Wikipedia

Mawathagama Polling Division

The Mawathagama Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kurunegala Electoral District, in the North Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Mawathagama
Polling Division
Location of Mawathagama
Coordinates: 7°25′10″N 80°26′59″E / 7.419356°N 80.449840°E / 7.419356; 80.449840
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceNorth Western Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKurunegala Electoral District
Area
 • Total
111.48 km2 (43.04 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
64,904
 • Density582/km2 (1,510/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-15M

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Mawathagama has matched the final country result 8 out of 8 times. Hence, Mawathagama is a Perfect Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Mawathagama Kurunegala Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 2.55% SLPP 2.52%
2015 NDF UPFA 5.50% NDF 0.16%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.81% UPFA 1.12%
2005 UPFA UPFA 2.03% UPFA 0.20%
1999 PA PA 1.83% PA 2.51%
1994 PA PA 2.42% PA 0.60%
1988 UNP UNP 1.73% UNP 1.72%
1982 UNP UNP 0.73% UNP 1.89%
Matches/Mean MAE 8/8 7/8 2.57% 8/8 1.34%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mawathagama[4] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 41,961 55.14% 652,278 57.90% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 30,124 39.58% 416,961 37.01% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,468 3.24% 36,178 3.21% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,547 2.03% 21,193 1.88% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 76,100 99.24% 1,126,610 99.25% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 581 0.76% 8,522 0.75% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 76,681 83.87% 1,135,132 85.24% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 91,431 1,331,705 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mawathagama[5] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 35,591 51.22% 476,602 45.76% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 33,243 47.84% 556,868 53.46% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 647 0.93% 8,154 0.78% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 69,481 98.81% 1,041,624 99.12% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 834 1.19% 9,285 0.88% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 70,315 77.54% 1,050,909 78.82% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 90,682 1,333,377 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mawathagama[6] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 36,237 59.13% 582,784 63.08% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 23,999 39.16% 327,594 35.46% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,050 1.71% 13,515 1.46% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 61,286 99.26% 923,893 99.29% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 458 0.74% 6,644 0.71% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 61,744 74.70% 930,537 75.59% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 82,656 1,230,966 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mawathagama[7] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,513 50.14% 468,507 52.26% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 28,658 48.68% 418,809 46.72% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 696 1.18% 9,181 1.02% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 58,867 98.98% 896,497 99.07% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 607 1.02% 8,458 0.93% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 59,474 76.43% 904,955 77.87% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 77,819 1,162,099 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mawathagama[8] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,463 48.52% 377,483 50.77% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 21,972 45.44% 326,327 43.89% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,838 3.80% 27,354 3.68% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,080 2.23% 12,355 1.66% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 48,353 97.98% 743,519 97.99% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 995 2.02% 15,272 2.01% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 49,348 73.32% 758,791 75.83% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 67,307 1,000,624 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mawathagama[9] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,057 61.70% 403,838 59.36% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 16,635 36.58% 266,740 39.21% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 784 1.72% 9,766 1.44% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 45,476 98.21% 680,344 98.48% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 831 1.79% 10,511 1.52% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 46,307 76.38% 690,855 76.97% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 60,627 897,539 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mawathagama[10] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,429 53.13% 198,662 51.12% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 17,465 45.42% 182,220 46.89% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 557 1.45% 7,717 1.99% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 38,451 99.02% 388,599 98.91% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 380 0.98% 4,281 1.09% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 38,831 73.52% 392,880 53.49% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 52,815 734,453 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mawathagama[11] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 23,127 56.32% 345,769 55.77% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 16,033 39.04% 248,479 40.08% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,580 3.85% 21,835 3.52% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 324 0.79% 3,895 0.63% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 41,064 98.95% 619,978 99.13% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 435 1.05% 5,431 0.87% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 41,499 85.53% 625,409 86.00% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 48,522 727,202 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Mawathagama has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Mawathagama is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Mawathagama Kurunegala Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UPFA 4.07% UNP 2.94%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.97% UPFA 2.45%
2004 UPFA UPFA 2.79% UPFA 3.78%
2001 UNP UNP 2.51% UNP 3.47%
2000 UNP PA 4.53% PA 3.43%
1994 PA PA 0.34% PA 2.55%
1989 UNP UNP 2.87% UNP 5.60%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 2.58% 7/7 3.46%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mawathagama[14] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 32,160 49.96% 441,275 45.87% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 28,870 44.85% 474,124 49.29% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 2,927 4.55% 41,077 4.27% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 414 0.64% 5,496 0.57% 83,041 0.75%
Valid Votes 64,371 94.71% 961,972 95.39% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,563 5.24% 46,036 4.56% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 67,965 74.95% 1,008,459 79.63% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 90,682 1,266,443 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mawathagama[15] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 28,106 62.78% 429,316 63.91% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 14,569 32.54% 213,713 31.81% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,945 4.34% 26,440 3.94% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 147 0.33% 2,288 0.34% 34,779 0.43%
Valid Votes 44,767 92.06% 671,757 92.58% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,806 7.83% 53,130 7.32% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 48,627 58.83% 725,566 59.08% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 82,656 1,228,044 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mawathagama[16] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 24,974 48.17% 412,157 51.95% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 23,158 44.67% 340,768 42.95% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 3,391 6.54% 37,459 4.72% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 320 0.62% 2,976 0.38% 64,640 0.70%
Valid Votes 51,843 94.93% 793,360 95.14% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,753 5.04% 40,261 4.83% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 54,614 72.56% 833,908 76.54% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 75,264 1,089,482 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mawathagama[17] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,507 51.24% 382,768 48.59% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 20,365 39.37% 332,775 42.24% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 4,134 7.99% 63,652 8.08% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 724 1.40% 8,533 1.08% 133,770 1.49%
Valid Votes 51,730 95.45% 787,728 95.35% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,467 4.55% 38,451 4.65% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 54,197 75.25% 826,179 78.98% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 72,027 1,046,102 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mawathagama[18] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,502 45.90% 308,106 41.86% 3,451,765 40.12%
PA 21,075 42.99% 358,794 48.75% 3,899,329 45.33%
JVP 2,760 5.63% 40,780 5.54% 518,725 6.03%
NUA 1,574 3.21% 11,927 1.62% 185,593 2.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,111 2.27% 16,421 2.23% 221,514 2.57%
Valid Votes 49,022 N/A 736,028 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mawathagama[19] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,746 51.35% 366,856 51.87% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 21,805 47.15% 332,547 47.02% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 491 1.06% 4,990 0.71% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 204 0.44% 2,886 0.41% 68,538 0.86%
Valid Votes 46,246 96.35% 707,279 95.92% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,752 3.65% 30,071 4.08% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 47,998 79.17% 737,350 82.15% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 60,627 897,580 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mawathagama[20] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,899 61.12% 314,724 58.51% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 12,270 32.75% 195,526 36.35% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 1,316 3.51% 13,759 2.56% 67,723 1.21%
USA 854 2.28% 11,059 2.06% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 128 0.34% 2,848 0.53% 90,480 1.62%
Valid Votes 37,467 93.53% 537,916 94.02% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,592 6.47% 34,212 5.98% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 40,059 77.13% 572,128 72.88% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 51,935 784,991 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Mawathagama Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (83.1%) and a significant Moor population (11.6%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Mawathagama Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (91.4%) [1]

Ethnicity in Mawathagama[1]

  Sinhalese (83.1%)
  Moor (11.6%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (4.7%)
  Other (0.6%)

Religion

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The Mawathagama Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (81.1%) and a significant Muslim population (11.9%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Mawathagama Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (88.5%) [1]

Religion in Mawathagama[1]

  Buddhist (81.1%)
  Muslim (11.9%)
  Hindu (4.2%)
  Other Christian (1.5%)
  Roman Catholic (1.4%)
  Other (0.0%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mawathagama and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mawathagama and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mawathagama and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mawathagama and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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