2016 United States presidential election in California

The 2016 United States presidential election in California was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. California voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. California had 55 electoral votes in the Electoral College, the most of any state.[2]

2016 United States presidential election in California

← 2012 November 8, 2016 2020 →
Turnout75.27% (of registered voters) Increase 2.91 pp
58.74% (of eligible voters) Increase 3.27 pp[1]
 
Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Alliance American Independent
Home state New York New York
Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence
Electoral vote 55 0
Popular vote 8,753,788 4,483,810
Percentage 61.73% 31.62%


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by county

Clinton won the state with 61.73 percent of the vote, a 30.11 percent margin, and a vote difference of 4,269,978. Despite being the largest state by population in the country, California only delivered Trump his third largest vote count, behind Florida and Texas. Even though Clinton lost the presidency, her victory margin in California was the largest of any Democrat since 1936. This was only the fourth time in U.S. history that a Republican was elected president without carrying California. She also was the first Democrat to win Orange County since that same year, making Trump the first ever Republican to win the presidency without winning the county. Trump's 31.62% vote share remains the worst performance by a Republican presidential nominee since 1856. The state was one of 11 (along with the District of Columbia) that shifted towards the Democrats.

Primary elections

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On June 7, 2016, in the presidential primaries, California voters expressed their preferences for the Democratic, Republican, Green, and Libertarian, Peace and Freedom, and American Independent parties' respective nominees for president.

 
Sanders at a rally at UC, Davis

While California has had a top-two candidates open primary system since 2011,[3] presidential primaries are still partisan races. Registered members of each party may only vote in their party's presidential primary. Unaffiliated voters may choose any one primary in which to vote, if the party allows such voters to participate.[3] For 2016, the American Independent, Democratic, and Libertarian parties have chosen to allow voters registered with no party preference to request their respective party's presidential ballots.[4]

Democratic primary

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Democratic primary results by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

Seven candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot:[5]

Opinion polling

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Results

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e • d 2016 Democratic Party's presidential nominating process in California
– Summary of results –
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 2,745,302 53.07% 254 66 320
Bernie Sanders 2,381,722 46.04% 221 0 221
Willie Wilson 12,014 0.23%
Michael Steinberg 10,880 0.21%
Rocky De La Fuente 8,453 0.16%
Henry Hewes 7,743 0.15%
Keith Judd 7,201 0.14%
Write-in 23 0.00%
Uncommitted 10 10
Total 5,173,338 100% 475 76 551
Source: California Secretary of State - Presidential Primary Election Statement of Votes The Green Papers

Republican primary

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Republican primary results by county.
  Donald Trump
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%

Five candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot, four of whom had suspended their campaigns prior to the primary:[5]

Donald Trump, the only candidate with an active campaign, won each Congressional district by substantial margins, as well as all the statewide delegates, to capture all 172 votes.

California Republican primary, June 7, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 1,665,135 74.76% 172 0 172
John Kasich (withdrawn) 252,544 11.34% 0 0 0
Ted Cruz (withdrawn) 211,576 9.50% 0 0 0
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 82,259 3.69% 0 0 0
Jim Gilmore (withdrawn) 15,691 0.70% 0 0 0
Write-ins 101 0.00% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 2,227,306 100.00% 172 0 172
Source: The Green Papers

Libertarian primary

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Libertarian primary results by county.
  Gary Johnson
  Tie

Twelve candidates appeared on the Libertarian presidential primary ballot:

The primary took place after Gary Johnson won the Libertarian nomination at the Party's 2016 convention.

California Libertarian presidential primary, June 7, 2016[6]
Candidate Votes Percentage
Gary Johnson 19,294 62%
John McAfee 3,139 10%
Austin Petersen 1,853 6%
Rhett Smith 1,531 5%
Joy Waymire 923 3%
John David Hale 873 3%
Marc Allan Feldman 867 3%
Jack Robinson Jr. 739 2%
Steve Kerbel 556 2%
Darryl Perry 521 2%
Derrick Michael Reid 462 1%
Cecil Ince 417 1%
Total 31,175 100%

Green primary

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Green Party of California presidential primary, June 7, 2016[7]
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
Jill Stein 11,207 76.2% 40
Darryl Cherney 1,475 10% 5
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza Curry 839 5.7% 3
William Kreml 595 4.2% 2
Kent Mesplay 584 4.0% 2
Total 14,700 100% 50

Other parties

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American Independent

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AIP primary
  Alan Spears
  Arthur Harris
  J. R. Myers
California American Independent presidential primary, June 7, 2016[8]
Candidate Votes Percentage
Alan Spears 7,348 19%
Arthur Harris 6,510 17%
Robert Ornelas 6,411 17%
J. R. Myers 4,898 13%
Wiley Drake 4,828 13%
James Hedges 3,989 11%
Thomas Hoefling 3,917 10%
Total 37,901 100%

The American Independent Party, a far-right and paleoconservative political party that formed when endorsing the candidacy of George Wallace in 1968 held a small presidential primary on June 7. It was won by attorney Alan Spears.

The American Independent Party nullified the results of this primary when they endorsed Donald Trump in August.[9] The party indicated that Trump was a popular write-in choice during the primary, but was not allowed on the ballot because there was no evidence that Trump wanted the American Independent endorsement.[10]

Peace and Freedom

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California Peace and Freedom presidential primary, June 7, 2016[11]
Candidate Votes Percentage
Gloria Estela La Riva 2,232 49%
Monica Moorehead 1,369 30%
Lynn Sandra Kahn 963 21%
Total 4,564 100%


General election

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Banner displaying "Vote To Make America Great Again" on a roadside in California shortly after the November 2016 election

Polling

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Democrat Hillary Clinton won every pre-election poll by double digits. The average of the last three pre-election polls showed Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 54.3% to 32%.[12]

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Los Angeles Times[13] Safe D November 6, 2016
CNN[14] Safe D November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[15] Safe D November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[16] Safe D November 8, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[17] Safe D November 7, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] Safe D November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[19] Safe D November 8, 2016
Fox News[20] Safe D November 7, 2016

Results

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2016 U.S. presidential election in California[21]
Party Presidential candidate Popular vote Electoral vote
Count Percentage
Democratic Hillary Clinton 8,753,788 61.73% 55
Republican/American Independent Donald Trump 4,483,810 31.62% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson 478,500 3.37% 0
Green Jill Stein 278,657 1.97% 0
Independent Bernie Sanders (write-in) 79,341 0.60% 0
Peace and Freedom Gloria La Riva 66,101 0.47% 0
Independent Evan McMullin (write-in) 39,596 0.28% 0
Solidarity Mike Maturen (write-in) 1,316 0.01% 0
Independent Laurence Kotlikoff (write-in) 402 0.00% 0
Independent Jerry White (write-in) 84 0.00% 0
Date November 8, 2016 Total voters Registered: 19,411,771
Eligible: 24,875,293
Turnout % Registered: 75.27%
VAP: 58.74%
Turnout votes Valid votes: 14,181,585
Invalid votes: 428,924


 
Swing by Census Block Group
  Clinton
  •   >50%
  •   40-50%
  •   30-40%
  •   20-30%
  •   15-20%
  •   10-15%
  •   5-10%
  •   1-5%
  Trump
  •   1-5%
  •   5-10%
  •   10-15%
  •   15-20%
  •   20-30%
  •   30-40%
  •   40-50%
  •   >50%

Below is an official list of California's Recognized Write-in Candidates.

California law only requires that 55 electors sign on to declare a person a write-in candidate, not that the persons consent, according to a statement from the Secretary of State's Office.[22]

By county

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County Hillary Clinton
Democratic
Donald Trump
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Alameda 514,842 78.06% 95,922 14.54% 48,779 7.40% 418,920 63.52% 659,543
Alpine 334 55.48% 217 36.05% 51 8.47% 117 19.43% 602
Amador 6,004 33.42% 10,485 58.37% 1,474 8.21% -4,481 -24.95% 17,963
Butte 41,567 42.85% 45,144 46.54% 10,291 10.61% -3,577 -3.69% 97,002
Calaveras 7,944 33.76% 13,511 57.42% 2,076 8.82% -5,567 -23.66% 23,531
Colusa 2,661 39.73% 3,551 53.02% 485 7.25% -890 -13.29% 6,697
Contra Costa 319,287 67.50% 115,956 24.51% 37,771 7.99% 203,331 42.99% 473,014
Del Norte 3,485 36.46% 5,134 53.71% 939 9.83% -1,649 -17.25% 9,558
El Dorado 36,404 38.26% 49,247 51.76% 9,498 9.98% -12,843 -13.50% 95,149
Fresno 141,341 49.24% 124,049 43.21% 21,672 7.55% 17,292 6.03% 287,062
Glenn 3,065 32.37% 5,788 61.12% 617 6.51% -2,723 -28.75% 9,470
Humboldt 33,200 55.32% 18,373 30.61% 8,441 14.07% 14,827 24.71% 60,014
Imperial 32,667 67.93% 12,704 26.42% 2,720 5.65% 19,963 41.51% 48,091
Inyo 3,155 38.57% 4,248 51.94% 776 9.49% -1,093 -13.37% 8,179
Kern 98,689 40.42% 129,584 53.07% 15,890 6.51% -30,895 -12.65% 244,163
Kings 13,617 39.69% 18,093 52.73% 2,600 7.58% -4,476 -13.04% 34,310
Lake 11,500 46.59% 10,603 42.95% 2,581 10.46% 897 3.64% 24,684
Lassen 2,224 20.79% 7,574 70.79% 901 8.42% -5,350 -50.00% 10,699
Los Angeles 2,464,364 71.76% 769,743 22.41% 200,201 5.83% 1,694,621 49.35% 3,434,308
Madera 17,029 39.14% 23,357 53.69% 3,121 7.17% -6,328 -14.55% 43,507
Marin 108,707 77.27% 21,771 15.48% 10,205 7.25% 86,936 61.79% 140,683
Mariposa 3,122 35.17% 5,185 58.41% 570 6.42% -2,063 -23.24% 8,877
Mendocino 22,079 58.23% 10,888 28.72% 4,948 13.05% 11,191 29.51% 37,915
Merced 37,317 52.47% 28,725 40.39% 5,085 7.14% 8,592 12.08% 71,127
Modoc 877 22.82% 2,696 70.15% 270 7.03% -1,819 -47.33% 3,843
Mono 2,773 52.51% 2,111 39.97% 397 7.52% 662 12.54% 5,281
Monterey 89,088 66.78% 34,895 26.16% 9,425 7.06% 54,193 40.62% 133,408
Napa 39,199 63.87% 17,411 28.37% 4,762 7.76% 21,788 35.50% 61,372
Nevada 26,053 47.43% 23,365 42.53% 5,517 10.04% 2,688 4.90% 54,935
Orange 609,961 50.94% 507,148 42.35% 80,412 6.71% 102,813 8.59% 1,197,521
Placer 73,509 39.52% 95,138 51.14% 17,377 9.34% -21,629 -11.62% 186,024
Plumas 3,459 35.12% 5,420 55.03% 971 9.85% -1,961 -19.91% 9,850
Riverside 373,695 49.73% 333,243 44.35% 44,453 5.92% 40,452 5.38% 751,391
Sacramento 326,023 57.98% 189,789 33.75% 46,473 8.27% 136,234 24.23% 562,285
San Benito 12,521 56.60% 7,841 35.44% 1,760 7.96% 4,680 21.16% 22,122
San Bernardino 340,833 52.12% 271,240 41.48% 41,910 6.40% 69,593 10.64% 653,983
San Diego 735,476 56.07% 477,766 36.43% 98,376 7.50% 257,710 19.64% 1,311,618
San Francisco 345,084 84.47% 37,688 9.23% 25,769 6.30% 307,396 75.24% 408,541
San Joaquin 121,124 53.36% 88,936 39.18% 16,942 7.46% 32,188 14.18% 227,002
San Luis Obispo 67,107 48.91% 56,164 40.94% 13,931 10.15% 10,943 7.97% 137,202
San Mateo 237,882 75.67% 57,929 18.43% 18,573 5.90% 179,953 57.24% 314,384
Santa Barbara 107,142 59.90% 56,365 31.51% 15,371 8.59% 50,777 28.39% 178,878
Santa Clara 511,684 72.71% 144,826 20.58% 47,199 6.71% 366,858 52.13% 703,709
Santa Cruz 95,249 73.26% 22,438 17.26% 12,325 9.48% 72,811 56.00% 130,012
Shasta 22,301 27.52% 51,778 63.90% 6,945 8.58% -29,477 -36.38% 81,024
Sierra 601 32.35% 1,048 56.40% 209 11.25% -447 -24.05% 1,858
Siskiyou 7,234 35.30% 11,341 55.34% 1,918 9.36% -4,107 -20.04% 20,493
Solano 102,360 60.87% 51,920 30.88% 13,870 8.25% 50,440 29.99% 168,150
Sonoma 160,435 68.77% 51,408 22.03% 21,460 9.20% 109,027 46.74% 233,303
Stanislaus 81,647 46.81% 78,494 45.01% 14,265 8.18% 3,153 1.80% 174,406
Sutter 13,076 38.66% 18,176 53.74% 2,572 7.60% -5,100 -15.08% 33,824
Tehama 6,809 28.48% 15,494 64.81% 1,605 6.71% -8,685 -36.33% 23,908
Trinity 2,214 38.28% 2,812 48.62% 758 13.10% -598 -10.34% 5,784
Tulare 47,585 41.70% 58,299 51.09% 8,218 7.21% -10,714 -9.39% 114,102
Tuolumne 9,123 35.23% 14,551 56.20% 2,219 8.57% -5,428 -20.97% 25,893
Ventura 194,402 54.59% 132,323 37.16% 29,382 8.25% 62,079 17.43% 356,107
Yolo 54,752 66.70% 20,739 25.26% 6,599 8.04% 34,013 41.44% 82,090
Yuba 7,910 34.39% 13,170 57.27% 1,918 8.34% -5,260 -22.88% 22,998
Total 8,753,792 61.46% 4,483,814 31.48% 1,005,843 7.06% 4,269,978 29.98% 14,243,449
 
 
 
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

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Clinton won 46 of the 53 congressional districts, including 7 held by Republicans.[23]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 55% 36% Doug LaMalfa
2nd 23% 69% Jared Huffman
3rd 40% 53% John Garamendi
4th 53% 39% Tom McClintock
5th 24% 69% Mike Thompson
6th 24% 68% Doris Matsui
7th 40% 51% Ami Bera
8th 55% 40% Paul Cook
9th 37% 55% Jerry McNerney
10th 45% 48% Jeff Denham
11th 22% 70% Mark DeSaulnier
12th 9% 86% Nancy Pelosi
13th 7% 87% Barbara Lee
14th 18% 77% Jackie Speier
15th 24% 69% Eric Swalwell
16th 36% 57% Jim Costa
17th 20% 74% Mike Honda
Ro Khanna
18th 20% 73% Anna Eshoo
19th 22% 73% Zoe Lofgren
20th 23% 70% Sam Farr
Jimmy Panetta
21st 39% 55% David Valadao
22nd 51% 42% Devin Nunes
23rd 58% 36% Kevin McCarthy
24th 36% 56% Lois Capps
Salud Carbajal
25th 43% 50% Steve Knight
26th 35% 57% Julia Brownley
27th 28% 66% Judy Chu
28th 22% 72% Adam Schiff
29th 17% 78% Tony Cárdenas
30th 26% 69% Brad Sherman
31st 37% 58% Pete Aguilar
32nd 28% 67% Grace Napolitano
33rd 27% 68% Ted Lieu
34th 11% 84% Xavier Becerra
35th 27% 68% Norma Torres
36th 43% 52% Raul Ruiz
37th 10% 86% Karen Bass
38th 27% 67% Linda Sánchez
39th 43% 51% Ed Royce
40th 13% 82% Lucille Roybal-Allard
41st 33% 61% Mark Takano
42nd 53% 41% Ken Calvert
43rd 17% 78% Maxine Waters
44th 12% 83% Janice Hahn
Nanette Barragán
45th 44% 49% Mimi Walters
46th 28% 66% Loretta Sánchez
Lou Correa
47th 31% 62% Alan Lowenthal
48th 46% 48% Dana Rohrabacher
49th 43% 51% Darrell Issa
50th 55% 40% Duncan Hunter
51st 23% 72% Juan Vargas
52nd 36% 58% Scott Peters
53rd 30% 65% Susan Davis

By city

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Official outcomes by city.[24]

City County Winner
Alameda Alameda Clinton
Albany
Berkeley
Dublin
Emeryville
Fremont
Hayward
Livermore
Newark
Oakland
Piedmont
Pleasanton
San Leandro
Union City
Amador City Amador
Ione Trump
Jackson
Plymouth
Sutter Creek
Biggs Butte
Chico Clinton
Gridley Trump
Oroville
Paradise
Angels Camp Calaveras
Colusa Colusa
Williams Clinton
Antioch Contra Costa
Brentwood
Clayton
Concord
Danville
El Cerrito
Hercules
Lafayette
Martinez
Moraga
Oakley
Orinda
Pinole
Pittsburg
Pleasant Hill
Richmond
San Pablo
San Ramon
Walnut Creek
Crescent City Del Norte Trump
Placerville El Dorado
South Lake Tahoe Clinton
Clovis Fresno Trump
Coalinga
Firebaugh Clinton
Fowler
Fresno
Huron
Kerman
Kingsburg Trump
Mendota Clinton
Orange Cove
Parlier
Reedley
San Joaquin
Sanger
Selma
Orland Glenn Trump
Arcata Humboldt Clinton
Blue Lake
Eureka
Ferndale
Fortuna Trump
Rio Dell
Trinidad Clinton
Brawley Imperial
Calexico
Calipatria
El Centro
Holtville
Imperial
Westmorland
Bishop Inyo
Arvin Kern
Bakersfield Trump
California City
Delano Clinton
Maricopa Trump
McFarland Clinton
Ridgecrest Trump
Shafter Clinton
Taft Trump
Tehachapi
Wasco Clinton
Avenal Kings
Corcoran
Hanford Trump
Lemoore
Clearlake Lake Clinton
Lakeport
Susanville Lassen Trump
Agoura Hills Los Angeles Clinton
Alhambra
Arcadia
Artesia
Avalon
Azusa
Baldwin Park
Bell
Bell Gardens
Bellflower
Beverly Hills
Bradbury Trump
Burbank Clinton
Calabasas
Carson
Cerritos
Claremont
Commerce
Compton
Covina
Cudahy
Culver City
Diamond Bar
Downey
Duarte
El Monte
El Segundo
Gardena
Glendale
Glendora Trump
Hawaiian Gardens Clinton
Hawthorne
Hermosa Beach
Hidden Hills
Huntington Park
Industry
Inglewood
Irwindale
La Cañada Flintridge
La Habra Heights Trump
La Mirada Clinton
La Puente
La Verne Trump
Lakewood Clinton
Lancaster
Lawndale
Lomita
Long Beach
Los Angeles
Lynwood
Malibu
Manhattan Beach
Maywood
Monrovia
Montebello
Monterey Park
Norwalk
Palmdale
Palos Verdes Estates
Paramount
Pasadena
Pico Rivera
Pomona
Rancho Palos Verdes
Redondo Beach
Rolling Hills Trump
Rolling Hills Estates Clinton
Rosemead
San Dimas
San Fernando
San Gabriel
San Marino
Santa Clarita
Santa Fe Springs
Santa Monica
Sierra Madre
Signal Hill
South El Monte
South Gate
South Pasadena
Temple City
Torrance
Vernon
Walnut
West Covina
West Hollywood
Westlake Village
Whittier
Chowchilla Madera Trump
Madera Clinton
Belvedere Marin
Corte Madera
Fairfax
Larkspur
Mill Valley
Novato
Ross
San Anselmo
San Rafael
Sausalito
Fort Bragg Mendocino
Point Arena
Ukiah
Willits
Atwater Merced
Dos Palos
Gustine
Livingston
Los Banos
Merced
Alturas Modoc Trump
Mammoth Lakes Mono Clinton
Carmel-by-the-Sea Monterey
Del Rey Oaks
Gonzales
Greenfield
King City
Marina
Monterey
Pacific Grove
Salinas
Sand City
Seaside
Soledad
American Canyon Napa
Calistoga
Napa
St. Helena
Yountville
Grass Valley Nevada
Nevada City
Truckee
Aliso Viejo Orange
Anaheim
Brea Trump
Buena Park Clinton
Costa Mesa
Cypress
Dana Point Trump
Fountain Valley Clinton
Fullerton
Garden Grove
Huntington Beach Trump
Irvine Clinton
La Habra
La Palma
Laguna Beach
Laguna Hills Trump
Laguna Niguel
Laguna Woods Clinton
Lake Forest Trump
Los Alamitos Clinton
Mission Viejo Trump
Newport Beach
Orange Clinton
Placentia
Rancho Santa Margarita Trump
San Clemente
San Juan Capistrano
Santa Ana Clinton
Seal Beach
Stanton
Tustin
Villa Park Trump
Westminster Clinton
Yorba Linda Trump
Auburn Placer Clinton
Colfax Trump
Lincoln
Loomis
Rocklin
Roseville
Portola Plumas
Banning Riverside
Beaumont
Blythe
Calimesa
Canyon Lake
Cathedral City Clinton
Coachella
Corona
Desert Hot Springs
Eastvale
Hemet Trump
Indian Wells
Indio Clinton
Jurupa Valley
La Quinta Trump
Lake Elsinore
Menifee
Moreno Valley Clinton
Murrieta Trump
Norco
Palm Desert
Palm Springs Clinton
Perris
Rancho Mirage
Riverside
San Jacinto
Temecula Trump
Wildomar
Citrus Heights Sacramento
Elk Grove Clinton
Folsom
Galt Trump
Isleton Clinton
Rancho Cordova
Sacramento
Hollister San Benito
San Juan Bautista
Adelanto San Bernardino
Apple Valley Trump
Barstow
Big Bear Lake
Chino Clinton
Chino Hills
Colton
Fontana
Grand Terrace
Hesperia Trump
Highland Clinton
Loma Linda
Montclair
Needles Trump
Ontario Clinton
Rancho Cucamonga
Redlands
Rialto
San Bernardino
Twentynine Palms Trump
Upland Clinton
Victorville
Yucaipa Trump
Yucca Valley
Carlsbad San Diego Clinton
Chula Vista
Coronado Trump
Del Mar Clinton
El Cajon Trump
Encinitas Clinton
Escondido
Imperial Beach
La Mesa
Lemon Grove
National City
Oceanside
Poway Trump
San Diego Clinton
San Marcos
Santee Trump
Solana Beach Clinton
Vista
San Francisco San Francisco
Escalon San Joaquin Trump
Lathrop Clinton
Lodi Trump
Manteca Clinton
Ripon Trump
Stockton Clinton
Tracy
Arroyo Grande San Luis Obispo
Atascadero Trump
Grover Beach Clinton
Morro Bay
Paso Robles Trump
Pismo Beach Clinton
San Luis Obispo
Atherton San Mateo
Belmont
Brisbane
Burlingame
Colma
Daly City
East Palo Alto
Foster City
Half Moon Bay
Hillsborough
Menlo Park
Millbrae
Pacifica
Portola Valley
Redwood City
San Bruno
San Carlos
San Mateo
South San Francisco
Woodside
Buellton Santa Barbara
Carpinteria
Goleta
Guadalupe
Lompoc
Santa Barbara
Santa Maria
Solvang Trump
Campbell Santa Clara Clinton
Cupertino
Gilroy
Los Altos
Los Altos Hills
Los Gatos
Milpitas
Monte Sereno
Morgan Hill
Mountain View
Palo Alto
San Jose
Santa Clara
Saratoga
Sunnyvale
Capitola Santa Cruz
Santa Cruz
Scotts Valley
Watsonville
Anderson Shasta Trump
Redding
Shasta Lake
Loyalton Sierra
Dorris Siskiyou
Dunsmuir Clinton
Etna Trump
Fort Jones
Montague
Mount Shasta Clinton
Tulelake Trump
Weed Clinton
Yreka Trump
Benicia Solano Clinton
Dixon
Fairfield
Rio Vista
Suisun City
Vacaville
Vallejo
Cloverdale Sonoma
Cotati
Healdsburg
Petaluma
Rohnert Park
Santa Rosa
Sebastopol
Sonoma
Windsor
Ceres Stanislaus
Hughson Trump
Modesto Clinton
Newman
Oakdale Trump
Patterson Clinton
Riverbank
Turlock Trump
Waterford
Live Oak Sutter Clinton
Yuba City Trump
Corning Tehama
Red Bluff
Tehama
Dinuba Tulare Clinton
Exeter Trump
Farmersville Clinton
Lindsay
Porterville
Tulare Trump
Visalia
Woodlake Clinton
Sonora Tuolumne Trump
Camarillo Ventura Clinton
Fillmore
Moorpark
Ojai
Oxnard
Port Hueneme
Santa Paula
Simi Valley Trump
Thousand Oaks Clinton
Ventura
Davis Yolo
West Sacramento
Winters
Woodland
Marysville Yuba Trump
Wheatland

Analysis

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California has voted Democratic in every presidential election since Republican George H. W. Bush won the state in 1988. Hillary Clinton easily continued the Democratic tradition in California, winning the state with 61.7% of the vote, Clinton's second highest vote percentage of any state, behind Hawaii. Donald Trump received 31.6% of the vote, making for a Democratic victory margin of 30.11 points.[25] California was one of eleven states where Hillary Clinton outperformed outgoing President Barack Obama in 2012, and contributed to Clinton's national popular vote victory.[26]

The California state result was historically one of the most successful for the Democratic Party nominee by several measures, as Hillary Clinton carried California by the largest margin of any Democratic candidate since Franklin D. Roosevelt swept the state by 35.25% in his 1936 re-election landslide.[27] Trump's 31.62% vote share in the state was the lowest for a major-party candidate in the state since John W. Davis's 8.2% in 1924. Trump became only the second nominee of either party to win the presidency without receiving at least a million votes in Los Angeles County, by far the nation's largest, since the county had first given any nominee over a million votes in 1952 (George W. Bush in 2000 having been the first).[28][29]

California was the only large state (one with at least 15 electoral votes[30]) in which Hillary Clinton lost no counties that had been carried by Barack Obama in 2012. Indeed, she herself flipped Orange County, the largest county to switch parties in either direction in 2016, into the Democratic column; no Democrat had carried Orange County since 1936, when Franklin Roosevelt carried every county in the state.[31] This made Donald Trump the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Orange County since the county's founding in 1889; he also became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Ventura County since its founding in 1872, without carrying Riverside County since its founding in 1893, without carrying San Bernardino County since Ulysses Grant in 1868, without carrying Nevada, San Diego, or San Joaquin Counties since William McKinley in 1896, without carrying San Luis Obispo County since William McKinley in 1900, and without carrying Fresno, Merced, or Stanislaus Counties since Richard Nixon in 1968.

See also

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References

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  1. ^ "Historical Voter Registration and Participation in Statewide General Elections 1910-2018" (PDF). California Secretary of State.
  2. ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. September 19, 2019. Archived from the original on January 9, 2019. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
  3. ^ a b "Frequently Asked Questions | California Secretary of State". Sos.ca.gov. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  4. ^ "County Clerk/Registrar of Voters (CC/ROV) Memorandum #16036" (PDF). Elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  5. ^ a b "June 7, 2016, Presidential Primary Election | California Secretary of State". Sos.ca.gov. June 7, 2016. Archived from the original on March 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  6. ^ "Presidential Primary Election - Statement of Vote, June 7, 2016". Office of the Secretary of State of California. Government of California. Retrieved August 8, 2016.
  7. ^ "President Green - Statewide Results | Primary Election | California Secretary of State". vote.sos.ca.gov. Archived from the original on June 24, 2012. Retrieved June 19, 2016.
  8. ^ "President American Independent - Statewide Results". Office of the Secretary of State of California. Government of California. June 8, 2016. Archived from the original on June 8, 2012. Retrieved June 18, 2016.
  9. ^ Myers, John (August 16, 2016). "Donald Trump will be the nominee of two parties on California's November ballot". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved November 27, 2016.
  10. ^ Winger, Richard (July 8, 2016). "Donald Trump Probably Won American Independent Party Presidential Primary". Ballot Access News. Retrieved August 14, 2016.
  11. ^ "President Peace and Freedom - Statewide Results". Office of the Secretary of State of California. Government of California. June 8, 2016. Archived from the original on November 9, 2012. Retrieved June 18, 2016.
  12. ^ "RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - California: Trump vs. Clinton". Archived from the original on May 27, 2016.
  13. ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  14. ^ Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  15. ^ "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Archived from the original on March 1, 2019. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  16. ^ "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  17. ^ "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
  18. ^ Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  19. ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  20. ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  21. ^ "The Statement of Vote - President by County" (PDF). California Secretary of State.
  22. ^ "California, your official presidential write-in options include Bernie Sanders and Evan McMullin". Los Angeles Times. October 28, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  23. ^ "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index".
  24. ^ "Supplement to Statement of Vote" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Retrieved November 25, 2020.
  25. ^ "California Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 10, 2016.
  26. ^ General Election - Statement of Vote, November 8, 2016. Final results certified by Alex Padilla, California Secretary of State. December 16, 2016.
  27. ^ "West Coast Trump". The New York Times. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
  28. ^ "Presidential Election Results Los Angeles County". Los Angeles Almanac. Archived from the original on January 16, 2017. Retrieved January 14, 2017.
  29. ^ "The 25 largest counties in the United States in 2016, by population (in millions)". Statista. Retrieved March 31, 2017.
  30. ^ Cook, Rhodes. "OBAMA'S NEXT CHALLENGE: – Sabato's Crystal Ball". Retrieved May 31, 2021.
  31. ^ Krishnakumar, Priya; Schleuss, Jon; Fox, Joe (November 11, 2016), "For the first time since Franklin D. Roosevelt, a majority in Orange County voted for a Democrat", Los Angeles Times
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