The Republican caucuses took place on Super Tuesday, March 6, 2012.[1][2] An advisory primary with no binding effect on delegates, scheduled to be held on Tuesday May 15, 2012, was cancelled by the Idaho Republican Party.[3] Five candidates were on the ballot. In order of filing they are Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich, and Buddy Roemer. Although Roemer had withdrawn from the Republican race before the Idaho caucus, he still appeared on the ballot.[4]
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32 delegates to the 2012 Republican National Convention | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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![]() Results by county
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorum
Ron Paul |
Mitt Romney won 61% of the vote, thanks to a large majority of support (80-90% in most counties) in majority Mormon southeastern Idaho, rendering it a winner-take-all contest. Santorum and Paul split the Panhandle, winning five counties each, but came away empty in the delegate count.
Procedure
editIdaho has 32 delegates to the Republican national convention, of which 3 are RNC and 29 are AL.[clarification needed] The 3 RNC delegates pledged to go with the results of the Boise Straw Poll.[citation needed] The delegates will be determined by the caucuses results, based on a two-step approach. First, the delegates are primarily awarded winner-take-all by county after a series of votes in which candidates are successively removed from the ballot. Then, if a candidate receives half or more of the county delegates, he will receive all the 32 delegates; if not, the delegates will be split proportionately according to the number of county delegates.[5]
Polling
editStraw polls
editDespite a complete lack of formal polling in the state,[5] there were a total of five straw polls conducted in Idaho, three of which were online. Ron Paul won three of these,[6][7][8] while Mitt Romney won two.[9]
January 2–4 online poll
editThis was the first ever Idaho straw poll.[10] It was conducted entirely online by Kaz Wittig KStar Enterprises. Ron Paul won with over 70% of the vote.[6]
Finish | Candidate | Percentage |
---|---|---|
1 | Ron Paul | 73.53% |
2 | Rick Santorum | 8.09% |
3 | Newt Gingrich | 7.35% |
4 | Mitt Romney | 5.15% |
5 | Barack Obama | 3.68% |
6 | Gary Johnson | 1.47% |
7 | Rick Perry | 0.74% |
8 | Jon Huntsman | 0.00% |
9 | Michele Bachmann | 0.00% |
Total | 100% |
January 6 Boise poll
editThis poll used paper ballots and was conducted in Boise. Ron Paul won this poll. Rick Perry's campaign, although still active in the race at this time, did not participate.[7]
Finish | Candidate | Percentage | Votes |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Ron Paul | 43% | 173 |
2 | Mitt Romney | 34% | 135 |
3 | Newt Gingrich | 12% | 47 |
4 | Rick Santorum | 10% | 40 |
5 | Jon Huntsman | 1% | 4 |
Total | 100% | 399 |
February 2–4 online poll
editThis online straw poll was also produced by Kaz Wittig KStar Enterprises. Mitt Romney won the poll by a small margin.[9]
Finish | Candidate | Percentage |
---|---|---|
1 | Mitt Romney | 45.39% |
2 | Ron Paul | 42.70% |
3 | Rick Santorum | 4.49% |
4 | Newt Gingrich | 3.82% |
5 | Barack Obama | 3.15% |
6 | Other | 0.45% |
Total | 100% |
March 1–3 online poll
editThis poll was also produced by Kaz Wittig KStar Enterprises. Ron Paul won by a double-digit margin.[8]
Finish | Candidate | Percentage | Votes |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Ron Paul | 51.37% | 525 |
2 | Mitt Romney | 35.03% | 358 |
3 | Gary Johnson | 3.91% | 40 |
4 | Rick Santorum | 3.23% | 33 |
5 | Virgil Goode | 2.84% | 29 |
6 | Buddy Roemer | 1.96% | 20 |
7 | Newt Gingrich | 0.98% | 10 |
8 | Barack Obama | 0.49% | 5 |
9 | Other | 0.2% | 2 |
Total | 100% | 1022 |
Results
editResults of the 2012 Idaho Republican presidential caucuses[11][12] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Finish | Candidate | Percentage | Votes | Estimated National Delegates |
1 | Mitt Romney | 61.6% | 27,514 | 32 |
2 | Rick Santorum | 18.2% | 8,115 | 0 |
3 | Ron Paul | 18.1% | 8,086 | 0 |
4 | Newt Gingrich | 2.1% | 940 | 0 |
5 | Buddy Roemer | 0.0% | 17 | 0 |
Total | 100% | 32 |
County totals
editCounty | Newt Gingrich | Ron Paul | Mitt Romney | Rick Santorum | Total | Winner |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ada | 307 | 1766 | 4233 | 1866 | 8172 | Romney |
Adams | 0 | 85 | 132 | 0 | 217 | Romney |
Bannock | 24 | 254 | 1614 | 146 | 2038 | Romney |
Bear Lake | 2 | 15 | 308 | 19 | 344 | Romney |
Benewah | 24 | 90 | 26 | 145 | 265 | Santorum |
Bingham | 27 | 215 | 2172 | 150 | 2564 | Romney |
Blaine | 47 | 79 | 230 | 23 | 379 | Romney |
Boise | 0 | 128 | 163 | 0 | 291 | Romney |
Bonner | 0 | 555 | 0 | 487 | 1042 | Paul |
Bonneville | 65 | 481 | 3044 | 235 | 3825 | Romney |
Boundary | 0 | 193 | 64 | 101 | 358 | Paul |
Butte | 10 | 25 | 153 | 23 | 211 | Romney |
Camas | 0 | 40 | 38 | 0 | 78 | Paul |
Canyon | 0 | 617 | 2056 | 1296 | 3969 | Romney |
Caribou | 7 | 22 | 336 | 26 | 391 | Romney |
Cassia | 28 | 143 | 1279 | 144 | 1594 | Romney |
Clark | 2 | 8 | 88 | 17 | 115 | Romney |
Clearwater | 0 | 85 | 0 | 151 | 236 | Santorum |
Custer | 19 | 48 | 98 | 24 | 189 | Romney |
Elmore | 0 | 158 | 281 | 0 | 439 | Romney |
Franklin | 4 | 105 | 856 | 29 | 994 | Romney |
Fremont | 12 | 76 | 726 | 38 | 852 | Romney |
Gem | 0 | 150 | 379 | 143 | 672 | Romney |
Gooding | 47 | 84 | 299 | 86 | 516 | Romney |
Idaho | 0 | 284 | 0 | 191 | 475 | Paul |
Jefferson | 11 | 212 | 1642 | 114 | 1979 | Romney |
Jerome | 28 | 74 | 331 | 101 | 534 | Romney |
Kootenai | 0 | 496 | 0 | 674 | 1170 | Santorum |
Latah | 78 | 509 | 197 | 188 | 972 | Paul |
Lemhi | 44 | 60 | 217 | 64 | 385 | Romney |
Lewis | 0 | 0 | 25 | 44 | 69 | Santorum |
Lincoln | 14 | 11 | 147 | 49 | 221 | Romney |
Madison | 7 | 260 | 2510 | 50 | 2827 | Romney |
Minidoka | 22 | 80 | 653 | 92 | 847 | Romney |
Nez Perce | 0 | 127 | 124 | 0 | 251 | Paul |
Oneida | 3 | 39 | 241 | 18 | 301 | Romney |
Owyhee | 0 | 0 | 177 | 263 | 440 | Santorum |
Payette | 0 | 0 | 428 | 302 | 730 | Romney |
Power | 9 | 13 | 287 | 38 | 347 | Romney |
Shoshone | 0 | 0 | 63 | 74 | 137 | Santorum |
Teton | 13 | 44 | 295 | 26 | 378 | Romney |
Twin Falls | 83 | 332 | 1228 | 409 | 2052 | Romney |
Valley | 0 | 123 | 152 | 0 | 275 | Romney |
Washington | 0 | 0 | 222 | 269 | 491 | Santorum |
Notes
edit- That these totals reflect the final caucus ballots in each county; where only two candidates have votes totaled, this was likely from other candidates being eliminated in previous rounds of voting. Where all candidates have at least one vote, only one ballot was necessary, since the winning candidate had a majority of votes in that county.
- Vote totals for Buddy Roemer, who had formally withdrawn from the Republican race before the caucus, are not provided.
References
edit- ^ "Idaho Republican Delegation 2012".
- ^ "Election and voting information" (PDF).
- ^ "Idaho Republican Presidential Nominating Process". The Green Papers. Retrieved March 5, 2012.
- ^ "Declared 2012 Republican Presidential Candidates". 27 May 2018.
- ^ a b Nate Silver (March 4, 2012). "Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved March 5, 2012.
- ^ a b "Presidential Race Graph". Archived from the original on 2012-03-06. Retrieved 2012-02-28.
- ^ a b http://www.kivitv.com/news/local/136861888.html [permanent dead link]
- ^ a b "Presidential Race Graph". Archived from the original on 2012-03-06. Retrieved 2012-03-04.
- ^ a b "Presidential Race Graph". Archived from the original on 2012-03-06. Retrieved 2012-03-02.
- ^ Bodnar, Marissa. "Idaho GOP Gears Up For 2012 Straw Poll, Caucus". Local News 8. NPG of Idaho, Inc. Archived from the original on 18 September 2016. Retrieved 14 July 2016.
- ^ "Caucus Results | Idaho GOPIdaho GOP". Archived from the original on 2012-07-20. Retrieved 2012-07-19.
- ^ "Idaho County Map". CNN.