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2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election.

2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
← 2010 November 6, 2012 2014 →
All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 0 2
Seats won 2 0
Seat change Increase2 Decrease2
Popular vote 340,925 311,636
Percentage 49.96% 45.66%
Swing Increase5.37% Decrease5.53%

Overview

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United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire, 2012[1][2]
Party Votes Percentage Seats +/–
Democratic 340,925 49.96% 2 +2
Republican 311,636 45.66% 0 -2
Libertarian 29,457 4.32% 0 —
Scattering 398 0.06% 0 —
Totals 682,416 100.00% 2 —

District 1

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See also: New Hampshire's 1st congressional district

The redrawn 1st district currently represents all municipalities in Belknap (except for the town of Center Harbor); the entirety of Carroll, and Strafford counties; all of Rockingham County; the municipalities of Bedford, Goffstown, Manchester, and Merrimack in Hillsborough County; the town of Campton in Grafton County; and the town of Hooksett in Merrimack County.[3]

Republican Frank Guinta, who had represented the 1st district since January 2011, ran for re-election.[4]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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  • Vern Clough, retired barber
  • Rick Parent, candidate for this seat in 2010[5]

Primary results

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Republican primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Frank Guinta (incumbent) 46,979 84.4
Republican Rick Parent 6,923 12.4
Republican Vern Clough 1,639 3.0
Republican Write-ins 130 0.2
Total votes 55,671 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Withdrawn
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Primary results

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Democratic primary results[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Carol Shea-Porter 38,623 99.1
Democratic Write-ins 358 0.9
Total votes 38,981 100.0

Libertarian primary

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Brendan Kelly, the chairman of the Seabrook Board of Selectmen, ran as a Libertarian.[15]

General election

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Endorsements

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Frank Guinta (R)

Organizations

Carol Shea-Porter (D)

Organizations

Debates

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2012 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Frank Guinta Carol Shea-Porter
1 Sep. 17, 2012 New Hampshire PBS Laura Knoy [21] P P
2 Oct. 9, 2012 AARP
WBIN-TV 		Charlie Sherman [22] P P

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Frank
Guinta (R) 		Carol
Shea-Porter (D) 		Other Undecided
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[23] November 1–4, 2012 366 ± 5.1% 46% 49% 5% —
New England College[24] October 29–31, 2012 511 ± 4.3% 48% 41% 2% 9%
University of New Hampshire[25] October 17–21, 2012 364 ± 5.1% 41% 38% 4% 17%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[26] September 30 - October 6, 2012 200 ± 6.9% 45% 35% 3% 17%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[27] September 27–30, 2012 273 ± 5.9% 35% 46% – 18%
Public Policy Polling[28] September 24–25, 2012 401 ± 4.9% 47% 48% – 4%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[29] August 1–12, 2012 258 ± 6.1% 43% 45% – 12%
Public Policy Polling[30] May 10–13, 2012 502 ± 4.4% 43% 47% – 10%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[31] April 9–20, 2012 230 ± 6.5% 39% 44% 1% 16%
Pulse Opinion Research LLC[32] January 2012 500 ± 4.5% 41% 41% 7% 10%
Public Policy Polling[33] June 30-July 5, 2011 299 ± 5.7% 48% 41% – 10%

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[34] Tossup November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[35] Tossup November 2, 2012
Roll Call[36] Tossup November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Lean R November 5, 2012
NY Times[38] Lean R November 4, 2012
RCP[39] Tossup November 4, 2012
The Hill[40] Tossup November 4, 2012

Results

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New Hampshire's 1st congressional district, 2012[41][42]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Carol Shea-Porter 171,650 49.7
Republican Frank Guinta (incumbent) 158,659 46.0
Libertarian Brendan Kelly 14,521 4.2
n/a Write-ins 192 0.1
Total votes 345,022 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 2

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See also: New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district

The redrawn 2nd district will represent all of Cheshire, Coos, Grafton (except for the town of Campton), Merrimack (except for the town of Hooksett), and Sullivan counties; most of Hillsborough County; the towns of Atkinson, Deerfield, Northwood, Salem, and Windham in Rockingham County; and the town of Center Harbor in Belknap County.[3]

Republican Charles Bass, who had represented the 2nd district from 1995 to 2007, and since 2011 ran for re-election. Bass won by just 1% in 2010.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Eliminated in primary
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  • Gerald Beloin
  • Will Dean
  • Miroslaw Dziedzic
  • Dennis Lamare, insurance agent and candidate for Senate in 2010[5][43]

Primary results

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Republican primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Charles Bass (incumbent) 39,605 81.2
Republican Dennis Lamare 4,263 8.8
Republican Will Dean 2,129 4.4
Republican Miroslaw Dziedzic 1,310 2.7
Republican Gerard Beloin 1,127 2.3
Republican Write-ins 316 0.6
Total votes 48,750 100.0

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee
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Primary results

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Democratic primary results[45]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Anne McLane Kuster 40,627 99.2
Democratic Write-ins 337 0.8
Total votes 40,964 100.0

Libertarian primary

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Hardy Macia, owner of an iPhone/Android app development company, ran as a Libertarian.[46]

General election

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Endorsements

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Charlie Bass (R)

Organizations

Anne McLane Kuster (D)

Organizations

Debates

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2012 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Charles Bass Ann McLane Kuster
1 Sep. 19, 2012 New Hampshire PBS Laura Knoy [47] P P
2 Oct. 10, 2012 AARP
WBIN-TV 		Charlie Sherman [48] P P

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Charlie
Bass (R) 		Ann
Kuster (D) 		Other Undecided
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[23] November 1–4, 2012 423 ± 4.8% 43% 53% 4% —
New England College[24] October 29–31, 2012 511 ± 4.33% 41% 47% 1% 11%
University of New Hampshire[25] October 17–21, 2012 408 ± 4.9% 36% 39% 3% 22%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[26] September 30 – October 6, 2012 211 ± 6.7% 35% 38% 3% 25%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[27] September 27–30, 2012 325 ± 5.4% 34% 36% 2% 28%
Public Policy Polling[28] September 24–25, 2012 461 ± 4.6% 45% 51% – 4%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[29] August 1–12, 2012 284 ± 5.8% 42% 37% – 21%
Public Policy Polling[30] May 10–13, 2012 642 ± 3.9% 42% 42% – 15%
WMUR/University of New Hampshire[31] April 9–20, 2012 251 ± 6.2% 39% 40% 1% 20%
Pulse Opinion Research LLC[32] January 2012 500 ± 4.5% 39% 35% 14% 13%
Public Policy Polling[33] June 30 – July 5, 2011 363 ± 5.1% 43% 42% – 15%

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Lean D (flip) November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[35] Tossup November 2, 2012
Roll Call[36] Tossup November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2012
NY Times[38] Tossup November 4, 2012
RCP[39] Lean D (flip) November 4, 2012
The Hill[40] Lean D (flip) November 4, 2012

Results

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New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district, 2012[42][49]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ann McLane Kuster 169,275 50.2
Republican Charles Bass (incumbent) 152,977 45.3
Libertarian Hardy Macia 14,936 4.4
n/a Write-ins 206 0.1
Total votes 337,394 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

References

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  1. ^ "Representative in Congress 2012". Elections Division, Secretary of State for New Hampshire. November 6, 2012. Retrieved April 7, 2013.
  2. ^ "Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election of November 6, 2012" (PDF). February 28, 2013. Retrieved April 7, 2013.
  3. ^ a b "SB 202-As Amended by the Senate". New Hampshire General Court. March 28, 2012. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
  4. ^ Cook, Robert (February 21, 2012). "Guinta to Make Several Stops in City This Week". Portsmouth, NH Patch. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
  5. ^ a b "In NH, a big election year by the numbers, too". Nashua Telegraph. June 20, 2012. Retrieved August 10, 2012.
  6. ^ a b "2012 Representative In Congress - Republican Primary". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved September 24, 2012.
  7. ^ Khan, Huma (April 18, 2011). "2010 Democratic Losers Plot 2012 Comeback -- Can Dems Regain the House?". ABC News. Retrieved June 12, 2011.
  8. ^ Langley, Karen (April 29, 2011). "Shea-Porter issued primary challenge". Concord Monitor. Retrieved June 12, 2011.
  9. ^ Dandurant, Karen (April 14, 2012). "Dowdell withdraws her bid for congressional seat". The Portsmouth Herald. Retrieved April 17, 2012.
  10. ^ Fortier, Marc (June 17, 2012). "GOP Candidates Hop on Romney's Bus". Windham, NH Patch. Archived from the original on January 31, 2013. Retrieved August 10, 2012.
  11. ^ Cook, Robert (March 29, 2012). "Hancock: Fixing Economy is Job One". Portsmouth Patch. Retrieved April 17, 2012.
  12. ^ Miller, Joshua (August 8, 2011). "Third Democrat Enters Race to Unseat Guinta in New Hampshire". Roll Call. Retrieved August 8, 2011.
  13. ^ Haddadin, Jim (March 21, 2012). "U. S. Congressional candidate Hosmer now vying for state Senate seat". Foster's Daily Democrat. Retrieved April 17, 2012.
  14. ^ "New Hampshire Secretary of State". Archived from the original on March 6, 2019. Retrieved March 2, 2019.
  15. ^ Chiaramida, Angeljean (March 5, 2012). "Seabrook selectman to run for Congress". The Daily News of Newburyport. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
  16. ^ a b "GOProud Announces U.S. House Endorsements - GOProud, Inc". October 25, 2012. Archived from the original on October 25, 2012.
  17. ^ a b "Candidates". electgoppatriots.org/. NRCC. Archived from the original on October 16, 2012. Retrieved March 5, 2023.
  18. ^ a b "RED TO BLUE 2012". DCCC. Archived from the original on October 26, 2012. Retrieved March 5, 2023.
  19. ^ a b "Help Our Candidates Win!". emilyslist.org. Archived from the original on November 14, 2012. Retrieved January 31, 2023.
  20. ^ a b "Candidates". boldprogressives.org. Archived from the original on April 24, 2013. Retrieved March 4, 2023.
  21. ^ C-SPAN
  22. ^ C-SPAN
  23. ^ a b WMUR/University of New Hampshire
  24. ^ a b New England College
  25. ^ a b University of New Hampshire
  26. ^ a b WMUR/University of New Hampshire
  27. ^ a b WMUR/University of New Hampshire
  28. ^ a b Public Policy Polling
  29. ^ a b WMUR/University of New Hampshire
  30. ^ a b Public Policy Polling
  31. ^ a b WMUR/University of New Hampshire
  32. ^ a b Pulse Opinion Research LLC
  33. ^ a b Public Policy Polling
  34. ^ "The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com. November 5, 2012. Retrieved November 6, 2012.
  35. ^ a b "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. November 2, 2012. Retrieved November 4, 2012.
  36. ^ a b Race ratings chart. 2012 House Elections, as of November 4, 2012
  37. ^ a b Crystal Ball, as of November 5, 2012
  38. ^ a b House Race Ratings, The New York Times, as of November 4, 2012
  39. ^ a b 2012 elections, as of November 4, 2012
  40. ^ a b "House Ratings". The Hill. November 3, 2012. Retrieved November 4, 2012.
  41. ^ "State of New Hampshire General Election Congressional District 1 2012". New Hampshire Secretary of State Elections Division. November 6, 2013. Retrieved April 7, 2013.
  42. ^ a b Scatterings votes are listed as they were reported to the Clerk of the United States House of Representatives
  43. ^ Pindell, James (April 4, 2012). "GOP-er files for Congress, But Not His Own District". WMUR Political Scoop. Archived from the original on May 11, 2012. Retrieved April 28, 2012.
  44. ^ Catanese, David; Isenstadt, Alex (March 31, 2011). "Dems eye GOP rematches for 2012". Politico. Retrieved June 12, 2011.
  45. ^ Democratic primary results nh.gov Archived March 6, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
  46. ^ Schinella, Tony (September 17, 2012). "VIDEO: Who is Hardy Macia?". Concord, NH Patch. Retrieved September 23, 2012.
  47. ^ C-SPAN
  48. ^ C-SPAN
  49. ^ "State of New Hampshire General Election Congressional District 1 2012". New Hampshire Secretary of State Elections Division. November 6, 2013. Retrieved April 7, 2013.
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