Wikipedia

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

Not to be confused with 2022 Iowa House of Representatives election.
For related races, see 2022 United States House of Representatives elections.

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the State of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. These were the first congressional elections held in Iowa after the 2020 redistricting cycle.

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 3 1
Seats won 4 0
Seat change Increase 1 Decrease 1
Popular vote 677,857 526,460
Percentage 55.94% 43.45%
Swing Increase 3.52% Decrease 3.05%
     Republican hold      Republican gain

Republicans won all four House seats, making this the first time since 1994 that Democrats had been completely shut out of Iowa's House delegation.This also marks the first time since 1956 that there are no Democrats in Iowa's Congressional delegation.

Background

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In the 2020 elections, Republicans flipped the 1st and 2nd congressional districts while holding the 4th, while Democrats only managed to hold onto the 3rd. Iowa is considered to be an important state in the 2022 midterm elections, as Republicans only needed a net gain of five seats to flip the House of Representatives, and the 3rd district had one of the closest House elections won by a Democrat in 2020. At an event in 2021, United States Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX), claimed that the "road to the majority...comes through Iowa."[1] However, Democrats remained optimistic, with former U.S. Representative Abby Finkenauer saying she "couldn't be more excited" about the roster of Iowa Democrats running for Congress in 2022.[2]

District 1

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2022 Iowa's 1st congressional district election
 
← 2020
2024 →
     
Nominee Mariannette Miller-Meeks Christina Bohannan
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 162,947 142,173
Percentage 53.3% 46.6%
 
Results by county
Miller-Meeks:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Bohannan:      70–80%
U.S. Representative before election

Mariannette Miller-Meeks
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mariannette Miller-Meeks
Republican

See also: Iowa's 1st congressional district

After redistricting, most of the old 2nd district became the 1st district. The reconfigured 1st covers southeastern Iowa, and includes Davenport, Iowa City, Muscatine, Clinton, Burlington, Fort Madison, Oskaloosa, Bettendorf, Newton and Pella. The 1st district was based in northeastern Iowa, and included the cities of Dubuque, Cedar Rapids and Waterloo. First-term Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks sought reelection in this district. Miller-Meeks flipped the 2nd district with 49.9% of the vote in 2020, defeating Democratic nominee Rita Hart by just six votes out of more than 394,000 cast, a margin of 0.002%.[3]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Withdrawn

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  • Kyle Kuehl, business owner[6]

Endorsements

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Mariannette Miller-Meeks

Federal officials

Statewide officials

Organizations

Primary results

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Republican primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks (incumbent) 41,260 98.7
Write-in 546 1.3
Total votes 41,806 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Withdrawn
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Declined
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Endorsements

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Christina Bohannan

Federal officials

Organizations

Labor unions

Primary results

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Democratic primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Christina Bohannan 37,475 99.7
Write-in 110 0.3
Total votes 37,585 100.0

General election

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Cartogram of Iowa's First Congressional District

Debate

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2022 Iowa's 1st congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Mariannette Miller-Meeks Christina Bohannan
1 Sep. 26, 2022 Iowa PBS Kay Henderson [29] P P

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[30] Lean R October 5, 2022
Inside Elections[31] Lean R September 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] Likely R September 7, 2022
Politico[33] Lean R August 12, 2022
RCP[34] Lean R September 1, 2022
Fox News[35] Lean R October 18, 2022
DDHQ[36] Solid R September 6, 2022
FiveThirtyEight[37] Likely R November 8, 2022
The Economist[38] Lean R September 28, 2022

Polling

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Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Mariannette
Miller-Meeks (R) 		Christina
Bohannan (D) 		Undecided
Change Research (D)[39][A] June 30 – July 4, 2022 375 (LV) ± 5.1% 39% 38% 22%
Public Policy Polling (D)[40][B] April 5–6, 2022 534 (V) ± 3.4% 43% 47% 15%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Republican 		Generic
Democrat 		Other Undecided
Selzer & Co.[41] October 9–12, 2022 155 (LV) ± 8.4% 50% 41% 1% 8%
Selzer & Co.[42] July 10–13, 2022 149 (LV) ± 8.3% 50% 40% – 10%

Results

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2022 Iowa's 1st congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks (incumbent) 162,947 53.3
Democratic Christina Bohannan 142,173 46.6
Write-in 260 0.1
Total votes 305,380 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

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2022 Iowa's 2nd congressional district election
 
← 2020
2024 →
     
Nominee Ashley Hinson Liz Mathis
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 172,181 145,940
Percentage 54.1% 45.8%
 
Results by county
Hinson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Mathis:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Ashley Hinson
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Ashley Hinson
Republican

See also: Iowa's 2nd congressional district

After redistricting, most of the old 1st district became the 2nd district. The reconfigured 2nd is located in northeastern Iowa and includes Dubuque, Cedar Rapids, Waterloo and Mason City. Freshman Republican Ashley Hinson, who flipped the district with 51.2% of the vote in 2020, sought reelection in the 2nd.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Endorsements

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Ashley Hinson

Federal officials

Statewide officials

Individuals

Organizations

Primary results

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Republican primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ashley Hinson (incumbent) 39,897 99.3
Write-in 284 0.7
Total votes 40,181 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Declined
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Endorsements

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Liz Mathis

Federal officials

Statewide officials

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Labor unions

Primary results

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Democratic primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Liz Mathis 40,737 99.6
Write-in 150 0.4
Total votes 40,887 100.0

General election

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Cartogram of Iowa's Second Congressional District

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[30] Lean R October 25, 2022
Inside Elections[31] Tilt R October 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] Likely R September 7, 2022
Politico[33] Lean R August 12, 2022
RCP[34] Likely R September 1, 2022
Fox News[35] Likely R August 22, 2022
DDHQ[36] Solid R September 6, 2022
FiveThirtyEight[37] Likely R September 7, 2022
The Economist[38] Lean R September 28, 2022

Polling

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Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Ashley
Hinson (R) 		Liz
Mathis (D) 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[55][C] July 19–20, 2022 594 (V) ± 4.0% 44% 44% 12%
Public Policy Polling (D)[56][C] February 2–3, 2022 623 (V) ± 3.9% 43% 42% 15%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Republican 		Generic
Democrat 		Other Undecided
Selzer & Co.[41] October 9–12, 2022 155 (LV) ± 8.4% 46% 48% 1% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[55][C] July 19–20, 2022 594 (V) ± 4.0% 50% 43% – 7%
Selzer & Co.[42] July 10–13, 2022 149 (LV) ± 8.3% 54% 42% – 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[56][C] February 2–3, 2022 623 (V) ± 3.9% 45% 42% 13%

Results

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2022 Iowa's 2nd congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ashley Hinson (incumbent) 172,181 54.1
Democratic Liz Mathis 145,940 45.8
Write-in 278 0.1
Total votes 318,399 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

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2022 Iowa's 3rd congressional district election
 
← 2020
2024 →
     
Nominee Zach Nunn Cindy Axne
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 156,262 154,117
Percentage 50.2% 49.6%
 
Results by county
Nunn:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Axne:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Cindy Axne
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Zach Nunn
Republican

See also: Iowa's 3rd congressional district

Before redistricting, the 3rd district encompassed southwestern Iowa, stretching from Des Moines to the state's borders with Nebraska and Missouri. The new 3rd is still anchored in Des Moines, but now covers south-central Iowa. The incumbent was Democrat Cindy Axne, who was re-elected with 48.9% of the vote in 2020.[3]

During the campaign, a research firm contracted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee inappropriately obtained the military records of then-candidate Zach Nunn.[57]

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Endorsements
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Cindy Axne

Organizations

Labor unions

Primary results

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Democratic primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Cindy Axne (incumbent) 47,710 99.5
Write-in 252 0.5
Total votes 47,962 100.0

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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  • Nicole Hasso, financial planner[73]
  • Gary Leffler, construction consultant[74]
Withdrawn
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Endorsements

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Nicole Hasso

U.S. Senators

Zach Nunn

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Debates and forums

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2022 IA-03 Republican primary debates and forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Hasso Leffler Nunn
1 May 3, 2022 Polk County Republican Party
WHO-DT 		Dave Price Youtube (Part 1)[82]
YouTube (Part 2) 		P P P
2[83] May 14, 2022 KCCI Stacey Horst and Laura Terrell Youtube[84] P P P

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Mary Ann
Hanusa 		Nicole
Hasso 		Zach
Nunn 		Undecided
Moore Information Group (R)[85][D] September 9, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 13% 3% 24% 60%

Primary results

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Republican primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Zach Nunn 30,502 65.8
Republican Nicole Hasso 8,991 19.4
Republican Gary Leffler 6,800 14.7
Write-in 89 0.2
Total votes 46,382 100.0

General election

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Cartogram of Iowa's Third Congressional District

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[30] Lean R (flip) September 1, 2022
Inside Elections[31] Tilt R (flip) November 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] Lean R (flip) September 7, 2022
Politico[33] Lean R (flip) November 3, 2022
RCP[34] Lean R (flip) September 1, 2022
Fox News[35] Lean R (flip) August 22, 2022
DDHQ[36] Tossup September 23, 2022
FiveThirtyEight[37] Tossup November 8, 2022
The Economist[38] Tossup September 28, 2022

Polling

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Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Cindy
Axne (D) 		Zach
Nunn (R) 		Undecided
[b] 		Margin
FiveThirtyEight[86] July 9 – October 25, 2022 November 1, 2022 44.3% 46.4% 9.3% Nunn +2.1

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Cindy
Axne (D) 		Zach
Nunn (R) 		Other Undecided
Moore Information Group (R)[87][D] October 24–25, 2022 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 44% 46% – 10%
Moore Information Group (R)[88][D] September 21–25, 2022 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 44% 46% – 10%
Impact Research (D)[89][E] September 7–11, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 47% 47% – 5%
RMG Research[90] July 29 – August 5, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 41% 49% 2% 8%
Moore Information Group (R)[91][F] July 9–11, 2022 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 43% 43% – 14%
Moore Information Group (R)[85][D] September 9, 2021 – (LV) – 46% 42% – 12%
Hypothetical polling

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Other Undecided
Selzer & Co.[41] October 9–12, 2022 155 (LV) ± 8.4% 49% 48% 0% 3%
Selzer & Co.[42] July 10–13, 2022 150 (LV) ± 8.3% 47% 44% – 9%

Results

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2022 Iowa's 3rd congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Zach Nunn 156,262 50.2
Democratic Cindy Axne (incumbent) 154,117 49.6
Write-in 534 0.2
Total votes 310,913 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

District 4

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2022 Iowa's 4th congressional district election
 
← 2020
2024 →
     
Nominee Randy Feenstra Ryan Melton
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 186,467 84,230
Percentage 67.3% 30.4%
 
Results by county
Feenstra:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Melton:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Randy Feenstra
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Randy Feenstra
Republican

See also: Iowa's 4th congressional district

Before redistricting, the 4th district was based in northwestern Iowa, including Sioux City, Ames, Mason City, Fort Dodge, Boone and Carroll. The redrawn 4th also covers much of southwestern Iowa, including Council Bluffs. The incumbent was Republican Randy Feenstra, who was elected with 62.0% of the vote in 2020.[3]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Endorsements

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Randy Feenstra

Executive branch officials

Primary results

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Republican primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Randy Feenstra (incumbent) 51,271 98.9
Write-in 596 1.1
Total votes 51,867 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Declined
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Primary results

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Democratic primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ryan Melton 20,794 99.7
Write-in 69 0.3
Total votes 20,863 100.0

Other parties and independents

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Candidates

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  • Bryan Jack Holder, photographer and perennial candidate (Liberty)

Independents

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Candidates
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General election

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Cartogram of Iowa's Fourth Congressional District

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[30] Solid R September 1, 2022
Inside Elections[31] Solid R September 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] Safe R September 7, 2022
Politico[33] Solid R April 5, 2022
RCP[34] Safe R September 1, 2022
Fox News[35] Solid R August 22, 2022
DDHQ[36] Solid R September 6, 2022
FiveThirtyEight[37] Solid R September 7, 2022
The Economist[38] Safe R September 28, 2022

Polling

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Hypothetical polling

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Republican 		Generic
Democrat 		Other Undecided
Selzer & Co.[41] October 9–12, 2022 155 (LV) ± 8.4% 62% 33% 1% 4%
Selzer & Co.[42] July 10–13, 2022 149 (LV) ± 8.3% 55% 36% – 8%

Results

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2022 Iowa's 4th congressional district election[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Randy Feenstra (incumbent) 186,467 67.3
Democratic Ryan Melton 84,230 30.4
Liberty Caucus Bryan Jack Holder 6,035 2.2
Write-in 276 0.1
Total votes 277,008 100.0
Republican hold

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ a b c d e f g h Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by Michael Franken's campaign for U.S. Senate
  2. ^ This poll was sponsored by 314 Action, which supports Bohannan
  3. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Mathis's campaign
  4. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Nunn's campaign
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by Axne's campaign
  6. ^ Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Nunn's campaign committee

References

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  1. ^ "Iowa GOP sets sight on 2022 election to flip house and senate majority". KGAN. August 28, 2021.
  2. ^ "Democratic State Senator Liz Mathis running for U.S. Congress". The Daily Iowan. July 27, 2021.
  3. ^ a b c "General Election - 2020 Canvass Summary" (PDF). Iowa Secretary of State.
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  8. ^ a b Ackley, Kate (November 16, 2021). "Sen. Tim Scott endorses in 9 House races". Roll Call. Retrieved November 16, 2021.
  9. ^ Dunlap, Natalie (November 15, 2021). "Gov. Reynolds endorses Rep. Miller-Meeks' reelection campaign". www.dailyiowan.com. The Daily Iowan. Retrieved November 15, 2021.
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  29. ^ YouTube
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  39. ^ Change Research (D)
  40. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  41. ^ a b c d Selzer & Co.
  42. ^ a b c d Selzer & Co.
  43. ^ a b c d "2022 General Election - Election Canvass Summary" (PDF). Iowa Secretary of State.
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  55. ^ a b Public Policy Polling (D)
  56. ^ a b Public Policy Polling (D)
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  73. ^ Pfannenstiel, Brianne (July 7, 2021). "Johnston Republican Nicole Hasso announces her candidacy for Iowa's 3rd District congressional race". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved August 12, 2021.
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  75. ^ Brownlee, Brownlee (May 27, 2021). "Hanusa officially launches run for Congress". The Daily Nonpareil. Retrieved August 12, 2021.
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  80. ^ "Honored to have the endorsement of @sealpacusa and Navy SEAL/Trump Secretary @RyanZinke & join the ranks of other combat veterans running to take back the House. We've had enough of our freedoms being trampled on by DC, it's time to put our Constitution & our country first again!". Twitter. February 16, 2022. Retrieved July 7, 2022.
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  94. ^ "Endorsement of Congressman Randy Feenstra". June 5, 2022. Retrieved July 24, 2022.
  95. ^ Gehr, Danielle (February 4, 2022). "Nevada Democrat announces candidacy for Congress against U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra". Ames Tribune. Retrieved May 28, 2022.
  96. ^ Richardson, Ian (March 16, 2022). "Democrat J.D. Scholten, former Congressional candidate, is running for Iowa House". Des Moines Register. Retrieved March 16, 2022.
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Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates

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