The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
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   Young: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Galvin: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% >80% Tie: 50% No votes | ||||||||||||||||||||
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This was Don Young's last reelection as he died in office on March 18, 2022. Until the 2024 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska, this was the last time a Republican won Alaska's only congressional U.S. House seat.[1] It was the last Alaska congressional election conducted by plurality voting.
Background
editThe incumbent in this election was Republican Don Young, who was re-elected with 53.1% of the vote in 2018, in what was one of the closest elections of his long career.[2] Young was the longest-tenured member of the U.S. House of Representatives, having been first elected in a 1973 special election.[3] He served on several committees including as a ranking member of a House Natural Resources subcommittee.[4] In 2019, Young introduced 37 bills, four of which made it out of committee.[4]
Challenging Young was independent candidate Alyse Galvin.[5] Galvin is a small business owner, former teacher, and founder of the non-profit Great Alaska Schools.[3] Galvin has never held public office. Galvin's platform focused on addressing climate change, increasing funding for public schools, and lowering health care costs.[3] Galvin ran as an independent and also received the Democratic Party nomination.
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Gerald L. Heikes[6]
- Thomas "John" Nelson, businessman and candidate for this seat in 2018[7]
- Don Young, incumbent U.S. representative[8]
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Don Young (incumbent) | 51,972 | 76.13% | |
| Republican | Thomas "John" Nelson | 12,344 | 18.08% | |
| Republican | Geral Heikes | 3,954 | 5.79% | |
| Total votes | 68,270 | 100.0% | ||
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- Alyse Galvin (independent), public education advocate and nominee for Alaska's at-large congressional district in 2018[5]
- Bill Hibler (Democratic), candidate for Alaska's at-large congressional district in 2016[6]
- Ray Sean Tugatuk (Democratic)[6]
Endorsements
editResults
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent | Alyse Galvin | 53,258 | 85.83% | |
| Democratic | Ray Tugatuk | 4,858 | 7.83% | |
| Democratic | Bill Hibler | 3,931 | 6.34% | |
| Total votes | 62,047 | 100.0% | ||
Independents
editWithdrawn
edit- Thomas Lamb[15]
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[16] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[17] | Likely R | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[18] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
| Politico[19] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[20] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
| RCP[21] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
Polling
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[b] |
Margin of error |
Don Young (R) |
Alyse Galvin (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravis Marketing[22] | October 26–28, 2020 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 44% | – | 7% |
| Siena College/NYT Upshot[23] | October 9–14, 2020 | 423 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 49% | 41% | 2%[c] | 9%[d] |
| Alaska Survey Research[24] | September 25 – October 4, 2020 | 696 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | – | 6% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[25] | July 7–8, 2020 | 1,081 (V) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 43% | – | 16% |
| Data for Progress (D)[26][A] | May 21–27, 2020 | 589 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | – | 15% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Don Young (incumbent) | 192,126 | 54.40% | +1.32% | |
| Independent | Alyse Galvin[a] | 159,856 | 45.26% | –1.24% | |
| Write-in | 1,183 | 0.34% | –0.08% | ||
| Total votes | 353,165 | 100.0% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Republican to Democratic
edit- Denali Borough (largest town: Healy)
- Lake and Peninsula Borough (largest town: King Salmon)
Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Democratic to Republican
edit- Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area (largest town: Craig)
Notes
editPartisan clients
- ^ Data for Progress supports Democratic candidates, and Galvin is seeking the Democratic nomination as an independent in AK-at-large.
References
edit- ^ Miller, Maya (November 20, 2024). "Begich Defeats Peltola in Alaska, Flipping House Seat for Republicans". The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 21, 2024. Retrieved November 20, 2024.
- ^ Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 26, 2019.
- ^ a b c Panetta, Madison Hall, Grace. "Alyse Galvin takes on Don Young in Alaska's At-Large Congressional District". Business Insider. Retrieved October 15, 2020.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) - ^ a b Wieber, Aubrey (October 10, 2020). "After 47 years in Congress, Don Young has lost his clout, says Alyse Galvin. Is that true?". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved October 15, 2020.
- ^ a b Segall, Peter (July 16, 2019). "Alyse Galvin announces bid for Congress". Juneau Empire. Retrieved July 16, 2019.
- ^ a b c "Alaska Division of Elections". www.elections.alaska.gov. June 5, 2020. Retrieved June 2, 2020.
- ^ "John Nelson for Alaskans".
- ^ Downing, Suzanne (January 26, 2019). "Don Young is 'in' for 2020". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved April 26, 2019.
- ^ a b "Alaska Secretary of State's office: Election Summary Report" (PDF).
- ^ "2019 Endorsed Anchorage Municipal Candidates". The Alaska Center. Archived from the original on September 19, 2020. Retrieved January 9, 2021.
- ^ Muller, Tiffany (January 21, 2020). "End Citizens United Endorses 39 Candidates 10 Years After Citizens United Decision". End Citizens United.
- ^ "2020 House Endorsees". JStreetPAC. Archived from the original on July 9, 2020. Retrieved January 9, 2021.
- ^ "Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Archived from the original on January 6, 2021. Retrieved January 9, 2021.
- ^ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved January 9, 2021.
- ^ "November 3, 2020 General Election Candidate List". www.elections.alaska.gov. June 1, 2020. Archived from the original on October 28, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
- ^ "2020 House Race Ratings for November 2, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
- ^ "2020 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
- ^ "2020 House race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
- ^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2021.
- ^ "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
- ^ "Battle for House 2020". RCP. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ Siena College/NYT Upshot
- ^ Alaska Survey Research
- ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
- ^ Data for Progress (D)
- ^ "2020 GENERAL ELECTION Election Summary Report - Official Results" (PDF). Alaska Division of Elections. Retrieved December 2, 2020.
External links
edit- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Alaska", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Alaska: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Alaska". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Alaska at Ballotpedia
Official campaign websites