2024 United States Senate election in Delaware

The 2024 United States Senate election in Delaware was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Delaware. Democratic congresswoman Lisa Blunt Rochester, Republican businessman Eric Hansen, and Delaware Independent former state senator Michael Katz[1][2] ran to succeed Democratic incumbent Tom Carper, who is not seeking a fifth term.[3]

2024 United States Senate election in Delaware

← 2018 November 5, 2024 2030 →
 
Nominee Lisa Blunt Rochester Eric Hansen
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 283,298 197,753
Percentage 56.6% 39.5%

County results
Blunt Rochester:      50–60%      60–70%
Hansen:      50–60%

U.S. senator before election

Tom Carper
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Lisa Blunt Rochester
Democratic

This was the first open race for this seat since 1970. Republicans have not won a Senate race in Delaware since 1994. Blunt Rochester will be both the first woman and first African American to represent Delaware in the Senate.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Declined

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Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Lisa Blunt Rochester (D) $6,971,101 $3,850,139 $3,120,961
Source: Federal Election Commission[27]

Polling

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Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Lisa
Blunt Rochester
John
Carney
Others Undecided
Slingshot Strategies[A] October 7–14, 2023 600 (RV) ± 3.9% 43% 33% 9% 15%

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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  • Eric Hansen, businessman[28]

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Eric Hansen (R) $940,060[b] $571,263 $368,797
Source: Federal Election Commission[27]

Independent Party of Delaware

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Michael Katz (IPoD) $3,500 $2,613 $216
Source: Federal Election Commission[27]

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[30] Solid D November 9, 2023
Elections Daily[31] Safe D November 9, 2023
Inside Elections[32] Solid D November 9, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe D January 24, 2023
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[34] Safe D June 8, 2024
CNalysis[35] Solid D November 21, 2023
RealClearPolitics[36] Solid D August 5, 2024
Split Ticket[37] Safe D October 23, 2024
538[38] Solid D October 23, 2024

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Lisa
Blunt Rochester (D)
Eric
Hansen (R)
Michael
Katz (I)
Undecided
University of Delaware September 11–19, 2024 400 (RV) ± 5.8% 52% 32% 6% 10%

Results

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Delaware lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2024[39]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Lisa Blunt Rochester 283,298 56.59% −3.36%
Republican Eric Hansen 197,753 39.50% +1.69%
Independent Party Michael Katz 19,555 3.91% N/A
Total votes 500,606 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By county

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By county
County Lisa Blunt Rochester
Democratic
Eric Hansen
Republican
Michael Katz
IPoD
Margin Total
votes
# % # % # % # %
Kent 44,169 51.20 39,158 45.39 2,941 3.41 5,011 5.81 86,268
New Castle 176,195 65.26 82,475 30.55 11,335 4.20 93,720 34.71 270,005
Sussex 62,934 43.60 76,120 52.74 5,279 3.66 -13,186 -9.14 144,333
Totals 283,298 56.59 197,753 39.50 19,555 3.91 85,545 17.09 500,606

Notes

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  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ $810,000 of this total was self-funded by Hansen
Partisan clients
  1. ^ The poll was commissioned by Citizens for Judicial Fairness.

References

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  1. ^ "U.S. Senate hopeful Blunt Rochester sets Delaware fundraising record for federal candidates". Bay to Bay News. April 9, 2024. Retrieved August 24, 2024.
  2. ^ "2024 General Election Candidate List - Department of Elections - State of Delaware". elections.delaware.gov. Retrieved July 10, 2024.
  3. ^ a b c Newman, Meredith (May 22, 2023). "U.S. Sen. Tom Carper to retire from politics after nearly 50 years in office". Delaware Online. Retrieved May 22, 2023.
  4. ^ Mizelle, Shawna (June 21, 2023). "Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester announces Senate bid in Delaware". CNN. Retrieved June 21, 2023.
  5. ^ Stamm, Dan (April 29, 2024). "From governor to mayor? Delaware's John Carney sets sights on new city leadership role". NBC10 Philadelphia. Retrieved April 29, 2024.
  6. ^ "Ballots & Boundaries". Bloomberg Government. May 26, 2023.
  7. ^ Newman, Meredith (July 19, 2023). "State Treasurer Colleen Davis enters race for Delaware's US House seat". The News Journal. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
  8. ^ Mutnick, Ally (May 30, 2023). "Democrats hope the Senate could finally have more than one Black woman". POLITICO.
  9. ^ a b Kurtz, Josh (August 20, 2024). "DNC notes: Alsobrooks' historic gathering, Schumer's surprise, Raskin's speech". Maryland Matters. Retrieved August 20, 2024.
  10. ^ Mutnick, Ally; Otterbein, Holly (June 1, 2023). "Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester to launch run for Delaware Senate seat in June". POLITICO.
  11. ^ a b Weisman, Jonathan (May 16, 2024). "Democrats Aim for a Breakthrough for Black Women in the Senate". The New York Times. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  12. ^ "Fight Like Hell PAC". Fight Like Hell PAC. Retrieved September 30, 2024.
  13. ^ Bade, Rachael; Lizza, Ryan; Daniels, Eugene (September 10, 2024). "Playbook: Another GOP spending plan goes poof". Politico. Retrieved September 10, 2024.
  14. ^ "Senate Candidates". Council for a Livable World. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
  15. ^ Allison, Emily (June 22, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Lisa Blunt Rochester for Election to the United States Senate". EMILY's List. Retrieved June 22, 2023.
  16. ^ "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester for U.S. Senate". End Citizens United. August 9, 2023. Retrieved August 13, 2023.
  17. ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved February 9, 2024.
  18. ^ "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Lisa Blunt Rochester for US Senate". Giffords. November 17, 2023.
  19. ^ "Human Rights Campaign PAC Endorses U.S. Representative Lisa Blunt Rochester for Senate". Human Rights Campaign. February 2, 2024. Retrieved February 2, 2024.
  20. ^ "Lisa Blunt Rochester". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
  21. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  22. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved September 29, 2023.
  23. ^ "ENDORSEMENT ALERT: Planned Parenthood Action Fund Backs Candidates in Key Senate Races". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved March 25, 2024.
  24. ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  25. ^ "Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester for U.S. Senate in Delaware". Reproductive Freedom for All. November 16, 2023. Archived from the original on November 20, 2023. Retrieved November 20, 2023.
  26. ^ "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
  27. ^ a b c "2024 Election United States Senate - Delaware". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved October 16, 2023.
  28. ^ Pencek, Matthew (October 18, 2023). "Wilmington Business Manager Hansen Announces Run For Senate". WRDE-FM. Retrieved October 18, 2023.
  29. ^ "Former Democrat State Senator To Challange LBR For Carper's US Senate Seat". First State Update. July 5, 2023. Retrieved July 5, 2023.
  30. ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  31. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  32. ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
  33. ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  34. ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
  35. ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
  36. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
  37. ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  38. ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
  39. ^ "2024 General Election Report". Delaware Department of Elections. November 13, 2024. Retrieved November 13, 2024.
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Official campaign websites