The 2014 United States Senate election in New Mexico was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate. Incumbent Democratic Senator Tom Udall won reelection to a second term. This is the last time that a non-Hispanic won the Class 2 Senate seat in New Mexico.
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  Udall: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Weh: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Democratic primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
editResults
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tom Udall (incumbent) | 113,502 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 113,502 | 100.00% | ||
Republican primary
editCandidates
editDeclared
edit- David Clements, assistant district attorney and former chairman of the Doña Ana County Republican Party[3][4]
- Allen Weh, businessman, former chairman of the New Mexico Republican Party and candidate for Governor of New Mexico in 2010[5]
Declined
edit- Robert Aragon, former state representative (running for State Auditor)[6][7]
- Jon Barela, secretary of the New Mexico Economic Development Department and nominee for New Mexico's 1st congressional district in 2010[8]
- Richard J. Berry, Mayor of Albuquerque[6][8]
- Gary Johnson, former Governor of New Mexico and Libertarian Party nominee for President of the United States in 2012[9]
- John Sanchez, Lieutenant Governor of New Mexico (running for re-election)[8][10]
- Heather Wilson, former U.S. Representative, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008[11]
Allen Weh
- Mitt Romney, former Governor of Massachusetts
- Mike Huckabee, former Governor of Arkansas
- Richard J. Berry, Mayor of Albuquerque, New Mexico
Results
edit
Weh
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
- 70–80%
Clements
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Allen Weh | 41,566 | 63.0% | |
| Republican | David Clements | 24,413 | 37.0% | |
| Total votes | 65,979 | 100.0% | ||
General election
editDebates
edit- Complete video of debate, October 30, 2014 - YouTube
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Solid D | November 3, 2014 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[15] | Safe D | November 3, 2014 |
| Real Clear Politics[16] | Likely D | November 3, 2014 |
Polling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Udall (D) |
Allen Weh (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[17] | March 20–23, 2014 | 674 | ± 3.8% | 53% | 33% | — | 14% |
| Rasmussen[18] | July 21–22, 2014 | 860 | ± 4% | 54% | 33% | 3% | 10% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[19] | July 5–24, 2014 | 930 | ± 3.6% | 51% | 44% | 2% | 4% |
| Research & Polling Inc.[20] | August 12–14, 2014 | 606 | ± 4% | 53% | 35% | — | 11% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[21] | August 18 – September 2, 2014 | 1,096 | ± 4% | 54% | 36% | 2% | 8% |
| Research & Polling Inc.[22] | September 9–11, 2014 | 603 | ± 4% | 51% | 38% | — | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports[23] | September 22–23, 2014 | 830 | ± 4% | 52% | 39% | — | 9% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[24] | September 20 – October 1, 2014 | 1,093 | ± 4% | 53% | 35% | 2% | 10% |
| Gravis Marketing[25] | September 27 – October 1, 2014 | 727 | ± 4% | 53% | 36% | — | 11% |
| Vox Populi Polling[26] | October 20–22, 2014 | 614 | ± 3.95% | 51% | 45% | — | 6% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov[24] | October 16–23, 2014 | 962 | ± 6% | 52% | 36% | 1% | 11% |
| Research & Polling Inc.[27] | October 21–23, 2014 | 614 | ± 4% | 50% | 43% | — | 8% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Udall (D) |
David Clements (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[17] | March 20–23, 2014 | 674 | ± 3.8% | 55% | 33% | — | 12% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tom Udall (incumbent) | 286,409 | 55.56% | −5.77% | |
| Republican | Allen Weh | 229,097 | 44.44% | +5.77% | |
| Total votes | 515,506 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
editBy congressional district
editUdall won 2 of 3 congressional districts.[29]
| District | Udall | Weh | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 56.69% | 43.31% | Michelle Lujan Grisham |
| 2nd | 46.98% | 53.02% | Steve Pearce |
| 3rd | 61.31% | 38.69% | Ben Ray Luján |
See also
editReferences
edit- ^ "N.M. Sen. Tom Udall tries fundraising off energy ad targeting him".
- ^ a b "New Mexico - Election Night Results - June 3rd, 2014". Electionresults.sos.state.nm.us. June 3, 2014. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
- ^ Nikolewski, Rob (October 16, 2013). "'Constitutional conservative' wants to take on NM Sen. Tom Udall". Watchdog.org. Retrieved October 23, 2013.
- ^ Peters, Joey (October 22, 2013). "Insurgency: Long-shot GOP candidate for Senate has unconventional message". Santa Fe Reporter. Retrieved October 24, 2013.
- ^ Terrell, Steve (January 8, 2014). "Weh's bid for Udall's seat heats up GOP Senate primary". Santa Fe New Mexican. Retrieved January 9, 2014.
- ^ a b Reichbach, Matthew (February 4, 2014). "Candidates file signatures to run for office, including five Dems for governor". New Mexico Telegram. Archived from the original on February 21, 2014. Retrieved February 15, 2014.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link) - ^ Livingston, Abby (November 13, 2013). "Democrats' Mission in N.M.: Breaking Steve Pearce". Roll Call. Retrieved November 13, 2013.
- ^ a b c Trygstad, Kyle (January 9, 2013). "New Mexico: Jon Barela Keeping Name Out of GOP's Senate Hat". Roll Call. Retrieved January 10, 2013.
- ^ "Johnson said he's open to running as a Republican again". New Mexico Telegram. June 12, 2013. Archived from the original on June 21, 2013. Retrieved June 16, 2013.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link) - ^ Monteleone, James (February 5, 2014). "Candidates' primary bids made official". Albuquerque Journal. Retrieved February 5, 2014.
- ^ Trygstad, Kyle (January 7, 2013). "New Mexico: Heather Wilson Has Run Her Last Race". Roll Call. Retrieved January 7, 2013.
- ^ "Politico Election Central". Politico. June 3, 2014. Retrieved June 6, 2014.
- ^ "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- ^ a b Public Policy Polling
- ^ Rasmussen
- ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ Research & Polling Inc.
- ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ Research & Polling Inc.
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ a b CBS News/NYT/YouGov
- ^ Gravis Marketing
- ^ Vox Populi Polling
- ^ Research & Polling Inc.
- ^ "Official Results General Election - November 4, 2014". New Mexico Secretary of State. November 4, 2014. Retrieved January 2, 2015.
- ^ "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts". Daily Kos. Retrieved August 11, 2020.