2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Washington

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Washington were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the 10 U.S. representatives from the state of Washington, one from each of the state's 10 congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. Going into this election, the Democratic Party represented seven seats, while the Republican Party represented three seats.

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Washington

← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →

All 10 Washington seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Seats before 7 3
Seats after 8 2
Seat change Increase 1 Decrease 1
Popular vote 1,751,582 1,261,961
Percentage 57.88% 41.70%
Swing Decrease 1.46% Increase 2.52%

These were the first elections to the House of Representatives held in Washington state after the 2020 redistricting cycle. The Democratic Party gained a seat, flipping the 3rd district from Republican to Democratic control, and reducing the Republicans' share of the delegation to just two districts.

Redistricting

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Process

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Washington state has used a bipartisan redistricting commission to draw its districts since the passage of a ballot initiative in 1983. The Democratic and Republican parties each appoint two people to the commission, and the four appointees select a fifth member to serve as the nonvoting chair of the commission. For the 2020 redistricting cycle, the Democrats appointed April Sims, secretary-treasurer of the Washington State Labor Council, and Brady Piñero Walkinshaw, CEO of Grist and a former member of the Washington House of Representatives. The Republicans chose Paul Graves, a lawyer and former member of the Washington House of Representatives, and Joe Fain, president and CEO of the Bellevue Chamber of Commerce and a former member of the Washington Senate. They selected Sarah Augustine, executive director of the Dispute Resolution Center for Yakima and Kittitas counties, as chair.[1]

Failure of the commission

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The commission was required to approve a final set of district maps by 11:59 PM on November 15, 2021. However, for the first time since the process was enacted in 1983, the deadline was not met. Although the commission approved a set of maps with seconds to go before midnight, they did not vote to transmit those maps until after the deadline had passed.[2] The members of the commission faced widespread criticism for missing the deadline and for making negotiations behind closed doors rather than in front of the public. Some speculated that the actions of the commission may have violated Washington's Open Public Meetings Act, which generally prohibits public commissions from making decisions in private, and the Washington Supreme Court demanded that the redistricting commission produce a detailed timeline of what occurred in the hours before the deadline. Because the commission failed to meet the deadline, the Washington Supreme Court took over responsibility for the state's maps.[3][4]

Several Washington politicians expressed disappointment that the commission failed and that the supreme court would be drawing the state's maps. Republican former state senator Ann Rivers claimed that it was "fair to wonder" if some members of the commission wanted to miss the deadline so that the majority-liberal supreme court could take over redistricting.[5] The League of Women Voters called for the entire process to be reformed, believing it should be more transparent and that the commissioners should be given more time and training.[6] Washington Senate Majority Leader Andy Billig said his caucus would introduce legislation to require that the final version of the commission's map be released to the public before the final vote to prevent future commissions from missing the deadline.[7]

Supreme Court

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Some speculated that maps drawn by the supreme court may have been more favorable to the Democratic Party compared to those drawn by the bipartisan commission, as five out of the court's nine justices were originally appointed by Democratic governors (three by Jay Inslee and two by Christine Gregoire).[3][4][5][8] The members of the commission urged the supreme court to adopt the maps that it drew but did not approve in time. However, commissioner Walkinshaw acknowledged that there may be questions about whether the maps' handling of the Yakima River Valley may have violated the Voting Rights Act due to its distribution of Latinos. The UCLA Voting Rights Project claimed that the maps demonstrated "racially polarized voting patterns" in the region and urged the supreme court to address these issues.[9] The supreme court granted the commission's request and adopted its maps, but it emphasized that its decision to use the commission's maps "does not render any opinion on the plan's compliance with any statutory and constitutional requirements," meaning that the maps could still be challenged in court.[10]

New maps

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Washington's new congressional map leaves the districts largely the same, though it makes the 1st and 10th districts somewhat more liberal. The most notable change was to the 1st district, which previously reached up to the Canada–United States border. Under the new map, it is more compact, with Medina and Bellevue in the south and Arlington in the north.[11] Much of the areas cut out from the 1st district were added to the 2nd district. Previously a primarily coastal district, the 2nd now reaches further inland, taking in Skagit and Whatcom counties. The 8th district was also extended. It now reaches into Snohomish County, taking in the city of Sultan, and northern King County, taking in the city of Skykomish. Although both Snohomish and King are liberal counties, giving 58.5% and 75.0% of their vote respectively to Democrat Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election, the portions of these counties that are inside the 8th are still notably more conservative than the counties as a whole. This, in addition to the presence of Trump-supporting Chelan and Kittitas counties and a portion of Pierce County, makes the district highly competitive.[9]

District 1

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2022 Washington's 1st congressional district election
 
← 2020
2024 →
     
Candidate Suzan DelBene Vincent Cavaleri
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 181,992 104,329
Percentage 63.5% 36.4%

 
 
DelBene:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Cavaleri:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Suzan DelBene
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Suzan DelBene
Democratic

Before redistricting, the 1st congressional district spanned the northeastern Seattle suburbs, including Redmond and Kirkland, along the Cascades to the Canada–United States border. The incumbent was Democrat Suzan DelBene, who was first elected to the 1st district in 2012. DelBene ran for re-election to a sixth full term in 2022 and won the general election with 63.6% of the vote.[12]

Primary election

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Candidates

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Advanced to general
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Eliminated in primary
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  • Derek Chartrand (Republican), sales executive and candidate for this seat in 2020
  • Matthew Heines (Republican), educator and candidate for this seat in 2020
  • Tom Spears (independent), petroleum landman and U.S. Marine Corps veteran[15][16]

Endorsements

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Vincent Cavaleri (R)

Organizations

Results

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Blanket primary results[24]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Suzan DelBene (incumbent) 102,857 61.9
Republican Vincent Cavaleri 32,998 19.9
Republican Matthew Heines 13,634 8.2
Republican Derek Chartrand 11,536 6.9
Independent Tom Spears 4,840 2.9
Write-in 168 0.1
Total votes 166,033 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[25] Solid D February 10, 2022
Inside Elections[26] Solid D March 31, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Safe D February 16, 2022
Politico[28] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[29] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[30] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[31] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[32] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[33] Safe D September 28, 2022

Results

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2022 Washington's 1st congressional district election[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Suzan DelBene (incumbent) 181,992 63.5
Republican Vincent Cavaleri 104,329 36.4
Write-in 363 0.1
Total votes 286,684 100.0
Democratic hold

District 2

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2022 Washington's 2nd congressional district election
 
← 2020
2024 →
     
Candidate Rick Larsen Dan Matthews
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 202,980 134,335
Percentage 60.1% 39.7%

 
 
Larsen:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Matthews      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Rick Larsen
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Rick Larsen
Democratic

Before redistricting, the 2nd congressional district encompassed the northern Puget Sound area, including Everett and Bellingham. The incumbent was Democrat Rick Larsen, who had represented the 2nd district since 2001. Larsen most recently ran for re-election in 2022, winning 60.2% of the vote in the general election.[35]

Primary election

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Candidates

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Advanced to general
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  • Rick Larsen (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[36]
  • Dan Matthews (Republican)
Eliminated in primary
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Endorsements

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Jason Call (D)

Individuals

Organizations

  • Progressive Democrats of America[43]

Results

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Blanket primary results[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Rick Larsen (incumbent) 100,631 45.8
Republican Dan Matthews 37,393 17.0
Democratic Jason Call 31,991 14.6
Republican Cody Hart 22,176 10.1
Republican Bill Wheeler 9,124 4.2
Republican Carrie Kennedy 8,802 4.0
Republican Leif Johnson 5,582 2.5
Republican Jon Welch 1,699 0.8
Republican Brandon Stalnaker 1,366 0.6
Independent Doug Revelle 927 0.4
Write-in 161 0.1
Total votes 219,852 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[25] Solid D February 10, 2022
Inside Elections[26] Solid D March 31, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Safe D February 16, 2022
Politico[28] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[29] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[30] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[31] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[32] Solid D August 19, 2022
The Economist[33] Safe D September 28, 2022

Results

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2022 Washington's 2nd congressional district election[48]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Rick Larsen (incumbent) 202,980 60.1
Republican Dan Matthews 134,335 39.7
Write-in 608 0.2
Total votes 337,923 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3

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2022 Washington's 3rd congressional district election
 
← 2020
2024 →
     
Candidate Marie Gluesenkamp Perez Joe Kent
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 160,314 157,685
Percentage 50.14% 49.31%

 
 
Gluesenkamp Perez:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Kent:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Jaime Herrera Beutler
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
Democratic

Before redistricting, the 3rd district encompassed the southernmost portion of western and central Washington. It included the counties of Lewis, Pacific, Wahkiakum, Cowlitz, Clark, Skamania, and Klickitat, as well as a small sliver of southern Thurston county. The incumbent was Republican Jaime Herrera Beutler, who was re-elected with 56.4% of the vote in 2020,[49] but was eliminated in the primary; as one of the ten Republican representatives to vote for impeachment, her primary opponent was endorsed by Trump. Beutler was the first incumbent U.S. Representative from Washington to fail to advance to the general election since the introduction of the top-two primary system in 2008.[50]

Despite every major election predictor predicting this race to be "Lean R" or better for Republicans, the race was won by Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez by a small margin.[51] The race has been called a microcosm of many of those across the U.S., with a far-right challenger to the incumbent being defeated in the general election with election denial and abortion rights being major issues.[52] Other issues include the expansion of mass transit into WA-3. Kent was opposed to it while Perez supported it.

Primary election

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Candidates

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Advanced to general
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Eliminated in primary
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Withdrew
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Endorsements

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Joe Kent (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. Representatives

State and local officials

Organizations

Individuals

Heidi St. John (R)

Organizations

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Brent
Hennrich
(D)
Jaime
Herrera Beutler
(R)
Joe
Kent
(R)
Vicki
Kraft
(R)
Marie
Gluesenkamp Perez
(D)
Heidi
St. John
(R)
Other Undecided
May 20, 2022 Hennrich withdrew from the race and endorsed Gluesenkamp Perez
The Trafalgar Group (R)[95] May 18–20, 2022 645 (LV) ± 3.8% 12% 22% 28% 3% 6% 9% 0%[b] 20%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[96] February 11–14, 2022 697 (LV) ± 3.7% 33% 22% 26% 5% 12% 3%
The Trafalgar Group (R)[97] October 30 – November 1, 2021 682 (LV) ± 3.7% 25% 23% 31% 10% 10%[c] 2%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Brent
Hennrich
(D)
Jaime
Herrera Beutler
(R)
Chris
Jenkins
(D)
Joe
Kent
(R)
Lucy
Lauser
(D)
Matthew
Overton
(R)
Heidi
St. John
(R)
Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R)[98] June 5–7, 2021 841 (LV) ± 3.3% 13% 30% 3% 23% 7% 2% 13% 0%[d] 8%

Results

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Blanket primary results[99]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 68,190 31.0
Republican Joe Kent 50,097 22.8
Republican Jaime Herrera Beutler (incumbent) 49,001 22.3
Republican Heidi St. John 35,219 16.0
Republican Vicki Kraft 7,033 3.2
Democratic Davy Ray 4,870 2.2
Independent Chris Byrd 3,817 1.7
Republican Leslie French 1,100 0.5
American Solidarity Oliver Black 456 0.2
Write-in 142 0.1
Total votes 219,925 100.0
 
Results by county
  Gluesenkamp Perez
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Kent
  •   30–40%
  Herrera Beutler
  •   20–30%

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[25] Lean R August 10, 2022
Inside Elections[26] Lean R October 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Likely R February 16, 2022
Politico[28] Lean R April 5, 2022
RCP[29] Likely R August 9, 2022
Fox News[30] Likely R October 18, 2022
DDHQ[31] Likely R September 20, 2022
538[32] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[33] Likely R September 28, 2022

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Joe
Kent (R)
Marie
Gluesenkamp Perez (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[100][A] September 19–20, 2022 834 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 44% 9%
Expedition Strategies (D)[101][B] August 25–30, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 47% 8%

Results

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2022 Washington's 3rd congressional district election[102]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Marie Gluesenkamp Perez 160,314 50.1
Republican Joe Kent 157,685 49.3
Write-in 1,760 0.6
Total votes 319,759 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 4

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2022 Washington's 4th congressional district election
 
← 2020
2024 →
     
Candidate Dan Newhouse Doug White
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 150,619 70,710
Percentage 66.5% 31.2%

 
 
Newhouse:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
White      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Dan Newhouse
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Dan Newhouse
Republican

Before redistricting, the 4th congressional district encompassed rural central Washington, including Yakima and Tri-Cities area. The incumbent was Republican Dan Newhouse, who had represented the 4th district since 2015. Newhouse was one of ten Republicans in the House to vote to open impeachment proceedings against Donald Trump in his second impeachment trial in the aftermath of the January 6th insurrection. Trump targeted him in the primary and endorsed another GOP candidate, Loren Culp, as a result of Newhouse's vote.[103] Newhouse defeated Culp in the blanket primary and advanced to the general election, which he won by garnering 66.5% of the vote.[104]

Primary election

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Candidates

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Advanced to general
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Eliminated in primary
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Endorsements

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Loren Culp (R)

Executive Branch officials

Dan Newhouse (R)
Declined to endorse

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Dan
Newhouse
(R)
Loren
Culp
(R)
Benancio
Garcia
(R)
Corey
Gibson
(R)
Brad
Klippert
(R)
Jerrod
Sessler
(R)
Doug
White
(D)
Undecided
Spry Strategies (R)[115][C] April 17–20, 2022 720 (LV) ± 3.7% 20% 28% 2% 6% 3% 18% 23%
Spry Strategies (R)[116][C] December 9–11, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 16% 30% 2% 1% 8% 2% 15% 26%

Results

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Blanket primary results[117]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Newhouse (incumbent) 38,331 25.5
Democratic Doug White 37,760 25.1
Republican Loren Culp 32,497 21.6
Republican Jerrod Sessler 18,495 12.3
Republican Brad Klippert 15,430 10.3
Republican Corey Gibson 5,080 3.4
Republican Benancio Garcia III 2,148 1.4
Republican Jacek Kobiesa 490 0.3
Write-in 149 0.1
Total votes 150,380 100.0
 
Results by county
  Newhouse
  •   20–30%
  White
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Culp
  •   20–30%

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[25] Solid R February 10, 2022
Inside Elections[26] Solid R March 31, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Safe R February 16, 2022
Politico[28] Solid R August 12, 2022
RCP[29] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[30] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[31] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[32] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[33] Safe R September 28, 2022

Polling

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Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Dan
Newhouse (R)
Loren
Culp (R)
Undecided
Spry Strategies (R)[115][C] April 17–20, 2022 720 (LV) ± 3.7% 37% 38% 25%
Spry Strategies (R)[116][C] December 9–11, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 31% 38% 31%

Results

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2022 Washington's 4th congressional district election
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Newhouse (incumbent) 150,619 66.5
Democratic Doug White 70,710 31.2
Write-in 5,318 2.3
Total votes 226,647 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

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2022 Washington's 5th congressional district election
 
← 2020
2024 →
     
Candidate Cathy McMorris Rodgers Natasha Hill
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 188,648 127,585
Percentage 59.5% 40.3%

 
 
McMorris Rodgers:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Hill      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Cathy McMorris Rodgers
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Cathy McMorris Rodgers
Republican

Before redistricting, the 5th district encompassed eastern Washington, and included the city of Spokane. The incumbent was Republican Cathy McMorris Rodgers, who had represented the 5th district since 2005. McMorris Rodgers was most recently re-elected in 2022, garnering 59.7% of the vote.[118]

Primary election

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Candidates

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Advanced to general
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Eliminated in primary
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  • Sean Clynch (Republican)[120]
  • Ann Marie Danimus (Democratic), business owner[121]

Endorsements

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Results

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Blanket primary results[124]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Cathy McMorris Rodgers (incumbent) 106,072 51.5
Democratic Natasha Hill 61,851 30.0
Democratic Ann Marie Danimus 21,123 10.2
Republican Sean Clynch 16,831 8.2
Write-in 247 0.1
Total votes 206,124 100.0

General election

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Debate

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2022 Washington's 5th congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Cathy McMorris Rodgers Natasha Hill
1 Oct. 20, 2022 KSPS-TV Kristi Gorenson [125] P P

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[25] Solid R February 10, 2022
Inside Elections[26] Solid R March 31, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Safe R February 16, 2022
Politico[28] Likely R April 5, 2022
RCP[29] Safe R June 9, 2022
Fox News[30] Solid R July 11, 2022
DDHQ[31] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[32] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[33] Safe R September 28, 2022

Results

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2022 Washington's 5th congressional district election[126]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Cathy McMorris Rodgers (incumbent) 188,648 59.5
Democratic Natasha Hill 127,585 40.3
Write-in 773 0.2
Total votes 317,006 100.0
Republican hold

District 6

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2022 Washington's 6th congressional district election
 
← 2020
2024 →
     
Candidate Derek Kilmer Elizabeth Kreiselmaier
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 208,710 138,754
Percentage 60.0% 39.9%

 
 
Kilmer:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Kreiselmaier:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Derek Kilmer
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Derek Kilmer
Democratic

Before redistricting, the 6th district was based on the Olympic Peninsula, and included western Tacoma. The incumbent was Democrat Derek Kilmer, who had represented the 6th district since 2013. Kilmer was most recently re-elected in 2022, garnering 60.1% of the vote in the general election.[127]

Primary election

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Candidates

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Advanced to general
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  • Derek Kilmer (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[14]
  • Elizabeth Kreiselmaier (Republican), Special Education Research and Program Evaluator and runner-up for this district in 2020[14]
Eliminated in primary
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  • Chris Binns (Republican)
  • Todd Bloom (Republican)
  • Rebecca Parson (Democratic), copywriter and candidate for this district in 2020[14]
  • Tom Triggs (independent)
Withdrew/disqualified
edit
  • Aaron Hansen (Republican), automobile assembler[128][129]

Endorsements

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Rebecca Parson (D)

Results

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Blanket primary results[133]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Derek Kilmer (incumbent) 115,725 50.4
Republican Elizabeth Kreiselmaier 54,621 23.8
Republican Todd Bloom 24,036 10.5
Democratic Rebecca Parson 21,523 9.4
Republican Chris Binns 11,074 4.8
Independent Tom Triggs 2,674 1.2
Write-in 125 0.1
Total votes 229,778 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[25] Solid D February 10, 2022
Inside Elections[26] Solid D March 31, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Safe D February 16, 2022
Politico[28] Likely D April 5, 2022
RCP[29] Likely D June 9, 2022
Fox News[30] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[31] Solid D November 3, 2022
538[32] Solid D July 28, 2022
The Economist[33] Safe D September 28, 2022

Results

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2022 Washington's 6th congressional district election[134]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Derek Kilmer (incumbent) 208,710 60.0
Republican Elizabeth Kreiselmaier 138,754 39.9
Write-in 409 0.1
Total votes 347,873 100.0
Democratic hold

District 7

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2022 Washington's 7th congressional district election
 
← 2020
2024 →
     
Candidate Pramila Jayapal Cliff Moon
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 295,998 49,207
Percentage 85.4% 14.2%

 
 
Jayapal:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Pramila Jayapal
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Pramila Jayapal
Democratic

Before redistricting, the 7th congressional district encompassed most of Seattle, as well as Edmonds, Shoreline, Lake Forest Park, Vashon Island, and Burien. The incumbent was Democrat Pramila Jayapal, who had represented the 7th district since 2017. Jayapal was most recently re-elected in 2022, garnering 85.7% of the vote.[135]

Primary election

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Candidates

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Advanced to general
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Eliminated in primary
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  • Paul Glumaz (Republican), LaRouche activist[14]
  • Jesse James (independent)
Withdrawn
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  • Earnest Thompson (independent)[14]

Endorsements

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Cliff Moon (R)

Organizations

Results

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Blanket primary results[141]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Pramila Jayapal (incumbent) 177,665 84.6
Republican Cliff Moon 15,834 7.5
Republican Paul Glumaz 10,982 5.2
Independent Jesse James 4,859 2.3
Write-in 551 0.3
Total votes 209,891 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[25] Solid D February 10, 2022
Inside Elections[26] Solid D March 31, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Safe D February 16, 2022
Politico[28] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[29] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[30] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[31] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[32] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[33] Safe D September 28, 2022

Results

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2022 Washington's 7th congressional district election[142]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Pramila Jayapal (incumbent) 295,998 85.4
Republican Cliff Moon 49,207 14.2
Write-in 1,442 0.4
Total votes 346,647 100.0
Democratic hold

District 8

edit
2022 Washington's 8th congressional district election
 
← 2020
2024 →
     
Candidate Kim Schrier Matt Larkin
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 179,003 155,976
Percentage 53.3% 46.4%

 
 
Schrier:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Larkin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Kim Schrier
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Kim Schrier
Democratic

Before redistricting, the 8th district encompassed the eastern suburbs of Seattle including Sammamish, Maple Valley, Covington, Hobart, Issaquah, and Auburn and stretched into rural central Washington, including Chelan County and Kittitas County, as well as taking in eastern Pierce County. The incumbent was Democrat Kim Schrier, who had represented the 8th district since 2019. Schrier was re-elected, garnering 53.4% of the vote in the general election.[143]

Primary election

edit

Candidates

edit
Advanced to general
edit
Eliminated in primary
edit
  • Keith Arnold (Democratic), perennial candidate
  • Ryan Burkett (independent), perennial candidate
  • Dave Chapman (Republican)
  • Patrick Dillon (independent), candidate for this district in 2018
  • Reagan Dunn (Republican), King County Councilor and son of former U.S. Representative Jennifer Dunn[145]
  • Justin Greywolf (Libertarian), software engineer[14]
  • Jesse Jensen (Republican), U.S. Army veteran, Amazon senior project manager, and runner-up for this district in 2020[144][146]
  • Scott Stephenson (Republican), program manager
  • Emet Ward (Democratic)

Endorsements

edit
Reagan Dunn (R)

Newspapers

Matt Larkin (R)

Sheriffs

Polling

edit
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kim
Schrier
(D)
Reagan
Dunn
(R)
Justin
Greywolf
(L)
Jesse
Jensen
(R)
Matt
Larkin
(R)
Matthew
Overton
(R)
Other/Undecided
Moore Information Group (R)[160][D] November 18–21, 2021 400 (RV) ± 5.0% 30% 11% 7% 5% 5% 1% 41%

Results

edit
Blanket primary results[161]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kim Schrier (incumbent) 97,700 47.9
Republican Matt Larkin 34,684 17.0
Republican Reagan Dunn 29,494 14.4
Republican Jesse Jensen 26,350 12.9
Republican Scott Stephenson 7,954 3.9
Democratic Emet Ward 1,832 0.9
Republican Dave Chapman 1,811 0.9
Democratic Keith Arnold 1,669 0.8
Libertarian Justin Greywolf 1,518 0.7
Independent Ryan Burkett 701 0.3
Independent Patrick Dillon 296 0.1
Write-in 122 0.1
Total votes 204,131 100.0

General election

edit

Predictions

edit
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[25] Tossup February 10, 2022
Inside Elections[26] Tossup March 31, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Lean R (flip) November 7, 2022
Politico[28] Tossup April 5, 2022
RCP[29] Lean R (flip) October 30, 2022
Fox News[30] Tossup November 1, 2022
DDHQ[31] Lean D October 29, 2022
538[32] Lean D November 8, 2022
The Economist[33] Lean D November 1, 2022

Polling

edit
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kim
Schrier (D)
Matt
Larkin (R)
Other Undecided
RMG Research[162] August 10–15, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 43% 3% 8%
Hypothetical polling

Kim Schrier vs. Reagan Dunn

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kim
Schrier (D)
Reagan
Dunn (R)
Undecided
NMB Research (R)[163][E] May 2–5, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 42% 10%
Moore Information Group (R)[160][D] November 18–21, 2021 400 (RV) ± 5.0% 36% 40% 25%

Kim Schrier vs. Jesse Jensen

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Kim
Schrier (D)
Jesse
Jensen (R)
Undecided
NMB Research (R)[163][E] May 2–5, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 42% 10%
Moore Information Group (R)[160][D] November 18–21, 2021 400 (RV) ± 5.0% 38% 37% 25%

Debate

edit
2022 Washington's 8th congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Kim Schrier Matt Larkin
1 Oct. 28, 2022 Washington State
Debate Coalition
Hana Kim [164] P P

Results

edit
2022 Washington's 8th congressional district election[165]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kim Schrier (incumbent) 179,003 53.3
Republican Matt Larkin 155,976 46.4
Write-in 1,059 0.3
Total votes 336,038 100.0
Democratic hold

District 9

edit
2022 Washington's 9th congressional district election
 
← 2020
2024 →
     
Candidate Adam Smith Doug Basler
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 171,746 67,631
Percentage 71.6% 28.2%

 
 
Smith:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Basler      40–50%      50–60%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Adam Smith
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Adam Smith
Democratic

Before redistricting, the 9th congressional district stretched from small parts of northeastern Tacoma up to southeastern Seattle, taking in the surrounding suburbs, including Federal Way, Des Moines, Kent, SeaTac, Renton, Mercer Island, and Bellevue. The incumbent was Democrat Adam Smith, who had represented the 9th district since 1997. Smith was most recently re-elected in 2022, garnering 71.7% of the vote in the general election.[166]

Primary election

edit

Candidates

edit
Advanced to general
edit
  • Doug Basler (Republican), perennial candidate[14]
  • Adam Smith (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative[167]
Eliminated in primary
edit
  • David Anderson (independent), candidate for Washington Secretary of State in 2012
  • Sea Chan (Republican), maritime professional and environmental researcher[168]
  • Stephanie Gallardo (Democratic), teacher and WEA/NEA board director[167]
  • Seth Pedersen (Republican)
Withdrew
edit
Declined
edit
  • Sarah Smith (Democratic), runner-up for this district in 2018 (endorsed Gallardo)[170]

Endorsements

edit
Doug Basler (R)

Organizations

Stephanie Gallardo (D)

Local officials

Organizations

Labor unions

Results

edit
Blanket primary results[173]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Adam Smith (incumbent) 78,272 55.2
Republican Doug Basler 29,144 20.6
Democratic Stephanie Gallardo 22,531 15.9
Republican Sea Chan 5,338 3.8
Republican Seth Pedersen 4,781 3.4
Independent David Anderson 1,541 1.1
Write-in 153 0.1
Total votes 141,760 100.0

General election

edit

Predictions

edit
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[25] Solid D February 10, 2022
Inside Elections[26] Solid D March 31, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Safe D February 16, 2022
Politico[28] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[29] Safe D June 9, 2022
Fox News[30] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[31] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[32] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[33] Safe D September 28, 2022

Debate

edit
2022 Washington's 9th congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Adam Smith Doug Basler
1 Oct. 25, 2022 KCTS9
TVW
Washington State
Debate Coalition
Mary Nam [174] P P

Results

edit
2022 Washington's 9th congressional district election[175]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Adam Smith (incumbent) 171,746 71.6
Republican Doug Basler 67,631 28.2
Write-in 471 0.2
Total votes 239,848 100.0
Democratic hold

District 10

edit
2022 Washington's 10th congressional district election
 
← 2020
2024 →
     
Candidate Marilyn Strickland Keith Swank
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 152,544 114,777
Percentage 57.0% 42.9%

 
 
Strickland:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Swank      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Marilyn Strickland
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Marilyn Strickland
Democratic

Before redistricting, the 10th district included Olympia and the Tacoma suburbs, including Puyallup, Lakewood, and University Place. The incumbent was Democrat Marilyn Strickland, who had represented the 10th district since 2021. Strickland most recently ran for re-election in 2022, garnering 57.1% of the vote in the general election.[176]

Primary election

edit

Candidates

edit
Advanced to general
edit
Eliminated in primary
edit
  • Richard Boyce (independent)
  • Dan Gordon (Republican), candidate for this district in 2020[14]
  • Eric Mahaffy (Democratic)
Withdrew/disqualified
edit

Endorsements

edit
Keith Swank

Organizations

Forum

edit
2022 Washington's 10th congressional district primary election candidate forum
No. Date Host Moderator Link Independent Republican Democratic Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Richard Boyce Dan Gordon Eric Mahaffy Marilyn Strickland Keith Swank
1 Jul. 12, 2022 League of Women Voters
of Tacoma-Pierce County
League of Women Voters
of Thurston County
Lydia Zepeda [179] P A P P P

Results

edit
Blanket primary results[180]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Marilyn Strickland (incumbent) 90,093 55.3
Republican Keith Swank 55,231 33.9
Republican Dan Gordon 10,315 6.3
Democratic Eric Mahaffy 3,710 2.3
Independent Richard Boyce 3,250 2.0
Write-in 189 0.1
Total votes 162,788 100.0

General election

edit

Forum

edit
2022 Washington's 10th congressional district candidate forum
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Marilyn Strickland Keith Swank
1 Oct. 17, 2022 League of Women Voters
of Tacoma-Pierce County
League of Women Voters
of Thurston County
Lydia Zepeda [181] P P

Predictions

edit
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[25] Solid D February 10, 2022
Inside Elections[26] Solid D March 31, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Safe D February 16, 2022
Politico[28] Solid D April 5, 2022
RCP[29] Likely D October 31, 2022
Fox News[30] Solid D July 11, 2022
DDHQ[31] Solid D July 20, 2022
538[32] Solid D June 30, 2022
The Economist[33] Safe D November 3, 2022

Results

edit
2022 Washington's 10th congressional district election[182]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Marilyn Strickland (incumbent) 152,544 57.0
Republican Keith Swank 114,777 42.9
Write-in 427 0.2
Total votes 267,748 100.0
Democratic hold

Notes

edit
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Ray with 0%
  3. ^ "Other Democrat" with 6%, Wouldn't vote with 4%
  4. ^ Yakhour with 0%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by the Northwest Progressive Institute
  2. ^ This poll was sponsored by Gluesenkamp Perez's campaign
  3. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Culp's campaign
  4. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Dunn's campaign
  5. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Lead the Way PAC, which opposes Reagan Dunn in favor of Jesse Jensen

References

edit
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Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 9th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 10th district candidates