2011 West Virginia gubernatorial special election

The 2011 West Virginia gubernatorial special election was a special election held on October 4, 2011, to fill the office of the West Virginia Governor, which became vacant upon the resignation of Joe Manchin, who resigned after he won a U.S. Senate special election. Lieutenant Governor and Senate President Earl Ray Tomblin, first in the line of succession to the governorship, subsequently became acting governor. On January 18, 2011, the West Virginia Supreme Court of Appeals ruled that a special election for the governorship must be held so a new governor can be in place by November 15, 2011, exactly one year after Manchin resigned.[1] The primary election was held on May 14. Tomblin and Republican Bill Maloney won their respective primaries.[2]

2011 West Virginia gubernatorial special election

← 2008 October 4, 2011 (2011-10-04) 2012 →
 
Nominee Earl Ray Tomblin Bill Maloney
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 149,202 141,656
Percentage 49.55% 47.05%

County results
Tomblin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Maloney:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Governor before election

Earl Ray Tomblin (acting)
Democratic

Elected Governor

Earl Ray Tomblin
Democratic

Tomblin defeated William Maloney by a slim margin, notably winning over 90% of the vote in his home county of Logan County. Tomblin was declared the winner of the election by the Associated Press on October 4, 2011, and was inaugurated on November 13, 2011.[3][4] With a margin of 2.5%, the special election was the closest race of the 2011 gubernatorial election cycle. Tomblin was re-elected Governor in 2012 in a rematch with Maloney.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Declined

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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jeff
Kessler
Arne
Moltis
John
Perdue
Natalie
Tennant
Rick
Thompson
Earl Ray
Tomblin
Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[13] May 11–12, 2011 742 ± 3.6% 4% 1% 11% 17% 20% 33% 12%
Public Policy Polling[14] April 21–24, 2011 590 ± 4.0% 5% 1% 17% 16% 15% 32% 14%

Primary results

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Democratic primary results by county:
  Tomblin
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   80–90%
  Thompson
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
  Tennant
  •   30–40%
  Perdue
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Kessler
  •   40–50%
  •   60–70%
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Earl Ray Tomblin (incumbent) 51,348 40.4%
Democratic Rick Thompson 30,631 24.1%
Democratic Natalie Tennant 22,106 17.4%
Democratic John Perdue 15,995 12.6%
Democratic Jeff Kessler 6,665 5.2%
Democratic Arne Moltis 481 0.4%
Total votes 127,111 100.0%

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Declined

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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Clark
Barnes
Mitch
Carmichael
Ralph
Clark
Cliff
Ellis
Larry
Faircloth
Betty
Ireland
Bill
Maloney
Mark
Sorsaia
Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[23] May 11–12, 2011 314 ± 5.5% 8% 4% 1% 0% 6% 31% 32% 4% 14%
Public Policy Polling[14] April 21–24, 2011 274 ± 5.9% 8% 8% 2% 1% 2% 31% 17% 4% 28%

Primary results

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  Maloney
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  Ireland
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Barnes
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60-70%
  •   70-80%
  Faircloth
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results[24]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bill Maloney 27,871 45.0%
Republican Betty Ireland 19,027 30.7%
Republican Clark Barnes 5,891 9.5%
Republican Mark Sorsaia 3,177 5.1%
Republican Larry Faircloth 2,400 3.9%
Republican Mitch Carmichael 2,073 3.3%
Republican Ralph Clark 1,164 1.9%
Republican Cliff Ellis 283 0.5%
Total votes 61,886 100.0%

General election

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Candidates

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Rothenberg Political Report[28] Lean D November 4, 2011
Governing[29] Lean D November 4, 2011
Cook[30] Lean D November 4, 2011
Sabato[31] Likely D November 4, 2011

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Earl Ray
Tomblin (D)
Bill
Maloney (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling[32] September 30 – October 2, 2011 932 ± 3.2% 47% 46% 7%
Public Policy Polling[33] September 1–4, 2011 708 ± 3.7% 46% 40% 14%
Public Policy Polling[34] May 11–12, 2011 723 ± 3.6% 45% 30% 25%
Public Policy Polling[35] April 21–24, 2011 850 ± 3.4% 56% 23% 21%

Results

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West Virginia gubernatorial special election official results, 2011[36]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Earl Ray Tomblin (incumbent) 149,202 49.55% −20.26
Republican Bill Maloney 141,656 47.05% +21.32
Mountain Bob Henry Baber 6,083 2.02% −2.44
Independent Marla Ingels 2,875 0.95%
American Third Position Harry Bertram 1,111 0.37% +0.37
write-in candidate Phil Hudok 76 0.03%
write-in candidate Donald Lee Underwood 54 0.02%
write-in candidate John R. "Rick" Bartlett 27 0.01%
Margin of victory 7,546 2.51% −41.57%
Total votes 301,084 100.00%
Democratic hold Swing

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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References

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  1. ^ Sobel, Julie (January 18, 2011). "Court Orders West Virginia Special Election This Year". National Journal. Archived from the original on January 31, 2011. Retrieved January 20, 2011.
  2. ^ Catanese, David (May 14, 2011). "Tomblin, Maloney win in West Virginia - David Catanese". Politico.Com. Retrieved April 11, 2013.
  3. ^ "News from The Associated Press". Hosted.ap.org. October 5, 2011. Retrieved April 11, 2013.
  4. ^ Kaull, April. "Earl Ray Tomblin Sworn in as W.Va. Governor - WOWK 13 Charleston, Huntington WV News, Weather, Sports". Wowktv.com. Archived from the original on April 6, 2012. Retrieved April 11, 2013.
  5. ^ Forbes, Jim (October 28, 2010). "State Sen. Jeff Kessler Eyes W.Va. Governor's Mansion". WTRF-TV. Archived from the original on July 26, 2011. Retrieved January 20, 2011.
  6. ^ a b c Mannix Porterfield (February 13, 2011). "14 candidates for W.Va. governor ready to fight for the office". The Register-Herald. Beckley, West Virginia.
  7. ^ Dickerson, Chris (October 6, 2010). "Perdue names former Dem chair to head campaign". Charleston Daily Mail. Associated Press. Archived from the original on March 5, 2012. Retrieved January 20, 2011.
  8. ^ King, Joselyn (February 10, 2011). "Tennant Jumps Into Race For Governor". The Intelligencer & Wheeling News Register. Retrieved February 10, 2011.
  9. ^ Dickerson, Chris (November 3, 2010). "Thompson says he'll be on gubernatorial ballot". West Virginia Record. Retrieved January 20, 2011.
  10. ^ a b Knezevich, Alison (January 8, 2011). "W.Va. governor race begins". The Charleston Gazette. Retrieved June 20, 2020.
  11. ^ "Brooks McCabe to Run For Governor". WOWK-TV. August 27, 2010. Archived from the original on September 26, 2011. Retrieved January 20, 2011.
  12. ^ "Charlotte Pritt says she won't run for governor". Charleston Daily Mail. February 12, 2011. Archived from the original on July 8, 2011. Retrieved April 11, 2013.
  13. ^ Public Policy Polling
  14. ^ a b Public Policy Polling
  15. ^ [1] Archived September 15, 2011, at the Wayback Machine
  16. ^ Simmons, Ben (October 5, 2010). "Barnes will seek governor's seat". The Inter-Mountain. Archived from the original on September 28, 2011. Retrieved January 20, 2011.
  17. ^ Edwards, Jeremy (December 30, 2010). "Betty Ireland Announces Run for Governor". WSAZ-TV. Archived from the original on September 29, 2011. Retrieved January 20, 2011.
  18. ^ a b "Candidate field for governor grows to 7". Associated Press. February 2, 2011. Archived from the original on February 7, 2011. Retrieved February 7, 2011.
  19. ^ McVey, John (January 20, 2011). "Capito is pleased with special election decision". The Journal. Archived from the original on September 27, 2011. Retrieved January 20, 2011.
  20. ^ Bissett, Jim (January 30, 2011). "Jon McBride says he's not running again". The Dominion Post. McClatchy-Tribune (MCT). Archived from the original on April 2, 2012. Retrieved January 30, 2011 – via Charleston Daily Mail.
  21. ^ "Raese Not Running". West Virginia MetroNews. February 7, 2011. Archived from the original on March 15, 2011. Retrieved February 7, 2011.
  22. ^ Mancini, Jess (February 1, 2011). "Stuart not running for governor". The Parkersburg News and Sentinel. Retrieved February 1, 2011.
  23. ^ Public Policy Polling
  24. ^ [2] Archived October 11, 2011, at the Wayback Machine
  25. ^ Jared Hunt (May 3, 2011). "Mountain Party selects gubernatorial candidate". Charleston Daily Mail. Archived from the original on July 30, 2012. Retrieved May 4, 2011.
  26. ^ a b c "2011 Write-in Candidates for Governor". Archived from the original on March 30, 2012. Retrieved September 7, 2011.
  27. ^ a b "2011 Candidates for Governor". Archived from the original on July 21, 2011. Retrieved June 18, 2011.
  28. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". www.insideelections.com.
  29. ^ "An Update on the 2011-2012 Gubernatorial Contests". Governing. July 25, 2011. Archived from the original on August 1, 2011.
  30. ^ "2011/2012 GOVERNORS RACE RATINGS". The Cook Political Report. September 15, 2011. Archived from the original on October 7, 2011.
  31. ^ "2012 Governor". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 29, 2012.
  32. ^ Public Policy Polling
  33. ^ Public Policy Polling
  34. ^ Public Policy Polling
  35. ^ Public Policy Polling
  36. ^ "WV SOS - Elections - Election Results - Online Data Services".
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Campaign websites (Archived)

Information