The 2024 United States presidential election in Michigan is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Michigan voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Michigan has 15 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.[1] Michigan is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.[2]
 | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
.jpg)
An Upper Midwestern state at the heart of the Rust Belt, no Republican presidential candidate has won Michigan with a majority since George H. W. Bush in 1988, and the last Republican to win by double digits was Ronald Reagan in his 49-state landslide four years earlier. The state was formerly part of the Blue Wall, having voted Democratic in every presidential election between 1992 and 2012, but only doing so by a double-digit margin in 1996 and 2008. Then, in 2016, Republican Donald Trump carried Michigan by a very narrow 0.23% in an unexpected sweep of the Midwest and Rust Belt which earned him a presidential victory, only to have the state flipped back into the Democratic column by Joe Biden four years later with a 2.78% margin of victory as the former lost the presidency to the latter. However, it was the worst margin for a victorious Democrat dating back to the 2.01% margin of victory for John F. Kennedy in the state in the extremely close 1960 election.
Michigan is purple to slightly blue, with Democrats holding all statewide offices since 2019. Due to the state's nearly even partisan lean and the close margin by which it was decided in 2016 and 2020, this race is considered to be a tossup, although recent polls conducted in the state have shown to be narrowly favoring Kamala Harris.
On April 18, 2024, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was nominated by Michigan's Natural Law Party.[3] He later dropped out of the presidential race nationally on August 23rd, but will remain on the ballot.[4][5][6] Jill Stein from the Green party has ballot access.[7][8]
General election
editCandidates
editThe following candidates have qualified for the general election ballot:[9]
- Kamala Harris — Democratic
- Donald Trump — Republican
- Chase Oliver — Libertarian
- Randall Terry — US Taxpayers
- Jill Stein — Green
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — Natural Law[a]
- Joseph Kishore — Independent (Socialist Equality Party nominee)
- Cornel West — Independent
Additionally, voters have the option to write-in candidates who file a letter of intent by October 25.[10]
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Tossup | August 27, 2024 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Tossup | August 20, 2024 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[13] | Tossup | September 4, 2024 |
| CNN[14] | Tossup | August 27, 2024 |
| The Economist[15] | Tossup | August 27, 2024 |
| 538[16] | Tossup | September 6, 2024 |
| RCP[17] | Tossup | August 27, 2024 |
| CNalysis[18] | Tilt D | August 27, 2024 |
| Inside Elections[19] | Tossup | May 8, 2024 |
Polling
editKamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Undecided [b] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | July 10 – August 30, 2024 | August 30, 2024 | 48.0% | 46.9% | 5.1% | Harris +1.1% |
| 270ToWin | August 10–September 5, 2024 | September 5, 2024 | 47.4% | 45.3% | 7.3% | Harris +2.1% |
| 538 | through September 6, 2024 | September 6, 2024 | 46.6% | 44.6% | 8.8% | Harris +2.0% |
| Silver Bulletin | through September 6, 2024 | September 6, 2024 | 48.0% | 46.2% | 5.8% | Harris +1.8% |
| The Hill/DDHQ | through September 6, 2024 | September 6, 2024 | 48.3% | 46.8% | 4.9% | Harris +1.5% |
| RacetotheWH | through September 5, 2024 | September 5, 2024 | 48.6% | 46.0% | 5.4% | Harris +2.6% |
| Average | 47.6% | 45.75% | 6.65% | Harris +1.85% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriot Polling[20] | September 1–3, 2024 | 822 (RV) | – | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Trafalgar Group (R)[21] | August 28–30, 2024 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Emerson College[22] | August 25–28, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 47% | 3%[d] |
| 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 51%[e] | 48% | 1%[f] | ||
| ActiVote[23] | July 28 – August 28, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 50% | – |
| EPIC-MRA[24] | August 23–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[25] | August 23–26, 2024 | 651 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 46% | 5% | ||
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his campaign and endorses Trump. | ||||||
| TIPP Insights[26][A] | August 20–22, 2024 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 46% | 6% |
| Democratic National Convention | ||||||
| Fabrizio Ward (R)[27][g] | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[28][B] | August 13–19, 2024 | 1,093 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 47% | 5% |
| Focaldata[29] | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 53% | 47% | – |
| The Bullfinch Group[30][C] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[31][D] | August 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[32] | August 6–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | 4% |
| New York Times/Siena College[33] | August 5–8, 2024 | 619 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| 619 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50% | 46% | 5% | ||
| Navigator Research (D)[34] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[35] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 406 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | 6% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[36][E] | July 23–29, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[37] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 42% | 4% |
| SoCal Strategies (R)[38][F] | July 25–26, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Fox News[39] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 49% | 2% |
| Emerson College[40] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 49%[e] | 51% | – | ||
| Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Harris declares her candidacy. | ||||||
| Republican National Convention concludes | ||||||
| Attempted assassination of Donald Trump | ||||||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[41][G] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 46% | 48% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[42] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College[43] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| 616 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 46% | 6% | ||
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[44] | August 25–28, 2024 | 1,071 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | – | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[25] | August 23–26, 2024 | 651 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 47% | – | 0% | 2% | 2% |
| 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | – | 1% | 2% | 3% |
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[45] | August 23–29, 2024 | 708 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 48% | 43% | 4% | – | 1% | 1% | 3% |
| Z to A Research (D)[46][H] | August 23–26, 2024 | 518 (LV) | – | 47% | 47% | 3% | – | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| TIPP Insights[26][A] | August 20–22, 2024 | 741 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 1% | – | 2% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[28][B] | August 13–17, 2024 | 1,093 (LV) | – | 47% | 44% | 4% | 1% | 1% | – | 3% |
| Focaldata[29] | August 6–16, 2024 | 702 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 51% | 44% | 4% | – | 1% | 0% | – |
| 702 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 44% | 4% | – | 1% | 0% | 1% | ||
| 702 (A) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 42% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 2% | ||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[47] | August 12–15, 2024 | 530 (LV) | – | 44% | 45% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 5% |
| The Bullfinch Group[30][C] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 1% | – | 5% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[31][D] | August 7–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 45% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 4% |
| New York Times/Siena College[33] | August 5–8, 2024 | 619 (RV) | ± 4.8% | 44% | 43% | 5% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 6% |
| 619 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 48% | 43% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 3% | ||
| Navigator Research (D)[34] | July 31 – August 8, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[35] | July 26 – August 8, 2024 | 406 (LV) | – | 46% | 44% | 6% | 1% | 0% | – | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[48] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 771 (LV) | – | 41% | 42% | 5% | – | 1% | 0% | 11% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[37] | July 24–28, 2024 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | 5% | – | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| Fox News[39] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 45% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[49] | July 22–24, 2024 | 512 (LV) | – | 41% | 44% | 7% | – | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| Glengariff Group[50][I] | July 22–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 41% | 10% | – | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Emerson College[40] | July 22–23, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 5% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glengariff Group[51][I] | August 26–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 5% |
| EPIC-MRA[24] | August 23–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[52][J] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 7% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio Ward (R)[27][g] | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 43% | 5% | 8% |
| Civiqs[53][H] | July 13–16, 2024 | 532 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 46% | 46% | 5% | 3% |
Hypothetical polling with Joe Biden and Donald Trump
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[52][J] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| EPIC-MRA[54][K] | July 13–17, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| Emerson College[55][L] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| Marketing Resource Group[56] | July 11–13, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 39% | 25%[h] |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[41][G] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 46% | 47% | 7% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[57][M] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[58] | July 1–5, 2024 | 694 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Emerson College[59][L] | June 30 – July 2, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 12% |
| Remington Research Group (R)[60] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 584 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| EPIC-MRA[61][K] | June 21–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 49% | 6% |
| Emerson College[62] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 9% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49%[e] | 51% | – | ||
| Mitchell Research[63][N] | June 3, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 48% | 4% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[64] | May 30–31, 2024 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| 636 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 46% | 7% | ||
| Mitchell Research[65][N] | May 20–21, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 49% | 4% |
| KAConsulting (R)[66][O] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Prime Group[67][P] | May 9–16, 2024 | 482 (RV) | – | 52% | 48% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[42] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[68] | May 6–13, 2024 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| New York Times/Siena College[69] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| 616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% | ||
| Emerson College[70] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48%[e] | 52% | – | ||
| CBS News/YouGov[71] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,262 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 51% | 49% | – |
| Fox News[72] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 49% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[73] | April 8–15, 2024 | 708 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
| Marketing Resource Group[74] | April 8–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 42% | 22%[h] |
| The Bullfinch Group[75][C] | March 29 – April 3, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
| Spry Strategies (R)[76] | March 25–28, 2024 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
| Wall Street Journal[77] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Echelon Insights[78][Q] | March 12–19, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.3% | 45% | 51% | 4% |
| Emerson College[79] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50%[e] | 50% | – | ||
| CNN/SSRS[80] | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,097 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 42% | 50% | 8% |
| Mitchell Research[81][N] | March 15–16, 2024 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Quinnipiac University[82] | March 8–12, 2024 | 1,487 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[83] | March 8–12, 2024 | 698 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[84][R] | February 22–25, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 13% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[85] | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| Emerson College[86] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 46% | 10% |
| EPIC-MRA[87] | February 13–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 45% | 14% |
| Fox News[88] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 47% | 8% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[89] | January 16–21, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 47% | 7% |
| Target Insyght[90] | January 4–10, 2024 | 800 (RV) | – | 45% | 41% | 14% |
| Glengariff Group[91][I] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 39% | 47% | 14% |
| John Zogby Strategies[92] | January 2–4, 2024 | 602 (LV) | – | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| CNN/SSRS[93] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 40% | 50% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[94] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
| EPIC-MRA[95] | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 46% | 13% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[96] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
| Emerson College[97] | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 41% | 16% |
| New York Times/Siena College[43] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 48% | 9% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[98] | October 5–10, 2023 | 706 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[99] | October 7–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 41% | 41% | 17% |
| Marketing Resource Group[100] | October 2–8, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 42% | 22% |
| Emerson College[101] | October 1–4, 2023 | 468 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 43% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[102][S] | September 26–27, 2023 | 679 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research[103] | September 7–12, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 43% | 11% |
| EPIC-MRA[104] | August 6–11, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| Emerson College[105] | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 44% | 44% | 13% |
| Mitchell Research[106][N] | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 43% | 13% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[107][T] | Jul 8–10, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 45% | 44% | 9% |
| Prime Group[108][P] | June 14–28, 2023 | 500 (RV) | – | 50% | 50% | – |
| 500 (RV) | – | 40% | 43% | 17%[i] | ||
| EPIC-MRA[109] | June 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[110][T] | April 17–19, 2023 | 500 (V) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 42% | 12% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[111][U] | December 6–7, 2022 | 763 (V) | ± 3.6% | 50% | 43% | 7% |
| EPIC-MRA[112] | November 30 – December 6, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 43% | 10% |
| Emerson College[113] | October 28–31, 2022 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 47% | 9% |
| Emerson College[114] | October 12–14, 2022 | 580 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| EPIC-MRA[115][K] | September 15–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[116] | August 15–16, 2022 | 611 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | 19% |
| Blueprint Polling (D)[117] | February 1–4, 2022 | 632 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 38% | 40% | 22% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[118][V] | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 53% | 6% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trafalgar Group (R)[119] | July 15–17, 2024 | 1,091 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 43% | 45% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| EPIC-MRA[54] | July 13–17, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 43% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 9% |
| Emerson College[55][L] | July 15–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[57][M] | July 5–12, 2024 | 1,025 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 44% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 5%[j] |
| YouGov[120][W] | July 4–12, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 42% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[58] | July 1–5, 2024 | 694 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 39% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 7%[j] |
| EPIC-MRA[61] | June 21–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| Emerson College[62] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 44% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 7% |
| Mitchell Research[63][N] | June 3, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 46% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Mitchell Research[65][N] | May 20–21, 2024 | 697 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 45% | 46% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| KAConsulting (R)[66][O] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 41% | 42% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 7%[k] |
| Prime Group[67][P] | May 9–16, 2024 | 482 (RV) | – | 44% | 42% | 10% | 2% | 2% | – |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[42] | May 7–13, 2024 | 704 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 8% |
| Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[68] | May 6–13, 2024 | 606 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 43% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| New York Times/Siena College[69] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 38% | 9% | 0% | 1% | 16%[k] |
| 616 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 39% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 11%[k] | ||
| Emerson College[70] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Fox News[72] | April 11–16, 2024 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 42% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[73] | April 8–15, 2024 | 708 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Marketing Resource Group[74] | April 8–11, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 37% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
| Wall Street Journal[77] | March 17–24, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 39% | 12% | 2% | 2% | 8% |
| Emerson College[79] | March 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 43% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Mitchell Research[81][N] | March 15–16, 2024 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 44% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 6% |
| Quinnipiac University[82] | March 8–12, 2024 | 1,487 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 36% | 41% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[83] | March 8–12, 2024 | 698 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 40% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 6% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[85] | February 12–20, 2024 | 702 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 41% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 8% |
| Emerson College[86] | February 20–24, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 42% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| Fox News[88] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | 42% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 5% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[121] | January 16–21, 2024 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 43% | 8% | 1% | 1% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[122] | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 703 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 39% | 10% | 2% | 1% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civiqs[53][H] | July 13–16, 2024 | 532 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 43% | 46% | 5% | 6% |
| 1983 Labs[123] | June 28–30, 2024 | 563 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 45% | 5% | 9%[j] |
| P2 Insights[124][X] | June 11–20, 2024 | 650 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 40% | 43% | 8% | 9% |
| Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[64] | May 30–31, 2024 | 723 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 41% | 39% | 11% | 9% |
| 636 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 44% | 43% | 8% | 5% | ||
| Spry Strategies (R)[76] | March 25–28, 2024 | 709 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 40% | 43% | 9% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[125] | March 14–17, 2024 | 616 (LV) | – | 39% | 41% | 6% | 14% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[126] | December 28–30, 2023 | 832 (LV) | – | 37% | 39% | 9% | 15% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[127] | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 38% | 39% | 9% | 13% |
| New York Times/Siena College[128] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 31% | 34% | 26% | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[99] | October 7–9, 2023 | 820 (LV) | – | 38% | 40% | 7% | 15% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[52][J] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 44% | 45% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[129] | May 2–4, 2024 | 650 (LV) | – | 37% | 43% | 7% | 1% | 12% |
| CBS News/YouGov[71] | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,262 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 43% | 9% | 3% | 0% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[80] | March 13–18, 2024 | 1,097 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 34% | 40% | 18% | 4% | 4% |
| CNN/SSRS[93] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | 39% | 20% | 6% | 4% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult[130] | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 38% | 37% | 10% | 2% | 13% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Cornel West Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[105] | August 1–2, 2023 | 1,121 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 41% | 43% | 4% | 11% |
Hypothetical polling with other candidates
Gavin Newsom vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[41][G] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Glengariff Group[91][I] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 45% | 15% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[39] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 46% | 2% |
| Glengariff Group[50][I] | July 22–24, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[41][G] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 52% | 45% | 3% |
| Emerson College/The Hill[131] | Mar 14–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 45% | 5% |
| Glengariff Group[91][I] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 45% | 6% |
| Marketing Resource Group[100] | October 2–8, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 40% | 13% |
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Gretchen Whitmer Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[52][J] | July 17–18, 2024 | 650 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 46% | 45% | 5% | 1% | 3% |
JB Pritzker vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
JB Pritzker Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[41][G] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 39% | 45% | 16% |
Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[39] | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 48% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[41][G] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 43% | 46% | 11% |
Pete Buttigieg vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Pete Buttigieg Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[41][G] | July 11–12, 2024 | 568 (RV) | – | 43% | 48% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[88] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 43% | 15% |
| Glengariff Group[91][I] | January 2–6, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 34% | 44% | 22% |
| CNN/SSRS[93] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 38% | 50% | 12% |
| EPIC-MRA[95] | November 10–16, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 36% | 47% | 17% |
| New York Times/Siena College[128] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 36% | 46% | 18% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West. vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fox News[88] | February 8–12, 2024 | 1,106 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 35% | 26% | 23% | 3% | 3% | 33% |
Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Nikki Haley Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[127] | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 37% | 25% | 18% | 20% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNN/SSRS[93] | November 29 – December 6, 2023 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 49% | 9% |
| New York Times/Siena College[128] | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 616 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 43% | 13% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research[103] | September 7–12, 2023 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 42% | 10% |
| Mitchell Research[106][N] | July 11–13, 2023 | 639 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 31% | 25% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[107][T] | July 8–10, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 44% | 46% | 7% |
| EPIC-MRA[109] | June 8–14, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 45% | 11% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[110][T] | April 17–19, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 45% | 12% |
Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Ron DeSantis Republican |
Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[127] | November 27–29, 2023 | 874 (LV) | – | 39% | 30% | 13% | 2% | 15% |
Primary elections
editDemocratic primary
editIncumbent United States President Joe Biden won the Democratic primary race, held on February 27, 2024.[132]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 625,221 | 81.1% | 115 | 115 | |
| Uncommitted | 101,623 | 13.2% | 2 | 2 | |
| Marianne Williamson (withdrawn) | 22,865 | 3.0% | |||
| Dean Phillips | 20,684 | 2.7% | |||
| Write-in votes | 178 | <0.1% | |||
| Total: | 770,571 | 100% | 117 | 23 | 140 |
Republican primary
editFormer United States President Donald Trump won the Republican primary race, held on February 27, 2024.[132]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 761,163 | 68.12% | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| Nikki Haley | 297,124 | 26.59% | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Uncommitted | 33,649 | 3.01% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 13,456 | 1.20% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 4,794 | 0.43% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 3,702 | 0.33% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan Binkley | 2,348 | 0.21% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 1,077 | 0.10% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total: | 1,117,313 | 100.00% | 16 | 0 | 16 |
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ Candidate has suspended campaign
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ a b c d e With voters who lean towards a given candidate
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ a b Poll conducted for the Pinpoint Policy Institute
- ^ a b "Someone else" with 14%
- ^ No Labels candidate
- ^ a b c Chase Oliver (L) with 1%
- ^ a b c Lars Mapstead (L) with 1%
Partisan clients
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by American Greatness
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
- ^ a b c Poll conducted for The Independent Center
- ^ a b Poll commissioned by AARP
- ^ Poll conducted for Competitiveness Coalition
- ^ Poll sponsored by Red Eagle Politics
- ^ a b c d e f g Poll conducted for Progress Action Fund, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ a b c Poll conducted for Rust Belt Rising, which supports Democratic candidates
- ^ a b c d e f g Poll commissioned by The Detroit News & WDIV-TV
- ^ a b c d Poll conducted for Clean and Prosperous America PAC
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by The Detroit Free Press
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Democrats for the Next Generation PAC
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Heartland Institute
- ^ a b c d e f g h Poll commissioned by MIRS
- ^ a b Poll conducted for Vapor Technology Association
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Citizens to Save Our Republic PAC, which opposes Trump and third party candidates
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Heritage Foundation
- ^ Poll sponsored by League of American Workers
- ^ Poll commissioned by Save My Country Action Fund
- ^ a b c d Poll commissioned by Citizens Awareness Project
- ^ Poll sponsored by Progress Michigan, a sponsor for the Democratic Party
- ^ Poll sponsored by Trump's campaign
- ^ Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
- ^ Poll sponsored by Building America's Future, which supports Republican candidates
References
edit- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 20, 2021.
- ^ "270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270toWin.com. Retrieved April 26, 2024.
- ^ "Robert F. Kennedy Jr. gets spot on Michigan's ballot as Natural Law Party nominee". The Detroit News. Retrieved April 19, 2024.
- ^ Doherty, Erin (August 27, 2024). "Michigan denies RFK Jr.'s escape from presidential ballot". Axios. Retrieved August 27, 2024.
- ^ "RFK Jr. endorses Trump after weeks of back-channel courtship". NBC News. August 23, 2024. Retrieved August 25, 2024.
- ^ Dovere, Aaron Pellish, Edward-Isaac (August 23, 2024). "RFK Jr. suspends presidential campaign | CNN Politics". CNN. Retrieved August 25, 2024.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ "Ballot Access Map - Jill Stein 2024". www.jillstein2024ballotaccess.com. Retrieved August 25, 2024.
- ^ McFadden, Alyce; Robinson, Taylor; Abraham, Leanne; O’Brien, Rebecca Davis (April 29, 2024). "Where R.F.K. Jr. and Independent Presidential Candidates Are On the Ballot". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved August 25, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Michigan Candidate Listing". MI SOS. Retrieved August 27, 2024.
- ^ "Write-in Candidate Declaration of Intent instructions" (PDF). Election Officials' Manual. Retrieved August 27, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". Cook Political Report.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". The Hill.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN.
- ^ "Trump v Harris: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist.
- ^ Morris, G. Elliott. "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight.
- ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". CNalysis.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". Inside Elections.
- ^ "Trump and Harris in dead heat". Patriot Polling. September 5, 2024.
- ^ "MI Presidential General Election Survey August 2024" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. August 31, 2024.
- ^ "August 2024 Swing State Polls: Toss-up Presidential Election in Swing States". Emerson Polling. August 29, 2024.
- ^ Allis, Victor (August 28, 2024). "Harris and Trump essentially tied in Michigan". ActiVote. Retrieved August 28, 2024.
- ^ a b "EPIC-MRA STATEWIDE POLL OF ACTIVE & LIKELY 2024 NOVEMBER VOTERS" (PDF). WOOD-TV. August 30, 2024.
- ^ a b Korte, Gregory (August 29, 2024). "Harris Edges Trump in Key States, With Sun Belt Now Up for Grabs". Bloomberg.
- ^ a b "New Polling: A Slight Harris Lead in Michigan, But Issues Favor Trump". American Greatness. August 23, 2024.
- ^ a b "Blue Wall Survey – August 2024" (PDF). Pinpoint Policy Institute. August 29, 2024.
- ^ a b Draeger, Jonathan (August 18, 2024). "No Frontrunner in Swing States Before Democratic Convention". RealClearPolling.
- ^ a b Chalfant, Morgan; Sarlin, Benjy (August 19, 2024). "Harris leads Trump in five of seven battlegrounds: poll". Semafor.
- ^ a b "Independent Center Battleground States Poll" (PDF). The Independent Center. August 11, 2024.
- ^ a b "Michigan Voter Survey" (PDF). AARP. August 11, 2024.
- ^ "PollingPlus Exclusive: Top Two Presidential Cycle Pollsters Towery and Cahaly Release Battleground Polls". PollingPlus. August 9, 2024.
- ^ a b "Toplines: August 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in Michigan". The New York Times. August 10, 2024 – via NYTimes.com.
- ^ a b Russell, Rachael (August 20, 2024). "Navigating the Vote: 2024 Presidential Battleground". Navigator Research.
- ^ a b Walter, Amy (August 14, 2024). "The Fight To Redefine the 2024 Race for President". Cook Political Report.
- ^ Hobart, Jim (August 1, 2024). "KEY FINDINGS FROM A RECENT POLL OF VOTERS IN FIVE PRESIDENTIAL BATTLEGROUND STATES". Politico.
- ^ a b Cook, Nancy; Sasso, Michael (July 30, 2024). "Kamala Harris Wipes Out Trump's Swing-State Lead in Election Dead Heat". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ "Red Eagle Politics/SoCal Research Michigan Survey" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. July 26, 2024.
- ^ a b c d Blanton, Dana (July 26, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Dead heat between Harris and Trump in Michigan". Fox News.
- ^ a b Mumford, Camille (July 25, 2024). "July 2024 Swing State Polls: Harris Trails Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Tied in Wisconsin". Emerson Polling.
- ^ a b c d e f g "PAF Swing State Poll Democrats v Trump.pdf". Google Docs. July 22, 2024.
- ^ a b c Korte, Gregory (May 22, 2024). "Half of Swing-State Voters Fear Violence Around US Election". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ a b "Trump Leads Biden in Nearly Every Battleground State, New Poll Finds ..." archive.ph. November 6, 2023.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (25 – 28 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 30, 2024.
- ^ Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel; Wu, Edward (September 4, 2024). "CNN polls across six battlegrounds find Georgia and Pennsylvania are key toss-ups". CNN.
- ^ McCue, Dan (September 4, 2024). "Post-DNC Polls Shows Harris, Trump Tied in Three Battleground States". The Well News.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (12 – 15 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 19, 2024.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (31 July – 3 August 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. August 6, 2024.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (22-24 July 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. July 25, 2024.
- ^ a b Burke, Beth LeBlanc and Melissa Nann (July 25, 2024). "Trump, Harris race tight in Michigan as Kennedy pulls votes from both, poll finds". The Detroit News.
- ^ Mauger, Craig (September 3, 2024). "Presidential race is a tossup in Michigan with 2 months to go, poll finds". The Detroit News.
- ^ a b c d "New MI & PA surveys show Democrats have multiple paths to win". Politico. July 18, 2024.
- ^ a b "Rust Belt Rising Michigan Survey July 2024" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. July 19, 2024.
- ^ a b Spangler, Todd (July 21, 2024). "Michigan poll: Trump's edge takes notable leap in battleground state". The Detroit Free Press.
- ^ a b Mumford, Camille (July 18, 2024). "July 2024 Swing State Polls". Emerson Polling.
- ^ Livengood, Chad; Mauger, Craig; Burke, Melissa (July 14, 2024). "Trump assassination attempt unsettles Michigan's already tumultuous presidential campaign". The Detroit News.
- ^ a b "Toplines 2 - Heartland - Battleground July 2024 - ALL RACE DATA". Rasmussen Reports. July 19, 2024.
- ^ a b Korte, Gregory; Niquette, Mark (July 6, 2024). "Biden Narrows Gap With Trump in Swing States Despite Debate Loss". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ King, Ryan (July 8, 2024). "Biden lags behind in all of the key battleground states by 4-point average: new poll". The New York Post.
- ^ Pearce, Tim (July 3, 2024). "Exclusive: Battleground Poll Shows Biden Tanking In Key States After Disastrous Debate". The Daily Wire.
- ^ a b Guaglianone, Carmela (June 29, 2024). "Trump led in Michigan poll before debate". Detroit Free Press.
- ^ a b Mumford, Camille (June 20, 2024). "June 2024 State Polls: Trump Maintains Edge over Biden". Emerson Polling.
- ^ a b "Trump Clings to .6% Lead in 2-Way Contest Against Biden, and 1% in a 5-Way Trial Ballot Question Post Conviction" (PDF). RealClearPolitics. June 4, 2024.
- ^ a b "Mainstreet Research Survey - Michigan" (PDF). FAU Polling. May 31, 2024.
- ^ a b "Trump Leads Biden by 2% in 2-Way, and 1% in a 5-Way Trial Ballot Question" (PDF). RealClearPolitics. May 27, 2024.
- ^ a b "Vapor Technology Association Michigan Crosstabs" (PDF). Vapor Technology Association. July 8, 2024.
- ^ a b "Swing State Poll: Biden and Trump in a Tight Race, Kennedy Struggles to Qualify for Debate" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. May 22, 2024.
- ^ a b Walter, Amy; Wasserman, David (May 24, 2024). "A Unique Election Driven by a Traditional Issue". Cook Political Report.
- ^ a b Cohn, Nate (May 13, 2024). "Trump Leads in 5 Key States, as Young and Nonwhite Voters Express Discontent With Biden". The New York Times – via NYTimes.com.
- ^ a b Mumford, Camille (April 30, 2024). "Trump Holds Edge Over Biden in Seven Key Swing State Polls". Emerson Polling.
- ^ a b Salvanto, Anthony; Khanna, Kabir; Pinto, Jennifer De (May 30, 2024). "CBS News poll finds Biden-Trump race tight in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin". CBS News.
- ^ a b Blanton, Dana (April 18, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Trump bests Biden by 3 points in Michigan". Fox News.
- ^ a b Korte, Gregory (April 24, 2024). "Biden's Gains Against Trump Vanish on Deep Economic Pessimism, Poll Shows". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ a b "Michigan Poll: Presidential Election - Trump Leads Biden by 6% in Head-to-Head Matchup" (PDF). Marketing Resource Group. April 17, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Target State Survey of Registered Voters" (PDF). The Independent Center. April 6, 2024. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 15, 2024.
- ^ a b "MI Statewide General Election 4.2". GlobeNewswire. April 2, 2024.
- ^ a b "Wall Street Journal Targeted Presidential States Multimodal Survey" (PDF). The Wall Street Journal. April 2, 2024.
- ^ "The Heritage Foundation Focus 2024 Survey" (PDF). The Heritage Foundation. April 15, 2024.
- ^ a b Mumford, Camille (March 21, 2024). "Michigan 2024 Poll: Trump 45%, Biden 44%". Emerson Polling.
- ^ a b Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel (March 22, 2024). "CNN polls take voters' pulse in two states that flipped blue in 2020". CNN.
- ^ a b "Trump Leads Biden by 3% in 2-Way, and 2% in a 5-Way Trial Ballot Question" (PDF). RealClearPolitics. March 22, 2024.
- ^ a b "2024 Michigan: Trump Leads Biden In 5-Way Race, On Upside Of Too-Close-To-Call 2-Way Race, Quinnipiac University Michigan Poll Finds; 79% Of Dems Want Gov. Whitmer To Run For President In The Future". Quinnipiac University Poll. March 14, 2024.
- ^ a b Korte, Gregory (March 26, 2024). "Biden Gains Ground Against Trump in Six Key States, Poll Shows". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ McHenry, Jon; Judy, Dan (February 26, 2024). "Key Findings from Survey of Michigan Likely Voters". Archived from the original on February 27, 2024.
- ^ a b Korte, Gregory (February 29, 2024). "Biden Is Too Old But Trump Is Dangerous, Swing-State Poll Shows". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ a b Mumford, Camille (February 26, 2024). "Michigan 2024 Poll: Trump 46%, Biden 44%". Emerson Polling.
- ^ Spangler, Todd (February 21, 2024). "Joe Biden still trails Donald Trump in Michigan amid calls for Israeli cease-fire, new poll shows". USA TODAY.
- ^ a b c d Blanton, Dana (February 14, 2024). "Fox News Poll: Biden and Trump in close race in Michigan". Fox News.
- ^ Fabian, Jordan; Korte, Gregory (January 31, 2024). "Trump Risks Losing More Than Half of Swing-State Voters If Found Guilty". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ Sarpolus, Ed (January 13, 2024). "TRAVERSE CONNECT - MIRS NEWS – TARGET INSYGHT" (PDF). MIRS News.
- ^ a b c d Mauger, Craig (January 9, 2024). "Biden struggling in Michigan as Trump grabs strong lead, poll shows". The Detroit News.
- ^ Zogby, Jeremy (January 5, 2024). "The Zogby Report 01.05.24 – The State of Nikki Haley and Iowa". John Zogby Strategies.
- ^ a b c d Agiesta, Jennifer; Edwards-Levy, Ariel (December 11, 2023). "CNN Polls: Trump leads Biden in Michigan and Georgia as broad majorities hold negative views of the current president". CNN.
- ^ Cook, Nancy; Haque, Jennah; Korte, Gregory; Lu, Denise; Mejía, Elena (December 14, 2023). "Biden Forgave Billions in Student Debt. Poll Shows It's Not Enough For Gen Z". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ a b Spangler, Todd (November 18, 2023). "Michigan poll: Biden trails Trump in 2024 election". The Detroit Free Press.
- ^ Korte, Gregory; Marlow, Iain (November 9, 2023). "Biden's Focus Is on Foreign Conflicts, But Swing-State Voter Worries Are Closer to Home". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ Mumford, Camille (November 9, 2023). "Swing State 2024 Polling: Biden Trails Trump in Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, Leads Trump in Michigan". Emerson Polling.
- ^ Cook, Nancy; Korte, Gregory (October 19, 2023). "Trump Is Winning Over Swing-State Voters Wary of Biden's Economic Plan". Bloomberg – via www.bloomberg.com.
- ^ a b "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (7-9 October 2023)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. October 15, 2023.
- ^ a b "Presidential Politics - Biden v. Trump rematch? Voters respond - Trump beats Biden, Whitmer beats Trump" (PDF). Marketing Resource Group. October 11, 2023.
- ^ Mumford, Camille (October 16, 2023). "Michigan Poll: Gov. Whitmer Ten Points More Favorable than President Biden in Michigan". Emerson Polling.
- ^ "NEW POLLING: Biden Leading Trump in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin; Impeachment of Biden Unpopular with Voters". Save My Country Action Fund. September 28, 2023.
- ^ a b Gans, Jared (September 15, 2023). "Biden leads Trump, DeSantis in Michigan: poll". The Hill.
- ^ "EPIC-MRA STATEWIDE POLL OF ACTIVE & LIKELY NOVEMBER 2024 VOTERS" (PDF). EPIC-MRA. August 17, 2023.
- ^ a b Mumford, Camille (August 4, 2023). "Michigan 2024: Trump and Biden on Course for Tight Rematch". Emerson Polling.
- ^ a b "Biden – Trump Tied in General – Big Leads in Primaries" (PDF). MIRS News. July 21, 2023.
- ^ a b "MICHIGAN STATEWIDE SURVEY" (PDF). Citizens Awareness Project. July 13, 2023.
- ^ "Survey of Registered Voters Nationwide AZ, GA, MI, NC, NV, PA, WI" (PDF). Prime Group. July 13, 2023.
- ^ a b Gilder, Rachel (June 16, 2023). "Poll: Majority have unfavorable view of Biden and Trump". WOOD-TV.
- ^ a b Drucker, David M. (April 21, 2023). "Poll: DeSantis Outperforming Trump in Michigan". The Dispatch.
- ^ "Lake Effect - December 2022 Edition" (PDF). Progress Michigan. December 9, 2022.
- ^ Gilder, Rachel; Albin, Rick (December 9, 2022). "Poll: Low interest in Biden-Trump rematch in 2024". WOOD-TV.
- ^ Mumford, Camille (November 2, 2022). "Michigan 2022: Governor Whitmer Maintains Five-Point Lead Over Tudor Dixon". Emerson Polling.
- ^ Mumford, Camille (October 18, 2022). "Michigan 2022: Gov. Whitmer Holds Five-Point Lead Over Tudor Dixon; Majority Plan to Vote 'Yes' for Proposal 3 on Abortion". Emerson Polling.
- ^ Egan, Paul (September 23, 2022). "Gretchen Whitmer, Tudor Dixon poll shows widening gap in Michigan". The Detroit Free Press.
- ^ "WHITMER WITH SOLID LEAD IN RACE FOR GOVERNOR - BIDEN AND TRUMP REMATCH A DEAD HEAT" (PDF). Chism Strategies. August 18, 2022.
- ^ "Michigan: Storm Clouds from the Great Lake State" (PDF). Blueprint Polling. February 10, 2022. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 10, 2022.
- ^ Fabrizio, Tony; Lee, David; Tunis, Travis (November 21, 2021). "TRUMP "RUNNING THE TABLE" AGAINST BIDEN IN FIVE KEY BATTLEGROUND STATES; BIDEN INFRASTRUCTURE AND BBB PLANS FLOP WITH THESE VOTERS". Politico.
- ^ "MI Presidential General Election Survey" (PDF). The Trafalgar Group. July 18, 2024.
- ^ "The Times / SAY Poll: Michigan" (PDF). YouGov. July 15, 2024.
- ^ "Swing States Tracking Poll #2401055 January 16-22, 2024" (PDF). Morning Consult. January 31, 2024.
- ^ "Morning Consult/Bloomberg 2024 Election Swing State Polling" (PDF). Morning Consult. December 14, 2023.
- ^ "New polling in 3 major battlegrounds show growing drumbeat for Biden replacement" (PDF). FiveThirtyEight. July 3, 2024.
- ^ Lim, Naomi (June 27, 2024). "Age and economy top concerns of battleground state voters in pre-debate poll". The Washington Examiner.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (14-17 March 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. March 25, 2024.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (28-30 December 2023)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. January 8, 2024.
- ^ a b c "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (27-29 November 2023)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. December 5, 2023.
- ^ a b c "Likely Electorate Cross-Tabs: October 2023 Times/Siena Poll of the 2024 Battlegrounds". The New York Times. November 5, 2023 – via NYTimes.com.
- ^ "Latest US Swing States Voting Intention (2-4 May 2024)". Redfield & Wilton Strategies. May 13, 2024.
- ^ "Morning Consult/Bloomberg 2024 Election Survey All States Toplines" (PDF). Morning Consult. November 9, 2023.
- ^ Mumford, Camille (March 21, 2024). "Michigan 2024 Poll: Trump 45%, Biden 44%". Emerson Polling.
- ^ a b Min Kim, Seung (February 27, 2024). "Trump and Biden win Michigan primary. But voters uncommitted to either candidate demand attention". Associated Press. Retrieved February 27, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Michigan Election Results". Michigan Secretary of State. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
- ^ "Secretary Benson releases 2024 presidential primary candidate list". Michigan Secretary of State. Retrieved December 8, 2023.[failed verification]
- ^ "2024 Michigan Election Results". Michigan Secretary of State. February 27, 2024. Retrieved March 2, 2024.