2010 Hawaii gubernatorial election

The 2010 Hawaii gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the next governor and lieutenant governor of Hawaii. Incumbent Republican governor Linda Lingle was term-limited and not eligible to run for re-election. The Democratic Party nominated Neil Abercrombie, and the Republican Party nominated incumbent lieutenant governor Duke Aiona. In the election, Abercrombie won and was sworn in as the state's 7th governor on December 6, 2010.[1] Aiona later unsuccessfully ran for Governor of Hawaii in 2014 and 2022.

2010 Hawaii gubernatorial election

← 2006 November 2, 2010 2014 →
 
Nominee Neil Abercrombie Duke Aiona
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Brian Schatz Lynn Finnegan
Popular vote 222,724 157,311
Percentage 57.8% 40.8%

County results
Abercrombie:      50–60%      60–70%

Governor before election

Linda Lingle
Republican

Elected Governor

Neil Abercrombie
Democratic

As of 2023, this was the last time the Republican candidate for governor received over 40% of the vote in Hawaii.

This marked the first time since the 1966 election that both the governor and lieutenant governor of Hawaii were white.

Primary results

edit

Democratic

edit
 
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Abercrombie—60–70%
  •   Abercrombie—50–60%
  •   Hannemann—30–40%
Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Neil Abercrombie 142,234 59.3
Democratic Mufi Hannemann 90,535 37.7
Democratic Arturo P. Reyes 1,350 0.6
Democratic Van K. Tanabe 1,329 0.6
Democratic Miles Shiratori 1,031 0.4
Total votes 236,479 100

Polling

edit
Poll source Dates administered Neil Abercrombie Mufi Hannemann Undecided
Honolulu Star-Advertiser[5] August 10–17, 2010 49% 44% 8%
Mason Dixon[6] January 8–12, 2010 37% 34% 29%
Research 2000[7] June 15–17, 2009 42% 22% 36%

Republican

edit
 
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Aiona—>90%
Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Duke Aiona 42,479 93.0
Republican John S. Carroll 2,075 4.5
Total votes 44,554 100

Non-partisan

edit
Non-partisan primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Independent Tom Pollard 265 20.3
Independent Paul Manner 188 14.4
Independent Tony Clapes 95 7.3
Total votes 548 100

Free Energy Party

edit
  • Daniel H. Cunningham

Lieutenant governor primary

edit

Eleven candidates ran for their political parties' nominations in the lieutenant governor primary election on September 18: seven Democrats, two Republicans, one independent, and one Free Energy Party candidate.[1]

Democratic Party

edit
 
Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Schatz—30–40%
  •   Hooser—40–50%
Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brian Schatz 83,431 34.8
Democratic Robert Bunda 45,973 19.2
Democratic Norman Sakamoto 44,462 18.5
Democratic Gary Hooser 22,878 9.5
Democratic Lyla Berg 20,161 8.4
Democratic Jon Riki Karamatsu 6,746 2.8
Democratic Steve Hirakami 2,695 1.1
Total votes 226,346 100

Republican Party

edit
Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lynn Finnegan 27,052 59.2
Republican Adrienne King 12,300 26.9
Total votes 39,352 100

Free Energy Party

edit

Independent

edit
  • Leonard Kama, 67, retired security guard and deckhand campaigning on education and a reduction of homelessness. Resident of Kapolei.[1]

General election

edit
 
Neil Abercrombie and his running mate Brian Schatz on the day of the election

Predictions

edit
Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[11] Lean D (flip) October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[12] Tilt D (flip) October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[13] Tossup November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Lean D (flip) October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[15] Likely D (flip) October 28, 2010

Polling

edit
Poll source Dates administered Neil
Abercrombie (D)
Duke
Aiona (R)
Public Policy Polling[16] October 2–3, 2010 49% 47%
Honolulu Star-Advertiser[17] August 10–17, 2010 53% 41%
Rasmussen Reports[18] June 24, 2010 58% 32%
Rasmussen Reports[19] March 24, 2010 54% 31%
Mason Dixon[6] January 8–12, 2010 43% 34%
Research 2000[7] June 15–17, 2009 45% 36%

Candidates

edit
  • Neil Abercrombie (D)
    • Abercrombie's running mate was former state Democratic Party chairman Brian Schatz
  • Duke Aiona (R)
    • Aiona's running mate was State Rep. Lynn Finnegan
  • Daniel Cunningham (FE)
    • Cunningham's running mate was Deborah Spence
  • Tom Pollard (I)
    • Pollard's running mate was Leonard Kama

Results

edit
Hawaii gubernatorial election, 2010[20]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Neil Abercrombie 222,724 57.8% +21.55
Republican Duke Aiona 157,311 40.8% −21.73
Free Energy Party Daniel Cunningham 1,265 .3% N/A
Non-partisan Tom Pollard 1,263 .3% N/A
Turnout 380,035 55.7%
Democratic gain from Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

edit

See also

edit

References

edit
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Sample, Herbert A. (September 15, 2010). "11 vying for Hawaii's second highest post". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Associated Press. Archived from the original on May 24, 2015. Retrieved September 17, 2010.
  2. ^ DePledge, Derrick (March 9, 2009). "Abercrombie kicks off run for governor". The Honolulu Advertiser. Archived from the original on March 13, 2009.
  3. ^ DePledge, Derrick (July 21, 2010). "Off and running; Gubernatorial hopefuls punch, counterpunch as the state's election filing deadline passes". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved February 9, 2013.
  4. ^ a b c d e "PRIMARY ELECTION 2010 - State of Hawaii - Statewide" (PDF). Honolulu, HI, USA: Office of Elections, State of Hawaii. September 29, 2010. p. 1. Archived (PDF) from the original on November 15, 2012. Retrieved February 9, 2013.
  5. ^ Honolulu Star-Advertiser
  6. ^ a b Mason Dixon
  7. ^ a b Research 2000
  8. ^ Aiona leads money race for 2010 governor's seat
  9. ^ "Physician Profile on Dr. Thomas Pollard". HealthGrades web site. Retrieved December 3, 2010.
  10. ^ "About Adrienne". Adrienne King Lieutenant Governor web site. Archived from the original on July 7, 2011. Retrieved December 9, 2010.
  11. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  12. ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  13. ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  14. ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  15. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  16. ^ Public Policy Polling
  17. ^ Honolulu Star-Advertiser
  18. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  19. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  20. ^ "General Election—State of Hawaii—Statewide Final Summary Report" (PDF). Hawaii office of Elections. November 16, 2010. Retrieved December 10, 2010.
edit

Official campaign websites (Archived)