2018 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont

The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the U.S. representative from the state of Vermont from Vermont's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primary elections were held on August 14. Peter Welch, a Democrat won reelection to a seventh term, defeating Republican Anya Tynio.

2018 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont's at-large district

← 2016 November 6, 2018 2020 →
 
Nominee Peter Welch Anya Tynio
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 188,547 70,705
Percentage 69.2% 26.0%

Welch:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tynio:      40–50%      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Peter Welch
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Peter Welch
Democratic

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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  • Daniel Freilich, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, Navy medical doctor, physician at the VA Medical Center
  • Peter Welch, incumbent U.S. Representative

Withdrawn

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Debates & forums

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Results

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Results by county:
  Welch—80–90%
  Welch—70–80%
Democratic primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Peter Welch (incumbent) 55,939 83.94
Democratic Daniel Freilich 7,881 11.83
Democratic Benjamin Mitchell (withdrawn) 2,676 4.02
Democratic Write-ins 142 0.21
Total votes 66,638 100.0
N/A Spoiled votes 52
N/A Blank votes 2,927

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Debates & forums

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Results

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Results by county:
  Paige—60–70%
  Paige—50–60%
  Paige—40–50%
  Tynio—40–50%
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican H. Brooke Paige 14,721 59.89
Republican Anya Tynio 8,485 34.52
Republican Peter Welch (write-in) 923 3.76
Republican Write-ins (other) 450 1.83
Total votes 24,579 100.0
N/A Spoiled votes 97
N/A Blank votes 11,499

Post-primary

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H. Brooke Paige, who also won the Republican nominations for U.S. Senate, state Attorney General, state Secretary of State, state Treasurer and state Auditor, withdrew from all but the secretary of state race on August 24 in order to allow the Vermont Republican State Committee to name replacement candidates.[4] Anya Tynio, who came in 2nd place in the primary, was nominated to be the Republican nominee.[5]

Progressive primary

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Candidates

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Write-in

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  • Daniel Freilich, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, Navy medical doctor, physician at the VA Medical Center (also running in Democratic primary)

Debates & forums

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Results

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Progressive primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Progressive Peter Welch (write-in) 237 62.04
Progressive Daniel Freilich (write-in) 73 19.11
Progressive Write-ins (other) 72 18.85
Total votes 643 100.0
N/A Spoiled votes 1
N/A Blank votes 260

Liberty Union/Socialist nomination

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The Liberty Union Party serves as the Vermont affiliate of the Socialist Party for federal-level elections.

Candidates

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Declared

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  • Laura S. Potter[7]

Withdrawn

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United States Marijuana nomination

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Candidates

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Declared

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America First nomination

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Candidates

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Declared

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  • Paul Young[10] (failed to appear on ballot)

General election

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Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Peter
Welch (D)
Anya
Tynio (R)
Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing[11] October 30 – November 1, 2018 885 ± 3.3% 66% 28% 6%
Braun Research[12] October 5–14, 2018 497 ± 4.4% 55% 18% 7%[13] 20%

Results

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2018 Vermont's at-large congressional district election[14]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Peter Welch (incumbent) 188,547 69.20% −13.31%
Republican Anya Tynio 70,705 25.95% N/A
Marijuana Cris Ericson 9,110 3.34% N/A
Liberty Union Laura Potter 3,924 1.44% −7.74%
Write-in 165 0.07% -0.39%
Total votes 272,451 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold

References

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  1. ^ "During House debate, Mitchell drops out and backs fellow challenger". VTDigger. August 9, 2018. Retrieved August 9, 2018.
  2. ^ "Vermont Election Night Results". Secretary of State of Vermont. Archived from the original on August 11, 2017. Retrieved August 15, 2018.
  3. ^ "GOP Candidate Anya Tynio running for U.S. House". July 27, 2018.
  4. ^ Meyn, Colin (August 24, 2018). "Republicans on the clock after Paige withdraws from five statewide races". VTDigger.
  5. ^ Young, Taylor (August 30, 2018). "Vt. GOP picks candidates for 5 open slots". WCAX-TV. Gray Digital Media. Retrieved August 30, 2018.
  6. ^ ":: Vermont Election Night Results ::". Archived from the original on August 11, 2017. Retrieved August 15, 2018.
  7. ^ "Archived copy". Archived from the original on August 14, 2018. Retrieved August 14, 2018.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  8. ^ "The Voter's Self Defense System".
  9. ^ "Cris Ericson U.S. Marijuana Party – Vermont". Archived from the original on March 9, 2018. Retrieved January 8, 2018.
  10. ^ "Interview with The America First Party".
  11. ^ Gravis Marketing
  12. ^ Braun Research
  13. ^ Cris Ericson (I) and Laura Potter (LU) with 3%; none/write in/other with 1%
  14. ^ Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved April 27, 2019.
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Official campaign websites