This article needs to be updated. (April 2024) |
In the run-up to the 2025 Chilean presidential election, opinion polls are conducted to assess the intention to vote in Chile during the presidential term of Gabriel Boric. The date range for these opinion polls runs from the first measurement in October 2022, to the day the election is held, 23 November 2025.
Various polls are listed below in reverse chronological order (with the most recent polls first). The order considers the last day of the sampling and only when that period is not known, the date of publication of the poll is shown.
Opinion polls before candidate registration
editPotential candidates are arranged on the left-right axis according to the coalition or party they belong to, with independents, who are outside any coalition, to the right of the table. The highest percentage for each survey is shown shaded and in bold.
Graphical summary
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
2024
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| Jadue PC |
Vallejo PC |
Vodanovic FA |
Winter FA |
ME-O Ind. |
Bachelet PS |
Marcel Ind. |
Tohá PPD |
Orrego Ind. |
Morel RN |
Piñera ChV |
Matthei UDI |
Cubillos Ind. |
Kast PLR |
Parisi PDG |
Carter Ind. |
Kaiser Ind. |
Lorenzini Ind. |
Others | DK/NR | ||
| Cadem[1] | 12–14 Jun 2024 | 2% | 3% | — | — | — | 6% | — | 3% | — | — | — | 20% | — | 14% | 2% | 1% | 2% | — | 6% | 41% |
| Criteria[2] | 31 May – 3 Jun 2024 | — | 4% | — | — | 2% | 10% | — | 3% | — | — | — | 25% | — | 13% | 3% | — | — | — | 2% | 38% |
| Activa[3] | 29–31 May 2024 | 2,4% | 5,2% | — | — | — | 9,8% | — | 2,4% | — | — | — | 26,2% | — | 12,1% | 1,8% | — | 2,3% | — | 24,2% | 13,6% |
| Panel Ciudadano[4] | 13–14 May 2024 | — | 6% | 2% | — | 3% | 11% | — | 5% | — | — | — | 27% | — | 18% | 4% | 4% | 3% | — | 2% | 15% |
| Cadem[5] | 8–10 May 2024 | — | 3% | — | 1% | 1% | 3% | — | 3% | — | — | — | 24% | — | 14% | 2% | 2% | 2% | — | 8% | 37% |
| La Cosa Nostra[6] | 24 Apr – 5 May 2024 | — | 7,4% | — | 5,1% | 2,0% | 16,2% | — | 10,7% | 3,3% | — | — | 33,6% | 1,1% | 12,6% | 1,8% | — | 5,2% | — | 1% | — |
| Feedback[7] | 26 Apr – 3 May 2024 | — | 2% | 2% | 2% | — | 11% | — | 5% | — | — | — | 26% | — | 16% | — | 2% | 7% | — | 5% | 21% |
| Criteria[8] | 26–29 Apr 2024 | 2% | 6% | — | — | 2% | 10% | — | 4% | — | — | — | 30% | — | 12% | 3% | — | 2% | — | 2% | 27% |
| Activa[9] | 24–26 Apr 2024 | — | 3,5% | — | — | 2,2% | 7,1% | — | — | — | — | — | 28,5% | — | 15,6% | — | — | — | — | 22,7% | 20,4% |
| Cadem[10] | 17–19 Apr 2024 | — | 3% | — | — | 1% | 7% | — | 3% | — | — | — | 24% | — | 14% | 1% | 1% | 2% | — | 6% | 38% |
| Cadem[11] | 3–5 Apr 2024 | 1% | 3% | — | — | — | 4% | 1% | 2% | — | 1% | — | 25% | — | 12% | 1% | 1% | 1% | — | 6% | 42% |
| Criteria[12] | 28 Mar – 1 Apr 2024 | — | 6% | — | — | — | 7% | — | 2% | — | — | — | 27% | — | 15% | 3% | — | 2% | — | 3% | 35% |
| Activa[13] | 27–28 Mar 2024 | — | 4,5% | — | — | 1,6% | 8,1% | — | — | — | — | — | 24,9% | — | 11,7% | 2,5% | — | 2,5% | 1,7% | 24,9% | 17,6% |
| Cadem[14] | 13–15 Mar 2024 | 1% | 3% | 1% | — | — | 4% | — | 2% | — | 1% | — | 21% | — | 12% | 2% | 2% | 2% | — | 9% | 40% |
| Criteria[15] | 1–4 Mar 2024 | — | 5% | — | — | 2% | 7% | — | 2% | — | — | — | 31% | — | 17% | — | — | — | — | 4% | 32% |
| Activa[16] | 28–29 Feb 2024 | — | 3,3% | — | — | — | 9,5% | — | 2,1% | — | — | — | 26,2% | — | 10,6% | 1,7% | 1,6% | 1,6% | — | 24.8% | 18,6% |
| Panel Ciudadano[17] | 23–24 Feb 2024 | — | 6% | — | 2% | 3% | 10% | — | 4% | — | — | — | 30% | — | 16% | 4% | 4% | 3% | — | 2% | 16% |
| Cadem[18] | 14–16 Feb 2024 | 1% | 4% | — | — | — | 6% | — | 2% | — | 3% | — | 22% | — | 19% | 1% | 3% | 1% | — | 5% | 33% |
| Death of former president Sebastián Piñera (6 February) | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Activa[19] | 25–26 Jan 2024 | — | 5,1% | — | — | — | 6,8% | — | 1,5% | — | — | 11,1% | 17,8% | — | 13,3% | 1,7% | — | — | — | 20,7% | 22,0% |
| Cadem[20] | 10–12 Jan 2024 | 1% | 2% | — | — | — | 5% | — | 2% | — | — | 5% | 16% | — | 14% | 1% | 1% | — | — | 8% | 45% |
| Criteria[21] | 4–8 Jan 2024 | — | 6% | — | — | 2% | 10% | — | — | — | — | 4% | 24% | — | 17% | 3% | 2% | — | — | 17% | 15% |
2023
edit| Polling firm | Date | Sample size |
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Others | Blank vote / Undecided | |
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| Jadue | Vallejo | Siches | Elizalde | Bachelet | Tohá | Sichel | Piñera | Matthei | Kast | Marinovic | Parisi | Carter | Jiles | |||||
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Ind. | 
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PDG | Ind. | Ind. | |||||||||
| Cadem[11] | 8-10 November 2023 | 710 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 | - | 2 | 19 | 17 | - | 4 | 2 | - | 8 | 34 | ||
| Research Chile[22] | 22 October 2023 | 832 | 1 | 7 | - | - | 9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - | 2 | 2 | - | - | 13 |
| Research Chile | 22-26 September 2023 | 813 | 1 | 6 | - | - | 8 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 17 | - | 2 | 2 | - | - | 16 |
| Research Chile[23] | 3-5 July 2023 | 786 | 1 | 8 | - | - | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - | 2 | 5 | 0 | 16 | |
| Cadem[24] | 5-7 July 2023 | 705 | - | 5.2 | - | - | 5.2 | - | - | 8.6 | 13.8 | 36.2 | - | 3.4 | 3.4 | - | ||
| Research Chile[25] | 5-7 Jun 2023 | 805 | 1 | 9 | - | - | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - | 2 | 5 | 0 | ||
| Research Chile[26] | 8-10 May 2023 | 765 | 1 | 9 | - | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 11 | ||
| Cadem[27][28] | 3-5 May 2023 | 703 | 1 | 4 | – | – | 2 | 1 | - | 4 | 13 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 4 | – | 7[a] | 42 |
| Research Chile[29] | 10-12 Apr 2023 | 823 | 1 | 6 | – | – | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 10 | – | 7[b] | 22 |
| Activa/Pulso Ciudadano[30] | 21-24 Mar 2023 | 912 | 1.7 | 4 | – | – | 5.4 | 1.5 | – | 6.8 | 16.3 | 15.7 | – | 2.2 | 3.9 | – | 22.1[c] | 20.8 |
| Research Chile[31] | 6-8
Mar 2023 |
882 | 2 | 9 | – | – | 6 | 6 | 2 | – | 25 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 8[d] | 20 |
| Research Chile[32] | 6-7 Feb 2023 | 805 | 2 | 9 | – | – | 5 | 4 | 2 | – | 25 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6[e] | 26 |
| Research Chile[33] | 9–10 Jan 2023 | 803 | 2 | 8 | – | – | – | 6 | 3 | – | 27 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 |
2022
edit| Polling firm | Date | Sample size |
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Others | Blank vote / Undecided | |
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| Jadue | Vallejo | Siches | Elizalde | Bachelet | Tohá | Sichel | Piñera | Matthei | Kast | Marinovic | Parisi | Carter | Jiles | |||||
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PDG | Ind. | Ind. | |||||||||
| Encuestas Chile[34] | 24 Mar –
31 Dec 2022 |
4,782 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
| Cadem[35] | 28–30 Dec 2022 | 705 | 1 | – | – | – | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | – | 1 | 1 | – | 12 | 54 |
| Research Chile[36] | 13-15 Dec 2022 | 800 | 2.1 | 9.5 | – | – | – | 5.3 | 3.3 | – | 20.6 | 15.8 | 2.5 | 3 | – | 0.6 | 19 | 25 |
| Cadem[37] | 26–28 Oct 2022 | 706 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11 | – | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 50 |
| Election Results | 19 Dec 2021 | – | 55.9[f] | 44.1[g] | – | – | – | – | – | |||||||||
| 21 Nov 2021 | 25.8[f] | 11.6[h] | 12.8[i] | 27.9 | 12.8 | – | – | 9.1[j] | – | |||||||||
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ Mario Marcel with 4%, Ignacio Briones with 2%, Vlado Mirosevic with 1%
- ^ Mario Marcel with 4%, Ignacio Briones with 2%, Vlado Mirosevic with 1%
- ^ Leonardo Farkas with 3.6, Marco Enríquez-Ominami with 1.7, others with 17
- ^ Mario Marcel with 4, Ignacio Briones with 3, Germán Codina with 1, Manuel Monsalve with 0
- ^ Mario Marcel with 3, Ignacio Briones with 2, Germán Codina with 1, Manuel Monsalve with 0
- ^ a b Gabriel Boric as Apruebo Dignidad candidate
- ^ José Antonio Kast
- ^ Yasna Provoste
- ^ Sebastián Sichel
- ^ Marco Enríquez-Ominami (7.6%) and Eduardo Artés (1.5%)
References
edit- ^ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Segunda semana de junio - N°544" (PDF). Cadem. 16 June 2024.
- ^ "Agenda Criteria, junio 2024" (PDF). Criteria Research. 5 June 2024.
- ^ "Pulso Ciudadano de Activa Research, mayo 2024, segunda quincena - N°94" (PDF). Cadem. 3 June 2024.
- ^ "Panel Ciudadano-UDD: especial inmigrantes" (PDF). panelciudadano.cl. 17 May 2024.
- ^ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Segunda semana de mayo - N°539" (PDF). Cadem. 12 May 2024.
- ^ Rojas, Matías (12 May 2024). "Bachelet asoma en carrera presidencial: ya superaría a Kast según encuesta de La Cosa Nostra". El Desconcierto.
- ^ "Percepciones y expectativas sobre la situación del país" (PDF). Feedback Research. 10 May 2024.
- ^ "Agenda Criteria, mayo 2024" (PDF). Criteria Research. 2 May 2024.
- ^ "Pulso Ciudadano de Activa Research, abril 2024, segunda quincena - N°93" (PDF). Activa Research. 29 April 2024.
- ^ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Tercera semana de abril - N°536" (PDF). Cadem. 21 April 2024.
- ^ a b "Plaza Pública Cadem. Primera semana de abril - N°534" (PDF). Cadem. 7 April 2024. Cite error: The named reference ":0" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ "Agenda Criteria, abril 2024" (PDF). Criteria Research. 3 April 2024.
- ^ "Pulso Ciudadano de Activa Research, marzo 2024, segunda quincena - N°92" (PDF). Activa Research. 1 April 2024.
- ^ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Tercera semana de marzo - N°531" (PDF). Cadem. 17 March 2024.
- ^ "Agenda Criteria, marzo 2024" (PDF). Criteria Research. 6 March 2024.
- ^ "Pulso Ciudadano de Activa Research, febrero 2024, segunda quincena - N°91" (PDF). Activa Research. 3 March 2024.
- ^ "Panel Ciudadano-UDD: Matthei se despega de Kast y llega al 30% de preferencias presidenciales" (PDF). EX-Ante. 25 February 2024.
- ^ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Tercera semana de febrero - N°527" (PDF). Cadem. 18 February 2024.
- ^ "Pulso Ciudadano de Activa Research, enero 2024, segunda quincena - N°90" (PDF). Activa Research. 29 January 2024.
- ^ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Segunda semana de enero - N°522" (PDF). Cadem. 14 January 2024.
- ^ "Agenda Criteria, enero 2024" (PDF). Criteria. 10 January 2024.
- ^ "Estudios | researchchile" (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-10-31.
- ^ "Estudios | researchchile" (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-07-18.
- ^ "https://twitter.com/AmericaElige/status/1680738255677816844". Twitter. Retrieved 2023-07-18.
{{cite web}}: External link in|title= - ^ "Estudios | researchchile" (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-06-25.
- ^ "Estudios | researchchile" (in Spanish). Retrieved 2023-07-18.
- ^ "Encuesta Plaza Pública Primera Semana de Mayo" (PDF). Plaza Publica Cadem. Retrieved 2023-06-14.
- ^ "José Antonio Kast lidera la preferencia presidencial espontánea con 20%, seguido por Evelyn Matthei con 13%". Sitio Web Cadem. Retrieved 2023-06-14.
- ^ Research Chile. "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Abril 2023" (PDF).
- ^ "Pulso Ciudadano Marzo". Somos Activa. Retrieved 2023-04-07.
- ^ "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Marzo 2023" (PDF). Research Chile.
- ^ "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Febrero 2023" (PDF). Research Chile.
- ^ "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Enero 2023" (PDF). Research Chile. 16 January 2023.
- ^ "Encuesta 'Futuros Presidenciales' (Año 2022)". Twitter. Retrieved 2023-01-27.
- ^ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Quinta semana de diciembre - N°468" (PDF). Cadem. 1 January 2023.
- ^ "Resultados de la Encuesta de Opinión Pública del mes de Diciembre" (PDF). 19 December 2022.
- ^ "Plaza Pública Cadem. Cuarta semana de octubre - N°459" (PDF). Cadem. 30 October 2022.