Wikipedia

2024 United States presidential election in Rhode Island

For related races, see 2024 United States presidential election.

The 2024 United States presidential election in Rhode Island was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Rhode Island voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Rhode Island has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.

2024 United States presidential election in Rhode Island
← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee Kamala Harris Donald Trump
Party Democratic Republican
Home state California Florida
Running mate Tim Walz JD Vance
Electoral vote 4 0
Popular vote 285,156 214,406
Percentage 55.5% 41.8%
President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

A New England state, Rhode Island has not voted for a Republican candidate since 1984, when Ronald Reagan won in a 49-state landslide. It is a deeply blue state, being one of three states (along with Hawaii and Massachusetts) in 2020 to have every county vote for Democrat Joe Biden.

Although Harris won the state comfortably, including every county, this was the closest election in Rhode Island since 1988, as well as the first election since 1936 that the state voted to the right of neighboring Connecticut and the first since 1956 that the state voted to the right of Delaware, Oregon or Washington state.

Primary elections

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Republican primary

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Main article: 2024 Rhode Island Republican presidential primary

The Rhode Island Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside primaries in Connecticut, New York, and Wisconsin.

Rhode Island Republican primary, April 2, 2024[1]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 10,898 84.5% 17 17
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) 1,371 10.6% 2 2
Uncommitted 257 2.0%
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) 178 1.4%
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 154 1.2%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 40 0.3%
Total: 12,898 100.0% 19 19

Democratic primary

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Main article: 2024 Rhode Island Democratic presidential primary

The Rhode Island Democratic primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside primaries in Connecticut, New York, and Wisconsin.

Rhode Island Democratic primary, April 2, 2024[2]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Pledged Unpledged Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) 21,336 80.7% 25 25
Uncommitted 3,834 14.5% 1 1
Dean Phillips (withdrawn) 660 2.5%
Write-in votes 593 2.2%
Total: 26,423 100.0% 26 8 34

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[3] Solid D December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[4] Solid D April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] Safe D June 29, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[6] Safe D December 14, 2023
CNalysis[7] Solid D December 30, 2023
CNN[8] Solid D January 14, 2024
The Economist[9] Safe D August 20, 2024
538[10] Solid D August 23, 2024
RCP[11] Solid D June 26, 2024
NBC News[12] Safe D October 6, 2024

Polling

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Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
MassINC Polling Group[13][A] September 12–18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.9% 56% 43% 1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[14] September 12–16, 2024 683 (LV) ± 3.7% 58% 38% – 2% 0% 2%[b]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
MassINC Polling Group[13][A] September 12–18, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.9% 53% 40% 2% 0% 1% – 4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
University of Rhode Island/YouGov[15] August 15 – September 8, 2024 500 (A) ± 6.0% 53% 27% 9% 11%[c]
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[16] May 16–20, 2024 538 (LV) ± 4.2% 60% 40% –
John Zogby Strategies[17][B] April 13–21, 2024 398 (LV) – 48% 43% 9%
Fleming & Associates[18][C] September 29 – October 2, 2022 402 (LV) ± 4.9% 49% 32% 19%
Echelon Insights[19][D] August 31 – September 7, 2022 373 (LV) ± 6.1% 51% 37% 12%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire[16] May 16–20, 2024 538 (LV) ± 4.2% 52% 33% 6% 1% 0% 8%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Embold Research[20][E] June 5–14, 2024 1,450 (LV) ± 2.8% 40% 33% 12% 15%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[17][B] April 13–21, 2024 398 (LV) – 40% 48% 12%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[17][B] April 13–21, 2024 398 (LV) – 46% 40% 14%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
Echelon Insights[19][D] August 31 – September 7, 2022 373 (LV) ± 6.1% 47% 36% 17%

Results

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2024 United States presidential election in Rhode Island[21]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic
285,156 55.5%
Republican
214,406 41.8%
Independent
5,045 1.0%
Green
2,900 0.6%
Libertarian
1,617 0.3%
Socialism and Liberation
1,176 0.2%
Party
359 0.1%
Write-in 2,727 0.5%
Total votes 513,386 100.0%

By congressional district

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Harris won both congressional districts.[22]

District Harris Trump Representative
1st 59.50% 37.78% Gabe Amo
2nd 51.91% 45.44% Seth Magaziner

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%; "Don't know/Not sure" with 1%
  3. ^ "Another candidate" with 1%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Rhode Island Current
  2. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by WPRI-TV & Roger Williams University
  4. ^ a b Poll sponsored by NetChoice
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by Salve Regina University

References

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  1. ^ "Rhode Island Presidential Primary". The AP. April 16, 2024. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
  2. ^ "Rhode Island Presidential Primary". The AP. April 16, 2024. Retrieved April 18, 2024.
  3. ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  4. ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  5. ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  6. ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  7. ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
  8. ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
  9. ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved August 29, 2024.
  10. ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 23, 2024.
  11. ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
  12. ^ "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
  13. ^ a b Lavin, Nancy (September 23, 2024). "Harris has 12% lead over Trump among R.I. voters in new poll". Rhode Island Current.
  14. ^ McKinley, Sean; Smith, Andrew; Azem, Zachary; Keirns, Tracy (September 18, 2024). "Harris Seen as Debate Victor, Holds Comfortable Lead Over Trump in Rhode Island". University of New Hampshire. Retrieved September 19, 2024.
  15. ^ "The Rhode Island Survey Initiative, 2024" (PDF). University of Rhode Island. October 15, 2024.
  16. ^ a b McKinley, Sean; Smith, Andrew; Azem, Zachary; Keirns, Tracy (May 23, 2024). "Biden Comfortably Leads Trump in Rhode Island Despite Low Job Approval". University of New Hampshire Scholars' Repository.
  17. ^ a b c "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
  18. ^ Nesi, Ted; White, Tim (October 6, 2022). "12 News/RWU Poll: Fung leads Magaziner in race for Congress". WPRI.
  19. ^ a b Chavez, Krista (September 13, 2022). "New National Poll: 89% of Americans Say Congress Should Focus on Addressing Inflation, Not Breaking Up Tech". NetChoice.
  20. ^ Nesi, Ted (June 25, 2024). "Poll: Biden holds single-digit lead in RI; McKee job approval slumps to 36%". WPRI.
  21. ^ "2024 General Election". State of Rhode Island Board of Elections. Retrieved November 22, 2024.
  22. ^ "2024 Pres by CD".
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