The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Akwa Ibom State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
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Background
editAkwa Ibom State is a small state in the South South mainly populated by Efik-Ibibio peoples; although its oil reserves make it one of the most wealthy states in the nation, Akwa Ibom has faced challenges in security, environmental degradation, and lack of affordable housing in large part due to years of systemic corruption.
Politically, the state's 2019 elections were categorized as a reassertion of the PDP's dominance after Senator Godswill Akpabio and his allies that switched to the APC lost. Statewise, Governor Udom Emmanuel (PDP) easily won re-election with nearly 75% of the vote and 25 of 26 House of Assembly seats were won by the PDP. The PDP was also successful federally, unseating all APC senators and house members to sweep all three senate and ten House of Representatives seats as the state was easily won by PDP presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar with about 68% but still swung towards the APC and had lower turnout.
Polling
edit| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
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Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinubu APC |
Obi LP |
Kwankwaso NNPP |
Abubakar PDP | |||||||
| BantuPage | December 2022 | N/A | 19% | 43% | 0% | 15% | – | 16% | 1% | 4% |
| BantuPage | January 2023 | N/A | 17% | 26% | 2% | 9% | – | 13% | 13% | 21% |
| Nextier (Akwa Ibom crosstabs of national poll) |
27 January 2023 | N/A | 8.6% | 60.5% | – | 25.9% | – | 4.9% | – | – |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Akwa Ibom crosstabs of national poll) |
22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 2% | 65% | – | 27% | – | 6% | – | – |
Projections
edit| Source | Projection | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Africa Elects[a][2] | Lean Obi | 24 February 2023 | |
| Dataphyte[b][3] | |||
| Tinubu: | 17.07% | 11 February 2023 | |
| Obi: | 56.29% | ||
| Abubakar: | 22.75% | ||
| Others: | 3.89% | ||
| Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence[c][4] |
Obi | 17 February 2023 | |
| SBM Intelligence[d][5] | Abubakar | 15 December 2022 | |
| ThisDay[e][6] | |||
| Tinubu: | 15% | 27 December 2022 | |
| Obi: | 30% | ||
| Kwankwaso: | – | ||
| Abubakar: | 40% | ||
| Others/Undecided: | 15% | ||
| The Nation[f][7][8] | Abubakar | 12-19 February 2023 | |
General election
editResults
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | Christopher Imumolen | |||
| AA | Hamza al-Mustapha | |||
| ADP | Yabagi Sani | |||
| APP | Osita Nnadi | |||
| AAC | Omoyele Sowore | |||
| ADC | Dumebi Kachikwu | |||
| APC | Bola Tinubu | |||
| APGA | Peter Umeadi | |||
| APM | Princess Chichi Ojei | |||
| BP | Sunday Adenuga | |||
| LP | Peter Obi | |||
| NRM | Felix Johnson Osakwe | |||
| New Nigeria Peoples Party | Rabiu Kwankwaso | |||
| PRP | Kola Abiola | |||
| PDP | Atiku Abubakar | |||
| SDP | Adewole Adebayo | |||
| YPP | Malik Ado-Ibrahim | |||
| ZLP | Dan Nwanyanwu | |||
| Total votes | 100.00% | |||
| Invalid or blank votes | N/A | |||
| Turnout | ||||
By senatorial district
editThe results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial district | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Akwa Ibom North-East Senatorial District[g] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Akwa Ibom North-West Senatorial District[h] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Akwa Ibom South Senatorial District[i] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By federal constituency
editThe results of the election by federal constituency.
| Federal constituency | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Abak/Etim Ekpo/Ika Federal Constituency[j] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Eket/Onna/Esit Eket/Ibeno Federal Constituency[k] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Etinan/Nsit Ibom/Nsit Ubium Federal Constituency[l] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ikono/Ini Federal Constituency[m] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ikot Abasi/Mkpat Enin/Eastern Obolo Federal Constituency[n] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ikot Ekpene/Essien Udim/Obot Akara Federal Constituency[o] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Itu/Ibiono Ibom Federal Constituency[p] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Oron/Mbo/Okobo/Udung Uko/Urue Offong/Oruko Federal Constituency[q] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ukanafun/Oruk Anam Federal Constituency[r] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Uyo/Uruan/Nsit Atai/Ibesikpo Asutan Federal Constituency[s] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By local government area
editThe results of the election by local government area.
| Local government area | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
| Abak | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Eastern Obolo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Eket | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Esit Eket | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Essien Udim | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Etim Ekpo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Etinan | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ibeno | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ibesikpo Asutan | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ibiono-Ibom | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ika | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ikono | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ikot-Abasi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ikot Ekpene | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ini | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Itu | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Mbo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Mkpat-Enin | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Nsit-Atai | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Nsit-Ibom | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Nsit-Ubium | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Obot-Akara | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Okobo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Onna | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Oron | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Oruk Anam | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Udung-Uko | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ukanafun | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Uruan | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Urue-Offong/Oruko | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Uyo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ AfricaElects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
- ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
- ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
- ^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Etinan, Ibesikpo Asutan, Ibiono-Ibom, Itu, Nsit-Atai, Nsit-Ibom, Nsit-Ubium, Uruan, and Uyo.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Abak, Essien Udim, Etim Ekpo, Ika, Ikono, Ikot Ekpene, Ini, Obot-Akara, Oruk Anam, and Ukanafun.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Eastern Obolo, Eket, Esit Eket, Ibeno, Ikot-Abasi, Mbo, Mkpat-Enin, Okobo, Onna, Oron, Udung-Uko, and Urue-Offong/Oruko.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Abak, Etim Ekpo, and Ika.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Eket, Esit Eket, Ibeno, and Onna.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Etinan, Nsit-Ibom, and Nsit-Ubium.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ikono and Ini.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Eastern Obolo, Ikot-Abasi, and Mkpat-Enin.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Essien Udim, Ikot Ekpene, and Obot-Akara.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ibiono-Ibom and Itu.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Mbo, Okobo, Oron, Udung-Uko, and Urue-Offong/Oruko.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Oruk Anam and Ukanafun.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ibesikpo Asutan, Nsit-Atai, Uruan, and Uyo.
References
edit- ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
- ^ Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
- ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
- ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.