Cardigan (electoral district)

Cardigan is a federal electoral district in Prince Edward Island, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1968.

Cardigan
Prince Edward Island electoral district
Cardigan in relation to the other Prince Edward Island ridings
Coordinates:46°20′38″N 62°30′25″W / 46.344°N 62.507°W / 46.344; -62.507
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 
 
Lawrence MacAulay
Liberal
District created1966
First contested1968
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2016)[1]36,615
Electors (2019)29,665
Area (km²)[1]2,658
Pop. density (per km²)13.8
Census division(s)Kings, Queens
Census subdivision(s)Stratford, Three Rivers, Souris, Eastern Kings, Central Kings, Souris West, Murray River, Murray Harbour, Morell, St. Peters Bay

The electoral district was created in 1966 from parts of the ridings of King's and Queen's, with minor modifications to its boundaries since.

Following the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, at the first election held after April 22, 2024. It will lose all of its territory in North Shore and the North Shore Fire District, plus everything west of Highway 6 between them to Malpeque.[2]

Geography

edit

Under the Representation Order, the geographic boundaries of this riding are described as follows:

Consisting of:

(a) the County of Kings;
(b) that part of the County of Queens comprised of: lots 35, 36, 37, 48, 49, 50, 57, 58, 60 and 62; the Town of Stratford; and
(c) Governors Island and all other islands adjacent to the County of Kings and to the above-mentioned lots.

(See the map of Cardigan riding[dead link].)

Political geography

edit
 
2021 election by polling area

In the 2008 election, every poll except two voted Liberal. The only two polls that didn't, voted Conservative. These two polls were centred in the town of Georgetown, Prince Edward Island.[3]

Demographics

edit
Canada census – Cardigan community profile
202120162011
Population39,866 (8.9% from 2016)36,615 (1.7% from 2011)36,005 (2.7% from 2006)
Land area2,547.64 km2 (983.65 sq mi)2,551.09 km2 (984.98 sq mi)2,550.42 km2 (984.72 sq mi)
Population density15.6/km2 (40/sq mi)14.4/km2 (37/sq mi)14.1/km2 (37/sq mi)
Median age43.6 (M: 42.8, F: 44.4)44.2 (M: 43.2, F: 45.0)42.5 (M: 42.0, F: 43.0)
Private dwellings19,420 (total)  18,829 (total)  17,538 (total) 
Median household income$77,000$65,287
Notes: NHS Profile, Statistics Canada
References: 2021[4] 2016[5] 2011[6] earlier[7][8]
Visible Minorities and Aboriginals[9]
Group 2021 Census 2016 Census
Population % of total Population % of total
Aboriginal 1,730 4.5 820 2.3
Visible Minority 2,125 5.5 1,220 3.4
All other 34,480 90.0 33,695 94.3
Total 38,335 100.0 35,735 100.0
Population by mother tongue[10]
Group 2021 Census 2016 Census 2011 Census
Population % of total Population % of total Population % of total
English 35,375 89.4 33,850 93.2 34,200 95.5
French 550 1.4 505 1.4 560 1.6
English and French 180 0.5 70 0.2 80 0.2
All other 3,445 8.7 1,910 5.2 965 2.7
Total 39,550 100.0 36,335 100.0 35,805 100.0
Mobility over previous five years
Group 2021 Census 2016 Census
Population % of total Population % of total
At the same address 22,840 62.7 24,095 71.3
In the same constituency 2,815 7.7 3,620 10.7
In the same province 5,820 16.0 3,250 9.6
From another province 3,595 9.9 2,050 6.1
From another country 1,330 3.7 775 2.3
Total aged 5 or over 36,400 100.0 33,790 100.0

Members of parliament

edit

This riding has elected the following members of parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
Cardigan
Riding created from King's and Queen's
28th  1968–1972     Melvin McQuaid Progressive Conservative
29th  1972–1974     Daniel J. MacDonald Liberal
30th  1974–1979
31st  1979–1980     Wilbur MacDonald Progressive Conservative
32nd  1980–1980     Daniel J. MacDonald Liberal
 1981–1984 Bennett Campbell
33rd  1984–1988     Pat Binns Progressive Conservative
34th  1988–1993     Lawrence MacAulay Liberal
35th  1993–1997
36th  1997–2000
37th  2000–2004
38th  2004–2006
39th  2006–2008
40th  2008–2011
41st  2011–2015
42nd  2015–2019
43rd  2019–2021
44th  2021–present

Election results

edit
Graph of election results in Cardigan (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

2021

edit
2021 federal election redistributed results[11]
Party Vote %
  Liberal 10,955 50.56
  Conservative 6,697 30.91
  New Democratic 2,117 9.77
  Green 1,042 4.81
  People's 711 3.28
  Others 143 0.66


2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Lawrence MacAulay 11,175 50.58 +1.23 $47,596.44
Conservative Wayne Phelan 6,817 30.85 +1.80 $38,354.38
New Democratic Lynne Thiele 2,168 9.81 +3.13 $3,739.79
Green Michael MacLean 1,064 4.82 -9.02 $5,906.70
People's Kevin Hardy 725 3.28 $1,431.55
Christian Heritage Fred MacLeod 145 0.66 -0.42 $627.12
Total valid votes/expense limit 21,994 98.66 $90,511.54
Total rejected ballots 199 0.89 -0.15
Turnout 22,293 72.71 -2.28
Eligible voters 30,659
Liberal hold Swing -0.24
Source: Elections Canada[12][13]

2019

edit
2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Lawrence MacAulay 10,939 49.35 −15.68 $42,720.95
Conservative Wayne Phelan 6,439 29.05 +12.89 none listed
Green Glen Beaton 3,068 13.84 +7.46 $13,490.35
New Democratic Lynne Thiele 1,481 6.68 −4.45 $0.00
Christian Heritage Christene Squires 240 1.08 −0.23 $278.30
Total valid votes/expense limit 22,167 98.96   $85,990.53
Total rejected ballots 232 1.04 +0.61
Turnout 22,399 74.99 −3.17
Eligible voters 29,869
Liberal hold Swing −14.29
Source: Elections Canada[14]

2015

edit
2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Lawrence MacAulay 14,621 65.03 +15.40 $57,014.46
Conservative Julius Patkai 3,632 16.15 –22.22 $36,428.35
New Democratic Billy Cann 2,503 11.13 +0.84 $13,760.96
Green Teresa Doyle 1,434 6.38 +4.61 $7,232.74
Christian Heritage Christene Squires 295 1.31 $2,681.69
Total valid votes/expense limit 22,485 99.57   $170,761.91
Total rejected ballots 96 0.43 –0.08
Turnout 22,581 78.16 -0.13
Eligible voters 28,889
Liberal hold Swing +18.81
Source: Elections Canada[15][16]

2011

edit
2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Lawrence MacAulay 10,486 49.63 -3.18 $40,566.83
Conservative Michael Currie 8,107 38.37 +8.48 $60,502.86
New Democratic Lorne Cudmore 2,164 10.24 +2.11 $1,837.23
Green Leslie Stewart 373 1.77 -1.96 $1,714.72
Total valid votes/expense limit 21,130 100.0   $69,835.73
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 108 0.51 -0.02
Turnout 21,238 78.29 +8.03
Eligible voters 27,127
Liberal hold Swing -5.83
Sources:[17][18]

2008

edit
2008 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Lawrence MacAulay 10,105 52.81 -3.35 $35,000.12
Conservative Sid McMullin 5,661 29.59 -4.09 $29,907.51
New Democratic Mike Avery 1,556 8.13 +0.66 $1,316.84
Independent Larry McGuire 1,101 5.75 none listed
Green Emma Daughton 710 3.71 +1.02 $2,546.13
Total valid votes/expense limit 19,133 100.0   $67,487
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 101 0.53 -0.03
Turnout 19,234 70.26 -5.07
Eligible voters 27,374
Liberal hold Swing +0.37

2006

edit
2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Lawrence MacAulay 11,542 56.16 +2.78 $38,353.41
Conservative Don Gillis 6,923 33.68 +0.44 $62,756.67
New Democratic Edith Perry 1,535 7.47 -2.68 $1,532.80
Green Haida Arsenault-Antolick 553 2.69 -0.54 $679.02
Total valid votes/expense limit 20,533 100.0   $63,115
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 116 0.56
Turnout 20,649 75.33
Eligible voters 27,411
Liberal hold Swing +1.17

2004

edit
2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Lawrence MacAulay 11,064 53.38 +6.56 $54,157.07
Conservative Peter McQuaid 6,889 33.24 -14.78 $59,824.10
New Democratic Dave MacKinnon 2,103 10.15 +5.09 $20,929.08
Green Jeremy Stiles 670 3.23 $1,315.34
Total valid votes/expense limit 20,726 100.0   $61,091
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 137 0.66
Turnout 20,863 76.2
Eligible voters 27,656
Liberal notional hold Swing +10.67
Changes from 2000 are based on redistributed results. Change for the Conservatives is based on the combined totals of the Progressive Conservatives and the Canadian Alliance.
2000 federal election redistributed results
Party Vote %
  Liberal 9,132 46.85
  Progressive Conservative 8,765 44.96
  New Democratic 987 5.06
  Alliance 596 3.06
  Others 14 0.07

2000

edit
2000 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Lawrence MacAulay 8,545 48.06 +3.01
Progressive Conservative Kevin MacAdam 8,269 46.51 +2.05
Alliance Darrell Hickox 500 2.81
New Democratic Deborah Kelly Hawkes 465 2.62 -7.88
Total valid votes 17,779 100.00

1997

edit
1997 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Lawrence MacAulay 7,555 45.05 -16.59
Progressive Conservative Dan Hughes 7,456 44.46 +11.79
New Democratic Larry Duchesne 1,761 10.50 +4.81
Total valid votes 16,772 100.00

1993

edit
1993 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Lawrence MacAulay 10,115 61.64 +10.02
Progressive Conservative Wilbur MacDonald 5,360 32.67 -11.26
New Democratic Reg Phelan 934 5.69 +1.23
Total valid votes 16,409 100.00

1988

edit
1988 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Lawrence MacAulay 9,325 51.62 +9.48
Progressive Conservative Pat Binns 7,936 43.93 -9.43
New Democratic Gertrude Partridge 805 4.46 -0.04
Total valid votes 18,066 100.00

1984

edit
1984 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Pat Binns 10,566 53.36 +6.44
Liberal Bennett Campbell 8,344 42.14 -6.90
New Democratic Lorne Cudmore 891 4.50 +0.45
Total valid votes 19,801 100.00

1981 by-election

edit
Canadian federal by-election, 13 April 1981
On the death of Daniel J. MacDonald, 30 September 1980
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Bennett Campbell 8,166 49.04 +0.86
Progressive Conservative Wilbur MacDonald 7,813 46.92 +2.02
New Democratic Aubrey Cantello 674 4.05 -1.86
Total valid votes 16,653 100.00

1980

edit
1980 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Daniel J. MacDonald 8,590 48.18 +1.51
Progressive Conservative Wilbur MacDonald 8,006 44.90 -3.21
New Democratic Aubrey Cantelo 1,054 5.91 +0.69
Independent Arthur D. Reddin 180 1.01
Total valid votes 17,830 100.00

1979

edit
1979 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Wilbur MacDonald 8,219 48.11 +5.98
Liberal Daniel J. MacDonald 7,972 46.67 -7.32
New Democratic George MacFarlane 892 5.22 +1.94
Total valid votes 17,083 100.00

1974

edit
1974 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Daniel J. MacDonald 6,958 53.99 +9.45
Progressive Conservative Leo James Walsh 5,429 42.13 +0.95
New Democratic Martin Gerard Kenny 423 3.28 -10.99
Independent A. Neil Harpham 77 0.60
Total valid votes 12,887 100.00

1972

edit
1972 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Daniel J. MacDonald 5,528 44.54 -4.21
Progressive Conservative Alfred Kenneth Fraser 5,111 41.18 -8.35
New Democratic Aquinas Ryan 1,771 14.27 +12.51
Total valid votes 12,410 100.00

1968

edit
1968 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes %
Progressive Conservative Melvin McQuaid 5,717 49.53
Liberal John Mullally 5,623 48.75
New Democratic Spurgeon Joseph Hazelden 203 1.76
Total valid votes 11,543 100.00

Student vote results

edit

2011 election

edit

In 2011, a student vote was conducted at participating Canadian schools to parallel the 2011 Canadian federal election results. The vote was designed to educate students and simulate the electoral process for persons who have not yet reached the legal majority. Schools with a large student body that reside in another electoral district had the option to vote for candidates outside of the electoral district where they were physically located.[19]

2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes %
Liberal Lawrence MacAulay 456 35.82
Conservative Michael Currie 352 27.65
New Democratic Lorne Cudmore 244 19.17
Green Leslie Stewart 221 17.36
Total valid votes/expense limit 1,273 100.00

See also

edit

References

edit
  • "Cardigan (electoral district) (Code 11001) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved 3 March 2011.
  • Cardigan riding from Elections Canada
  • Riding history for Cardigan (1966–) from the Library of Parliament
  • Election Financial Reports from Elections Canada

Notes

edit
  1. ^ a b Statistics Canada: 2012
  2. ^ "New Federal Electoral Map for Prince Edward Island". Federal Electoral Districts Redistribution 2022. 23 March 2023. Retrieved 8 March 2024.
  3. ^ "Riding « Pundits' Guide to Canadian Federal Elections".
  4. ^ "2021 Community Profiles". 2021 Canadian census. Statistics Canada. 4 February 2022. Retrieved 14 February 2023.
  5. ^ "2016 Community Profiles". 2016 Canadian census. Statistics Canada. 12 August 2021. Retrieved 14 February 2023.
  6. ^ "2011 Community Profiles". 2011 Canadian census. Statistics Canada. 21 March 2019. Retrieved 14 February 2023.
  7. ^ "2006 Community Profiles". 2006 Canadian census. Statistics Canada. 20 August 2019.
  8. ^ "2001 Community Profiles". 2001 Canadian census. Statistics Canada. 18 July 2021.
  9. ^ in private households
  10. ^ excluding institutional residents
  11. ^ "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved 9 April 2024.
  12. ^ "Election night results". Elections Canada. Retrieved 23 September 2021.
  13. ^ "Candidate Campaign Returns". Elections Canada. Retrieved 19 July 2022.
  14. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved 26 July 2021.
  15. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. 29 February 2016. Retrieved 26 July 2021.
  16. ^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates Archived 15 August 2015 at the Wayback Machine
  17. ^ Elections Canada – Official voting results, Forty-first general election, 2011
  18. ^ Elections Canada – Candidate's electoral campaign return, 41st general election
  19. ^ "School by School results". Student Vote Canada. Archived from the original on 6 May 2015. Retrieved 12 June 2013.