Draft:2021 Canadian federal election in British Columbia

2021 Canadian federal election in British Columbia

← 2019 September 20, 2021 2025 →

All 42 British Columbian seats in the House of Commons
Registered3,713,048
Turnout (61.4%)2,279,961 (61.4%)
  First party Second party Third party
 
Justin Trudeau in 2019 at the G7 (Biarritz) (48622478973) (cropped) (cropped) (cropped).jpg
ErinO'Toole (cropped).jpg
Jagmeet Singh in Brantford 2022 2 (cropped3).jpg
Leader Justin Trudeau Erin O'Toole Jagmeet Singh
Party Liberal Conservative New Democratic
Leader since April 14, 2013 August 24, 2020 October 1, 2017
Last election 11 seats, 26.2% 17 seats, 34.0% 11 seats, 24.4%
Seats before 11 17 11
Seats won 15 13 13
Seat change Increase 4 Decrease 4 Increase 2
Popular vote 608,588 750,394 664,054
Percentage 26.9 33.1 29.3
Swing Increase 0.7pp Decrease 0.9pp Increase 4.9pp

  Fourth party Fifth party
 
Annamie Paul in Toronto Regent Park (cropped).jpg
Maxime Bernier portrait by Yan Parisien 2023.png
Leader Annamie Paul Maxime Bernier
Party Green People's
Leader since October 3, 2020 September 14, 2018
Last election 2 seats, 12.5% 0 seats, 1.7%
Seats before 2 0
Seats won 1 0
Seat change Decrease 1 Steady 0
Popular vote 121,919 110,523
Percentage 5.4 4.9
Swing Decrease 7.1pp Increase 3.2pp

Prime Minister before election

Justin Trudeau
Liberal

Elected Prime Minister

Justin Trudeau
Liberal

In the 2021 Canadian federal election, 42 members of parliament were elected to the House of Commons from the province of British Columbia (12.4% of all members). British Columbia had a voter turnout of 61.4% with 2,279,961 ballots cast, making up 13.2% of the total national voter turnout.[1]

Results

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Summary

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Party Votes[2] Vote %[3] Vote +/- Seats Seat +/-
Liberal 608,588
26.9%
  0.7pp
15 / 42 (36%)
  4
Conservative 750,394
33.1%
  0.9pp
13 / 42 (31%)
  4
New Democratic 664,054
29.3%
  4.9pp
13 / 42 (31%)
  2
Green 121,919
5.4%
  7.1pp
1 / 42 (2%)
  1
People's 110,523
4.9%
  3.2pp
0 / 42 (0%)
  0
Other 6,668
0.3%
  0.0pp
0 / 42 (0%)
  0
Independent 2,439
0.1%
  0.8pp
0 / 42 (0%)
  1
Total 2,264,585
100%
42 / 42 (100%)
Seat apportionment diagram:
 

Comparison with national results

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Turnout and participation[1]
Statistic BC Natl. %
Population 4,648,055 35,151,728 13.22
Electors 3,713,048 27,509,496 13.50
Valid ballots 2,264,585 17,034,243 13.29
Rejected ballots 15,376 175,568 8.76
Total ballots 2,279,961 17,209,811 13.23
Statistic BC Natl. avg. diff.
Valid ballot % 99.3 99.0 +0.3
Rejected ballot % 0.7 1.0 -0.3
Voter turnout % 61.4 62.6 -1.2
Results by party
Party Popular vote %[3] Seats in caucus
BC Natl. avg. diff.
Liberal 26.87 32.62 -5.75
15 / 160 (9%)
Conservative 33.14 33.74 -0.60
13 / 119 (11%)
New Democratic 29.32 17.82 +11.50
13 / 25 (52%)
Green 5.38 2.33 +3.05
1 / 2 (50%)
People's 4.88 4.94 -0.06 no caucus
Independent 0.11 0.19 -0.08 no caucus[a]

Synopsis by riding

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Results by riding in British Columbia - 2021 Canadian federal election[4]
Riding 2019 Winning party Turnout
[a 1]
Votes[a 2]
Party Votes Share Margin
#
Margin
%
Lib Con NDP Green PPC Ind Other Total
 
Abbotsford Con Con 21,597 47.9% 10,690 23.7% 59.6% 10,907 21,597 7,729 1,517 3,300 45,050
Burnaby North—Seymour Lib Lib 19,445 39.5% 5,127 10.4% 62.3% 19,445 12,535 14,318 1,516 1,370 49,184
Burnaby South NDP NDP 16,382 40.3% 4,021 9.9% 51.1% 12,361 9,104 16,382 1,175 1,290 296 40,608
Cariboo—Prince George Con Con 25,771 50.8% 15,448 30.4% 59.8% 8,397 25,771 10,323 1,844 4,160 218 50,713
Central Okanagan—Similkameen—Nicola Con Con 30,563 47.6% 16,750 26.1% 64.6% 13,291 30,563 13,813 1,755 4,788 64,210
Chilliwack—Hope Con Con 23,987 46.0% 10,060 19.3% 61.4% 8,851 23,987 13,927 1,391 4,004 52,160
Cloverdale—Langley City Con Lib 20,877 39.2% 1,654 3.1% 61.0% 20,877 19,223 10,587 2,563 53,250
Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam Lib Lib 21,454 38.5% 4,547 8.2% 60.1% 21,454 16,907 14,982 2,373 55,716
Courtenay—Alberni NDP NDP 30,612 44.2% 8,431 12.2% 65.8% 9,276 22,181 30,612 3,590 3,467 124 69,250
Cowichan—Malahat—Langford NDP NDP 26,968 42.8% 9,098 14.4% 64.4% 10,320 17,870 26,968 3,922 3,952 63,032
Delta Lib Lib 22,105 42.3% 4,410 8.5% 67.5% 22,105 17,695 9,591 1,244 1,291 379 52,305
Esquimalt—Saanich—Sooke NDP NDP 28,056 42.8% 13,590 20.7% 64.4% 14,466 13,885 28,056 5,891 2,995 249 65,542
Fleetwood—Port Kells Lib Lib 21,350 45.2% 6,797 14.4% 58.7% 21,350 14,553 8,960 892 1,284 146 47,185
Kamloops—Thompson—Cariboo Con Con 30,281 43.0% 9,850 14.0% 66.5% 12,717 30,281 20,431 2,576 4,033 410 70,448
Kelowna—Lake Country Con Con 30,409 45.3% 12,642 18.8% 63.9% 17,767 30,409 12,204 2,074 4,688 67,142
Kootenay—Columbia Con Con 28,056 43.2% 4,070 6.3% 68.3% 5,879 28,056 23,986 2,577 4,467 64,965
Langley—Aldergrove Con Con 28,643 45.7% 12,078 19.3% 65.0% 16,565 28,643 12,288 1,798 3,341 62,635
Mission—Matsqui—Fraser Canyon Con Con 18,908 43.8% 8,310 19.3% 61.5% 10,598 18,908 8,709 1,887 3,073 43,175
Nanaimo—Ladysmith Grn NDP 19,826 28.8% 1,199 1.7% 64.0% 9,314 18,627 19,826 17,640 3,358 68,765
New Westminster—Burnaby NDP NDP 24,054 48.8% 12,369 25.1% 57.1% 11,685 9,710 24,054 2,035 1,840 49,324
North Island—Powell River NDP NDP 23,833 39.5% 2,163 3.5% 65.4% 7,922 21,670 23,833 3,656 2,795 387 60,263
North Okanagan—Shuswap Con Con 33,626 46.4% 19,697 27.2% 65.2% 13,666 33,626 13,929 3,967 7,209 72,397
North Vancouver Lib Lib 26,756 45.1% 10,085 17.0% 66.1% 26,756 16,671 11,750 2,598 1,545 59,320
Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge Con Con 19,371 36.7% 2,502 4.8% 64.4% 13,179 19,371 16,869 2,800 453 161 52,833
Port Moody—Coquitlam Con NDP 19,367 37.2% 2,762 5.3% 62.7% 14,231 16,605 19,367 1,766 122 52,091
Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies Con Con 29,882 60.7% 23,235 47.2% 62.1 % 4,236 29,882 6,647 1,661 5,138 1,633 49,197
Richmond Centre Con Lib 13,440 39.3% 772 2.2% 46.2% 13,440 12,668 6,196 1,109 748 34,161
Saanich—Gulf Islands Grn Grn 24,648 37.6% 9,873 15.1% 70.4% 12,056 14,775 11,959 24,648 1,943 141 65,522
Skeena—Bulkley Valley NDP NDP 15,921 42.6% 2,408 6.5% 55.7% 2,866 13,513 15,921 1,406 2,888 797 37,391
South Okanagan—West Kootenay NDP NDP 27,595 41.3% 3,920 5.8% 65.6% 8,159 23,675 27,595 2,485 4,866 66,780
South Surrey—White Rock Con Con 24,158 42.5% 1,992 3.5% 65.0% 22,166 24,158 8,395 2,186 56,905
Steveston—Richmond East Con Lib 16,543 42.5% 3,477 9.0% 52.8% 16,543 13,066 7,525 860 955 38,949
Surrey Centre Lib Lib 16,862 43.9% 6,235 16.2% 51.7% 16,862 8,094 10,627 838 1,539 426 38,386
Surrey—Newton Lib Lib 19,721 53.9% 10,185 27.9% 56.2% 19,721 5,758 9,536 967 628 36,610
Vancouver Centre Lib Lib 20,873 40.4% 5,004 9.7% 57.0% 20,873 11,162 15,869 2,030 1,683 51,617
Vancouver East NDP NDP 27,969 56.4% 18,172 36.6% 55.0% 9,797 5,399 27,969 3,826 1,382 1,218 49,591
Vancouver Granville Ind Lib 17,050 34.4% 431 0.9% 60.8% 17,050 13,280 16,619 1,434 1,177 49,560
Vancouver Kingsway NDP NDP 20,994 52.3% 9,972 24.9% 54.1% 11,022 5,456 20,994 1,575 868 243 40,158
Vancouver Quadra Lib Lib 20,814 43.6% 7,028 14.7% 63.5% 20,814 13,786 9,220 2,922 963 47,705
Vancouver South Lib Lib 19,910 49.4% 9,988 24.8% 54.8% 19,910 9,060 9,922 1,104 287 40,283
Victoria NDP NDP 29,301 43.9% 11,107 16.6% 67.3% 18,194 9,152 29,301 7,472 2,065 564 66,748
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country Lib Lib 21,500 33.9% 2,438 3.9% 64.9% 21,500 19,062 16,265 4,108 2,299 127 98 63,459
  1. ^ including spoilt ballots
  2. ^ minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the national popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately

Analysis

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The incumbent Liberal Party won the most seats in the province, despite losing the popular vote to both the Coservatives and the New Democrats.

Despite winning the most seats in the province two years earlier, the Conservatives ultimately lost four of their seats in British Columbia to either the Liberals or New Democrats. Similar to the conservative British Columbia Liberal Party's recent losses in the 2020 British Columbia provincial election, the Conservatives lost support from urban and suburban voters in much of Greater Vancouver.[5] It is also speculated that an increased vote share for the right-wing People's Party may have contributed to vote-splitting.

The Green Party saw a siginificant decrease in support in British Columbia, dropping from 12.5% in 2019 to 5.4%, and losing their Nanaimo—Ladysmith riding to the New Democrats. On Vancouver Island where the Greens are typically more competitive, they only managed to receive the most or second-most votes in one of the island's seven ridings.[6]

See also

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References

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  1. ^ Independent MPs do not form a caucus.
  1. ^ a b "Number of ballots cast and voter turnout". Elections Canada. Retrieved January 1, 2025.
  2. ^ "Number of valid votes by political affiliation". Elections Canada. Retrieved January 1, 2025.
  3. ^ a b "Percentage of valid votes by political affiliation". Elections Canada. Retrieved January 1, 2025.
  4. ^ "September 20, 2021 General Election Election Results". elections.ca. Retrieved September 28, 2021.
  5. ^ Hoekstra, Gordon (September 21, 2021). "Election 2021 results: Conservatives disappointed by showing in B.C." Vancouver Sun. Retrieved January 3, 2025.
  6. ^ Mackie, John (September 21, 2021). "Election 2021 results: Disappointment for Greens on Vancouver Island". Vancouver Sun. Retrieved January 3, 2025.