 March 2024.
  31. ^ "Romania's far-right snatches first place, Germany's AfD drops: EU elections projection".
  32. ^ Gutierrez, Rodrigo Ignacio (2024-03-09). "EU Parliament Seat Projection".
  33. ^ Moehl, Matthias (2024-03-08). "Europäische Rechtspopulisten verlieren an Zuspruch". election.de (in German). Retrieved 2024-03-08.
  34. ^ "Centre-right wrestling Socialists for first place in Portugal, Romania: EU elections projection".
  35. ^ Müller, Manuel (18 March 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (February 2024): EPP extends lead, far-right surge slowed down". Der (europäische) Föderalist.
  36. ^ "EU elections projection: Le Pen and Meloni soars as Germany veers left with Wagenknecht".
  37. ^ Moehl, Matthias (2024-02-07). "Prognose zur Europawahl sieht EPP stabil vor S&D". election.de (in German). Retrieved 2024-02-07.
  38. ^ Griera, Max (2024-02-01). "EU election flash poll: Conservative ECR on course to snatch liberal Renew's fourth place". EURACTIV. Retrieved 2024-02-03.
  39. ^ Cunningham, Kevin; Hix, Simon; Dennison, Susi (2024-01-23). "A sharp right turn: A forecast for the 2024 European Parliament elections". ECFR. Retrieved 2024-01-24.
  40. ^ Griera, Max (2024-01-15). "EU election forecast: Far-right consolidates third position, Italy's left gains ground". EURACTIV. Retrieved 2024-01-15.
  41. ^ Moehl, Matthias (2024-01-09). "Prognose zur EU-Wahl sieht Rechtspopulisten als größte Gewinner". election.de (in German). Retrieved 2024-01-09.
  42. ^ Bantel, Ivo (2024-01-09). "EU Parliament Seat Projection".
  43. ^ Müller, Manuel (11 January 2024). "European Parliament seat projection (January 2024): Left and Liberals lose, far-right ID group becomes third largest force". Der (europäische) Föderalist.
  44. ^ Garscha, Mingo (2023-12-30). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Le Pen's Right-Wing ID Rises to Third Place". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2023-12-30.
  45. ^ Hirsch, Cornelius (2023-12-11). "EU Parliament Seat Projection".
  46. ^ Garscha, Mingo (2023-11-30). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Record High for ID". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2023-11-30.
  47. ^ Wientzek, Olaf (2023-11-29). "EPP Party Barometer November 2023". KAS. Retrieved 2023-12-01.
  48. ^ Hirsch, Cornelius (2023-11-09). "EU Parliament Seat Projection".
  49. ^ Müller, Manuel (9 November 2023). "European Parliament seat projection (November 2023): EPP takes big lead – historic shift to the right possible". Der (europäische) Föderalist.
  50. ^ Garscha, Mingo (2023-10-31). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Scare for S&D and ECR, Treats for EPP". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2023-10-31.
  51. ^ Wax, Eddy; Barigazzi, Jacopo; Jochecová, Ketrin (12 October 2023). "European socialists suspend Robert Fico's Smer party and its ally Hlas". Archived from the original on 12 October 2023.
  52. ^ Hirsch, Cornelius (2023-10-09). "EU Parliament Seat Projection".
  53. ^ Grischa, Mingo (2023-09-30). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Meloni's ECR Close to Becoming 3rd".
  54. ^ "European Council Decision (EU) 2023/2061 of 22 September 2023 establishing the composition of the European Parliament". EUR-Lex. 2023-09-27.
  55. ^ Müller, Manuel (15 September 2023). "European Parliament seat projection (September 2023): Socialists are catching up". Der (europäische) Föderalist.
  56. ^ Hirsch, Cornelius (2023-09-07). "EU Parliament Seat Projection".
  57. ^ Grischa, Mingo (2023-08-31). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Not Much LEFT".
  58. ^ Hirsch, Cornelius (2023-08-09). "EU Parliament Seat Projection".
  59. ^ Garscha, Mingo (2023-07-31). "EU Parliamentary Projection 2024". Europe Elects.
  60. ^ Müller, Manuel (20 July 2023). "European Parliament seat projection (July 2023): How far will the new Parliament shift to the right?". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 31 July 2023.
  61. ^ Müller, Manuel (25 May 2023). "European Parliament seat projection (May 2023): Pre-election skirmishes between EPP and S&D – Greens and Left gain ground". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 29 May 2023.
  62. ^ Garscha, Mingo (2023-04-28). "EU Parliamentary Projection 2024". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2022-04-28.
  63. ^ Müller, Manuel (30 March 2023). "European Parliament seat projection (March 2023): EPP lead over S&D is shrinking". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 30 March 2023.
  64. ^ Müller, Manuel (3 February 2023). "European Parliament seat projection (February 2023): The centre-right extends its lead – could there be a majority without the S&D?". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 3 February 2023.
  65. ^ Müller, Manuel (8 December 2022). "European Parliament seat projection (December 2022): S&D make significant gains, Liberals fall back". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 9 December 2022.
  66. ^ a b Garscha, Mingo (2022-12-07). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Less Seats for Centre(-Right), More for Centre-Left". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2022-12-08.
  67. ^ a b Garscha, Mingo (1 November 2022). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Italian Defeat Prolongs Centre-Left's Plight". Europe Elects. Retrieved 3 November 2022.
  68. ^ Müller, Manuel (14 October 2022). "Wenn an diesem Sonntag Europawahl wäre (Oktober 2022): S&D und Grüne verlieren, Rechte legen zu". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 14 October 2022.
  69. ^ Müller, Manuel (23 August 2022). "Wenn an diesem Sonntag Europawahl wäre (August 2022): EVP und Grüne legen zu, Newcomer im rechten Lager". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 24 August 2022.
  70. ^ Müller, Manuel (27 June 2022). "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (Juni 2022): EVP erhöht Vorsprung auf S&D, Grüne legen zu". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 27 June 2022.
  71. ^ Müller, Manuel (26 April 2022). "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (April 2022): Wie sich der Ukraine-Krieg auf die Wahlumfragen auswirkt". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 3 May 2022.
  72. ^ Müller, Manuel (1 March 2022). "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (März 2022): Aufstieg der Newcomer". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 2 March 2022.
  73. ^ a b Jukić, Luka Ivan (8 January 2022). "EU Parliamentary Projection: France's Re-Alignment Becomes Europe's". Europe Elects. Retrieved 4 November 2021.
  74. ^ Müller, Manuel (4 January 2022). "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (Januar 2022): EVP legt zu, Grüne verlieren, rechte Einheitsfraktion scheitert". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 6 January 2022.
  75. ^ a b Jukić, Luka Ivan (7 December 2021). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Social Democrats Hold Firm as Christian Democrats Flounder". Europe Elects. Retrieved 8 February 2021.
  76. ^ Müller, Manuel (10 November 2021). "Wenn an diesem Sonntag Europawahl wäre (November 2021): S&D macht weiter Boden gut". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 6 January 2022.
  77. ^ a b Jukić, Luka Ivan (4 November 2021). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Centre-Left Takes the Lead for the First Time in Years". Europe Elects. Retrieved 4 November 2021.
  78. ^ a b Jensen, Linus Folke (8 October 2021). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Centre-Right, Centre-Left in Tossup for First Place". Europe Elects. Retrieved 8 October 2021.
  79. ^ Müller, Manuel (14 September 2021). "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (September 2021): Sozialdemokratie im Aufschwung". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 20 September 2021.
  80. ^ Müller, Manuel (22 July 2021). "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (Juli 2021): Kommt die große Rechtsfraktion?". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 20 September 2021.
  81. ^ a b Jensen, Linus Folke (9 July 2021). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Greens down, ID up". Europe Elects. Retrieved 9 July 2021.
  82. ^ a b Jensen, Linus Folke (5 June 2021). "EU Parliamentary Projection: May Proves Out To Be a Stable Month". Europe Elects. Retrieved 9 July 2021.
  83. ^ Müller, Manuel (26 May 2021). "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (Mai 2021): S&D auf neuem Rekordtief, Zugewinne bei den Grünen". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 20 September 2021.
  84. ^ Jensen, Linus Folke (2 May 2021). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Centre-Left Takes a Hit". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2 May 2021.
  85. ^ Jensen, Linus Folke (2 March 2021). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Historic Setback for the Centre-Right". Europe Elects. Retrieved 8 April 2021.
  86. ^ Müller, Manuel (31 March 2021). "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (März 2021): Fidesz-Austritt und CDU-Schwäche lassen EVP abstürzen". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 20 September 2021.
  87. ^ a b Crowcroft, Orlando (2021-03-03). "Hungary PM Orban's party quits the largest group in European Parliament". Euronews. Retrieved 2021-07-09.
  88. ^ "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (Februar 2021): EVP verliert, Newcomer gewinnen". Der (europäische) Föderalist. 3 February 2021.
  89. ^ a b c d "EU Parliamentary Projection: Rounding Up the Tumultuous 2020". Europe Elects. 5 January 2021. Retrieved 6 January 2021.
  90. ^ Müller, Manuel (9 December 2020). "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (Dezember 2020): Zurück zum Ausgangspunkt". Der (europäische) Föderalist. Retrieved 2 March 2022.
  91. ^ a b "EU Parliamentary Projection: The Right-Wing in Retreat". Europe Elects. 2 December 2020. Retrieved 6 December 2020.
  92. ^ a b "EU Parliamentary Projection: Talent-Show Judges, Folk Singers, and Eastern Europe". Europe Elects. 31 October 2020. Retrieved 31 October 2020.
  93. ^ "Wenn am nächsten Sonntag Europawahl wäre (Oktober 2020): Sozialdemokraten verlieren, Liberale und Rechte gewinnen". foederalist.eu. Retrieved 28 October 2020.
  94. ^ a b "EU Parliamentary Projection: Second Wave of the Pandemic and Europeans Rally No More". Europe Elects. 4 October 2020. Retrieved 4 October 2020.
  95. ^ a b "EU Parliamentary Projection: No Domino-Effect Caused by Brexit in Sight". Europe Elects. 31 August 2020. Retrieved 31 August 2020.
  96. ^ a b "EU Parliament Projection: Centre-Right EPP Would Win EU Election". Europe Elects. 14 August 2020. Retrieved 21 August 2020.
  97. ^ a b "EU Parliament Projection: One Year After the EU Election Post date". Europe Elects. Retrieved 29 May 2020.
  98. ^ a b "EU Parliament Projection: One Year After the EU Election Post date". Europe Elects. 28 May 2020. Retrieved 29 May 2020.
  99. ^ a b c "EU Parliament Projection: Corona Rallies Europeans Around the Flag". Europe Elects. Retrieved 4 March 2020.
  100. ^ a b c "EU Parliament Projection: Government Parties Still Gaining". Europe Elects. Retrieved 4 April 2020.
  101. ^ a b "European Parliament Projection: Ireland, Thuringia, and the Aftermath". Europe Elects. Retrieved 1 February 2020.
  102. ^ a b "European Parliament Projection: The EU Parliament Post-Brexit". Europe Elects. February 2020. Retrieved 1 February 2020.
  103. ^ a b Jamieson, Alastair; Crowcroft, Orlando (2020-01-31). "Sadness and celebration as Britain leaves the European Union". Euronews. Retrieved 2021-07-09.
  104. ^ "2024 EU election projection". Twitter. Retrieved 31 December 2019.
  105. ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 31 December 2019.
  106. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 26 December 2019.
  107. ^ Griera, Max (30 April 2024). "EU election projection: German SPD, far-right AfD battle for second place". Euractiv.
  108. ^ "Eu Observer Pollwatch". 23 April 2024.
  109. ^ Griera, Max (16 April 2024). "Magyar scores three seats but fails to weaken Orbán: EU election projection". Euractiv.
  110. ^ Griera, Max (28 March 2024). "Far-right and liberals continue tight race for third place: EU elections projection". Euractiv.
  111. ^ Griera, Max (18 March 2024). "Romania's far-right snatches first place, Germany's AfD drops: EU elections projection". Euractiv.
  112. ^ Griera, Max (1 March 2024). "Centre-right wrestling Socialists for first place in Portugal, Romania: EU elections projection". Euractiv.
  113. ^ Griera, Max (19 February 2024). "EU elections projection: Le Pen, Meloni soar as Germany veers left with Wagenknecht". Euractiv.
  114. ^ Griera, Max (1 February 2024). "EU election flash poll: Conservative ECR on course to snatch liberal Renew's fourth place". Euractiv.
  115. ^ Griera, Max (15 January 2024). "EU election forecast: Far-right consolidates third position, Italy's left gains ground". Euractiv.
  116. ^ Garscha, Mingo (2023-12-30). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Le Pen's Right-Wing ID Rises to Third Place". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2024-04-30.
  117. ^ Garscha, Mingo (2023-11-30). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Record High for ID". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2024-04-30.
  118. ^ Garscha, Mingo (2023-10-31). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Scare for S&D and ECR, Treats for EPP". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2024-04-30.
  119. ^ Garscha, Mingo (2023-09-30). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Meloni's ECR Close to Becoming 3rd". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2024-04-30.
  120. ^ Garscha, Mingo (2023-07-31). "EU Parliamentary Projection: The Race for the Top Gets Tighter". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2024-04-30.
  121. ^ Garscha, Mingo (2023-06-28). "EU Parliamentary Projection: AfD Polling High Pushes the Right Up". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2024-04-30.
  122. ^ Garscha, Mingo (2023-05-31). "EU Parliamentary Projection: One Year to Go". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2024-04-30.
  123. ^ Garscha, Mingo (2023-04-30). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Gains Left and Right, Losses In Between". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2024-04-30.
  124. ^ Garscha, Mingo (2023-03-31). "EU Parliamentary Projection: Calm First Days of Spring". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2024-04-30.
  125. ^ Garscha, Mingo (2023-02-28). "EU Parliamentary Projection: The Big Three Wake Up From Hibernation". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2024-04-30.
  126. ^ Garscha, Mingo (2023-01-31). "EU Parliamentary Projection: A New Year, New Polls, and a New Projection". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2024-04-30.
  127. ^ Garscha, Mingo (2022-12-31). "EU Parliamentary Projection: A Calm Month Rounds Off a Busy Year". Europe Elects. Retrieved 2024-04-30.
  128. ^ "2024 EU election projection". Europe Elects. 31 October 2020. Retrieved 26 November 2020.
  129. ^ a b "Euronews-Ipsos Poll". 2024-03-19. Retrieved 2024-04-17.
  130. ^ "PP is getting closer to DPS and the European liberal family" (in Bulgarian). 2023-06-29.
  131. ^ ""Yes, Bulgaria" is taking a turn to the right" (in Bulgarian). 2023-12-02.
  132. ^ "Bulgarian populists keen to join EU conservative bloc". 2023-12-04.
  133. ^ "Ylen eurovaalimittaus: Vihreät menettämässä kaksi meppipaikkaa ja RKP ainoansa – perussuomalaiset vahvistunut". Yle Uutiset (in Finnish). 2024-06-06. Retrieved 2024-06-08.
  134. ^ "Ylen eurovaalimittaus: Kokoomus suosituin puolue – RKP ja vihreät menettämässä meppipaikan". Yle Uutiset (in Finnish). 2024-05-02. Retrieved 2024-05-02.
  135. ^ "Puoluebarometri: Kokoomus jälleen vahvoilla eurovaaleissa – vihreitä uhkaa romahdus". yle.fi (in Finnish). 2024-04-22. Retrieved 2024-04-23.
  136. ^ "Européennes : vers une progression de la droite radicale au Parlement européen ?". ipsos.com (in French). 2024-03-19. p. 29. Retrieved 2024-03-20.
  137. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Pulse: 17 μονάδες μπροστά η ΝΔ από τον ΣΥΡΙΖΑ – Με ποια κριτήρια θα ψηφίσουν οι πολίτες". newsit (in Greek). 2024-05-15.
  138. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Pulse: 17 μονάδες μπροστά η ΝΔ από τον ΣΥΡΙΖΑ – Με ποια κριτήρια θα ψηφίσουν οι πολίτες". newsit (in Greek). 2024-05-15.
  139. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση MARC: Με πάνω από 18% προηγείται η ΝΔ στην εκτίμηση αποτελέσματος Ευρωεκλογών". ethnos (in Greek). 2024-05-15.
  140. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση OPEN για ευρωεκλογές 2024: Τα ποσοστά των κομμάτων – Τι λένε για συγκέντρωση Ράμα και συνάντηση Μητσοτάκη με Ερντογάν". ethnos (in Greek). 2024-05-15.
  141. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Interview για την POLITIC: Σε τροχιά ανόδου η ΝΔ – Τα πρόσωπα που μπαίνουν στην Ευρωβουλή". politic.gr (in Greek). 2024-05-14.
  142. ^ "Ευρωεκλογές – Δημοσκόπηση: Ποιοι προηγούνται στη μάχη του σταυρού, ποια κόμματα μπαίνουν στην Ευρωβουλή". tovima.gr (in Greek). 2024-05-11.
  143. ^ "Γκάλοπ Marc για το ΘΕΜΑ: Περνάει τον πήχη του 33% η ΝΔ, στο Κέντρο η μάχη για τους αναποφάσιστους". Proto Thema (in Greek). 2024-04-28.
  144. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση GPO για τα "Παραπολιτικά": Ισχυρό προβάδισμα της ΝΔ έναντι του ΣΥΡΙΖΑ - Το κυβερνών κόμμα ανακάμπτει και συσπειρώνεται". Parapolitika (in Greek). 2024-04-27.
  145. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Metron Analysis για το MEGA: Πρώτη η ΝΔ στην εκτίμηση ψήφου για τις ευρωεκλογές – Δημοφιλέστερος ο «Κανένας»". Mega (in Greek). 2024-04-18.
  146. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Prorata: Η ΝΔ χάνει προς «Ελληνική Λύση», απώλειες στο ΠΑΣΟΚ, «κλειδώνει» τη 2η θέση ο ΣΥΡΙΖΑ". ieidiseis.gr (in Greek). 2024-04-15.
  147. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Opinion Poll: Στις 17,1 μονάδες η διαφορά ΝΔ με τον ΣΥΡΙΖΑ και κυριαρχία Μητσοτάκη". Proto Thema (in Greek). 2024-04-11.
  148. ^ Ιατρίδου, Έλενα (2024-03-12). "Δημοσκόπηση Interview για την POLITIC Ι Με απώλειες αλλά σταθερά μπροστά η ΝΔ - Ένας στους δύο θα «στείλει μήνυμα» στις ευρωεκλογές". Ειδήσεις απο τη Θεσσαλονίκη, την Ελλάδα και όλο τον Κόσμο (in Greek). Retrieved 2024-04-09.
  149. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Interview: Προβάδισμα ΝΔ με 12,9%, δεύτερος ο ΣΥΡΙΖΑ". ProtoThema (in Greek). 2024-04-09. Retrieved 2024-04-09.
  150. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση ALCO: Μπροστά με διαφορά η ΝΔ, παλεύουν ΣΥΡΙΖΑ και ΠΑΣΟΚ για τη δεύτερη θέση". Newsbomb (in Greek). 2024-04-08.
  151. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Palmos Analysis στον ΕΤ: Σαρωτική υπεροχή για Μητσοτάκη και Νέα Δημοκρατία". Eleftheros Typos (in Greek). 2024-04-07.
  152. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση GPO για τα "Παραπολιτικά": Ισχυρό προβάδισμα της ΝΔ έναντι του ΣΥΡΙΖΑ - Στις 17,5 μονάδες η διαφορά". Parapolitika (in Greek). 2024-04-07.
  153. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση MRB: "Βυθίστηκε" σχεδόν 5% η ΝΔ μέσα σε ένα μήνα – Άλμα 4,5% για τον ΣΥΡΙΖΑ". To pontiki (in Greek). 2024-04-04.
  154. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση ΣΚΑΪ: Στις 18 μονάδες η διαφορά της ΝΔ από τον δεύτερο ΣΥΡΙΖΑ - Τι ποσοστό θέλει πρόωρες εκλογές". Skai (in Greek). 2024-04-03.
  155. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Opinion Poll: Κάτω από 30% το ποσοστό της ΝΔ". npress.gr (in Greek). 2024-03-22.
  156. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Metron: Κυβερνητική "βουτιά" 5 μονάδων σε ένα μήνα - Πληγώνουν τα Τέμπη". ieidiseis.gr (in Greek). 2024-03-21.
  157. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Good Affairs: Το προβάδισμα της ΝΔ και το ντέρμπι της 2ης θέσης". tovima.gr (in Greek). 2024-03-14.
  158. ^ "Στο 35% η Ν.Δ. - Τρεις μονάδες έχασε το ΠΑΣΟΚ σε 50 ημέρες - Δείτε όλο το γκάλοπ της Marc για το "Πρώτο ΘΕΜΑ"". Proto Thema (in Greek). 2024-03-17.
  159. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση GPO στο Star: Προβάδισμα 18,5 μονάδων στη ΝΔ". star.gr (in Greek). 2024-03-14.
  160. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Interview: Σταθερά μπροστά η ΝΔ -Τρίτο κόμμα το ΠΑΣΟΚ". iefimerida.gr (in Greek). 2024-03-12.
  161. ^ "Η μεγάλη δημοσκόπηση του ALPHA". Alpha TV (in Greek). 2024-03-07.
  162. ^ "Européennes : vers une progression de la droite radicale au Parlement européen ?". ipsos.com (in French). 2024-03-10. p. 21.
  163. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Pulse: Κυριαρχία ΝΔ με 17,5 μονάδες έναντι ΠΑΣΟΚ και ΣΥΡΙΖΑ, αποδυναμωμένοι Κασσελάκης και Τσίπρας". newsit.gr (in Greek). 2023-03-04.
  164. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση GPO για τα "Παραπολιτικά": Χωρίς αντίπαλο παραμένει η ΝΔ - Στις 22 μονάδες η διαφορά με το ΠΑΣΟΚ". Parapolitika (in Greek). 2024-03-04.
  165. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Opinion Poll".
  166. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Opinion Poll: Προβάδισμα ΝΔ με 18,5 μονάδες στις ευρωεκλογές και 21,2 στις εθνικές – Δεύτερο το ΠΑΣΟΚ". newsit.gr (in Greek). 2024-02-19.
  167. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Interview για την POLITIC: Ο Μητσοτάκης "κρατά" τα ποσοστά της ΝΔ – "Οι βουλευτές να ψηφίσουν κατά συνείδηση για το γάμο των ομόφυλων ζευγαριών"". politic.gr (in Greek). 2024-02-13.
  168. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Alco: Μπροστά με 16 μονάδες η ΝΔ, δεύτερο το ΠΑΣΟΚ, νέα πτώση ΣΥΡΙΖΑ -Τι λένε οι πολίτες για ακρίβεια-αγρότες". iefimerida (in Greek). 2024-02-08.
  169. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση GPO στο Star: Προβάδισμα 20,3% της ΝΔ στην πρόθεση ψήφου". Star (in Greek). 2024-01-25.
  170. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση MRB: Χωρισμένη στα δύο η χώρα για ομόφυλους γάμους - Ξεκάθαρο "όχι" στην τεκνοθεσία". CNN gr (in Greek). 2024-01-25.
  171. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση MARC για τον ΑΝΤ1: Η πρόθεση ψήφου στις Ευρωεκλογές – Τι λένε οι πολίτες για την ακρίβεια και τα μη κρατικά ΑΕΙ". enikos.gr (in Greek). 2024-01-25.
  172. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Interview για την Politic: Αδιαπραγμάτευτη η πρωτιά της ΝΔ. Όλα πιθανά για τη 2η θέση – Στο παιχνίδι και το ΚΚΕ". politic.gr (in Greek). 2024-01-16.
  173. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Prorata: Κυριαρχία της ΝΔ, "ναι" στα μη κρατικά πανεπιστήμια με αυστηρούς όρους". protothema.gr (in Greek). 2024-01-11.
  174. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση ALCO: Άνετο προβάδισμα ΝΔ ενόψει ευρωκάλπης, μεγάλη απαισιοδοξία για τα οικογενειακά οικονομικά". protothema.gr (in Greek). 2024-01-08.
  175. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση Interview για την POLITIC: "Επιστρέφει" ο ΣΥΡΙΖΑ στη δεύτερη θέση – "Εκτός" βουλής η Νέα Αριστερά". politic.gr (in Greek). 2023-12-11.
  176. ^ "Δημοσκόπηση της GPO για τα Παραπολιτικά: Στο 2,5% το ποσοστό της Νέας Αριστεράς, κάτω από το 10% ο ΣΥΡΙΖΑ - Απόλυτη κυριαρχία για τη ΝΔ". Parapolitika (in Greek). 2023-12-11.
  177. ^ Ryan, Órla (31 May 2024). "Independents remain most popular, while Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil overtake Sinn Féin in latest poll". TheJournal.ie. Retrieved 31 May 2024.
  178. ^ "Business Post Red C Opinion Poll Report May 2024" (PDF). Business Post. 28 May 2024. Retrieved 28 May 2024.
  179. ^ a b c d Leahy, Pat (18 May 2024). "Big parties set to win seats in each of three European Parliament constituencies, poll finds". The Irish Times. Retrieved 18 May 2024.
  180. ^ Ryan, Órla (10 May 2024). "Independent candidates overtake Sinn Féin as voters' top choice ahead of European elections". TheJournal.ie. Archived from the original on 10 May 2024. Retrieved 10 May 2024.
  181. ^ Matthews, Jane (11 April 2024). "Simon Harris's leadership makes 15% of voters less likely to vote for Fine Gael - poll". TheJournal.ie. Archived from the original on 10 April 2024. Retrieved 11 April 2024.
  182. ^ Finn, Christina (12 February 2024). "New poll shows Sinn Féin out in front for upcoming European elections in June". TheJournal.ie. Archived from the original on 21 February 2024. Retrieved 22 February 2024.
  183. ^ a b c Cunningham, Kevin (2 June 2024). "Poll: The race to Europe – very few done deals as candidates close in on finish line". Irish Independent. Retrieved 2 June 2024.
  184. ^ a b c Corcoran, Jody (19 May 2024). "Poll reveals the key battle the local and European elections is between centrist parties and the 'new right'". Irish Independent. Retrieved 21 May 2024.
  185. ^ a b c Corcoran, Jody (19 May 2024). "European Elections". Sunday Independent. p. 10.
  186. ^ "Partiju reitingi pirms Eiroparlamenta vēlēšanām: "Jaunā Vienotība" zaudē līderpozīciju Nacionālajai apvienībai". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2024-03-07.
  187. ^ "Partiju reitingi: Pirms Eiroparlamenta vēlēšanām līderos "Jaunā Vienotība" un Nacionālā apvienība". www.lsm.lv (in Latvian). Retrieved 2024-02-19.
  188. ^ "Legislative elections 2023 - Unofficial results". elections.public.lu. 0696. Retrieved 2024-05-10.
  189. ^ "Communal elections 2023 - Unofficial results". elections.public.lu. 2023-06-14. Retrieved 2024-05-10.
  190. ^ "European elections 2019 : Unofficial results". elections.public.lu. Retrieved 2024-05-10.
  191. ^ "Definitieve exitpoll: grote winst PVV, nek aan nek met GroenLinks-PvdA". nos.nl. 6 June 2024. Retrieved 7 June 2024.
  192. ^ Hond, Maurice de (5 June 2024). "Prognose uitslag Europese Parlementsverkiezingen 2024". Peil.nl.
  193. ^ "PVV en GroenLinks-PvdA even groot in laatste zetelpeiling voor Europese verkiezingen". EenVandaag (in Dutch). 2024-06-06.
  194. ^ "PVV en GroenLinks-PvdA bovenaan in Europese zetelpeiling, meerdere partijen verliezen hun zetels". EenVandaag (in Dutch). 2024-05-28.
  195. ^ a b c d e "EP-verkiezingen sterk landelijk gekleurd". ioresearch.nl (in Dutch). 2024-05-22.
  196. ^ Hond, Maurice de (18 May 2024). "De electorale reacties op het hoofdlijnen-akkoord". Peil.nl. Wekelijkse peiling zetelverdeling.
  197. ^ Hond, Maurice de (4 May 2024). "Winst PVV neemt iets af". Peil.nl. Wekelijkse peiling zetelverdeling.
  198. ^ a b "EP-verkiezingen: opgeven Nexit schaadt PVV nauwelijks". ioresearch.nl (in Dutch). 2024-04-23.
  199. ^ a b "Européennes : vers une progression de la droite radicale au Parlement européen ?". ipsos.com (in French). 2024-03-19. p. 19.
  200. ^ @XandervdWulp (June 6, 2024). "Def exitpoll" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  201. ^ "Slotpeiling Ipsos I&O Europese Verkiezingen: PVV en GL-PvdA nog steeds gelijk aan kop". ipsos.com (in Dutch). 2024-05-06.
  202. ^ "Peiling EP: PVV en GL-PvdA lijken grootste te worden". ipsos.com (in Dutch). 2024-05-30.
  203. ^ "EP-verkiezingen: lijsttrekkers en fracties nagenoeg onbekend". ioresearch.nl (in Dutch). 2024-03-28.
  204. ^ "EUPoll: All Countries". Portland Communications. 12 February 2024.
  205. ^ "Najnowszy sondaż przed eurowyborami: PiS wyprzedza KO" (in Polish). Retrieved 2024-05-14.
  206. ^ "Konfederacja przedstawiła pierwszych kandydatów do PE. Braun mówi o "eurokołchozie"". pap.pl (in Polish). 29 April 2024. Retrieved 2024-05-20.
  207. ^ PDU 2,8% PRM 1,9% Indep. Vlad Gheorghe 1,9% Indep. Nicolae Bogdănel Ștefănuță 1,9% Indep. Șoșoacă 1,5% Indep. Paula Pârvănescu 1,0% alții 2,6%
  208. ^ "Slovenia, Ninamedia poll" (in Slovenian). 7 June 2024. Retrieved 7 June 2024.
  209. ^ "Največjo podporo ima SDS, ki pa bi bil po številu osvojenih mandatov lahko izenačen s Svobodo" (in Slovenian). 7 June 2024. Retrieved 7 June 2024.
  210. ^ "Delitev bruseljskih stolčkov: štirje SDS, dva Svobodi, po en SD, Vesni in NSi" (in Slovenian). 25 May 2024. Retrieved 27 May 2024.
  211. ^ "Anketa Dnevnika: Zaradi referendumov volilna udeležba ne bo bistveno višja" (in Slovenian). 18 May 2024. Retrieved 21 May 2024.
  212. ^ "Presenečenje na bruseljski lestvici, politična bitka še kako odprta" (in Slovenian). 26 April 2024. Retrieved 28 April 2024.
  213. ^ "Anketa Dela: SDS bi na evropskih volitvah dobil štiri poslance, Gibanje Svoboda dva" (in Slovenian). 9 March 2024. Retrieved 11 March 2024.
  214. ^ Rok Čakš (18 December 2023). "Anketa o evropskih volitvah spodbudna za slovensko desno sredino". domovina.je (in Slovenian). Retrieved 19 December 2023.
  215. ^ "PRIESKUM VOLEBNÝCH PREFERENCIÍ POLITICKÝCH STRÁN DO EURÓPSKEHO PARLAMENTU – JÚN 2024" (PDF). ipsos.com (in Slovak). 2024-06-05. Retrieved 2024-06-05.
  216. ^ "Eurovoľby 2024 – Po atentáte SMER dobieha PS". nms.global (in Slovak). 2024-06-04. Retrieved 2024-06-08.
  217. ^ "Volebný model voľby do Európskeho parlamentu máj 2024" (PDF). tvnoviny.sk (in Slovak). 2024-06-04. Retrieved 2024-05-22.
  218. ^ "Prieskum IPSOS: Voľby by vyhral Smer, s PS by mal rovnaký počet kresiel v EP". tvnoviny.sk (in Slovak). 2024-05-22. Retrieved 2024-05-22.
  219. ^ "Eurovoľby 2024 – V máji vedie Progresívne Slovensko". nms.global (in Slovak). 2024-05-20. Retrieved 2024-05-20.
  220. ^ "Eurovoľby by vyhrali progresívci pred Smerom a Hlasom, ukázal prieskum". nms.global (in Slovak). 2024-05-21. Retrieved 2024-05-21.
  221. ^ "Eurovoľby 2024 – Najväčšiu podporu má Progresívne Slovensko". nms.global (in Slovak). 2024-04-26. Retrieved 2024-04-26.
  222. ^ "Exkluzívny prieskum agentúry AKO pre JOJ 24: Takto by dopadli voľby do Európskeho parlamentu". noviny.sk (in Slovak). 2024-04-23. Retrieved 2024-04-23.
  223. ^ "Volebný model do Európskeho parlamentu" (PDF). ipsos.com (in Slovak). 2024-02-14. Retrieved 2024-03-31.

Other for Spain

edit
  1. ^ "El PP habría ganado con claridad las europeas pero el PSOE retendría un alto nivel de apoyo". El Español (in Spanish). 9 June 2023.
  2. ^ "Sondeo elecciones europeas en España: el PP ganaría al PSOE por casi dos puntos y podrían empatar en escaños". RTVE (in Spanish). 9 June 2023.
  3. ^ "[E] ESPAÑA. Encuesta 40dB. 09/06/2024: PP 32,4% (22), PSOE 29,7% (20), VOX 10,3% (6/7), SUMAR 6,0% (3/4)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 9 June 2024.
  4. ^ "[E] ESPAÑA. Encuesta Metroscopia. 09/06/2024: PP 32,6% (22/23), PSOE 30,1% (20/21), VOX 10,1% (6/7), SUMAR 5,4% (3/4)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 9 June 2024.
  5. ^ "El PSOE remonta en campaña y recorta distancias con el PP, según las encuestas". Público (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
  6. ^ "El PP ganará las europeas, pero reduce su ventaja sobre el PSOE al perder un escaño en favor de Vox". OKDiario (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
  7. ^ "ElectoPanel Europeo (3J – Final): PP y PSOE, cerca". El Debate (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.
  8. ^ "El tracking final del 9-J: el PP mantiene tres puntos de ventaja sobre un PSOE que aprovecha el hundimiento de Sumar". El Mundo (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
  9. ^ "Sprint final en las europeas: el PP ganaría hoy pero el PSOE acecha a menos de 5 puntos". El Español (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
  10. ^ "Encuesta: el PSOE se aproxima al PP, mientras Vox sigue creciendo en la recta final de la campaña". Agenda Pública (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.
  11. ^ "El PP reduce su ventaja a 2,5 puntos y el PSOE crece, inmune al caso Begoña y a la amnistía". El Debate (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.
  12. ^ a b "Elecciones europeas: el PSOE logra empatar con el PP en la recta final de la campaña". El Periódico de España (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
  13. ^ "El PP supera en seis puntos al PSOE y gana más de diez parlamentarios". La Razón (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
  14. ^ "ElectoPanel EUROPEO (2J): PP y PSOE rozan el empate técnico". Electomanía (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.
  15. ^ "La polarización de Sánchez da alas a los extremos: Vox crece a costa del PP y el PSOE recorta". El Mundo (in Spanish). 1 June 2024.
  16. ^ "El PP triunfaría en las elecciones europeas con diez escaños más y tres de ventaja sobre el PSOE". VozPópuli (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
  17. ^ "El PP mantiene tres puntos de ventaja sobre el PSOE en la recta final de la campaña". El País (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
  18. ^ a b c "La UE y las elecciones al Parlamento Europeo. Ola 2. Junio 2024" (PDF). 40dB (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
  19. ^ "El PP ganará las elecciones europeas el 9J con cinco puntos y cuatro escaños más que el PSOE". ABC (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.
  20. ^ a b c "Campaña de las elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024 (Estudio nº 3460. Mayo 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
  21. ^ "Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3460. Campaña de las elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
  22. ^ "El PSOE se acerca al PP en las europeas, Vox, tercera fuerza y Alvise lograría dos escaños". The Objective (in Spanish). 31 May 2024.
  23. ^ "El PP ganará las elecciones europeas con 4,4 puntos de ventaja sobre el PSOE". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 2 June 2024.
  24. ^ "Encuesta DYM. El PP duplica escaños y ganaría el 9J, mientras el PSOE resiste y Sumar y Podemos pugnan por su espacio". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
  25. ^ "El PP, claro vencedor de las europeas, según Celeste-Tel". Onda Cero (in Spanish). 31 May 2024.
  26. ^ "[E] ESPAÑA. Encuesta Celeste-Tel 31/05/2024: PP 34,9% (23), PSOE 29,3% (20), VOX 9,9% (6), SUMAR 6,3% (4)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 31 May 2024.
  27. ^ "El PP ganaría hoy las europeas por 5,4 puntos pero el PSOE recorta otros 3 esta semana". El Español (in Spanish). 27 May 2024.
  28. ^ "El PP arranca la campaña de las europeas con una ventaja de cinco eurodiputados sobre el PSOE, según las encuestas". Público (in Spanish). 25 May 2024.
  29. ^ "El PP ganará las europeas con 4 diputados más que el PSOE, Vox sube e Irene Montero tendrá escaño". OKDiario (in Spanish). 26 May 2024.
  30. ^ "Barómetro Mediaset. Voto estimado al Parlamento Europeo". GAD3 (in Spanish). 28 May 2024.
  31. ^ "Sánchez resiste a sus últimas crisis y Feijóo mantiene su victoria el 9J". La Razón (in Spanish). 27 May 2024.
  32. ^ "El PP triunfará en las elecciones europeas con dos millones de votos de PSOE y Ciudadanos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 26 May 2024.
  33. ^ "Encuesta Elecciones europeas: El PP experimenta una caída frente a la subida del PSOE y las opciones de extrema derecha". El Plural (in Spanish). 26 May 2024.
  34. ^ "PSOE y Vox aprovechan los primeros días de campaña ante unas elecciones consideradas por los españoles más decisivas que las anteriores". Agenda Pública (in Spanish). 27 May 2024.
  35. ^ "El PP ganaría por 8 puntos las europeas pero el PSOE le recorta más de 4 tras las catalanas". El Español (in Spanish). 20 May 2024.
  36. ^ "El PP ganaría las elecciones europeas con holgura y arrancaría casi 700.000 votos al PSOE". La Razón (in Spanish). 20 May 2024.
  37. ^ "Encuesta Elecciones europeas: Resultados muy ajustados entre bloques". El Plural (in Spanish). 19 May 2024.
  38. ^ "Más allá de los cálculos de Tezanos: nueve preguntas y algunas respuestas sobre qué pasará el 9J". infoLibre (in Spanish). 24 May 2024.
  39. ^ a b c d e "Preelectoral elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024 (Estudio nº 3458. Mayo 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 23 May 2024.
  40. ^ "Estimación de voto (Estudio nº 3458. Preelectoral elecciones al Parlamento Europeo 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 23 May 2024.
  41. ^ "El Partido Popular ganaría las elecciones europeas con una delegación española más derechizada". Agenda Pública (in Spanish). 17 May 2024.
  42. ^ "El PP redobla su presencia en Europa, el PSOE aguanta y Vox se dispara". El País (in Spanish). 20 May 2024.
  43. ^ a b "La UE y las elecciones al Parlamento Europeo. Mayo 2024" (PDF). 40dB (in Spanish). 20 May 2024.
  44. ^ a b "El PP afronta las europeas con seis puntos de ventaja sobre el PSOE y Vox supera a Sumar". elDiario.es (in Spanish). 21 May 2024.
  45. ^ "[E] ESPAÑA. Encuesta Simple Lógica 21/05/2024: PP 36,4% (24), PSOE 29,9% (20), VOX 10,9% (7), 8,0% (5)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 21 May 2024.
  46. ^ "El PP aventaja al PSOE en 12,5 puntos en europeas y se acerca a la mayoría absoluta en unas generales". El Español (in Spanish). 6 May 2024.
  47. ^ "Feijóo se despega ya siete puntos de Sánchez y el PP doblaría su representación en Europa". El Mundo (in Spanish). 4 May 2024.
  48. ^ "El PP superaría al PSOE en 12 puntos en las europeas y en unas generales, con Sumar en acusada caída". El Español (in Spanish). 14 April 2024.
  49. ^ "Barómetro Mediaset. Elecciones generales y europeas". GAD3 (in Spanish). 26 March 2024.
  50. ^ "Koldo y amnistía hunden al PSOE: el PP ganaría hoy las europeas por 15 puntos y las generales por casi 12". El Español (in Spanish). 10 March 2024.
  51. ^ "El PP duplicará diputados en la Eurocámara, el PSOE cae 4 puntos y pierden los independentistas". El Español (in Spanish). 19 March 2024.
  52. ^ "Européennes: vers une progression de la droite radicale au Parlement européen?". Ipsos (in French). 19 March 2024.
  53. ^ "El PP ganaría las elecciones europeas con una ventaja aún mayor sobre el PSOE que el 23J". ABC (in Spanish). 4 March 2024.
  54. ^ "El PP incrementa hasta más de 10 puntos su ventaja sobre el PSOE ante las elecciones europeas". El Español (in Spanish). 11 February 2024.
  55. ^ "El PP ganaría las elecciones europeas con holgura y arrancaría casi 700.000 votos al PSOE". La Razón (in Spanish). 27 January 2024.
  56. ^ "El PP ganaría las europeas con casi 9 puntos sobre el PSOE y Podemos lograría dos escaños". El Español (in Spanish). 7 January 2024.
  57. ^ "El PP ganaría por nueve puntos al PSOE, dobla su representación e Irene Montero conseguiría un escaño para Podemos en las europeas". El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 January 2024.
  58. ^ "El PP ganaría al PSOE por 7,6 puntos y cinco escaños si las elecciones europeas se celebrasen hoy". El Español (in Spanish). 27 November 2023.
  59. ^ "PP y Vox doblan el número de escaños y el PSOE y sus socios quedan en minoría". Diario de León (in Spanish). 3 June 2024.
  60. ^ "Opiniones y actitudes ante la Unión Europea (Estudio nº 3452. Abril 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 23 April 2024.
  61. ^ "Barómetro de abril 2024 (Estudio nº 3450. Abril 2024)". CIS (in Spanish). 11 April 2024.