The 2024 New Hampshire gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of New Hampshire, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Chris Sununu is eligible to seek re-election to a fifth term, but has announced that he will not do so, leaving the election an open race.[1]
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Along with neighboring Vermont, this race is one of two Republican-held governorships up for election in 2024 in a state Joe Biden won in the 2020 presidential election. Primary elections will take place on September 10, 2024.[2]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Kelly Ayotte, former U.S. Senator (2011–2017)[3]
- Shaun Fife, farmer[4]
- Robert McClory, welder[5]
- Richard McMenamon, auto repair shop owner and candidate for governor in 2022[6]
- Chuck Morse, former president of the New Hampshire Senate, former acting governor, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[7]
- Frank Staples, transitional living program owner[8]
Declined
edit- Jeb Bradley, president of the New Hampshire Senate and former U.S. Representative for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district[9]
- Scott Brown, former U.S. Ambassador to New Zealand and Samoa (2017–2020), former U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2010–2013), and nominee for U.S. Senate in New Hampshire in 2014[10]
- Frank Edelblut, commissioner of the New Hampshire Department of Education, former state representative, and candidate for governor in 2016[11][12]
- Chris Sununu, incumbent governor[13] (endorsed Ayotte)[14]
Endorsements
editKelly Ayotte
- U.S. Senators
- Judd Gregg, former U.S. Senator from New Hampshire (1993–2011)[15]
- Governors
- Chris Sununu, Governor of New Hampshire (2017–present)[14]
- State legislators
- Bill Gannon, state senator from the 23rd district (2016–2018, 2020–present)[16]
- 20 state representatives[15][17][18]
- Individuals
- Don Bolduc, retired U.S. Army Special Forces brigadier general and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022[19]
- Rico Petrocelli, Major League Baseball player for the Boston Red Sox[20]
Fundraising
editCampaign finance reports as of June 19, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Kelly Ayotte (R) | $4,309,331 | $888,269 | $3,309,460 |
Chuck Morse (R) | $1,284,106 | $284,473 | $999,632 |
Source: New Hampshire Campaign Finance System[21][22] |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kelly Ayotte |
Chuck Morse |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | August 15–19, 2024 | 915 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 65% | 21% | 13%[b] |
Saint Anselm College | August 13–14, 2024 | 657 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 59% | 25% | 16% |
Emerson College[A] | July 26–28, 2024 | 421 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 41% | 26% | 33% |
Praecones Analytica[B] | May 15–20, 2024 | 420 (RV) | ± 6.42% | 50% | 28% | 22% |
UMass Lowell | January 6–16, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.65% | 54% | 22% | 23% |
Hypothetical polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kelly Ayotte |
Robert Burns |
Frank Edelblut |
Chuck Morse |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College | August 9–11, 2023 | 498 (RV) | ± 4.9% | 45% | 3% | 4% | 9% | 3% | 35% |
co/efficient[B] | June 14–16, 2023 | 904 (LV) | ± 3.25% | 69% | – | 9% | 22% | – | – |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kelly Ayotte | |||
Republican | Chuck Morse | |||
Republican | Shaun Fife | |||
Republican | Robert McClory | |||
Republican | Richard McMenamon | |||
Republican | Frank Staples | |||
Write-in | ||||
Total votes |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Joyce Craig, former mayor of Manchester[23]
- Jon Kiper, former Newmarket town councilor[24]
- Cinde Warmington, New Hampshire Executive Councilor[25]
Declined
edit- Annie Kuster, U.S. Representative for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district[26]
- Steve Marchand, former mayor of Portsmouth and candidate for governor in 2016 and 2018[27]
- Chris Pappas, U.S. Representative for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district (running for re-election)[28]
- Tom Sherman, former state senator and nominee for governor in 2022[29]
Endorsements
editJoyce Craig
- Governors
- John Lynch, former governor of New Hampshire (2005–2013)[30]
- Maura Healey, governor of Massachusetts (2023–present)[30]
- U.S. Representatives
- Chester Atkins, former U.S. Representative from MA-5 (1985–1993)[31]
- New Hampshire cabinet officials
- Virginia Barry, former Commissioner of Education (2009–2017)[31]
- James Craig, former Commissioner of Labor (2013–2017) and former state representative (1998–2006, 2008–2010)[31]
- Colin Van Ostern, former New Hampshire Executive Councilor from the 2nd district (2013–2017)[30]
- Ned Helms, former Commissioner of Health and Human Services (1979–1982)[31]
- Judicial officials
- John Broderick Jr., former New Hampshire Supreme Court Chief Justice (2004–2010)[31]
- Arthur Gajarsa, former U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit judge (1997–2011)[31]
- State legislators
- 10 current and former state senators[31][32]
- 69 current and former New Hampshire state representatives[31]
- Local officials
- Kevin Cavanaugh, Manchester alderman from the 1st ward (2015–present) and former state senator from the 16th district (2017–2022)[31]
- Jim Donchess, Mayor of Nashua (2016-present)[33]
- Party officials
- Kathy Sullivan, former chair of the New Hampshire Democratic Party[30]
- Other officials
- Paul LeBlanc, Southern New Hampshire University president (2004–present)[31]
- Susan Lynch, former First Lady of New Hampshire (2005–2013)[31]
- Labor unions
- American Federation of Teachers Local 1044[34]
- International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 490[32]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Local 633[35]
- New Hampshire Building and Construction Trades Council[32]
Cinde Warmington
- Governors
- Howard Dean, former Governor of Vermont (1991–2003)[36]
- U.S. Representatives
- Carol Shea-Porter, former U.S. Representative from NH-01 (2007–2011, 2013–2015, 2017–2019)[37]
- State officials
- Dudley Dudley, former New Hampshire Executive Councilor from the 3rd district (1977–1985)[38]
- State legislators
- Donovan Fenton, state senator from the 10th district (2022–present)[38]
- Terie Norelli, former Speaker of the New Hampshire House of Representatives (2006–2010, 2012–2014) from HD-R26 (1996–2014)[38]
- Suzanne Prentiss, state senator from the 5th district (2020–present)[38]
- Steve Shurtleff, former Speaker of the New Hampshire House of Representatives (2018–2020) from HD-M11 (2004–present)[38]
- Becky Whitley, state senator from the 15th district (2020–present)[38]
- Local officials
- Jim Bouley, mayor of Concord (2008–2024)[39]
- Andrew Hosmer, mayor of Laconia (2020–present)[39]
- Labor unions
Fundraising
editCampaign finance reports as of June 19, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Joyce Craig (D) | $2,375,695 | $1,002,724 | $1,369,770 |
Cinde Warmington (D) | $1,818,938 | $1,304,613 | $514,325 |
Source: New Hampshire Campaign Finance System[41][42] |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Joyce Craig |
Cinde Warmington |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | August 15–19, 2024 | 809 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 39% | 30% | 8%[c] | 23% |
Saint Anselm College | August 13–14, 2024 | 670 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 37% | 28% | 3%[d] | 31% |
Emerson College[A] | July 26–28, 2024 | 433 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 33% | 21% | – | 44% |
GBAO[C] | February 22–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 37% | 25% | – | 39% |
Emerson College | August 9–11, 2023 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 30% | 15% | 2% | 52% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Joyce Craig | |||
Democratic | Jon Kiper | |||
Democratic | Cinde Warmington | |||
Write-in | ||||
Total votes |
Third parties and independent candidates
editDeclared
edit- Edmond Laplante, auto mechanic (Constitution)[43]
- Stephen Villee (Libertarian)[44]
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[45] | Tossup | June 13, 2024 |
Inside Elections[46] | Tossup | September 1, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[47] | Tossup | June 4, 2024 |
RCP[48] | Tossup | July 13, 2024 |
Elections Daily[49] | Tossup | July 12, 2023 |
CNalysis[50] | Tossup | August 17, 2024 |
Polling
edit- Kelly Ayotte vs. Joyce Craig
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kelly Ayotte (R) |
Joyce Craig (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[A] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 40% | 17% |
Emerson College | August 9–11, 2023 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 37% | 17% |
- Kelly Ayotte vs. Cinde Warmington
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Kelly Ayotte (R) |
Cinde Warmington (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[A] | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 37% | 19% |
Emerson College | August 9–11, 2023 | 837 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 47% | 34% | 19% |
Notes
edit- Partisan clients
References
edit- ^ "Chris Sununu will not run for re-election for fifth term as New Hampshire governor". CBS News. July 19, 2023. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
- ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
- ^ Pellish, David; Wright, Aaron (July 24, 2023). "Kelly Ayotte launches campaign for governor of New Hampshire". CNN. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
- ^ Sexton, Adam (June 5, 2024). "Republican Shaun Fife files to run for New Hampshire governor". WMUR-TV. Retrieved June 5, 2024.
- ^ https://www.sos.nh.gov/sites/g/files/ehbemt561/files/documents/2024-06/cumulative-filings-6.12.24.pdf
- ^ "2024 Election Details". New Hampshire Secretary of State. June 5, 2024.
- ^ Tasolides, Justin (July 19, 2023). "N.H. GOP Gov. Sununu says he will not seek fifth term". Spectrum News. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
- ^ https://www.sos.nh.gov/sites/g/files/ehbemt561/files/documents/2024-06/cumulative-filings-6.12.24.pdf
- ^ Porter, Steven (April 20, 2023). "Who will run for New Hampshire governor if Chris Sununu runs for president?". Boston Globe.
- ^ Kashinsky, Lisa (August 3, 2023). "Scott Brown isn't done yet". Politico. Retrieved August 3, 2023.
- ^ Dawg, Jay (April 4, 2023). "Edelblut Considering A Run For Governor". The Pulse of NH.
- ^ Edelblut, Frank (September 3, 2023). "America the beautiful. New Hampshire the crown jewel". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved September 3, 2023.
I have decided that I will not be running in this cycle.
- ^ "Chris Sununu will not run for re-election for fifth term as New Hampshire governor - CBS Boston". www.cbsnews.com. July 19, 2023. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
- ^ a b Vakil, Caroline (August 7, 2024). "Sununu backs Kelly Ayotte in New Hampshire GOP gubernatorial primary". The Hill. Retrieved August 7, 2024.
- ^ a b Wagner, John (July 24, 2023). "Former GOP senator Kelly Ayotte to run for New Hampshire governor". The Washington Post. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
- ^ Tenser, Phil (July 24, 2023). "Kelly Ayotte announces 2024 campaign for New Hampshire governor". WCVB-TV 5. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
- ^ Sylvia, Andrew (September 8, 2023). "Levasseur, Manchester's GOP State Reps, endorse Ayotte". Manchester Ink Link. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
- ^ Robidoux, Carol (August 22, 2023). "Ayotte endorsed by Merrimack Republican delegation". Manchester Ink Link. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
- ^ https://nhjournal.com/bolduc-why-im-endorsing-ayotte-for-governor/
- ^ "Rico Petrocelli endorses Ayotte". November 28, 2023. Retrieved November 29, 2023.
- ^ "Campaign Finance". New Hampshire Campaign Finance System. Retrieved August 19, 2024.
- ^ "Statement of Receipts and Expenditures". New Hampshire Campaign Finance System. Retrieved August 19, 2024.
- ^ Sexton, Adam (July 11, 2023). "Manchester Mayor Craig officially launches campaign for governor". WMUR. Retrieved July 11, 2023.
- ^ Schinella, Tony (November 24, 2023). "Seacoast Restauranter Becomes Third NH Democrat To Run For Governor". Patch Media. Retrieved December 7, 2023.
- ^ Sexton, Adam (June 1, 2023). "NH Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington launches campaign for governor". WMUR. Retrieved June 1, 2023.
- ^ Wolf, Stephen (July 20, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 7/20". Daily Kos. Retrieved July 20, 2023.
Democratic Rep. Annie Kuster quickly ruled out running for governor next year following GOP Gov. Chris Sununu's Wednesday announcement that he wouldn't seek reelection
- ^ DeWitt, Ethan (November 14, 2022). "After six-year battle to oust Sununu, Democrats fall short again". New Hampshire Bulletin.
- ^ Porter, Steven (April 20, 2023). "Who will run for New Hampshire governor if Chris Sununu runs for president?". The Boston Globe. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
- ^ Porter, Steve (May 1, 2023). "Outgoing mayor of Manchester, N.H., launches exploratory committee for 2024 governor's race". Boston Globe.
Former state senator Dr. Tom Sherman, who ran for governor in 2022 and who some had said could run again, told the Globe on Monday that he won't run for governor in 2024.
- ^ a b c d Steinhauser, Paul (May 1, 2023). "Craig launches gubernatorial exploratory committee". Concord Monitor. Retrieved June 3, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k Robidoux, Carol (August 20, 2023). "Craig campaign announces 160 new endorsements". Manchester Ink Link. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
- ^ a b c Sylvia, Andrew (October 27, 2023). "Craig endorsed by Dr. Tom Sherman". Manchester Ink Link. Retrieved October 27, 2023.
- ^ Landrigan, Kevin (January 29, 2024). "Donchess backs Craig for governor". UnionLeader.com. Retrieved January 29, 2024.
- ^ Robidoux, Carol (October 3, 2023). "Nashua Teachers' Union Endorses Joyce Craig for Governor". Manchester Ink Link. Retrieved October 3, 2023.
- ^ Landrigan, Kevin (August 31, 2023). "Craig endorsed by Teamsters Local 633 in gubernatorial race". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
- ^ "Howard Dean endorses Cinde Warmington". Manchester Ink Link. February 10, 2024. Retrieved February 10, 2024.
- ^ Bookman, Todd (June 1, 2023). "Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington announces campaign for NH governor". New Hampshire Public Radio. Retrieved June 2, 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f Scacchi, Mitchell (June 1, 2023). "Exec Councilor Warmington Enters Gov's Race, Likely to Face Craig in Primary". New Hampshire Journal. Retrieved June 2, 2023.
- ^ a b Sylvia, Andrew (June 1, 2023). "Warmington announces gubernatorial run". Ink Link. Retrieved November 15, 2023.
- ^ "NH State Employees Throw Support Behind Cinde Warmington in Democratic Gubernatorial Primary - SEA/SEIU DEV". SEA/SEIU DEV -. February 29, 2024. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
- ^ "Campaign Finance". New Hampshire Campaign Finance System. Retrieved August 19, 2024.
- ^ "Statement of Receipts and Expenditures". New Hampshire Campaign Finance System. Retrieved August 19, 2024.
- ^ "Candidate Announcement: Edmond Laplante - Running for Governor of NH". Granite Grok. June 25, 2024. Retrieved July 14, 2024.
- ^ NH Secretary of State's Office. "DECLARATIONS OF INTENT FILED – 2024" (PDF). Retrieved July 14, 2024.
Governor Stephen Villee
- ^ "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
- ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Governor Races". www.realclearpolling.com. Retrieved July 16, 2024.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. July 22, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
- ^ "Governor Forecasts". CNalysis. Retrieved August 17, 2024.
External links
edit- Official campaign websites