A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities is a work by Pierre-Simon Laplace on the mathematical theory of probability.[1][2][3] The book consists of two parts, the first with five chapters and the second with thirteen.[1]
Author | Pierre-Simon Laplace |
---|---|
Original title | Essai philosophique sur les probabilités |
Translator | Frederick Wilson Truscott and Frederick Lincoln Emory |
Subject | Theory of probability |
Publisher | John Wiley & Son, Chapman & Hall |
Original text | Essai philosophique sur les probabilités at French Wikisource |
Translation | A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities at Wikisource |
Website | https://bayes.wustl.edu/Manual/laplace_A_philosophical_essay_on_probabilities.pdf |
Table of Contents
edit- Part I - A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities[1]
- Introduction
- Concerning Probability
- General Principles of the Calculus of Probability
- Concerning Hope
- Analytical Methods of the Calculus of Probability
- Part II - Application of the Calculus of Probabilities[1]
- Games of Chance
- Concerning the Unknown Inequalities which may Exist among Chances Supposed to be Equal
- Concerning the Laws of Probability which result from the Indefinite Multiplication of Events
- Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to Natural Philosophy
- Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to the Moral Sciences
- Concerning the Probability of Testimonies
- Concerning the Selections and Deliberations of Assemblies
- Concerning the Probability of the Judgements of Tribunals
- Concerning Tables of Mortality, and the Mean Durations of Life, Marriage and Some Assemblies
- Concerning the Benefits of Institutions which Depend on the Probability of Events
- Concerning Illusions in the Estimation of Probabilities
- Concerning the Various Means of Approaching Certainty
- Historical Note of the Calculus of Probabilities to 1816
References
edit- ^ a b c d Laplace, Pierre-Simon. A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities (PDF). Translated by Trruscott, Frederick Wilson; Emory, Frederick Lincoln. John Wiley & Son and Chapman & Hall.
- ^ "Philosophical Essay on Probabilities - work by Laplace". Encyclopædia Britannica. Retrieved 2021-04-09.
- ^ "Figures from the History of Probability and Statistics". Figures from the History of Probability and Statistics. Retrieved 2021-04-09.
External links
edit- The full text of A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities at Wikisource
- A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities at Project Gutenberg
- A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities at Internet Archive