Wikipedia

Kalawana Polling Division

The Kalawana Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Ratnapura Electoral District, in the Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka.

Kalawana
Polling Division
Map
Coordinates: 6°32′58″N 80°23′11″E / 6.549396°N 80.386317°E / 6.549396; 80.386317
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceSabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictRatnapura Electoral District
Area
 • Total
538.45 km2 (207.90 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
82,201
 • Density153/km2 (400/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-21G

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Kalawana has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Kalawana is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Kalawana Ratnapura Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.76% SLPP 8.53%
2015 UPFA UPFA 5.75% NDF 13.90%
2010 UPFA UPFA 4.03% UPFA 9.76%
2005 UPFA UPFA 2.75% UPFA 5.52%
1999 PA PA 2.56% PA 3.32%
1994 PA PA 0.95% PA 5.08%
1988 UNP UNP 0.91% UNP 0.41%
1982 UNP UNP 2.92% UNP 5.92%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 2.70% 8/8 6.56%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kalawana[4] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 35,399 61.86% 448,044 59.93% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 19,291 33.71% 264,503 35.38% 5,564,239 41.99%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,313 2.29% 16,237 2.17% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 1,221 2.13% 18,887 2.53% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 57,224 99.28% 747,671 99.22% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 415 0.72% 5,853 0.78% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 57,639 88.25% 753,524 87.11% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 65,310 864,979 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kalawana[5] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 32,336 61.50% 379,053 55.74% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 19,508 37.10% 292,514 43.01% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 736 1.40% 8,517 1.25% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 52,580 99.04% 680,084 98.89% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 511 0.96% 7,656 1.11% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 53,091 84.58% 687,740 82.69% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 62,773 831,712 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kalawana[6] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 31,514 67.81% 377,734 63.76% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 14,009 30.14% 203,566 34.36% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 953 2.05% 11,126 1.88% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 46,476 99.41% 592,426 99.26% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 278 0.59% 4,430 0.74% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 46,754 81.69% 596,856 79.75% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 57,232 748,404 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kalawana[7] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 24,463 55.78% 294,260 53.01% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 18,740 42.73% 252,838 45.55% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 657 1.50% 7,976 1.44% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 43,860 99.06% 555,074 99.02% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 414 0.94% 5,510 0.98% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 44,274 84.89% 560,584 82.57% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 52,156 678,909 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kalawana[8] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 21,261 55.36% 250,409 52.13% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 15,428 40.17% 202,621 42.18% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 963 2.51% 16,482 3.43% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 754 1.96% 10,852 2.26% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 38,406 98.60% 480,364 98.15% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 544 1.40% 9,038 1.85% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 38,950 83.90% 489,402 81.27% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 46,426 602,172 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kalawana[9] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 19,993 57.25% 257,265 58.07% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 14,434 41.33% 177,924 40.16% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 496 1.42% 7,842 1.77% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 34,923 98.67% 443,031 98.31% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 469 1.33% 7,595 1.69% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 35,392 81.78% 450,626 80.02% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 43,279 563,174 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kalawana[10] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 14,316 50.25% 180,622 51.75% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 12,994 45.61% 159,879 45.81% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 1,180 4.14% 8,516 2.44% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 28,490 98.72% 349,017 98.84% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 369 1.28% 4,113 1.16% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 28,859 78.97% 353,130 76.64% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 36,544 460,735 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kalawana[11] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 13,806 48.80% 175,903 50.90% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 13,644 48.22% 152,506 44.13% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 629 2.22% 11,283 3.26% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 214 0.76% 5,912 1.71% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 28,293 99.17% 345,604 99.02% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 237 0.83% 3,407 0.98% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 28,530 86.71% 349,011 85.91% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 32,904 406,275 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Kalawana has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Kalawana is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Kalawana Ratnapura Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 4.52% UNP 8.27%
2010 UPFA UPFA 5.28% UPFA 10.51%
2004 UPFA UPFA 3.09% UPFA 6.59%
2001 PA UNP 3.47% UNP 5.24%
2000 PA PA 3.57% PA 4.90%
1994 PA PA 0.51% PA 2.85%
1989 UNP UNP 1.05% UNP 4.63%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 6/7 3.07% 7/7 6.14%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kalawana[14] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,405 56.47% 323,636 51.21% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 19,889 40.98% 284,117 44.96% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 1,034 2.13% 21,525 3.41% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 206 0.42% 2,720 0.43% 83,333 0.75%
Valid Votes 48,534 96.72% 631,998 96.46% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,638 3.26% 23,026 3.51% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 50,182 79.94% 655,222 80.88% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 62,773 810,082 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kalawana[15] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,030 74.55% 305,327 68.87% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 8,187 23.45% 125,076 28.21% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 526 1.51% 11,053 2.49% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 173 0.50% 1,853 0.42% 35,498 0.44%
Valid Votes 34,916 91.45% 443,309 92.28% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,263 8.55% 37,022 7.71% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 38,182 66.71% 480,395 64.02% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 57,232 750,416 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kalawana[16] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 22,501 57.52% 261,450 53.14% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 15,726 40.20% 205,490 41.77% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 660 1.69% 20,801 4.23% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 233 0.60% 4,262 0.87% 58,082 0.63%
Valid Votes 39,120 94.40% 492,003 94.55% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,322 5.60% 28,346 5.45% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 41,442 81.97% 520,349 80.42% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 50,558 647,035 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kalawana[17] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 18,445 48.04% 212,794 43.46% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 16,708 43.51% 227,202 46.41% 4,086,026 45.62%
JVP 2,506 6.53% 40,377 8.25% 815,353 9.10%
NLF 416 1.08% 4,589 0.94% 45,901 0.51%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 324 0.84% 4,616 0.94% 86,089 0.96%
Valid Votes 38,399 93.14% 489,578 94.14% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,830 6.86% 30,483 5.86% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 41,229 84.69% 520,061 83.41% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 48,682 623,506 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kalawana[18] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 21,224 55.48% 244,142 50.63% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 15,246 39.86% 204,017 42.30% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 1,237 3.23% 22,222 4.61% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 546 1.43% 11,873 2.46% 239,421 2.78%
Valid Votes 38,253 N/A 482,254 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kalawana[19] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 18,312 50.50% 233,687 50.77% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 17,674 48.74% 220,750 47.96% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 273 0.75% 5,848 1.27% 223,848 2.82%
Valid Votes 36,259 95.48% 460,285 95.12% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,716 4.52% 23,611 4.88% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 37,975 87.74% 483,890 85.77% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 43,279 564,194 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kalawana[20] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,118 58.26% 196,323 57.89% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 9,494 34.32% 123,360 36.38% 1,785,369 31.90%
USP 1,909 6.90% 17,323 5.11% 17,323 0.31%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 145 0.52% 2,116 0.62% 68,609 1.23%
Valid Votes 27,666 94.28% 339,122 94.37% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,680 5.72% 20,248 5.63% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 29,346 81.25% 359,370 78.60% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 36,117 457,224 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Kalawana Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (85.6%) . In comparison, the Ratnapura Electoral District (which contains the Kalawana Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (87.1%) [1]

Ethnicity in Kalawana[1]

  Sinhalese (85.6%)
  Indian Tamil (9.2%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (5.1%)
  Other (0.1%)

Religion

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The Kalawana Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (85.7%) and a significant Hindu population (12.9%) . In comparison, the Ratnapura Electoral District (which contains the Kalawana Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (86.7%) [1]

Religion in Kalawana[1]

  Buddhist (85.7%)
  Hindu (12.9%)
  Other (1.3%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalawana and the Ratnapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalawana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalawana and the Ratnapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalawana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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