The 2010 congressional elections in Kentucky were held on November 2, 2010, and determined who would represent the Commonwealth of Kentucky in the United States House of Representatives. Kentucky has six seats in the House, apportioned according to the 2000 United States census. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; the elected served in the 112th Congress from January 3, 2011, until January 3, 2013. As of 2021, this is the last time the Democrats won more than one congressional district in Kentucky.
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All 6 Kentucky seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Overview
edit| United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky, 2010[1] | |||||
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| Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
| Republican | 844,369 | 62.35% | 4 | — | |
| Democratic | 506,319 | 37.39% | 2 | — | |
| Libertarian | 2,029 | 0.15% | 0 | — | |
| Independents | 1,581 | 0.12% | 0 | — | |
| Totals | 1,354,298 | 100.00% | 6 | — | |
By district
editResults of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky by district:[2]
| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 153,840 | 73.12% | 62,090 | 26.88% | 0 | 0.00% | 215,930 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 2 | 155,906 | 69.19% | 73,749 | 30.81% | 0 | 0.00% | 229,655 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 3 | 112,627 | 44.01% | 139,940 | 54.68% | 3,363 | 1.31% | 255,930 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| District 4 | 151,813 | 69.48% | 66,694 | 30.52% | 0 | 0.00% | 218,507 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 5 | 151,019 | 77.42% | 44,034 | 22.58% | 0 | 0.00% | 195,053 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
| District 6 | 119,164 | 49.81% | 119,812 | 50.08% | 247 | 0.01% | 239,223 | 100.0% | Democratic hold |
| Total | 844,369 | 62.35% | 506,319 | 37.38% | 3,610 | 0.27% | 1,354,298 | 100.0% | |
District 1
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 County results Whitfield: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Running for his ninth term in this conservative[3] district based in western Kentucky, incumbent Republican Congressman Ed Whitfield faced a trivial challenge from Democratic candidate Charles Hatchett. As expected, Congressman Whitfield was overwhelmingly re-elected to another term in Congress.
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ed Whitfield (incumbent) | 153,840 | 71.25 | |
| Democratic | Charles Kendall Hatchett | 62,090 | 28.75 | |
| Total votes | 215,930 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2
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 County results Guthrie: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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Though incumbent Republican Congressman Brett Guthrie was elected by a slim margin in 2008, he did not face a serious challenge in his bid for a second term from Democratic candidate Ed Marksberry. As was expected, Congressman Guthrie was re-elected in a landslide in this conservative[3] district based in west-central Kentucky.
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brett Guthrie (incumbent) | 155,906 | 67.89 | |
| Democratic | Ed Marksberry | 73,749 | 32.11 | |
| Total votes | 229,655 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 3
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 Results by state house district Yarmuth: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Lally: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Campaign
editTwo-term Democratic incumbent Congressman John Yarmuth has represented this liberal-leaning[3] district based in metro Louisville since he was first elected in 2006. Yarmuth defeated Republican Congresswoman Anne Northup in 2006, and defeated her again in a rematch in 2008, but she declined to run again in 2010. Instead, Congressman Yarmuth faced Republican candidate Todd Lally, an airline pilot and a failed State House candidate.
Lally attacked Yarmuth for being a "liberal follower" of Nancy Pelosi who voted with her "San Francisco agenda 99 percent of the time," charges that Yarmuth called "ignorant and irresponsible."[4] The Courier-Journal, the largest newspaper in the district, strongly endorsed Congressman Yarmuth in his bid for re-election,[5] and in the end, Yarmuth was able to best Lally by a surprisingly wide margin.
Polling
edit| Poll source | Dates administered | John Yarmuth (D) |
Todd Lally (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA[6] | October 21–25, 2010 | 50% | 46% | 1% |
| Rivercity Polling[7] | October 19–23, 2010 | 41% | 37% | - |
| Braun Research[8] | October 18–19, 2010 | 57.9% | 31.4% | 2.6% |
| Braun Research[9] | September 20–21, 2010 | 53% | 30% | 12% |
| Survey USA[10] | August 27–30, 2010 | 47% | 45% | 5% |
| Braun Research[11] | August 9–10, 2010 | 52% | 29% | 17% |
| Rivercity Polling[12] | June 20–29, 2010 | 44% | 43% | - |
| Cooper & Secrest Associates[13] | June 21–23, 2010 | 58% | 32% | - |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | John Yarmuth (incumbent) | 139,940 | 54.68 | |
| Republican | Todd Lally | 112,627 | 44.01 | |
| Libertarian | Edward A. Martin | 2,029 | 0.79 | |
| Independent | Michael D. Hansen | 1,334 | 0.52 | |
| Total votes | 255,930 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 4
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 County results Davis: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Waltz: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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Campaign
editThis conservative[3] district based in northern Kentucky, including some of metropolitan Cincinnati, has been represented by Republican Congressman Geoff Davis since he was first elected in 2004. Seeking a fourth term, Congressman Davis faced Democratic candidate John Waltz, an Iraq War veteran in the general election, who was not given much of a chance given the conservative nature of the district. As expected, Davis was overwhelmingly re-elected.
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Geoff Davis (incumbent) | 151,813 | 69.48 | |
| Democratic | John Waltz | 66,694 | 30.52 | |
| Total votes | 218,507 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 5
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 County results Rogers: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Campaign
editRepublican Congressman Hal Rogers, the dean of the Kentucky congressional delegation, has represented this conservative[3] district based in eastern Kentucky, faced Democratic candidate Jim Holbert in his bid for a sixteenth term. Holbert had previously run against Congressman Rogers in 2008 as an independent candidate. However, Holbert was defeated by Rogers in a landslide for the second time in the general election.
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Hal Rogers (incumbent) | 151,019 | 77.42 | |
| Democratic | Jim Holbert | 44,034 | 22.58 | |
| Total votes | 195,053 | 100.00 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 6
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 County results Chandler: 50–60% 60–70% Barr: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Campaign
editThis conservative[3] district based around the Lexington metropolitan area has been represented by incumbent Democratic Congressman Ben Chandler since he was first elected in a 2004 special election. This year, Chandler faced a serious threat to bid for a fifth term in Congress from Republican attorney Andy Barr.
In the general election, both candidates started releasing television ads in August 2010, with Barr attacking Chandler for being part of "politics as usual" while Chandler countered by proclaiming his independence, saying, "If the Republican Party is going to suggest that I'm a tool of somebody else, there is no basis in fact for that."[14] As election day grew nearer, both sides ramped up attacks, with the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee releasing an ads slamming Barr for his criminal record and plans to privatize Social Security.[15] Barr, meanwhile, attacked Chandler for supporting gun control, even though Chandler was endorsed in his bid for re-election by the National Rifle Association of America.[16] Polls predicted a tight race, and on election night, those polls were vindicated; no media organization called the race that night because Chandler led Barr by only a few hundred votes.[17] It was only a few days later that Chandler was proclaimed the winner.
Polling
edit| Poll source | Dates administered | Ben Chandler (D) |
Andy Barr (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braun Research[18] | October 20–21, 2010 | 46.6% | 42.3% | 11% |
| Mason-Dixon[19] | October 15–19, 2010 | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| Tarrance Group[20] | October 4–5, 2010 | 47% | 48% | - |
| Mellman Group[21] | September 29–30, 2010 | 52% | 40% | - |
| Braun Research[22] | September 21–22, 2010 | 50.7% | 36.5% | 12.5% |
| Tarrance Group[23] | September 20–21, 2010 | 49% | 42% | 9% |
| Mellman Group[24] | September 13–14, 2010 | 53% | 33% | 14% |
| Grove Insight[25] | September 7–9, 2010 | 52% | 38% | - |
| Braun Research[26] | July 26–27, 2010 | 46.1% | 32.2% | 21% |
| Tarrance Group[27] | May 24–25, 2010 | 45% | 38% | 17% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ben Chandler (incumbent) | 119,812 | 50.08 | |
| Republican | Andy Barr | 119,164 | 49.81 | |
| Write-in | 247 | 0.10 | ||
| Total votes | 239,223 | 100.00 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
References
edit- ^ a b c d e f g Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010" (PDF). p. 20.
- ^ Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
- ^ a b c d e f "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 111th Congress." The Cook Political Report. N.p., n.d. Web. 19 June 2011. <http://www.cookpolitical.com/sites/default/files/pvistate.pdf> Archived 2011-07-15 at the Wayback Machine.
- ^ "Louisville - Jefferson County Democratic Party | John Yarmuth, Todd Lally go on the attack at Louisville debate". Archived from the original on February 5, 2011. Retrieved June 22, 2011.
- ^ "The Courier-Journal: Archives". Archived from the original on November 7, 2012.
- ^ SurveyUSA
- ^ Rivercity Polling
- ^ Braun Research
- ^ Braun Research
- ^ Survey USA
- ^ Braun Research [dead link]
- ^ Rivercity Polling
- ^ Cooper & Secrest Associates
- ^ "Ben Chandler and Andy Barr both hit the airwaves : Bluegrass Politics". Archived from the original on August 26, 2010.
- ^ "Ben Chandler hammers Andy Barr's criminal record | Moonage Political Webdream". Archived from the original on March 26, 2012. Retrieved June 22, 2011.
- ^ "Barefoot and Progressive: Andy Barr's Outlandish Attacks on Ben Chandler Have "Gun" Too Far!". Barefootandprogressive.blogspot.com. October 27, 2010. Archived from the original on October 29, 2010. Retrieved December 5, 2021.
- ^ "Voters might have to wait for official winner between Ben Chandler, Andy Barr - Vote results - Kentucky.com". Archived from the original on November 5, 2010.
- ^ Braun Research [permanent dead link]
- ^ Mason-Dixon
- ^ Tarrance Group
- ^ Mellman Group
- ^ Braun Research
- ^ Tarrance Group Archived September 27, 2010, at the Wayback Machine
- ^ Mellman Group
- ^ Grove Insight
- ^ Braun Research
- ^ Tarrance Group
External links
edit| Preceded by 2008 elections |
United States House elections in Kentucky 2010 |
Succeeded by 2012 elections |