The 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Vermont. Primary elections took place on August 13, 2024.[1] Incumbent three-term Senator Bernie Sanders, an Independent who caucuses with the Democratic Party, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018.
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Sanders: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Malloy: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% No Data/Vote: Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Sanders filed paperwork to run for re-election in 2019. On January 8, 2024, he stated he would decide whether or not to seek re-election in the "near future".[2] On May 6, Sanders formally announced that he will run for re-election.[3] He faced Republican businessman and 2022 Senate nominee Gerald Malloy.
Sanders won the election with 63% of the vote, marking a four-point decrease from the 67% share of the vote he had in the 2018 election. Sanders also lost Essex County to Malloy, marking the first election in his Senate career in which he did not carry all of the counties in Vermont.
Independents
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Steve Berry, former Democratic state representative (2015–2017)[4]
- Bernie Sanders, incumbent U.S. senator (2007–present)[5]
Endorsements
editBernie Sanders
- Organizations
- Labor unions
- Political parties
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
editResults
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gerald Malloy | 20,383 | 96.4% | |
| Write-in | 772 | 3.6% | ||
| Total votes | 21,155 | 100.0% | ||
Third-party candidates
editDeclared
edit- Mark Greenstein (Epic), businessman and perennial candidate[4]
- Matt Hill (Libertarian), accountant[4]
- Justin Schoville (Green Mountain Peace and Justice), chair of the Green Mountain Peace and Justice Party[4]
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid I | November 9, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[14] | Solid I | November 9, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Safe I | November 9, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[16] | Safe I | June 14, 2024 |
| Elections Daily[17] | Safe I | May 4, 2023 |
| CNalysis[18] | Solid I | November 21, 2023 |
| RealClearPolitics[19] | Solid I | August 5, 2024 |
| Split Ticket[20] | Safe I | October 23, 2024 |
| 538[21] | Safe I | October 23, 2024 |
Fundraising
edit| Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| Bernie Sanders (I) | $33,701,563 | $31,717,985 | $10,289,572 |
| Gerald Malloy (R) | $150,048 | $60,752 | $90,156 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[22] | |||
Polling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Bernie Sanders (I) |
Gerald Malloy (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | October 29 – November 2, 2024 | 1,167 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 64% | 27% | 2%[b] | 6% |
| University of New Hampshire | August 15–19, 2024 | 924 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 66% | 25% | 5%[c] | 4% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent | Bernie Sanders (incumbent) | 229,904 | 63.3% | −4.1% | |
| Republican | Gerald Malloy | 116,522 | 32.1% | +4.6% | |
| Independent | Steve Berry | 7,941 | 2.2% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | Matt Hill | 4,529 | 1.2% | N/A | |
| Green Mountain Peace and Justice | Justin Schoville | 3,347 | 0.9% | +0.5% | |
| E.P.I.C | Mark Stewart Greenstein | 1,104 | 0.3% | N/A | |
| Write-in | |||||
| Total votes | 363,347 | ||||
| Independent hold | |||||
Notes
editReferences
edit- ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
- ^ Solender, Andrew. "Bernie Sanders to decide on Senate re-election in "near future"". Axios. Retrieved February 19, 2024.
- ^ Metzger, Bryan. "Bernie Sanders is running for reelection". Business Insider. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
- ^ a b c d "General Election Candidates". Vermont Secretary of State. May 13, 2024.
- ^ Neukam, Stephen; Solender, Andrew (May 6, 2024). "Bernie Sanders will run for re-election". Axios. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
- ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". Planned Parenthood Action Fund. Retrieved November 6, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Archived from the original on August 25, 2023. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
- ^ "AFA Endorsed Candidates for 2024 Election". Association of Flight Attendants-CWA. Retrieved April 29, 2024.
- ^ "Endorsements". UFW. Retrieved February 6, 2024.
- ^ https://www.progressiveparty.org/2024endorsements
- ^ Bradley, Pat (December 15, 2023). "2022 Senate candidate announces 2024 Senate bid". WAMC. Retrieved January 9, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 14, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Election United States Senate - Vermont". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
- ^ "Vermont U.S. Senate Election Results". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 5, 2024.
External links
edit- Official campaign websites