2027 Schleswig-Holstein state election

The 2027 Schleswig-Holstein state election will be held in 2027 to elect the 21st Landtag, or state parliament, of Schleswig-Holstein in Germany.

2027 Schleswig-Holstein state election

2027
All 69 seats in the Landtag of Schleswig-Holstein 35 seats needed for a majority
First party Second party Third party   Party CDU Greens SPD Last election 34 seats, 43.4% 14 seats, 18.3% 12 seats, 16.2%   Fourth party Fifth party   Party FDP SSW Last election 5 seats, 6.4% 4 seats, 5.7%
Government before election Second Günther cabinet CDU–Green Government after election TBD

Electoral system

The Landtag is elected via mixed-member proportional representation. 35 members are elected in single-member constituencies via first-past-the-post voting. 34 members are then allocated using compensatory proportional representation. Voters have two votes: the "first vote" for candidates in single-member constituencies, and the "second vote" for party lists, which are used to fill the proportional seats. The minimum size of the Landtag is 69 members, but if overhang seats are present, proportional leveling seats will be added to ensure proportionality. An electoral threshold of 5% of valid votes is applied to the Landtag; parties that fall below this threshold, and fail to win at least one constituency, are ineligible to receive seats. Parties representing the Danish minority of Southern Schleswig and the Frisians, such as the South Schleswig Voters' Association, are exempt from the threshold.

Opinion polls

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	CDU	Grüne	SPD	FDP	SSW	AfD	Linke	BSW	Others	Lead
EP election	9 Jun 2024	–	30.2	15.4	16.7	6.3	–	12.2	2.3	4.1	12.8	13.5
INSA	6–13 Nov 2023	1,000	40	15	16	6	6	12	–	–	5	24
Wahlkreisprognose	24 Sep–2 Oct 2023	1,000	32.5	18	14	5	9	15	1.5	–	5	14.5
Infratest dimap	20–25 Apr 2023	–	38	17	15	8	7	8	–	–	7	21
INSA	17–24 Apr 2023	1,000	39	17	16	8	7	7	2	–	4	22
2022 state election	8 May 2022	–	43.4	18.3	16.2	6.4	5.7	4.4	1.7	–	3.9	25.1