Aberavon (Senedd constituency)

Aberavon
*Aberafan*
Aberavon; Aberafan
Senedd constituency; for the Senedd
	Aberavon shown as one of the 40 ; Senedd constituencies
Current Senedd constituency
Created	1999
Party	Labour
MS	David Rees
Electoral region	South Wales West
Preserved county	West Glamorgan

Aberavon (Welsh: Aberafan) is a constituency of the Senedd. It elects one Member of the Senedd by the first past the post method of election. Also, however, it is one of seven constituencies in the South Wales West electoral region, which elects four additional members, in addition to seven constituency members, to produce a degree of proportional representation for the region as a whole.

History

Having only elected Labour MSs with huge majority this can be considered a Labour safe seat. Plaid Cymru are Labour's main opposition in the constituency and have been since its creation.

Party averages from 5 elections: Labour – 54.9, Plaid Cymru – 18.4, Conservative – 9.3, Lib Dem – 8.6,

UKIP stood for the first time in this constituency in the 2016 election and finished third with 15.0% of the vote.

Boundaries

Map of current boundaries

The constituency was created for the first election to the Assembly, in 1999, with the name and boundaries of the Aberavon Westminster constituency, and it is entirely within the preserved county of West Glamorgan. Boundaries were unchanged by the review whose proposals come into effect for the 2007 Welsh Assembly election.

The constituency is composed of the Neath Port Talbot electoral divisions: Aberavon, Baglan, Briton Ferry East, Briton Ferry West, Bryn & Cwmavon, Coedffranc Central, Coedffranc North, Coedffranc West, Cymmer, Glyncorrwg, Gwynfi, Margam, Port Talbot, Sandlands East, Sandlands West, and Tai-bach.

The other six constituencies of the region are Bridgend, Gower, Neath, Ogmore, Swansea East and Swansea West.

Voting

In general elections for the Senedd, each voter has two votes. The first vote may be used to vote for a candidate to become the Member of the Senedd for the voter's constituency, elected by the first past the post system. The second vote may be used to vote for a regional closed party list of candidates. Additional member seats are allocated from the lists by the d'Hondt method, with constituency results being taken into account in the allocation.

Assembly members and members of the Senedd

Election		Member	Party	Portrait
	1999	Brian Gibbons	Labour
	2011	David Rees	Labour

Elections

Elections in the 2020s

2021 Senedd election: Aberavon
Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional^[1]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	David Rees	10,505	47.4	-3.3	10,081	45.4	-0.5
	Plaid Cymru	Victoria Griffiths	4,760	21.5	+1.5	4,987	22.5	+1.2
	Conservative	Liz Hill O'Shea	2,947	13.3	+6.9	3,141	14.1	+7.9
	Independent	Scott Jones	1,357	6.1	New
	Liberal Democrats	Helen Ceri Clarke	953	4.3	-1.7	670	3.0	-2.4
	Abolish	Sarah Allen	646	2.9	New	789	3.6	±0.0
	Independent	Caroline Jones				519	2.3	New
	UKIP	Timothy Jenkins	407	1.8	-13.2	395	1.8	-12.7
	Gwlad	Ceri Golding	386	1.7	New	279	1.3	New
	Reform UK	Dennis May	208	0.9	New	208	0.9	New
	Green					659	3.0	+1.2
	Propel					195	0.9	New
	Freedom Alliance (UK)					170	0.8	New
	Communist					78	0.4	+0.1
	TUSC					42	0.2	-0.4
Majority			5,745	25.9	−4.8
Turnout			22,688	42.3^[2]	−0.2
	Labour hold		Swing
Notes

Regional Ballot void votes: 150. Want of an Official Mark (0), Voting for more than ONE party or individual candidate (38), Writing or mark by which the Voter could be identified (1), Unmarked or Void for uncertainty (111)

Elections in the 2010s

Welsh Assembly Election 2016: Aberavon
Party		Candidate	Constituency^[3]			Regional^[4]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	David Rees	10,578	50.7	−13.4	9,556	45.9	-11.3
	Plaid Cymru	Bethan Jenkins	4,176	20.0	+5.2	4,446	21.3	+8.5
	UKIP	Glenda Davies	3,119	15.0	New	3,019	14.5	+10.6
	Conservative	David Jenkins	1,342	6.4	−7.9	1,298	6.2	-4.7
	Liberal Democrats	Helen Ceri Clarke	1,248	6.0	−0.8	1,128	5.4	+0.8
	Green	Jonathan Tier	389	1.9	New	370	1.8	±0.0
	Abolish					742	3.6	New
	TUSC					115	0.6	+0.3
	Monster Raving Loony					111	0.5	New
	Communist					54	0.3	±0.0
Majority			6,402	30.7	−18.6
Turnout			20,852	42.5	+5.5
	Labour hold		Swing	−9.3

Welsh Assembly Election 2011: Aberavon
Party		Candidate	Constituency^[5]			Regional^[6]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	David Rees	12,104	64.1	+14.8	10,671	57.2
	Plaid Cymru	Paul Nicholls-Jones	2,793	14.8	−2.5	2,391	12.8
	Conservative	T. Morgan	2,704	14.3	+4.6	2,030	10.9
	Liberal Democrats	Helen Ceri Clarke	1,278	6.8	−0.3	860	4.6
	BNP					627	3.4
	UKIP					719	3.9
	Socialist Labour					669	3.6
	Green					340	1.8
	Welsh Christian					174	0.9	New
	TUSC					113	0.6	New
	Communist					61	0.3
Majority			9,311	49.3	+17.3
Turnout			18,879	37.0	−2.8
	Labour hold		Swing	+8.7

Regional ballots rejected at the count: 134^[7]

Elections in the 2000s

Welsh Assembly Election 2007: Aberavon^[8]
Party		Candidate	Constituency			Regional^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Brian Gibbons^[a]	10,129	49.3	−10.1	9,303
	Plaid Cymru	Linett Purcell	3,558	17.3	−0.4	3,610
	Independent	Andrew Tutton	2,561	12.5	New
	Conservative	Daisy Meyland-Smith	1,990	9.7	+0.5	2,058
	Liberal Democrats	Claire Waller	1,450	7.1	−2.7	1,775
	New Millennium Bean Party	Captain Beany	840	4.1	New
	BNP					1,185		New
	Green					663
	UKIP					653
	Socialist Labour					423	0.	New
	Welsh Christian					230		New
	Socialist Alternative (UK)					196		New
	Keith James - Independent					146		New
	Respect					73	0.	New
	Communist					66	0.	New
	CPA					37	0.	New
	Joel Jenkins - Independent					26		New
Majority			6,571	32.0	−9.7
Turnout			20,528	39.8	+2.1
	Labour hold		Swing	−11.3

Welsh Assembly Election 2003: Aberavon
Party		Candidate	Constituency^[10]			Regional^[11]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Brian Gibbons^[a]	11,137	59.4	+8.1	9,769
	Plaid Cymru	Geraint D. Owen	3,324	17.7	−4.6	3,242
	Liberal Democrats	Claire Waller	1,840	9.8	−3.8	1,934
	Conservative	Myr A. Boult	1,732	9.2	+2.2	1,599
	Independent	Robert Williams	608	3.2	New
	Independent	Gwenno M. Saunders	114	0.6	New
	Green					678
	Socialist Labour					572
	UKIP					509
	Cymru Annibynnol					217
	ProLife Alliance					58	0.
Majority			7,813	41.7	+12.7
Turnout			18,755	37.7	−9.2
	Labour hold		Swing	+6.4

2003 Electorate: 50,208
Regional ballots rejected: 348

Elections in the 1990s

Welsh Assembly Election 1999: Aberavon^[10]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Labour	Brian Gibbons	11,941	51.3	*N/A*
	Plaid Cymru	Janet Davies	5,198	22.3	N/A
	Liberal Democrats	Keith Davies	3,165	13.6	N/A
	Conservative	Mary E. Davies	1,624	7.0	N/A
	Independent	Captain Beany	849	3.6	N/A
	Independent	David Pudner	517	2.2	N/A
Majority			6,743	29.0	N/A
Turnout			23,294	46.9	N/A
	Labour win (new seat)

Notes

^ ^a ^b Incumbent member for this constituency

References

^ "South Wales West Electoral Region Aberavon Constituency STATEMENT OF LOCAL TOTALS" (PDF). Retrieved 12 May 2021.
^ Hayward, Will (7 May 2021). "The voter turnout figures for every constituency in Wales". WalesOnline. Retrieved 19 November 2021.
^ "Wales elections > Bridgend". BBC News. 6 May 2016. Retrieved 8 March 2016.
^ "Results and turnout at the 2016 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 24 November 2021.
^ "Wales elections > Aberavon". BBC News. 6 May 2011. Retrieved 27 November 2021.
^ "Results and turnout at the 2016 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 27 November 2021.
^ "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 27 November 2021.
^ "Welsh assembly election 2007 – Aberavon". BBC News. 4 May 2007. Retrieved 30 June 2008.
^ "2007 Assembly Election Results (updated) July 2007(Page 78 of the PDF / Page 72 of booklet)" (PDF). National Assembly for Wales. Retrieved 24 October 2021.
^ ^a ^b "Assembly Election results, 1999 and 2003". Political Science Resources. Richard Kimber. Retrieved 30 June 2008.
^ The National Assembly for Wales elections 2003. The Electoral Commission. November 2003. pp. 110–115. Retrieved 1 August 2021.

51°36′00″N 3°48′43″W / 51.600°N 3.812°W / 51.600; -3.812

[fn1-10] Incumbent member for this constituency

[1] "South Wales West Electoral Region Aberavon Constituency STATEMENT OF LOCAL TOTALS" (PDF). Retrieved 12 May 2021.

[2] Hayward, Will (7 May 2021). "The voter turnout figures for every constituency in Wales". WalesOnline. Retrieved 19 November 2021.

[3] "Wales elections > Bridgend". BBC News. 6 May 2016. Retrieved 8 March 2016.

[4] "Results and turnout at the 2016 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 24 November 2021.

[5] "Wales elections > Aberavon". BBC News. 6 May 2011. Retrieved 27 November 2021.

[6] "Results and turnout at the 2016 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 27 November 2021.

[7] "Results and turnout at the 2011 National Assembly for Wales election". Electoral Commission. Retrieved 27 November 2021.

[8] "Welsh assembly election 2007 – Aberavon". BBC News. 4 May 2007. Retrieved 30 June 2008.

[2007_Assembly_Election_Results_(updated)_July_2007-9] "2007 Assembly Election Results (updated) July 2007(Page 78 of the PDF / Page 72 of booklet)" (PDF). National Assembly for Wales. Retrieved 24 October 2021.

[Results_1999-2003-11] "Assembly Election results, 1999 and 2003". Political Science Resources. Richard Kimber. Retrieved 30 June 2008.

[12] The National Assembly for Wales elections 2003. The Electoral Commission. November 2003. pp. 110–115. Retrieved 1 August 2021.

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