Wikipedia

2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the three U.S. representatives from the State of New Mexico, one from all three of the state's congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections occurred on June 4, 2024.

2024 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
← 2022 November 5, 2024 2026 →
All 3 New Mexico seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 3 0
For related races, see 2024 United States House of Representatives elections.
Not to be confused with 2024 New Mexico House of Representatives election.

Background

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New Mexico's map faced a lawsuit alleging partisan gerrymandering diluting the voting power of Republicans in the 2nd congressional district. A state judge ruled to keep the current map in place, and that decision was upheld by the New Mexico Supreme Court with all five justices stating that the congressional map was not an "egregious" gerrymander in a ruling on November 27, 2023.[1]

District 1

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See also: New Mexico's 1st congressional district
2024 New Mexico's 1st congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
     
Nominee Melanie Stansbury Steve Jones
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Melanie Stansbury
Democratic



The 1st district covers the center of the state, taking in the counties of Torrance, Guadalupe, De Baca, and Lincoln, as well as eastern Bernalillo County and most of Albuquerque. The incumbent is Democrat Melanie Stansbury, who was re-elected with 55.75% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

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Nominee

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Endorsements

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Melanie Stansbury
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Melanie Stansbury (D) $780,996 $601,653 $190,683
Source: Federal Election Commission[13]

Results

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Democratic primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Melanie Stansbury (incumbent) 47,157 100.0
Total votes 47,157 100.0

Republican primary

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Nominee

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  • Steve Jones, retired energy executive and write-in candidate for the 2nd district in 2020[15]

Eliminated in primary

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  • Louie Sanchez, gun range owner, candidate for this district in 2022, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[16]

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Steve Jones (R) $69,830[a] $69,742 $98
Louie Sanchez (R) $28,345[b] $447 $27,897
Source: Federal Election Commission[13]

Results

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Republican primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steve Jones 16,889 51.4
Republican Louie Sanchez 15,980 48.6
Total votes 32,869 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[17] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[18] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[20] Safe D October 10, 2024
CNalysis[21] Solid D November 16, 2023

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Melanie
Stansbury (D) 		Steve
Jones (R) 		Undecided
Research & Polling Inc.[A] October 10–18, 2024 360 (LV) ± 5.2% 53% 36% 11%
Emerson College[B] August 20–22, 2024 344 (RV) ± 5.2% 51% 37% 12%

Results

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New Mexico's 1st congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Melanie Stansbury (incumbent)
Republican Steve Jones
Total votes

District 2

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See also: New Mexico's 2nd congressional district
2024 New Mexico's 2nd congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
     
Nominee Gabe Vasquez Yvette Herrell
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Gabe Vasquez
Democratic



The 2nd district encapsulates southern and western New Mexico, including the cities of Las Cruces, Carlsbad, and Alamogordo, as well as the southwestern suburbs of Albuquerque. The incumbent is Democrat Gabe Vasquez, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.34% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

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Nominee

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Endorsements

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Gabe Vasquez
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Gabe Vasquez (D) $3,042,711 $1,044,799 $2,020,688
Source: Federal Election Commission[30]

Results

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Democratic primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gabe Vasquez (incumbent) 29,613 100.0
Total votes 29,613 100.0

Republican primary

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Nominee

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Endorsements

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Yvette Herrell
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. representatives
Organizations

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Yvette Herell (R) $1,862,963 $870,466 $1,099,602
Source: Federal Election Commission[30]

Results

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Republican primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Yvette Herrell 23,216 100.0
Total votes 23,216 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[17] Tossup February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[18] Lean D October 31, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] Lean D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[20] Lean D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[21] Lean D November 16, 2023

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Gabe
Vasquez (D) 		Yvette
Herrell (R) 		Undecided
Research & Polling Inc.[A] October 10–18, 2024 414 (LV) ± 4.8% 49% 45% 5%
SurveyUSA[C] September 26–30, 2024 582 (LV) ± 4.5% 51% 42% 8%
Emerson College[B] August 20–22, 2024 283 (RV) ± 5.8% 50% 41% 9%
The Tarrance Group (R)[D] July 11–14, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 46% 48% 6%
SurveyUSA September 6–12, 2023 541 (LV) ± 4.8% 45% 46% 9%

Results

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New Mexico's 2nd congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gabe Vasquez (incumbent)
Republican Yvette Herrell
Total votes

District 3

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See also: New Mexico's 3rd congressional district
2024 New Mexico's 3rd congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
     
Nominee Teresa Leger Fernandez Sharon Clahchischilliage
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent U.S. Representative

Teresa Leger Fernandez
Democratic



The 3rd district covers the northern and eastern parts of the state, taking in the cities of Santa Fe, Roswell, Farmington, and Clovis, as well as parts of the Navajo Nation. The incumbent is Democrat Teresa Leger Fernandez, who was re-elected with 58.16% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

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Nominee

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Endorsements

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Teresa Leger Fernandez
Organizations
Labor unions

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Teresa Leger Fernandez (D) $1,439,729 $657,117 $818,932
Source: Federal Election Commission[47]

Results

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Democratic primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Teresa Leger Fernandez (incumbent) 46,008 100.0
Total votes 46,008 100.0

Republican primary

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Nominee

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Sharon Clahchischilliage (R) $34,338 $25,495 $8,843
Source: Federal Election Commission[47]

Results

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Republican primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Sharon Clahchischilliage 24,959 100.0
Total votes 24,959 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[17] Solid D February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[18] Solid D March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] Safe D February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[20] Safe D September 7, 2023
CNalysis[21] Solid D November 16, 2023

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Teresa
Leger Fernandez (D) 		Sharon
Clahchischilliage (R) 		Undecided
Research & Polling Inc.[A] October 10–18, 2024 344 (LV) ± 5.3% 52% 35% 11%
Emerson College[B] August 20–22, 2024 339 (RV) ± 5.3% 52% 39% 9%

Results

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New Mexico's 3rd congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Teresa Leger Fernandez (incumbent)
Republican Sharon Clahchischilliage
Total votes

Notes

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  1. ^ $69,830 of this total was self-funded by Jones
  2. ^ $28,070 of this total was self-funded by Sanchez
  3. ^ a b c Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by The Albuquerque Journal
  2. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by The Hill
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by KOB
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Herrell's campaign

References

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  1. ^ "New Mexico Supreme Court upholds Democratic-drawn congressional map". AP News. November 27, 2023. Retrieved March 12, 2024.
  2. ^ a b c "2022 National House Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved December 30, 2023.
  3. ^ a b Frisk, Garrett (July 21, 2023). "We Asked Every Member of the House if They're Running in 2024. Here's What They Said". Diamond Eye Candidate Report. Retrieved July 21, 2023.
  4. ^ https://314action.org/2023/06/09/314-action-fund-endorses-7-priority-protect-congressmembers-in-an-historic-effort-to-win-back-control-of-congress/
  5. ^ "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses 14 Incumbent Congresswomen for Reelection to US House". Giffords. March 28, 2024. Retrieved April 2, 2024.
  6. ^ a b c "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved February 16, 2024.
  7. ^ "Melanie Stansbury". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
  8. ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces New U.S. House Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
  9. ^ a b Dison, Denis (May 14, 2024). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 17 Environmental Champs for Congress". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  10. ^ a b "2024 Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
  11. ^ a b c "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Archived from the original on August 25, 2023. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
  12. ^ a b c "AFSCME Council 18 Endorsements - New Mexico". AFSCME Council 18. May 20, 2022. Retrieved June 18, 2024.
  13. ^ a b "2024 Election United States House - New Mexico 1st". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
  14. ^ a b c d e f "2024 Primary Election Candidate Summary Results Report" (PDF). New Mexico Secretary of State.
  15. ^ Record, Alex Ross Roswell Daily (January 3, 2024). "Former write-in candidate files to run as GOPer against Stansbury". Roswell Daily Record. Retrieved January 3, 2024.
  16. ^ Reichbach, Matthew (February 7, 2024). "Major party candidates file for U.S. Senate, House races". NM Political Report. Retrieved February 7, 2024.
  17. ^ a b c "2024 House Race Ratings: Another Competitive Fight for Control". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 3, 2023.
  18. ^ a b c "First 2024 House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
  19. ^ a b c "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up". Sabato's Crystal Ball. February 23, 2023. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
  20. ^ a b c "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. September 13, 2023. Retrieved September 17, 2023.
  21. ^ a b c "2024 House Forecast". November 20, 2023. Retrieved December 30, 2023.
  22. ^ Boetel, Ryan (September 16, 2023). "Vasquez launches re-election campaign for congressional District 2". The Albuquerque Journal.
  23. ^ "Brady PAC Endorses 18 House Frontline Candidates for Re-Election". Brady PAC. February 28, 2024. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  24. ^ "Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund Announces First Major Round of Federal Endorsements". Everytown. August 19, 2024. Retrieved August 22, 2024.
  25. ^ "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Slate of Frontline Champions Running for Reelection to the US House". Giffords. February 29, 2024. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  26. ^ "JDCA ANNOUNCES KEY 2024 ENDORSEMENTS". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Archived from the original on November 6, 2023. Retrieved November 6, 2023.
  27. ^ "Gabe Vasquez". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
  28. ^ a b "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  29. ^ Communications (June 21, 2023). "NARAL Pro-Choice America Launches 2024 Electoral Program with Endorsement of Frontline Incumbents for U.S. House of Representatives". NARAL Pro-Choice America. Archived from the original on June 21, 2023. Retrieved June 21, 2023.
  30. ^ a b "2024 Election United States House - New Mexico 2nd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
  31. ^ "Former Rep. Yvette Herrell announces run for old seat at LC rally with Kevin McCarthy". KFOX-TV. April 10, 2023. Retrieved April 10, 2023.
  32. ^ "Ambassador John Bolton Endorses Yvette Herrell for US House of Representatives in New Mexico Second District". John Bolton PAC. February 13, 2024. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
  33. ^ https://nmpoliticalreport.com/quick-reads/trump-endorses-herrell-in-cd2-race/
  34. ^ Record, Alex Ross Roswell Daily (December 12, 2023). "US House speaker endorses Herrell in New Mexico congressional contest". Roswell Daily Record. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
  35. ^ "GOP primary candidates are weaponizing Kevin McCarthy's endorsements". www.aol.com. October 5, 2023. Retrieved October 6, 2023.
  36. ^ "Americans for Prosperity Action Announces First Wave of Endorsements in 2024 House Races". AFP Action. June 30, 2023. Retrieved July 4, 2023.
  37. ^ Schilke, Rachel (April 3, 2024). "Johnson-linked PAC releases first slate of 'trailblazer' House endorsements - Washington Examiner". Retrieved April 3, 2024.
  38. ^ "Endorsements". House Freedom Fund. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
  39. ^ "RJC Announces First Round of 2024 House Challenger Endorsements". Republican Jewish Coalition. Retrieved July 12, 2024.
  40. ^ "House Candidates". Council for a Livable World. Retrieved December 14, 2023.
  41. ^ "DMFI PAC Announces First Round of 2024 Endorsements for U.S. House". DMFI PAC. December 18, 2023. Archived from the original on December 18, 2023. Retrieved December 18, 2023.
  42. ^ "Jewish Dems Unveil 30 House and Senate Endorsements Across Country". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved March 10, 2024.
  43. ^ "Teresa Leger Fernandez". JStreetPAC. Retrieved August 26, 2023.
  44. ^ "2024 Federal Endorsements". NOW PAC. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  45. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved September 29, 2023.
  46. ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
  47. ^ a b "2024 Election United States House - New Mexico 3rd". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved December 29, 2023.
  48. ^ Reichbach, Matthew (September 8, 2023). "Former State Rep. announces run for Congress". The NM Political Report. Retrieved September 8, 2023.
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Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
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