Opinion polling for the 2016 Hong Kong legislative election

This article presents detailed opinion polling for the 2016 Hong Kong legislative election.

Overall poll results

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Overall poll results for each party in geographical constituencies according to each constituency.

Opinion polling

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By parties

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  DAB
  PP–LSD
  Civic
  Democratic
  FTU
  Labour
  NPP
  Liberal
  BPA
  CP–PPI–HKRO
  ALLinHK
  Demosisto
Date(s)
conducted
Polling source Sample size DAB PP
LSD
Civ DP FTU Lab NPP LP BPA CP
PPI
HKRO
AHK D Others Lead
4 Sep 2016 Election result 16.6% 7.2% 9.6% 9.2% 7.8% 4.7% 7.7% 1.0% 2.3% 7.1% 3.8% 2.3% 20.7% 7%
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 3,164 16% 6% 11% 9% 6% 4% 9% 2% 4% 6% 4% 1% 22% 5%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA 2,188 18% 4% 13% 10% 7% 4% 9% 2% 2% 6% 4% 1% 19% 5%
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 2,812 15% 6% 11% 10% 7% 3% 9% 2% 4% 7% 3% 1% 20% 4%
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,311 16% 6% 12% 10% 7% 4% 9% 2% 4% 7% 4% 1% 19% 4%
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,515 15% 6% 11% 10% 7% 3% 9% 2% 4% 8% 4% 1% 21% 4%
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,181 15% 6% 11% 10% 7% 3% 9% 2% 4% 8% 4% 1% 21% 4%
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,016 16% 5% 15% 9% 6% 5% 10% 2% 2% 5% 5% <1% 18% 1%
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,975 17% 5% 12% 10% 7% 3% 9% 2% 3% 9% 4% 1% 19% 5%
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,784 16% 6% 13% 10% 7% 3% 9% 1% 3% 9% 4% <1% 19% 3%
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,782 15% 6% 14% 10% 7% 3% 8% 2% 3% 7% 5% 1% 19% 1%
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,783 15% 6% 14% 10% 7% 4% 8% 2% 4% 6% 5% 1% 18% 1%
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,789 16% 6% 15% 10% 7% 3% 9% 2% 3% 6% 4% 1% 18% 1%
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,634 14% 6% 15% 9% 6% 3% 10% 2% 4% 7% 4% 1% 19% 1%
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,482 15% 5% 14% 9% 7% 3% 10% 2% 4% 6% 5% 1% 18% 1%
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,331 16% 5% 14% 9% 6% 3% 11% 2% 4% 7% 4% 1% 19% 2%
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,178 14% 4% 15% 8% 6% 4% 13% 1% 3% 7% 5% 1% 18% 1%
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,042 13% 4% 15% 7% 7% 5% 12% 2% 4% 7% 5% 1% 19% 2%
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,023 17% 5% 16% 8% 6% 5% 10% 2% 2% 5% 5% <1% 19% 1%
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,047 14% 4% 14% 8% 7% 6% 11% 2% 3% 6% 4% 1% 20% Tied
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,045 12% 4% 14% 7% 6% 6% 11% 2% 3% 7% 5% 1% 21% 2%
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,048 12% 5% 14% 8% 6% 6% 10% 2% 3% 6% 6% 1% 21% 2%
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,046 14% 6% 13% 7% 5% 6% 11% 2% 3% 6% 4% <1% 22% 1%
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,027 14% 6% 15% 7% 5% 5% 10% 1% 4% 6% 5% <1% 22% 1%
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,025 14% 5% 15% 8% 6% 3% 11% 1% 4% 6% 5% <1% 21% 1%
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,028 15% 5% 15% 7% 7% 3% 11% 1% 4% 6% 4% <1% 22% Tied
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,030 15% 4% 14% 7% 7% 4% 13% 1% 4% 6% 4% 1% 20% 1%
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,031 13% 5% 16% 8% 6% 5% 11% 1% 4% 6% 5% 1% 21% 3%
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,033 15% 5% 15% 8% 6% 5% 11% 1% 3% 6% 4% <1% 21% Tied
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,032 14% 6% 14% 7% 6% 6% 10% 1% 3% 5% 5% <1% 22% Tied
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,024 14% 6% 14% 8% 5% 7% 12% 1% 3% 6% 5% <1% 19% Tied
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,100 14% 5% 17% 7% 5% 6% 13% 2% 4% 5% 3% <1% 19% 3%
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,187 15% 5% 16% 8% 6% 7% 12% 1% 4% 5% 3% <1% 19% 1%
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,072 14% 4% 15% 9% 6% 6% 13% 1% 4% 5% 3% <1% 19% 1%
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,158 14% 4% 16% 9% 6% 7% 13% 1% 4% 5% 3% <1% 18% 2%
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,056 13% 3% 17% 9% 7% 7% 11% 1% 4% 6% 3% 1% 18% 4%
14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA 5,011 16% 4% 16% 8% 6% 6% 9% 3% 2% 5% 2% 1% 21% Tied
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,084 15% 5% 18% 7% 6% 5% 10% 3% 3% 4% 3% 1% 20% 3%
9 Sep 2012 Last election results 1,815,448 20.2% 14.6% 14.1% 13.7% 7.1% 6.2% 3.8% 2.7% 12.3% 5.6%

By camps

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Date(s)
conducted
Polling source Sample size Anti-establishment[a] Pro-establishment Lead
4 Sep 2016 Election result 55.0% 40.2% 14.8%
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 3,164 53% 44% 9%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA 2,188 52% 43% 9%
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 2,812 52% 44% 8%
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,311 54% 44% 10%
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,515 53% 44% 9%
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,181 53% 44% 9%
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,016 54% 42% 12%
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,975 53% 44% 9%
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,784 55% 42% 13%
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,782 55% 42% 13%
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,783 56% 42% 14%
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,789 54% 43% 11%
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,634 55% 42% 13%
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,482 53% 44% 9%
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,331 52% 44% 8%
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,178 55% 42% 13%
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,042 54% 42% 12%
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,023 53% 42% 11%
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,047 53% 43% 10%
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,045 55% 41% 14%
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,048 56% 40% 16%
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,046 53% 41% 12%
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,027 54% 41% 13%
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,025 53% 41% 12%
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,028 53% 42% 11%
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,030 51% 44% 7%
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,031 54% 41% 13%
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,033 53% 41% 12%
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,032 55% 40% 15%
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,024 56% 41% 15%
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,100 56% 43% 13%
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,187 54% 42% 12%
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,072 54% 42% 12%
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,158 54% 43% 11%
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,056 53% 41% 12%
14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA 5,011 53% 39% 14%
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,084 53% 41% 12%
9 Sep 2012 Last election results 1,815,448 56.2% 42.7% 13.5%

Seat projection

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By parties

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Date(s)
conducted
Polling source Sample size DAB PP
LSD
Civ DP FTU Lab NPP LP BPA CP
PPI
HKRO
AHK D Others Lead
4 Sep 2016 Election result 7 2 5 5 3 1 3 0 1 1 2 1 4 2
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 3,164 7 2 5 4 3 1 2 0 1 2 1 1 6 2
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA 2,188 7 0 5 4 4 2 3 1 1 1 2 0 5 2
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 2,812 6 2 4 4 3 1 3 0 2 2 1 1 6 2
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,311 7 1 5 5 3 0 2 1 1 3 1 0 6 2
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,515 7 1 4 5 3 0 3 1 1 3 1 0 6 2
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,181 7 1 5 4 3 0 2 1 1 3 1 0 7 2
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,016 7 0 5 4 2 3 4 1 1 1 1 0 6 2
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,975 7 0 5 5 3 0 2 1 1 3 1 0 7 2
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,784 7 1 5 5 3 0 2 1 1 3 1 0 6 2
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,782 7 1 5 5 3 0 2 1 1 3 2 0 5 2
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,783 7 2 5 5 3 1 2 1 1 1 2 0 5 2
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,789 7 1 5 4 3 1 3 1 1 3 1 0 5 2
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,634 6 1 5 4 3 1 3 1 1 2 2 0 6 1
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,482 7 1 5 4 3 0 4 1 1 2 2 0 5 2
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,331 7 0 5 4 3 1 4 1 1 3 1 0 5 2
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,178 7 0 5 3 2 1 5 0 1 3 1 1 6 2
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,042 7 0 5 3 2 2 4 1 1 2 2 1 5 2
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,023 7 0 5 4 2 2 4 1 1 1 2 0 6 2
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,047 7 0 5 2 2 3 4 1 1 2 2 0 6 2
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,045 6 1 4 2 2 2 4 1 1 4 2 0 6 2
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,048 6 1 5 2 2 3 4 1 1 2 2 0 6 1
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,046 5 1 5 3 2 2 4 1 1 2 2 0 7 Tied
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,027 6 2 5 3 2 1 4 0 1 2 2 0 7 1
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,025 7 1 5 2 3 0 5 0 1 2 3 0 6 2
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,028 8 1 5 2 3 0 4 0 1 3 1 0 7 3
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,030 6 1 5 3 2 1 5 0 2 3 1 0 6 2
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,031 5 1 5 4 2 2 4 0 1 2 2 0 7 Tied
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,033 7 1 5 3 1 2 4 0 1 2 2 0 7 2
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,032 7 2 5 2 1 3 4 0 1 1 2 0 7 2
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,024 7 2 5 2 1 3 4 0 1 1 1 0 8 2
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,100 5 2 5 2 2 2 5 0 2 2 1 0 7 Tied
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,187 7 1 5 2 2 3 5 0 1 1 1 0 7 2
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,072 7 1 5 3 3 2 5 0 1 1 2 0 5 2
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,158 7 1 5 3 2 2 5 0 2 2 0 0 6 2
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,056 7 1 5 3 3 2 4 0 2 2 0 0 6 2
14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA 5,011 7 2 5 4 2 3 2 1 1 1 1 0 6 2
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,084 7 2 5 2 2 3 4 1 1 1 1 0 6 2
9 Sep 2012 Last election results 1,815,448 9 4 5 4 3 3 2 1 1 3 4

By camps

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Date(s)
conducted
Polling source Sample size Anti-establishment[a] Pro-establishment Lead
4 Sep 2016 Election result 19 16 3
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 3,164 17 16 1
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA 2,188 15 18 3
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 2,812 17 16 1
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,311 17 16 1
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,515 16 17 1
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,181 17 16 1
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,016 17 16 1
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,975 17 16 1
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,784 17 16 1
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,782 18 16 2
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,783 18 16 2
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,789 16 17 1
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,634 17 16 1
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,482 15 18 3
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,331 16 17 1
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,178 17 16 1
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,042 17 16 1
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,023 17 16 1
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,047 16 17 1
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,045 17 14 3
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,048 18 15 3
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,046 18 14 4
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,027 18 15 3
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,025 16 17 1
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,028 16 17 1
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,030 17 16 1
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,031 20 13 7
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,033 19 14 5
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,032 19 14 5
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,024 18 14 4
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,100 18 15 3
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,187 16 16 Tied
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,072 16 17 1
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,158 16 17 1
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,056 16 17 1
14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA 5,011 19 14 5
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,084 17 16 1
9 Sep 2012 Last election results 1,815,448 18 17 1

Opinion polls by constituency

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Key:   1 seat or   2 seats secured for anti-establishment;   1 seat or   2 seats secured for pro-establishment;   secured for non-aligned independent.

List № 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Date(s)
conducted
Polling source Sample size CH Wong
(PD)
Lau
(PP)
Ip
(NPP)
Ho
(Lab)
Cheung
(DAB)
Chim Cheng
(CP)
Law
(D)
Shum WK Wong Chui Zimm. Hui
(DP)
Chan
(Civ)
Kwok
(FTU)
4 Sep 2016 Election result 2.7% 1.9% 16.1% 5.2% 10.9% 0.7% 6.0% 13.5% 0.4% 8.9% 0.2% 0.7% 11.3% 9.4% 12.2%
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 3% 3% 19% 6% 12% 2% 4% 8% <1% 11% 1% <1% 7% 14% 9%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA Unknown 1.4% 2.0% 20.5% 9.0% 9.9% 1.0% 4.4% 4.4% 0.8% 16.1% 0.8% 3.3% 6.4% 12.8% 7.2%
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 2% 3% 20% 5% 13% 2% 4% 7% <1% 12% 1% <1% 7% 15% 8%
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP Unknown 1% 3% 22% 4% 12% 2% 4% 6% <1% 12% 1% 1% 8% 15% 9%
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 2% 4% 19% 5% 13% 2% 5% 6% <1% 12% 1% 1% 8% 15% 8%
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 2% 5% 20% 4% 13% 2% 5% 5% <1% 12% 1% 1% 8% 15% 8%
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown 0.5% 3.3% 24.1% 8.1% 10.4% 0.8% 4.4% 2.1% 0.5% 13.4% 0.3% 2.1% 7.0% 16.5% 6.6%
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 1% 4% 21% 2% 12% 2% 5% 4% 1% 12% <1% 1% 9% 17% 8%
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 1% 3% 23% 4% 10% 2% 5% 2% <1% 13% <1% 2% 9% 17% 8%
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 1% 3% 22% 4% 9% 1% 5% 3% <1% 13% <1% 2% 10% 17% 9%
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown <1% 3% 24% 4% 10% 1% 4% 3% <1% 14% <1% 2% 10% 16% 9%
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown <1% 2% 27% 4% 8% 1% 3% 3% 1% 16% <1% 2% 7% 16% 9%
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown <1% 2% 30% 4% 7% 1% 3% 4% <1% 15% <1% 2% 7% 16% 8%
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 241 1% 2% 29% 3% 9% 2% 2% 5% <1% 13% <1% 2% 6% 16% 9%
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 240 1% 2% 32% 2% 8% 2% 2% 5% <1% 14% <1% 3% 6% 14% 7%
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 228 1% 2% 33% 3% 5% 1% 2% 7% <1% 16% <1% 3% 5% 18% 5%
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 211 1% 2% 30% 4% 8% 2% 2% 7% <1% 11% 1% 4% 5% 19% 5%
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown 0.5% 2.3% 23.2% 7.7% 10.5% 2.2% 2.9% 1.8% 0.4% 14.2% 0.4% 2.6% 6.5% 19.5% 5.4%
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 225 1% 2% 28% 9% 9% 2% 2% 5% <1% 11% 1% 3% 5% 17% 6%
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 220 2% 2% 27% 11% 7% 2% 3% 4% <1% 12% 1% 2% 6% 18% 4%
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 211 3% 3% 25% 12% 8% 2% 4% 3% <1% 11% 1% 2% 4% 18% 5%
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 211 3% 2% 26% 12% 10% 3% 5% 2% <1% 13% 1% 2% 2% 13% 6%
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 193 3% 2% 25% 11% 9% 2% 6% 1% <1% 15% <1% 3% 2% 15% 6%
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 179 3% 2% 27% 5% 10% 2% 6% 2% <1% 16% <1% 3% 2% 15% 6%
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 184 1% 2% 29% 5% 10% 3% 6% 2% <1% 17% 1% 3% 2% 13% 7%
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 190 1% 1% 34% 3% 11% 2% 7% 3% <1% 16% 2% 2% 2% 11% 6%
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 180 1% <1% 31% 4% 10% 3% 6% 3% <1% 16% 2% 2% 2% 14% 6%
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 185 1% <1% 33% 4% 9% 2% 7% 2% <1% 17% 2% 2% 3% 13% 5%
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 194 2% 1% 32% 6% 9% 2% 6% 2% <1% 17% 1% 2% 1% 14% 5%
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 197 2% 2% 30% 6% 8% 1% 5% 2% <1% 16% 1% 4% 3% 15% 4%
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 203 1% 4% 30% 9% 6% 1% 6% 1% <1% 12% 2% 5% 3% 18% 4%
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 218 2% 4% 30% 8% 9% 1% 5% 1% <1% 12% 1% 4% 4% 18% 4%
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 191 2% 4% 29% 9% 8% 1% 3% 2% <1% 11% 1% 3% 5% 17% 5%
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 192 2% 4% 29% 8% 7% 2% 4% 2% <1% 11% 1% 3% 6% 17% 5%
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 189 2% 2% 25% 7% 8% 2% 3% 1% <1% 15% 1% 2% 5% 18% 7%
14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA Unknown 0.6% 0.4% 20.9% 8.7% 14.1% 2.8% 2.9% 2.8% - 15.6% - - 6.6% 17.3% 6.2%
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 1,016 0.5% 1.6% 26.3% 8.2% 6.2%[b] 1.8% 1.3% 1.6% - 14.6% 1.3% 1.9% 5.2% 20.0% 6.2%
List № 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Date(s)
conducted
Polling source Sample size Ng
(LSD)
Ho
(HKLP)
Mo
(Civ)
Leung
(BPA/
KWND)
Tam
(ADPL)
Chu
(PVP)
YM Wong
(PPI)
PW Wong
(DP)
Lam Chiang
(DAB)
Kwan
(PSS)
Lau
(DG)
Yau
(Y)
Lee Tik
(TS)
4 Sep 2016 Election result 2.4% 0.1% 11.6% 17.8% 5.5% 0.2% 7.3% 9.3% 0.2% 18.8% 0.3% 13.7% 7.4% 0.3% 4.8%
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 4% <1% 8% 24% 3% 1% 8% 9% 1% 17% <1% 11% 7% 1% 5%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA Unknown 2.6% 0.7% 17.2% 12.8% 4.0% 1.1% 7.7% 13.4% 0.7% 16.6% 0.0% 8.1% 8.8% 0.8% 5.4%
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 4% <1% 6% 25% 4% 1% 9% 10% <1% 19% <1% 10% 5% 1% 6%
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP Unknown 4% 1% 10% 22% 3% 1% 8% 12% 1% 18% <1% 9% 6% 1% 5%
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 4% 1% 7% 23% 5% 1% 9% 12% 1% 19% <1% 8% 5% 1% 5%
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 3% 1% 7% 21% 5% 1% 9% 15% 1% 17% 1% 7% 6% <1% 6%
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown 4.7% 0.1% 18.7% 15.4% 5.1% 0.0% 6.2% 11.1% 0.1% 16.4% 0.1% 6.1% 8.8% 1.8% 5.4%
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 3% 2% 8% 20% 4% 2% 10% 14% 1% 19% <1% 7% 5% <1% 5%
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 3% 1% 11% 17% 5% 1% 9% 14% 1% 20% <1% 7% 6% <1% 5%
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 3% 1% 13% 18% 5% 1% 8% 15% 1% 16% <1% 7% 9% <1% 3%
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 4% 1% 11% 21% 3% <1% 6% 14% 1% 16% <1% 9% 9% <1% 4%
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 4% <1% 15% 19% 2% <1% 6% 13% 1% 17% <1% 10% 6% <1% 4%
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 4% <1% 16% 21% 3% <1% 6% 13% <1% 14% 1% 11% 7% 1% 4%
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 233 5% <1% 14% 22% 4% <1% 6% 13% <1% 13% 1% 10% 8% 1% 4%
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 212 5% <1% 13% 22% 4% <1% 8% 12% 1% 15% <1% 11% 4% 1% 5%
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 173 4% <1% 13% 20% 6% <1% 12% 10% 1% 13% <1% 10% 6% 1% 4%
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 145 3% 1% 12% 24% 7% <1% 13% 11% <1% 9% <1% 6% 9% <1% 6%
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown 4.9% 0.5% 19.0% 14.0% 5.5% 0.1% 7.8% 10.7% 0.3% 17.5% 0.4% 3.3% 8.0% 1.2% 6.7%
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 146 2% 1% 17% 20% 6% <1% 12% 13% <1% 8% <1% 5% 8% <1% 7%
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 145 1% 1% 19% 19% 4% <1% 13% 11% <1% 8% <1% 6% 8% <1% 9%
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 138 1% 1% 19% 18% 5% <1% 9% 11% <1% 12% <1% 5% 11% <1% 8%
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 140 2% 1% 21% 18% 4% 2% 6% 11% <1% 15% <1% 5% 7% <1% 9%
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 131 2% <1% 19% 22% 5% 3% 4% 7% <1% 17% <1% 5% 8% <1% 8%
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 129 1% 1% 15% 21% 5% 3% 6% 6% <1% 23% <1% 5% 8% <1% 5%
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 128 1% 1% 16% 21% 4% 3% 6% 5% <1% 22% <1% 5% 9% 1% 5%
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 129 1% 1% 14% 24% 3% 3% 7% 7% <1% 20% <1% 6% 8% 1% 4%
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 134 <1% 2% 14% 24% 4% 1% 10% 8% <1% 21% <1% 3% 8% 2% 4%
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 141 <1% 1% 17% 19% 4% <1% 9% 9% <1% 24% <1% 3% 5% 1% 6%
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 145 <1% <1% 18% 19% 4% <1% 9% 11% 1% 20% <1% 2% 7% 2% 7%
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 155 1% <1% 16% 19% 3% <1% 11% 13% 1% 21% <1% 4% 4% <1% 6%
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 156 1% <1% 18% 22% 3% 1% 11% 12% 1% 21% <1% 4% 3% <1% 5%
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 151 1% 1% 16% 22% 1% 1% 10% 12% 1% 19% <1% 4% 6% <1% 6%
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 129 1% 2% 13% 21% <1% 1% 12% 14% 1% 18% <1% 5% 7% <1% 5%
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 115 2% 2% 11% 23% 2% 1% 11% 16% <1% 18% <1% 5% 5% <1% 3%
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 97 <1% 2% 15% 25% 2% 1% 16% 12% <1% 15% <1% 2% 6% <1% 3%
14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA Unknown 0.4% - 19.2% 9.5% 7.7% - 12.6% 10.6% - 16.4% - 2.6% 9.1% - 8.1%
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 806 1.1% - 19.8% 16.0% 5.4% - 11.0% 13.9% - 17.9% - 1.8% 7.3% - 0.3%
List № 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Date(s)
conducted
Polling source Sample size KK Wong
(FTU)
SS Wu
(Lab)
Ko
(VLHK)
HM Tam
(TF)
Tse Or
(DAB)
Lui CW Wu
(DP)
MH Tam
(Civ)
YT Wong
(CP)
Chan
(KEC)
TC Tam
(PP)
4 Sep 2016 Election result 14.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 14.5% 15.7% 0.4% 15.3% 13.8% 10.1% 3.9% 9.7%
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 19% 2% 1% 2% 18% 11% 1% 13% 14% 10% 4% 5%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA Unknown 15.0% 1.5% 1.5% 2.9% 10.2% 15.9% 0.6% 18.1% 18.4% 7.2% 2.6% 6.1%
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 18% 2% <1% 2% 17% 11% <1% 14% 14% 12% 3% 5%
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP Unknown 18% 2% 1% 2% 15% 14% 1% 14% 16% 9% 3% 6%
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 19% 2% 1% 2% 16% 13% <1% 13% 12% 12% 3% 5%
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 21% <1% 2% 2% 15% 14% <1% 15% 14% 9% 2% 4%
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown 15.3% 1.1% 0.8% 3.4% 9.7% 14.9% 0.3% 16.7% 25.9% 6.0% 1.5% 4.2%
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 21% <1% 2% 1% 12% 16% <1% 14% 15% 10% 3% 5%
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 20% 1% 2% 1% 11% 16% <1% 13% 19% 9% 2% 6%
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 21% 1% 2% 1% 12% 16% <1% 15% 19% 6% 1% 5%
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 17% 1% 1% 1% 11% 15% 1% 17% 22% 6% 2% 6%
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 16% 1% <1% 2% 12% 15% 1% 16% 21% 7% 2% 7%
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 16% 1% <1% 1% 12% 16% 1% 15% 21% 8% 3% 6%
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 240 15% 2% <1% 1% 11% 19% 1% 16% 18% 8% 4% 6%
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 205 14% 1% <1% 1% 12% 19% 2% 15% 17% 8% 4% 6%
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 183 19% 3% <1% 2% 9% 16% 1% 17% 17% 7% 5% 5%
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 159 22% 4% <1% 1% 12% 13% 1% 17% 13% 9% 4% 4%
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown 17.1% 1.5% 0.4% 1.5% 9.6% 15.8% 0.3% 18.6% 23.6% 6.2% 1.9% 3.4%
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 154 20% 4% 1% 1% 16% 14% <1% 17% 10% 8% 4% 5%
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 147 19% 4% 1% 1% 21% 13% <1% 15% 6% 8% 4% 6%
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 158 15% 4% 1% 2% 19% 10% <1% 19% 11% 7% 5% 7%
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 153 12% 3% 1% 1% 18% 14% <1% 18% 14% 7% 4% 8%
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 147 15% 3% 1% 2% 15% 14% <1% 18% 16% 6% 4% 8%
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 160 20% 3% <1% 2% 12% 9% <1% 22% 17% 7% 2% 7%
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 168 22% 2% <1% 2% 9% 9% <1% 23% 17% 8% 2% 7%
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 158 26% 3% <1% 1% 10% 10% <1% 20% 15% 8% 1% 7%
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 145 24% 3% <1% 1% 14% 7% <1% 21% 12% 9% 1% 7%
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 157 23% 2% <1% <1% 13% 11% <1% 21% 13% 9% 2% 7%
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 142 21% 2% 1% <1% 15% 14% 1% 18% 11% 7% 3% 6%
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 142 15% 3% 1% 1% 15% 12% 2% 23% 12% 9% 3% 5%
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 171 17% 3% 1% 3% 15% 12% 2% 20% 14% 8% 2% 3%
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 187 15% 4% 1% 4% 14% 14% 2% 20% 14% 8% 3% 1%
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 170 15% 4% 1% 5% 15% 11% 2% 21% 14% 8% 3% 1%
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 275 15% 4% <1% 7% 14% 11% 1% 22% 14% 8% 3% 1%
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 181 18% 5% <1% 7% 14% 12% 2% 18% 14% 7% 3% <1%
14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA Unknown 12.2% 2.1% - - 9.2% 18.4% - 19.9% 16.9% 8.8% 1.4% 4.5%
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 845 13.6% 0.9% - - 13.5% 16.8% - 16.8% 24.8% 4.5% 2.1% 3.6%
List № 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Date(s)
conducted
Polling source Sample size YT Wong
(NWSC)
Wan
(DP)
Ko
(PSS)
Chow
(LP)
Cheng
(CP)
Kwong Tien
(NPP)
Ho Leung
(DAB/
NTAS)
Kwok
(Civ)
HM Wong
(LSD/
PP
)
Lee
(Lab)
CK Wong
(Y/
TSWNF)
Mak
(FTU)
KK Fung
(ADPL)
Chan
(DAB)
Cheung Lui
(CTTW)
Tong Chu
4 Sep 2016 Election result 3.5% 6.9% 0.1% 0.2% 9.0% 0.1% 11.7% 5.9% 8.3% 7.0% 4.7% 5.0% 1.7% 8.2% 3.0% 9.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 13.9%
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 5% 10% <1% 1% 8% <1% 17% 7% 7% 6% 4% 4% 2% 6% 3% 8% 1% 1% <1% 12%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA Unknown 3.2% 8.5% 0.0% 1.7% 6.4% 0.0% 16.2% 5.4% 9.3% 7.0% 4.4% 5.9% 3.9% 7.9% 5.2% 10.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.1% 4.2%
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 4% 11% <1% <1% 8% <1% 17% 6% 7% 6% 4% 4% 2% 8% 2% 7% 1% <1% <1% 10%
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP Unknown 4% 9% <1% 1% 8% <1% 16% 7% 8% 7% 4% 5% 3% 8% 3% 7% <1% <1% <1% 9%
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 4% 10% <1% <1% 10% <1% 18% 7% 6% 6% 3% 4% 2% 8% 3% 7% 1% <1% <1% 11%
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 4% 10% <1% <1% 10% <1% 17% 8% 7% 6% 4% 4% 2% 8% 3% 7% 1% <1% <1% 9%
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown 3.7% 8.8% 0.1% 1.0% 3.5% 0.1% 17.6% 4.8% 7.6% 7.8% 5.0% 9.9% 7.1% 6.5% 5.8% 8.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 2.1%
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 4% 9% <1% <1% 11% <1% 16% 7% 7% 7% 4% 4% 4% 7% 2% 9% <1% <1% <1% 8%
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 4% 8% <1% 1% 10% <1% 14% 8% 7% 6% 5% 5% 6% 9% 3% 8% <1% <1% <1% 8%
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 4% 8% <1% 1% 7% <1% 15% 9% 8% 7% 5% 5% 6% 7% 3% 7% <1% <1% <1% 8%
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 4% 8% <1% 1% 6% <1% 13% 9% 8% 7% 5% 7% 6% 7% 3% 7% <1% <1% <1% 7%
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 4% 7% <1% 1% 7% <1% 13% 8% 10% 9% 5% 6% 5% 8% 3% 7% <1% <1% <1% 6%
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 4% 8% <1% 1% 7% <1% 15% 8% 10% 8% 4% 6% 5% 8% 4% 5% <1% <1% 1% 5%
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 393 3% 7% <1% 2% 6% <1% 18% 7% 10% 8% 3% 6% 5% 7% 4% 6% <1% 1% 1% 4%
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 337 2% 7% <1% 1% 8% <1% 18% 6% 10% 9% 4% 7% 3% 8% 3% 8% <1% 1% 1% 4%
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 291 2% 7% <1% 2% 8% <1% 21% 4% 11% 8% 3% 7% 4% 8% 4% 8% <1% 1% 1% 3%
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 259 2% 6% <1% 2% 7% <1% 21% 5% 9% 7% 4% 8% 4% 6% 4% 10% <1% 1% 1% 4%
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown 3.0% 8.3% 0.4% 1.3% 4.1% 0.1% 16.9% 6.1% 7.6% 8.0% 4.7% 7.3% 7.1% 6.6% 6.2% 8.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.3% 2.5%
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 266 3% 4% <1% 1% 6% <1% 21% 5% 8% 8% 4% 9% 3% 7% 3% 11% 1% 1% <1% 4%
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 270 3% 4% <1% 1% 8% <1% 21% 4% 7% 8% 3% 11% 5% 8% 4% 7% 1% 1% <1% 4%
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 263 3% 5% <1% 2% 7% <1% 20% 5% 7% 7% 3% 9% 6% 8% 7% 6% 1% 2% <1% 3%
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 268 3% 6% <1% 1% 9% <1% 20% 4% 7% 9% 3% 7% 5% 8% 6% 6% 1% 1% <1% 3%
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 271 4% 6% <1% 1% 7% <1% 19% 6% 7% 11% 3% 6% 6% 8% 6% 4% 1% 2% <1% 2%
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 263 4% 8% 1% 1% 8% <1% 19% 4% 6% 11% 2% 5% 7% 8% 7% 5% <1% 2% <1% 1%
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 262 6% 9% 1% 1% 6% <1% 17% 3% 8% 11% 3% 5% 5% 8% 7% 6% <1% 3% <1% 2%
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 265 7% 7% 1% <1% 6% <1% 20% 4% 8% 11% 3% 8% 5% 7% 5% 6% <1% 2% <1% 1%
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 271 8% 6% 1% 1% 3% <1% 19% 5% 5% 13% 4% 8% 7% 5% 6% 5% <1% 2% 1% 1%
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 259 8% 6% 1% 1% 4% <1% 19% 4% 5% 10% 4% 10% 5% 4% 8% 8% 1% 1% <1% 1%
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 261 8% 6% <1% 2% 2% <1% 18% 5% 6% 8% 4% 14% 8% 3% 7% 6% 1% 1% <1% 4%
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 265 6% 4% <1% 3% 4% <1% 22% 4% 5% 8% 3% 14% 8% 3% 6% 7% 1% <1% <1% 3%
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 285 4% 4% <1% 3% 3% <1% 23% 4% 5% 11% 3% 13% 6% 2% 6% 8% 1% 1% <1% 5%
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 321 2% 5% <1% 2% 4% <1% 23% 3% 6% 10% 2% 16% 5% 4% 5% 8% <1% <1% <1% 5%
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 306 2% 5% <1% 2% 4% <1% 25% 2% 7% 9% 1% 15% 5% 6% 4% 7% <1% 1% <1% 5%
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 301 3% 5% <1% 2% 5% <1% 25% 3% 8% 10% 1% 15% 4% 6% 5% 7% <1% 1% <1% 3%
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 303 3% 4% <1% 1% 5% <1% 24% 3% 8% 12% 1% 15% 3% 6% 5% 7% <1% 1% <1% 3%
14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA Unknown 4.8% 6.5% - 1.8% 4.6% - 15.1% 5.5% 7.4% 11.2% 7.1% 9.8% 0.5% 8.1% 6.7% 8.6% - - - 1.8%
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 1,217 2.9% 4.1% - 2.0% 3.1% - 18.0% 3.3% 6.0% 9.8% 6.0% 9.3% 5.1% 7.7% 5.7% 6.8% - - - 2.1%
List № 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Date(s)
conducted
Polling source Sample size Fong Lam
(DP)
Liu Chin
(HKRO/
CP)
KH Leung
(LSD)
Cheung
(Lab)
Yeung
(Civ)
Mak
(PD)
Cheng Quat
(DAB)
Hau TK Lee
(LP)
Tang
(FTU)
Fan
(ND)
YN Chan Wong SY Lee
(JA)
CC Chan
(PP)
CH Leung
(Y)
KS Leung Yung
(NPP/
CF)
HK Chan
(DAB/
NTAS)
4 Sep 2016 Election result 6.0% 6.8% 0.2% 4.1% 6.1% 8.6% 9.0% 1.4% 3.1% 10.1% 1.2% 3.5% 4.6% 5.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 7.9% 6.6% 0.1% 6.2% 8.4%
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 6% 8% <1% 3% 6% 6% 13% 2% 3% 12% 2% 5% 2% 5% 2% <1% 1% 6% 7% <1% 4% 9%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA Unknown 5.1% 5.8% 0.7% 3.7% 4.6% 3.2% 14.1% 1.2% 4.2% 12.9% 0.7% 5.7% 5.5% 4.6% 0.1% 0.0% 1.5% 1.8% 6.1% 0.4% 6.0% 11.9%
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 7% 8% <1% 5% 6% 5% 14% 2% 3% 10% 3% 5% 3% 5% <1% 1% 1% 5% 6% <1% 3% 8%
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP Unknown 6% 7% <1% 6% 7% 5% 15% 1% 3% 10% 2% 5% 3% 5% <1% <1% 1% 5% 7% <1% 4% 9%
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 6% 7% <1% 7% 6% 5% 14% 2% 3% 10% 2% 6% 3% 5% <1% 1% 1% 5% 7% <1% 3% 8%
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 6% 5% <1% 8% 6% 5% 13% 1% 4% 9% 2% 6% 3% 6% <1% <1% <1% 5% 7% <1% 4% 9%
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown 5.9% 6.8% 0.7% 3.7% 4.1% 5.5% 13.7% 1.0% 6.3% 11.9% 1.0% 8.2% 3.3% 5.3% 0.1% 0.0% 1.1% 3.0% 3.8% 0.7% 5.5% 8.7%
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 6% 6% <1% 8% 5% 5% 15% 1% 4% 9% 1% 6% 3% 6% <1% <1% <1% 4% 7% <1% 5% 10%
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 7% 7% <1% 9% 7% 4% 16% <1% 3% 7% 1% 5% 3% 4% <1% <1% <1% 4% 8% <1% 4% 11%
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 4% 7% <1% 8% 7% 4% 18% <1% 3% 7% 1% 5% 4% 5% <1% <1% <1% 5% 7% <1% 3% 11%
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 5% 7% <1% 7% 7% 5% 18% <1% 3% 9% 1% 6% 3% 5% <1% <1% <1% 5% 6% <1% 3% 10%
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 5% 8% <1% 7% 7% 3% 17% <1% 4% 12% <1% 6% 3% 4% <1% 1% <1% 4% 7% <1% 3% 9%
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 6% 8% <1% 8% 8% 4% 17% <1% 4% 10% <1% 6% 3% 4% <1% 1% <1% 3% 6% <1% 3% 8%
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 375 6% 7% <1% 7% 6% 4% 18% <1% 4% 11% <1% 6% 4% 4% <1% 1% <1% 3% 7% <1% 3% 8%
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 337 8% 6% <1% 7% 5% 4% 18% <1% 6% 10% <1% 6% 4% 5% <1% 1% <1% 1% 8% <1% 5% 8%
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 303 7% 5% <1% 7% 5% 3% 21% <1% 7% 7% <1% 3% 3% 6% <1% 1% <1% <1% 9% <1% 6% 9%
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 268 11% 4% <1% 4% 4% 6% 23% <1% 6% 6% <1% 5% 4% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% <1% 5% 8%
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown 6.2% 5.4% 0.3% 3.4% 4.8% 4.4% 16.8% 1.2% 5.2% 13.4% 0.7% 8.1% 3.4% 5.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.7% 3.0% 4.2% 0.4% 5.9% 7.4%
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 256 12% 4% <1% 3% 5% 5% 20% <1% 7% 9% <1% 5% 4% 9% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% <1% 4% 8%
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 263 10% 4% <1% 5% 7% 4% 18% 1% 7% 10% <1% 5% 3% 9% <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% <1% 3% 7%
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 278 10% 4% <1% 5% 8% 6% 15% 1% 7% 10% <1% 6% 2% 8% <1% <1% 1% 3% 6% <1% 3% 5%
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 274 11% 3% <1% 5% 9% 5% 13% 1% 6% 12% 1% 6% 2% 8% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% <1% 4% 5%
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 285 8% 4% <1% 6% 8% 3% 16% 1% 7% 12% 1% 4% 1% 8% <1% <1% 1% 5% 5% <1% 5% 5%
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 294 8% 3% <1% 5% 7% 3% 19% 1% 6% 11% 1% 3% <1% 7% <1% <1% 1% 4% 6% <1% 6% 7%
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 286 9% 4% <1% 5% 6% 4% 17% <1% 6% 11% 1% 3% 1% 8% <1% <1% 1% 3% 4% 1% 7% 7%
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 288 9% 5% <1% 4% 5% 4% 20% <1% 5% 10% 1% 3% 1% 7% <1% <1% <1% 4% 4% 1% 6% 9%
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 301 8% 5% <1% 4% 4% 6% 23% <1% 5% 8% 1% 3% 2% 7% <1% <1% <1% 6% 5% 1% 3% 9%
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 291 9% 5% <1% 3% 8% 6% 21% 1% 5% 8% 1% 3% 2% 6% <1% <1% <1% 4% 5% 1% 3% 8%
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 290 8% 5% <1% 4% 8% 6% 18% 1% 8% 9% 2% 3% 4% 6% <1% <1% <1% 6% 4% 1% 1% 7%
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 265 8% 3% <1% 3% 7% 6% 20% 1% 8% 10% 1% 2% 4% 6% <1% <1% <1% 7% 4% <1% 3% 7%
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 285 5% 3% <1% 1% 7% 4% 24% 1% 8% 11% 1% 3% 5% 7% <1% <1% <1% 6% 3% <1% 6% 5%
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 310 7% 4% <1% 2% 8% 2% 21% 1% 9% 12% 1% 3% 6% 7% <1% <1% 2% 4% 1% <1% 5% 5%
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 276 6% 5% <1% 2% 6% 2% 23% <1% 9% 12% <1% 3% 6% 6% <1% <1% 3% 4% 1% <1% 6% 5%
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 275 9% 5% <1% 1% 6% 4% 24% <1% 5% 11% <1% 3% 5% 6% <1% <1% 3% 3% 3% <1% 6% 5%
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 288 7% 6% <1% 1% 7% 6% 25% 1% 7% 10% <1% 4% 5% 5% <1% <1% 3% 2% 2% <1% 4% 5%
14–29 Jul 2016[c] HKRA Unknown 6.4% 5.4% 0.8% 1.0% 5.7% 6.2% 15.4% - - 8.4% 1.9% 10.0% 4.8% 7.5% - - - 5.0% - - 4.5% 8.2%
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016[c] PD/HKUPOP 1,200 7.7% 3.9% 0.1% 1.5% 4.6% 4.9% 21.6% 0.5% - 9.9% - 10.4% 3.2% 7.9% - - - 3.1% - - 2.5% 8.1%
List № 801 802 803 804 805 806 807 808 809
Date(s)
conducted
Polling source Sample size To
(DP)
Lee
(DAB)
Kwong
(DP)
Ho
(ADPL)
Chan
(Civ)
Wong
(FTU)
Kwan
(ND)
Leung
(NWSC)
Chow
(DAB)
4 Sep 2016 Election result 12.8% 15.9% 25.7% 0.9% 1.5% 12.2% 1.2% 15.9% 13.8%
29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 23% 24% 10% 2% 5% 12% 1% 12% 11%
29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA Unknown 22.3% 29.4% 7.0% 4.0% 6.7% 8.7% 4.3% 10.0% 7.4%
28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 24% 24% 10% 2% 5% 12% 1% 12% 10%
21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP Unknown 25% 24% 9% 1% 5% 12% 2% 12% 9%
27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 25% 25% 9% 2% 6% 13% 1% 11% 9%
26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 25% 25% 8% 1% 6% 13% 2% 12% 9%
20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown 24.4% 28.4% 5.7% 4.8% 5.4% 9.7% 4.5% 12.0% 6.1%
25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 26% 25% 8% 1% 6% 11% 2% 12% 9%
24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 26% 24% 8% 1% 6% 12% 2% 13% 8%
23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 27% 22% 8% 1% 6% 11% 2% 14% 8%
22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 27% 22% 8% 1% 6% 11% 2% 15% 8%
21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 26% 24% 8% 1% 5% 11% 2% 14% 8%
20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP Unknown 25% 25% 9% 1% 4% 12% 1% 14% 9%
19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,379 27% 28% 8% 1% 4% 11% 2% 12% 8%
18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,240 26% 29% 8% 1% 3% 10% 1% 13% 9%
17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,103 29% 28% 9% <1% 3% 9% 2% 12% 9%
16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 965 30% 28% 8% 1% 3% 8% 2% 14% 7%
30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA Unknown 27% 29% 8% 1% 4% 10% 4% 12% 6%
15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 973 31% 27% 8% 1% 4% 8% 2% 14% 6%
14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 966 32% 26% 8% 1% 4% 7% 2% 15% 6%
13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 979 32% 27% 8% 1% 5% 7% 2% 14% 6%
12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 978 31% 29% 6% 1% 5% 8% 2% 13% 6%
11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 966 32% 27% 6% 1% 5% 8% 2% 12% 6%
10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 955 30% 27% 7% 1% 5% 8% 2% 13% 6%
8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 953 30% 27% 6% 1% 6% 9% 2% 13% 6%
8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 947 29% 26% 5% 1% 5% 10% 2% 14% 6%
7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 946 33% 24% 6% 1% 6% 9% 3% 14% 6%
6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 939 32% 27% 5% 1% 5% 8% 2% 13% 5%
5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 945 33% 28% 4% 1% 5% 8% 2% 13% 5%
4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 949 33% 29% 4% 1% 4% 8% 3% 12% 6%
3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,007 34% 29% 4% 1% 3% 7% 3% 13% 5%
2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,094 31% 31% 5% 2% 3% 7% 2% 13% 5%
1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 992 31% 29% 6% 2% 3% 8% 3% 13% 5%
31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 994 32% 29% 6% 2% 3% 8% 3% 12% 5%
30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 991 32% 27% 6% 2% 4% 8% 3% 12% 6%
14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA Unknown 28.0% 23.3% 5.6% 2.3% 7.1% 8.1% 2.7% 10.6% 7.5%
20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,084 29.9% 27.4% 4.2% 1.6% 5.5% 4.9% 2.5% 10.7% 6.2%

Methodology

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  • University of Hong Kong Public Opinion Programme (HKUPOP) rolling survey was co-sponsored by HK01, now Broadband TV, Cable TV and Power for Democracy. It interviewed no less than 200 Cantonese-speaking Hong Kong registered voters of 18 years old or above each day by telephone. Telephone numbers are randomly generated using known prefixes assigned to telecommunication services providers under the Numbering Plan provided by the Office of the Communications Authority (OFCA). To ensure representativeness of the findings, the raw data collected was rim-weighted according to the age-gender distributions of registered voters in each geographical constituency based on the 2016 register of electors provided by the government.[1]

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ a b Anti-establishment included the pan-democracy camp and localist camp.
  2. ^ This survey did not include Christopher Chung who was considering to leave the DAB and run as an independent candidate at the time.
  3. ^ a b Hong Kong Indigenous's Edward Leung whose candidacy was rejected by the Electoral Affairs Commission due to his pro-independence stance is not listed on this chart, despite the survey showed that he was expected to win a seat.

References

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  1. ^ "2016 Legislative Council Election Rolling Survey". HKUPOP.