Talk:Political forecasting

Article Name is Misleading

The name of this article does not describe the field accurately. Political forecasting is an umbrella term with extensive examples of non-election forecasting examples existing in the field of international relations, especially pertaining to conflict theory and diplomacy. The current article only describes election forecasting, which should be its own article if that is to remain the sole motivation of this article. The name political forecasting is inappropriate for this article if it concerns only elections. --Adamopoulos (talk) 09:26, 30 January 2021 (UTC).

WP:COI

Someone with expertize in this area, but not affiliated with PollyVote needs to look at this article. VG ☎ 17:26, 24 September 2008 (UTC)

Unemployment rate

Isn't there some form of presidential election forecasting that takes the unemployment rate into account? Why no mention of that in this article? --JHP (talk) 07:16, 16 February 2010 (UTC)

Ah-ha, I found one here. It looks at national inflation, the change in unemployment at the state level, each state's vote in the previous presidential election, and "incumbent fatigue". --JHP (talk) 07:44, 16 February 2010 (UTC)

Proposing to move this page to a new "election forecasting page" and drafting a new page for political forecasting

Hello, I am proposing moving the contents of this page to a new page called "election forecasting" and filling this page with a new set of contents which I have drafted here: https://en.wiki.x.io/wiki/Draft:Political_forecasting. The reason for this is simple: the larger field of political forecasting, while vast and complex, is generally only understood in an academic context. Furthermore, the vast improvements to forecasting political events of all types, including negotiations, wars, treaties, democratization/autocratization and many other phenomenon, have been monumental, especially over the last ten years. I do not believe this information has a home on Wikipedia as of yet; furthermore, the best possible home for it seems to be occupied. The current page discusses only election forecasting: I believe this is too narrow a discussion to use the page "political forecasting." The new draft I've proposed has an incredible amount of information and, at last pass, over 40 sources that are all highly reputable. I hope you will help me in introducing this valuable information to the Wikipedia community in a way that is respectful of the current content by accommodating me in this planned move. Thank you very much. Adamopoulos (talk) 19:24, 21 August 2021 (UTC)