2022 United States Senate election in Florida
(Redirected from 2022 U.S. Senate election in Florida)
The 2022 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida. Incumbent Republican Senator Marco Rubio won re-election to a third term, defeating Democratic nominee Val Demings in a landslide. Rubio was first elected in 2010, filling the seat of appointed Senator George LeMieux. Rubio won re-election to a third term, becoming the first Republican to do so in Florida history.[1]
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   Rubio: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Demings: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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The primary elections for Republicans and Democrats took place on August 23 to finalize candidates for the November election.[2][3] Rubio won the uncontested Republican primary, while incumbent U.S. Representative Val Demings won the Democratic nomination.
Despite some predicting a close race early,[4] Rubio went on to win by a comfortable 16.4%, improving upon his 2016 performance by 8.7%. According to exit polls, Rubio won 64% of White voters, 56% of Latino voters, and 9% of African American voters.[5]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Marco Rubio, incumbent U.S. senator[6]
Did not qualify
edit- Kevin DePuy, former Marine Corps sergeant[7]
- Howard Knepper, businessman and perennial candidate[8] (ran as a write-in candidate)
- Jake Loubriel, Florida National Guardsman[9]
- Ervan Katari Miller, perennial candidate[10]
- Earl Yearicks IV, maritime captain[11]
Withdrawn
edit- Calvin Driggers, businessman[12][13]
- Luis Miguel, conservative writer and activist[14] (ran for State House)
- Angela Walls-Windhauser, perennial candidate[15]
Declined
edit- Pam Bondi, former Florida attorney general[16]
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. representative[17][18] (ran for re-election)
- Brian Mast, U.S. representative[17] (ran for re-election)
- Roger Stone, political consultant[19][20]
- Donald Trump, former president of the United States[21] (endorsed Rubio)[22]
- Ivanka Trump, former advisor to the President[23][24]
- Michael Waltz, U.S. representative (ran for re-election)[25]
Endorsements
editMarco Rubio
U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[26]
Sheriffs
- 55 county sheriffs[27]
Organizations
- Associated Industries of Florida[28]
- Florida Fraternal Order of Police[29]
- Pro-Israel America[30]
- Republican Jewish Coalition[31]
- Tea Party Express[32]
Labor unions
Democratic primary
edit
Candidates
editNominee
editEliminated in primary
edit- Ricardo de la Fuente, perennial candidate and son of Rocky de la Fuente[35]
- Brian Rush, former Minority Whip of the Florida House of Representatives[35]
- William Sanchez, immigration lawyer and former special counsel for the U.S. Department of Justice[36]
Did not qualify
edit- Edward Abud, businessman[37]
- Al Fox, president of the Alliance for Responsible Cuba Policy Foundation[38]
- Dana Harshman, pharmacist[39]
- Josue Larose, perennial candidate[40]
- Coleman Watson, federal attorney and stroke survivor[41][42]
- Joshua Weil, teacher[43]
Withdrawn
edit- Allen Ellison, policy consultant and nominee for Florida's 17th congressional district in 2018 and 2020[44] (ran for U.S. House)[45]
- Alan Grayson, former U.S. representative and candidate in 2016[46] (ran for U.S. House)[47]
- Ilya Katz, Loyola University Chicago professor[48]
- Allek Pastrana, engineer[49] (ran for U.S. House)[50]
- Ken Russell, Miami City Commissioner[51][52] (ran for U.S. House)
Declined
edit- Aramis Ayala, former state attorney for the Ninth Judicial Circuit Court of Florida (2017–2021)[53] (ran for Attorney General)[54]
- Charlie Crist, U.S. representative, former governor of Florida, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, and nominee for governor in 2014 (ran for governor)[55]
- Ted Deutch, U.S. representative[56][57][58]
- Anna Eskamani, state representative[59][60]
- Nikki Fried, Florida commissioner of agriculture[61] (ran for governor)[62]
- Gwen Graham, Assistant Secretary of Education for Legislation and Congressional Affairs, former U.S. representative, and candidate for governor in 2018[61]
- Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, former U.S. representative[63]
- Stephanie Murphy, U.S. representative[64][65]
Endorsements
editVal Demings
U.S. Senators
- Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Senator from New York (2009–present)[66]
U.S. Representatives
- Kathy Castor, U.S. Representative from Florida's 14th congressional district (2007–present)[67]
- Luis Gutiérrez, former U.S. Representative from Illinois's 4th congressional district (1993–2019)[68]
State officials
- Alex Sink, former Chief Financial Officer of Florida (2007–2011)[69]
Organizations
- Congressional Black Caucus PAC[70]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[71]
- End Citizens United[72]
- EMILY's List[73]
- Feminist Majority PAC[74]
- Giffords[75]
- Human Rights Campaign[76]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[77]
- League of Conservation Voters[78]
- March On[79]
- Population Connection Action Fund[80]
Labor unions
- 1199SEIU United Healthcare Workers East[81]
- AFSCME Florida[82]
- Communications Workers of America[83]
- Service Employees International Union Florida[84]
Newspapers
Alan Grayson (withdrawn)
Individuals
- Marianne Williamson, author and candidate for President of the United States in 2020[87]
Joshua Weil (failed to qualify)
Polling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Ricardo De La Fuente |
Val Demings |
Brian Rush |
William Sanchez |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of North Florida[89] | August 8–12, 2022 | 529 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 2% | 80% | 4% | 4% | 10% |
Results
edit
Demings
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
- 80–90%
- >90%
Rush
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Val Demings | 1,263,706 | 84.3 | |
| Democratic | Brian Rush | 94,185 | 6.3 | |
| Democratic | William Sanchez | 84,576 | 5.6 | |
| Democratic | Ricardo De La Fuente | 56,749 | 3.8 | |
| Total votes | 1,499,216 | 100.0 | ||
Independent and third-party candidates
edit
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Libertarian Party
editCandidates
editQualified
edit- Dennis Misigoy, former chairman of the Enclave at Black Point Community Development District board of supervisors (2016–2021)[91]
Unity Party
editCandidates
editDid not file
edit- Shantele Bennett, financial advisor and candidate for mayor of Orlando in 2019[92]
Independent candidates
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Steven B. Grant, former mayor of Boynton Beach (2016–2022)[93]
- Quoc Tuan Nguyen, Florida Institute of Technology professor[94]
Did not qualify
edit- Carlos Barberena, digital marketing consultant[95]
Did not file
edit- Grace Granda, business consultant[96]
Withdraw
edit- Jason Holic, businessman[97]
Declined
edit- David Jolly, chairman of Serve America Movement and former U.S. representative[98]
- John Morgan, attorney and medical marijuana advocate[56]
- Joe Scarborough, MSNBC host and former U.S. representative[99]
Write-ins
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Jay An
- Uloma Uma Expete
- Edward Gray
- Salomon Hernandez Sr.
- Howard Knepper, businessman and perennial candidate
- Moses Quiles, security technician
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[100] | Likely R | October 18, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[101] | Likely R | August 25, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[102] | Likely R | August 24, 2022 |
| Politico[103] | Likely R | November 3, 2022 |
| RCP[104] | Lean R | February 24, 2022 |
| Fox News[105] | Lean R | May 12, 2022 |
| DDHQ[106] | Likely R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[107] | Solid R | November 4, 2022 |
| The Economist[108] | Likely R | September 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
editMarco Rubio (R)
U.S. presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[26]
U.S. Senators
- Rick Scott, U.S. Senator from Florida (2019–present)[109]
U.S. Representatives
- Vern Buchanan, U.S. Representative from Florida's 16th congressional district (2013–present)[110]
- Greg Steube, U.S. Representative from Florida's 17th congressional district (2019–present)[110]
State officials
- Ron DeSantis, Governor of Florida (2019–present)[111]
Sheriffs
- 55 county sheriffs[27]
Organizations
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee[112]
- American Seniors Association[112]
- Armenian National Committee of America[112]
- Associated Industries of Florida[28]
- Campaign for Working Families[112]
- Citizens Against Government Waste[113]
- Florida Family Action[112]
- Florida Police Chiefs Association[114]
- GOPAC Election Fund[112]
- National Federation of Independent Business – Florida[112]
- National Right to Life Committee[112]
- Pro-Israel America[30]
- Republican Jewish Coalition[31]
- Susan B. Anthony List[112]
- Tea Party Express[32]
Labor unions
Val Demings (D)
U.S. presidents
- Joe Biden, 46th president of the United States (2021–present)[116]
U.S. Senators
- Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. Senator from New York (2009–present)[66]
- Chris Murphy, U.S. Senator from Connecticut (2013–present)[117]
U.S. Representatives
- Kathy Castor, U.S. Representative from Florida's 14th congressional district (2007–present)[67]
- Charlie Crist, U.S. Representative from Florida's 13th congressional district (2017–2022) and 44th governor of Florida (2007–2011)[118]
- Luis Gutiérrez, former U.S. Representative from Illinois's 4th congressional district (1993–2019)[68]
State officials
- Nikki Fried, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture (2019–2023)[119]
- Alex Sink, former Chief Financial Officer of Florida (2007–2011)[69]
Local officials
- Jane Castor, mayor of Tampa (2019–present)[120]
Individuals
- Jill Biden, First Lady of the United States[118]
- Jenifer Lewis, actress[121]
- Oprah Winfrey, businesswoman and talk show host[122]
Organizations
- Congressional Black Caucus PAC[70]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[71]
- EMILY's List[73]
- Feminist Majority PAC[74]
- Giffords[75]
- Human Rights Campaign[76]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[77]
- League of Conservation Voters[78]
- March On[79]
- Population Connection Action Fund[80]
Labor unions
- 1199SEIU United Healthcare Workers East[81]
- AFSCME Florida[82]
- Communications Workers of America[83]
- National Education Association[123]
- Service Employees International Union Florida[84]
Newspapers
Polling
editAggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Marco Rubio (R) |
Val Demings (D) |
Undecided [b] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics[126] | October 17, 2022 – November 6, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 52.4% | 43.6% | 4.0% | Rubio +8.8 |
| FiveThirtyEight[127] | September 18, 2022 – November 4, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 52.3% | 43.5% | 4.2% | Rubio +8.8 |
| 270towin[128] | November 4–7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 51.6% | 42.4% | 6.0% | Rubio +9.2 |
| Average | 52.1% | 43.2% | 4.7% | Rubio +8.9 | ||
Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Marco Rubio (R) |
Val Demings (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co.[129] | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 52% | 42% | 2%[c] | 4% |
| Data for Progress (D)[130] | November 2–6, 2022 | 1,436 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 43% | 2%[d] | – |
| Amber Integrated (R)[131] | November 1–2, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 40% | 4%[e] | 7% |
| Civiqs[132] | October 29 – November 2, 2022 | 772 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 52% | 45% | 2%[f] | 1% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[133] | November 1, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 51% | 45% | 1%[g] | 3% |
| Siena College[134] | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 659 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 51% | 43% | 2%[h] | 4% |
| Victory Insights[135] | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50% | 46% | – | 5% |
| Florida State University/YouGov[136] | October 20–31, 2022 | 1,117 (RV) | – | 51% | 44% | – | – |
| University of North Florida[137] | October 17–24, 2022 | 622 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 54% | 43% | <1%[i] | 3% |
| Data for Progress (D)[138] | October 19–23, 2022 | 1,251 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 44% | 2%[j] | 2% |
| Florida Atlantic University[139] | October 12–16, 2022 | 719 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 42% | 3%[k] | 7% |
| RMG Research (R)[140][A] | October 10–13, 2022 | 685 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 45% | – | 5% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[141] | September 26–28, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 41% | 2% | 10% |
| Siena College[142] | September 18–25, 2022 | 669 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 41% | 2%[l] | 9% |
| Civiqs[143] | September 17–20, 2022 | 617 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 49% | 47% | 3%[m] | 2% |
| Suffolk University[144] | September 15–18, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 41% | 4%[n] | 9% |
| Sachs Media[145] | September 10, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 49% | 46% | – | 5% |
| Kurt Jetta (D)[146][B] | September 9–10, 2022 | 999 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 40% | – | 12% |
| 563 (LV) | 50% | 45% | – | 5% | |||
| Echelon Insights[147] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 815 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 50% | 41% | – | 9% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R)[148] | September 5–6, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 46% | 44% | – | 10% |
| Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[149] | August 29 – September 4, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[150] | August 24–31, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 47% | – | 4% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[151][C] | August 25–30, 2022 | 3,017 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 46% | 45% | – | 9% |
| Impact Research (D)[152][D] | August 12–18, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 46% | – | 5% |
| Kurt Jetta (D)[153][B] | August 12–14, 2022 | 996 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 39% | – | 14% |
| 610 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 41% | – | 7% | ||
| University of North Florida[154] | August 8–12, 2022 | 1,624 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 48% | 7% | 2% |
| Change Research (D)[155][E] | August 2–5, 2022 | 1,031 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 46% | – | 7% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[156][C] | July 26–31, 2022 | 2,244 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 45% | 45% | – | 10% |
| Kurt Jetta (D)[153][B] | July 9, 2022 | 906 (A) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 38% | – | 16% |
| 732 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 45% | 40% | – | 16% | ||
| 428 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 50% | 42% | – | 8% | ||
| Public Policy Polling (D)[157][F] | May 26–27, 2022 | 655 (V) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 41% | – | 12% |
| Phillips Academy[158] | May 7–9, 2022 | 543 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 34% | 36% | – | 30% |
| Moore Information Group (R)[159] | March 14–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 32% | 8%[o] | 12% |
| Saint Leo University[160] | February 28 – March 12, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 45% | 27% | – | 28% |
| Kurt Jetta (D)[153][B] | March 4, 2022 | 1,098 (A) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 26% | – | 29% |
| 893 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 27% | – | 28% | ||
| 446 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 49% | 35% | – | 16% | ||
| University of North Florida[161] | February 7–20, 2022 | 685 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 34% | – | 20% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[162] | February 7–10, 2022 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 42% | – | 9% |
| Suffolk University[163] | January 26–29, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 41% | 0% | 10% |
| St. Pete Polls[164] | November 18–19, 2021 | 2,896 (LV) | ± 1.8% | 51% | 44% | – | 5% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[165] | November 9, 2021 | 867 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 33% | 3% | 12% |
| 842 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 36% | 3% | 10% | ||
| Saint Leo University[166] | October 17–23, 2021 | 500 (A) | ± 4.5% | 47% | 29% | – | 25% |
| VCreek/AMG (R)[167][G] | September 23–27, 2021 | 405 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 38% | 5% | 15% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[168] | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 34% | 3% | 11% |
| 977 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 37% | 3% | 10% | ||
| Political Matrix/Listener Group (R)[169] | August 14–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 55% | 45% | – | – |
| St. Pete Polls[170] | August 16–17, 2021 | 2,068 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 48% | 46% | – | 6% |
| Change Research (D)[171][H] | August 14–17, 2021 | 1,585 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[172] | August 4–10, 2021 | 700 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 39% | 1% | 9% |
| Political Matrix/Listener Group (R)[173] | June 27, 2021 | 681 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 60% | 40% | – | – |
Hypothetical polling
Marco Rubio vs. Aramis Ayala
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Marco Rubio (R) |
Aramis Ayala (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherry Communications (R)[174] | April 30 – May 8, 2021 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 39% | – |
Marco Rubio vs. Alan Grayson
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Marco Rubio (R) |
Alan Grayson (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[165] | November 9, 2021 | 867 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 34% | 4% | 12% |
| 842 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 37% | 4% | 10% | ||
| VCreek/AMG (R)[167][G] | September 23–27, 2021 | 405 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 44% | 32% | 10% | 14% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[168] | August 20–24, 2021 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 33% | 4% | 12% |
| 977 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 36% | 4% | 11% |
Marco Rubio vs. Stephanie Murphy
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Marco Rubio (R) |
Stephanie Murphy (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherry Communications (R)[174] | April 30 – May 8, 2021 | 602 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | 41% | – |
Marco Rubio vs. generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Marco Rubio (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon[175] | February 24–28, 2021 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 40% | 14% |
| Data for Progress (D)[176][I] | September 15–22, 2020 | 620 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 42% | 43% | 15% |
Debates
edit| No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn |
||||||
| Marco Rubio | Val Demings | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 18, 2022 | Palm Beach State College | Todd McDermott | [177] | P | P |
Results
edit
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Marco Rubio (incumbent) | 4,474,847 | 57.68% | +5.70% | |
| Democratic | Val Demings | 3,201,522 | 41.27% | −3.04% | |
| Libertarian | Dennis Misigoy | 32,177 | 0.41% | −1.71% | |
| Independent | Steven B. Grant | 31,816 | 0.41% | N/A | |
| Independent | Tuan TQ Nguyen | 17,385 | 0.22% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 267 | 0.00% | ±0.00% | ||
| Total votes | 7,758,126 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
By county
editBy county
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Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
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By congressional district
editRubio won 20 of 28 congressional districts.[179]
| District | Rubio | Demings | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 72% | 27% | Matt Gaetz |
| 2nd | 60% | 39% | Neal Dunn |
| 3rd | 62% | 37% | Kat Cammack |
| 4th | 59% | 40% | Aaron Bean |
| 5th | 64% | 35% | John Rutherford |
| 6th | 66% | 33% | Michael Waltz |
| 7th | 57% | 42% | Stephanie Murphy (117th Congress) |
| Cory Mills (118th Congress) | |||
| 8th | 63% | 36% | Bill Posey |
| 9th | 48% | 51% | Darren Soto |
| 10th | 39% | 60% | Val Demings (117th Congress) |
| Maxwell Frost (118th Congress) | |||
| 11th | 61% | 38% | Daniel Webster |
| 12th | 68% | 31% | Gus Bilirakis |
| 13th | 56% | 42% | Anna Paulina Luna |
| 14th | 45% | 53% | Kathy Castor |
| 15th | 57% | 41% | Laurel Lee |
| 16th | 60% | 39% | Vern Buchanan |
| 17th | 63% | 35% | Greg Steube |
| 18th | 68% | 31% | Scott Franklin |
| 19th | 68% | 31% | Byron Donalds |
| 20th | 28% | 71% | Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick |
| 21st | 61% | 39% | Brian Mast |
| 22nd | 46% | 53% | Lois Frankel |
| 23rd | 48% | 51% | Jared Moskowitz |
| 24th | 29% | 69% | Frederica Wilson |
| 25th | 45% | 54% | Debbie Wasserman Schultz |
| 26th | 70% | 30% | Mario Díaz-Balart |
| 27th | 57% | 42% | María Elvira Salazar |
| 28th | 63% | 37% | Carlos A. Giménez |
Voter demographics
edit| Demographic subgroup | Demings | Rubio | No answer |
% of voters |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | ||||
| Men | 37 | 62 | 1 | 49 |
| Women | 48 | 51 | 1 | 51 |
| Age | ||||
| 18–24 years old | 57 | 41 | 2 | 7 |
| 25–29 years old | 58 | 39 | 2 | 4 |
| 30–39 years old | 55 | 43 | N/A | 13 |
| 40–49 years old | 41 | 58 | 1 | 12 |
| 50–64 years old | 38 | 62 | N/A | 32 |
| 65 and older | 37 | 62 | 1 | 33 |
| Race | ||||
| White | 35 | 64 | 1 | 64 |
| Black | 90 | 9 | N/A | 11 |
| Latino | 41 | 56 | 2 | 21 |
| Race by gender | ||||
| White men | 28 | 71 | N/A | 32 |
| White women | 43 | 57 | 2 | 32 |
| Black men | 89 | 11 | 1 | 5 |
| Black women | 92 | 8 | N/A | 6 |
| Latino men | 42 | 55 | 2 | 10 |
| Latina women | 41 | 57 | 1 | 11 |
| Education | ||||
| High school or less | 35 | 63 | 2 | 15 |
| Some college education | 42 | 58 | 1 | 25 |
| Associate degree | 42 | 57 | 2 | 19 |
| Bachelor's degree | 44 | 54 | 1 | 24 |
| Advanced degree | 48 | 51 | 1 | 17 |
| Party ID | ||||
| Democrats | 97 | 3 | N/A | 28 |
| Republicans | 3 | 97 | 1 | 42 |
| Independents | 48 | 49 | 2 | 30 |
| Ideology | ||||
| Liberals | 91 | 8 | 1 | 20 |
| Moderates | 57 | 41 | 1 | 39 |
| Conservatives | 7 | 93 | 2 | 42 |
| Marital status | ||||
| Married | 40 | 60 | 1 | 59 |
| Unmarried | 50 | 48 | 2 | 41 |
| Gender by marital status | ||||
| Married men | 33 | 66 | 1 | 30 |
| Married women | 46 | 53 | 1 | 29 |
| Unmarried men | 48 | 51 | 3 | 18 |
| Unmarried women | 52 | 47 | 2 | 23 |
| First-time midterm election voter | ||||
| Yes | 42 | 58 | 4 | 11 |
| No | 44 | 55 | N/A | 89 |
| Most important issue facing the country | ||||
| Crime | 32 | 66 | 2 | 10 |
| Inflation | 28 | 72 | 1 | 39 |
| Gun policy | 63 | 36 | N/A | 10 |
| Immigration | 12 | 88 | N/A | 10 |
| Abortion | 81 | 18 | N/A | 24 |
| Area type | ||||
| Urban | 45 | 54 | 1 | 46 |
| Suburban | 42 | 57 | 2 | 44 |
| Rural | 31 | 68 | N/A | 10 |
| Source: CNN[180] | ||||
See also
edit- Elections in Florida
- Political party strength in Florida
- Florida Democratic Party
- Florida Republican Party
- Government of Florida
- 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
- 2022 Florida gubernatorial election
- 2022 Florida House of Representatives election
- 2022 Florida Senate election
- 2022 Florida elections
- 2022 United States gubernatorial elections
- 2022 United States elections
Notes
edit- ^ a b c d e f Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%
- ^ Misigoy (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ Misigoy (L) with 3%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Not going to vote" with 2%
- ^ "Refused" with <1%
- ^ Misigoy (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ "Not going to vote" with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ Misigoy (L) with 1%; Grant (I) with 1%; Nguyen (I) with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
- ^ Barberena with 5%, "None" with 3%
Partisan clients
- ^ Poll conducted for Tripp Scott, a law firm associated with the Florida Republican Party.
- ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Rubio
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Progress Florida and Florida Watch
- ^ This poll was sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
- ^ This poll was sponsored by EMILY's List
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Giffords, which supports Demings
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Americas PAC
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Future Majority
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund
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- ^ a b c Downey, Rezno (October 23, 2022). "Another police union picks Marco Rubio over 'Chief' Val Demings". floridapolitics.com. Retrieved December 18, 2022.
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- ^ Real Clear Politics
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- ^ 270towin
- ^ Research Co.
- ^ Data for Progress (D)
- ^ Amber Integrated (R)
- ^ Civiqs
- ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Victory Insights
- ^ Florida State University/YouGov
- ^ University of North Florida Archived November 10, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Data for Progress (D)
- ^ Florida Atlantic University
- ^ RMG Research (R) Archived November 15, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
- ^ Siena College
- ^ Civiqs
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ Sachs Media
- ^ Kurt Jetta (D)
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
- ^ Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)
- ^ Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
- ^ Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
- ^ Impact Research (D)
- ^ a b c Kurt Jetta (D)
- ^ University of North Florida Archived February 19, 2023, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Change Research (D)
- ^ Clarity Campaign Labs (D)
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Phillips Academy
- ^ Moore Information Group (R)
- ^ Saint Leo University Archived April 1, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ University of North Florida Archived July 6, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy
- ^ Suffolk University
- ^ St. Pete Polls
- ^ a b Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Saint Leo University
- ^ a b VCreek/AMG (R)
- ^ a b Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Political Matrix/Listener Group (R)
- ^ St. Pete Polls
- ^ Change Research (D)
- ^ Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
- ^ Political Matrix/Listener Group (R)
- ^ a b Cherry Communications (R)
- ^ Mason-Dixon
- ^ Data for Progress (D)
- ^ Youtube
- ^ "2022 General Election - Official Results: U.S. Senator". Florida Election Watch.
- ^ "Issue #85: The 2022 Florida Races by Congressional District". December 6, 2022.
- ^ "Florida Senatorial exit poll". CNN. Retrieved December 24, 2022.
External links
edit- Florida Division of Elections Candidate Tracking System
Official campaign websites