Wikipedia

Mahara Polling Division

The Mahara Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Gampaha Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Mahara
Polling Division
Location of Mahara
Coordinates: 7°01′23″N 79°59′54″E / 7.023040°N 79.998235°E / 7.023040; 79.998235
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictGampaha Electoral District
Area
 • Total
103.66 km2 (40.02 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
207,782
 • Density2,004/km2 (5,190/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-02J

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Mahara has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Mahara is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Mahara Gampaha Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 4.70% SLPP 11.66%
2015 UPFA NDF 3.88% NDF 5.51%
2010 UPFA UPFA 4.11% UPFA 7.42%
2005 UPFA UPFA 4.64% UPFA 8.91%
1999 PA PA 2.23% PA 7.24%
1994 PA PA 2.24% PA 4.48%
1988 SLFP SLFP 3.20% UNP 6.10%
1982 UNP UNP 4.18% UNP 5.99%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 3.65% 8/8 7.16%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mahara[4] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 83,989 64.43% 855,870 59.28% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 38,407 29.46% 494,671 34.26% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 5,547 4.26% 61,760 4.28% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,407 1.85% 31,499 2.18% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 130,350 99.11% 1,443,800 98.92% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 1,166 0.89% 15,751 1.08% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 131,516 83.81% 1,459,551 83.31% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 156,924 1,751,892 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mahara[5] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 64,314 53.43% 664,347 49.49% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 55,334 45.97% 669,007 49.83% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 733 0.61% 9,142 0.68% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 120,381 99.05% 1,342,496 98.92% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,154 0.95% 14,647 1.08% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 121,535 81.32% 1,357,143 80.77% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 149,453 1,680,263 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mahara[6] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 69,085 65.85% 718,716 61.66% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 34,807 33.18% 434,506 37.28% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,013 0.97% 12,426 1.07% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 104,905 99.40% 1,165,648 99.24% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 629 0.60% 8,960 0.76% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 105,534 78.42% 1,174,608 78.03% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 134,581 1,505,363 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mahara[7] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 56,759 59.51% 596,698 54.78% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 37,772 39.60% 481,764 44.23% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 849 0.89% 10,815 0.99% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 95,380 99.06% 1,089,277 98.94% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 901 0.94% 11,724 1.06% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 96,281 78.89% 1,101,001 79.17% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 122,039 1,390,691 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mahara[8] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 46,703 58.69% 532,796 56.58% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 27,771 34.90% 353,969 37.59% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,941 4.95% 40,472 4.30% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,159 1.46% 14,382 1.53% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 79,574 97.78% 941,619 97.84% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,809 2.22% 20,768 2.16% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 81,383 75.56% 962,387 77.12% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 107,701 1,247,860 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mahara[9] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 46,494 66.98% 550,654 64.74% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 21,935 31.60% 288,608 33.93% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 985 1.42% 11,256 1.32% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 69,414 98.49% 850,518 98.48% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,064 1.51% 13,137 1.52% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 70,478 71.85% 863,655 74.16% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 98,091 1,164,625 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mahara[10] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 30,305 51.60% 355,553 48.83% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 26,024 44.31% 350,092 48.08% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 2,407 4.10% 22,467 3.09% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 58,736 98.76% 728,112 98.63% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 735 1.24% 10,108 1.37% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 59,471 74.40% 738,220 74.93% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 79,936 985,206 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Mahara[11] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,853 48.07% 365,847 52.50% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 25,580 47.57% 301,808 43.31% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,952 3.63% 23,701 3.40% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 393 0.73% 5,491 0.79% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 53,778 99.23% 696,847 99.15% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 418 0.77% 5,992 0.85% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 54,196 82.54% 702,839 82.70% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 65,660 849,896 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Mahara has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Mahara is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Mahara Gampaha Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UNP 4.83% UNP 5.14%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.33% UPFA 5.38%
2004 UPFA UPFA 4.24% UPFA 7.11%
2001 PA UNP 1.91% UNP 5.04%
2000 PA PA 1.75% PA 3.75%
1994 PA PA 2.17% PA 6.84%
1989 UNP UNP 3.65% UNP 4.44%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 7/7 3.13% 7/7 5.39%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mahara[14] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 54,362 49.70% 549,958 44.96% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 45,446 41.54% 577,004 47.17% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 8,603 7.86% 87,880 7.18% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 979 0.89% 8,332 0.68% 81,501 0.73%
Valid Votes 109,390 95.86% 1,223,174 95.51% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 4,646 4.07% 56,246 4.39% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 114,112 76.35% 1,280,647 78.21% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 149,453 1,637,537 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mahara[15] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 55,327 66.69% 589,476 63.40% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 20,387 24.57% 266,523 28.67% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 7,027 8.47% 69,747 7.50% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 226 0.27% 3,985 0.43% 19,003 0.24%
Valid Votes 82,967 95.44% 929,731 94.83% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,925 4.52% 50,234 5.12% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 86,932 64.59% 980,467 65.06% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 134,581 1,506,969 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mahara[16] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 47,558 54.98% 509,963 51.52% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 27,012 31.23% 367,572 37.14% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 11,194 12.94% 102,516 10.36% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 734 0.85% 9,691 0.98% 57,229 0.62%
Valid Votes 86,498 96.15% 989,742 95.96% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,448 3.83% 41,462 4.02% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 89,962 76.35% 1,031,464 77.72% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 117,826 1,327,145 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mahara[17] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 37,499 44.05% 428,780 43.08% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 34,904 41.00% 437,289 43.94% 4,086,026 45.62%
JVP 11,262 13.23% 113,990 11.45% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,458 1.71% 15,171 1.52% 137,826 1.54%
Valid Votes 85,123 96.42% 995,230 96.30% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,158 3.58% 38,187 3.70% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 88,281 78.01% 1,033,417 80.36% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 113,172 1,285,973 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mahara[18] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 40,884 50.17% 470,018 48.87% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 30,031 36.85% 378,328 39.34% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 7,489 9.19% 73,110 7.60% 518,725 6.03%
SU 1,983 2.43% 20,297 2.11% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,098 1.35% 19,956 2.08% 319,123 3.71%
Valid Votes 81,485 N/A 961,709 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mahara[19] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 43,413 58.88% 509,030 56.79% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 29,173 39.56% 375,631 41.91% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 1,149 1.56% 11,627 1.30% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 73,735 96.49% 896,288 96.39% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,685 3.51% 33,553 3.61% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 76,420 77.91% 929,841 79.65% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 98,091 1,167,469 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Mahara[20] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 28,310 50.29% 385,733 54.14% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 25,361 45.05% 294,490 41.34% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 2,112 3.75% 21,665 3.04% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 513 0.91% 10,549 1.48% 67,723 1.21%
Valid Votes 56,296 95.54% 712,437 95.64% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,631 4.46% 32,497 4.36% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 58,927 75.36% 744,934 76.82% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 78,192 969,658 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Mahara Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (93.9%) . In comparison, the Gampaha Electoral District (which contains the Mahara Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (90.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Mahara[1]

  Sinhalese (93.9%)
  Moor (2.6%)
  Malay (1.8%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (1.1%)
  Other (0.6%)

Religion

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The Mahara Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (84.9%) . In comparison, the Gampaha Electoral District (which contains the Mahara Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (71.3%) and a significant Roman Catholic population (19.5%) [1]

Religion in Mahara[1]

  Buddhist (84.9%)
  Roman Catholic (8.8%)
  Muslim (4.5%)
  Other Christian (1.2%)
  Other (0.7%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mahara and the Gampaha Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mahara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mahara and the Gampaha Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mahara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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