2020 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming

The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. representative from Wyoming's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming's at-large district

← 2018 November 3, 2020 2022 →
 
Nominee Liz Cheney Lynnette Grey Bull
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 185,732 66,576
Percentage 68.56% 24.58%

Cheney:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Grey Bull:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
     No data

U.S. Representative before election

Liz Cheney
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Liz Cheney
Republican

Republican primary

edit

Candidates

edit

Nominee

edit

Eliminated in primary

edit
  • Blake Stanley, rancher[2]

Endorsements

edit
Liz Cheney
Organizations

Results

edit
 
Results by county:
  Cheney
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Liz Cheney (incumbent) 78,870 73.46
Republican Blake Stanley 28,039 26.12
Write-in 454 0.42
Total votes 107,363 100.00

Democratic primary

edit

Candidates

edit

Nominee

edit

Eliminated in primary

edit
  • Carl Beach, international educator[6]
  • Carol Hafner, retired educator and progressive activist[7]

Declined

edit

Endorsements

edit
Lynnette Grey Bull

Results

edit
 
Results by county:
  Grey Bull
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Lynnette Grey Bull 14,153 60.03
Democratic Carol Hafner 5,172 21.94
Democratic Carl Beach 4,107 17.42
Write-in 144 0.61
Total votes 23,576 100.00

General election

edit

Debates

edit

Predictions

edit
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[11] Safe R November 2, 2020
Inside Elections[12] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] Safe R November 2, 2020
Politico[14] Safe R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[15] Safe R November 2, 2020
RCP[16] Safe R November 2, 2020

Polling

edit
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Liz
Cheney (R)
Lynette
Grey Bull (D)
Undecided
University of Wyoming[17] October 8–28, 2020 614 (LV) ± 4% 58% 28%

Results

edit
Wyoming's at-large congressional district, 2020[18]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Liz Cheney (incumbent) 185,732 68.56% +4.98%
Democratic Lynnette Grey Bull 66,576 24.58% −5.19%
Libertarian Richard Brubaker 10,154 3.75% +0.31%
Constitution Jeff Haggit 7,905 2.92% −0.10%
Write-in 525 0.19% ±0.00%
Total votes 270,892 100.0% N/A
Republican hold
By county
County Liz Cheney
Republican
Lynnette Grey Bull
Democratic
Richard Brubaker
Libertarian
Jeff Haggit
Constitution
Write-in Margin Total votes
# % # % # % # % # % # %
Albany 8,629 47.34 8,440 46.31 737 4.04 392 2.15 28 0.15 189 1.04 18,226
Big Horn 4,587 81.33 724 12.84 143 2.54 180 3.19 6 0.11 3,863 68.49 5,640
Campbell 15,732 83.00 1,713 9.04 735 3.88 694 3.66 80 0.42 14,019 73.96 18,954
Carbon 4,644 71.36 1,337 20.54 313 4.81 204 3.13 10 0.15 3,307 50.81 6,508
Converse 5,418 80.08 785 11.60 254 3.75 293 4.33 16 0.24 4,633 68.48 6,766
Crook 3,442 85.07 337 8.33 117 2.89 141 3.48 9 0.22 3,105 76.74 4,046
Fremont 11,505 64.62 5,227 29.36 711 3.99 335 1.88 26 0.15 6,278 35.26 17,804
Goshen 4,722 76.97 1,037 16.90 159 2.59 210 3.42 7 0.11 3,685 60.07 6,135
Hot Springs 1,915 75.90 424 16.81 105 4.16 76 3.01 3 0.12 1,491 59.10 2,523
Johnson 3,715 77.35 792 16.49 186 3.87 107 2.23 3 0.06 2,923 60.86 4,803
Laramie 27,641 61.99 13,863 31.09 1,790 4.01 1,198 2.69 100 0.22 13,778 61.99 44,592
Lincoln 8,324 80.93 1,429 13.89 262 2.55 259 2.52 11 0.11 6,895 67.04 10,285
Natrona 24,214 70.47 7,454 21.69 1,652 4.81 961 2.80 78 0.23 16,760 48.78 34,359
Niobrara 1,053 81.69 145 11.25 31 2.40 58 4.50 2 0.16 908 70.44 1,289
Park 12,374 75.91 2,874 17.63 511 3.13 505 3.10 36 0.22 9,500 58.28 16,300
Platte 3,589 74.44 868 18.00 142 2.94 215 4.46 7 0.14 2,721 56.44 4,821
Sheridan 11,588 72.31 3,460 21.59 578 3.61 373 2.33 27 0.17 8,128 50.72 16,026
Sublette 3,729 76.89 837 17.26 128 2.64 149 3.07 7 0.14 2,892 59.63 4,850
Sweetwater 11,097 68.72 3,680 22.79 733 4.54 611 3.78 26 0.16 7,417 45.93 16,147
Teton 5,210 36.30 8,628 60.11 383 2.67 116 0.81 16 0.11 -3,418 -23.81 14,353
Uinta 6,781 74.46 1,521 16.70 269 2.95 522 5.73 14 0.15 5,260 57.76 9,107
Washakie 3,063 77.74 599 15.20 143 3.63 126 3.20 9 0.23 2,464 62.54 3,940
Weston 2,760 80.75 402 11.76 72 2.11 180 5.27 4 0.12 2,358 68.99 3,418
Totals 185,732 68.56 66,576 24.58 10,154 3.75 7,905 2.92 525 0.19 119,156 43.99 270,892

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Notes

edit
  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

edit
  1. ^ Rogers, Alex; Byrd, Haley (January 16, 2020). "Liz Cheney won't run for US Senate seat from Wyoming". CNN. Retrieved January 16, 2020.
  2. ^ Pridgeon, Sarah (August 20, 2020). "The results are in..." The Sundance Times. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
  3. ^ "2020 Candidates". Maggie's List. Retrieved February 27, 2020.
  4. ^ a b "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming Primary Electionmary.xlsx" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
  5. ^ Barker, Alexis (June 3, 2020). "Neiman will run against Lindholm". News Letter Journal. Seeking the Democratic nomination are Carl Beach of Saratoga, Carol Hafner of Box Elder, South Dakota, and Lynette Greybull of Fort Washakie.
  6. ^ Hirst, Greg (August 4, 2020). "RAWLINS NATIVE AND INTERNATIONAL EDUCATOR CARL BEACH VYING FOR DEM NOMINATION TO U.S. HOUSE". Oil City News. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
  7. ^ Hirst, Greg (August 14, 2020). "U.S. HOUSE DEM CANDIDATE HAFNER RUNNING FOR A GREEN NEW DEAL, V.A. OVERHAUL, LEGAL CANNABIS". Oil City News. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
  8. ^ Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 19, 2019.
  9. ^ a b c d e "VOTE GREY BULL – DEMOCRAT FOR US CONGRESS – TUESDAY AUGUST 18". Archived from the original on July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 23, 2020.
  10. ^ "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
  11. ^ "2020 House Race Ratings for November 2, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  12. ^ "2020 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  13. ^ "2020 House race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  14. ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2021.
  15. ^ "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  16. ^ "Battle for House 2020". RCP. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  17. ^ University of Wyoming
  18. ^ "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 3, 2020" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
edit

Official campaign websites