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32nd Alberta general election

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The 32nd Alberta general election will be held in Alberta, Canada, to elect the members of the Legislative Assembly of Alberta. According to Alberta's Election Act, it is scheduled for October 18, 2027,[1] but that does not affect the powers of the lieutenant governor of Alberta to dissolve the legislature before that time, in accordance with the usual conventions of the Westminster parliamentary system.

32nd Alberta general election
← 2023 On or before October 18, 2027 (On or before October 18, 2027)
All 87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Alberta
44 seats needed for a majority
 
Danielle Smith 2014.jpg
Naheed Nenshi PRS Ottawa 2015-1.jpg
Leader Danielle Smith Naheed Nenshi
Party United Conservative New Democratic
Leader since October 6, 2022 June 22, 2024
Leader's seat Brooks-Medicine Hat None
Last election 49 seats, 52.56% 38 seats, 44.02%
Current seats 49 38
Incumbent Premier

Danielle Smith
United Conservative



Timeline

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2023

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2024

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Opinion polls

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Pollster Client Dates conducted Source UCP NDP Green Alberta Liberal WLC WIP Others Margin of error Sample size Polling method Lead
Cardinal Research N/A Sep 17–28, 2024 [p 1] 50% 43% 2% 1% — — — 4% 2.5% 1,553 Telephone 7%
Leger N/A Aug 2–5, 2024 [p 2] 48% 40% 3% 4% 3% 2% — 2% 3.1% 1,005 Online 8%
Sovereign North Strategies Western Standard Jul 6–11, 2024 [p 3][p 4] 47% 46% 1% 4% — — 2% — 2.4% 2,861 Telephone 1%
Abacus Data N/A Jun 25–28, 2024 [p 5] 54% 40% — — — — — 6% 3.31% 1,000 Online 14%
June 22, 2024 Naheed Nenshi elected leader of the Alberta NDP.
Leger N/A May 22–25, 2024 [p 6] 47% 43% — 6% — — — 4% 3.1% 1,009 Online 4%
Leger N/A Mar 22–24, 2024 [p 7] 46% 44% 1% 4% 1% 1% — 2% 3.1% 1,002 Online 2%
Abacus Data N/A Mar 14–21, 2024 [p 8] 55% 40% — 2% — — — 2% 3.1% 1,000 Online 15%
Pallas Data N/A Mar 12–13, 2024 [p 9] 52% 45% — — — — — 3% 3.3% 868 IVR 7%
Leger N/A Mar 8–11, 2024 [p 10][p 11] 49% 41% — 6% — — — 4% 3.1% 1,001 Online 8%
Leger N/A Feb 9–12, 2024 [p 12] 49% 42% — 5% — — — 4% 3.1% 1,002 Online 7%
Leger N/A Jan 19–22, 2024 [p 13] 51% 40% — — — — — 9% 3.1% 1,001 Online 11%
Leger N/A Jan 12–15, 2024 [p 14] 50% 43% — 3% — — — 4% 3.1% 1,012 Online 7%
Angus Reid N/A Nov 24 – Dec 1, 2023 [p 15][p 16] 53% 40% — 3% 2% — — 1% 5% 392 Online 13%
Leger N/A Oct 27–30, 2023 [p 17] 46% 47% — 5% — — — 2% 3.1% 1,001 Online 1%
Leger N/A Sep 15–18, 2023 [p 18] 49% 39% 2% 4% 3% 1% — 2% 3.1% 1,001 Online 10%
2023 general election May 29, 2023 52.63% 44.05% 0.76% 0.71% 0.24% 0.24% 0.05% 1.32% — — — 8.58%

Notes

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References

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  1. ^ "Alberta's Next Election". Elections Alberta. Archived from the original on June 9, 2024. Retrieved June 9, 2024.
  2. ^ "Premier Smith appoints new Alberta cabinet with many familiar faces in different portfolios". CTV News. June 9, 2023. Archived from the original on June 23, 2023. Retrieved August 16, 2023.
  3. ^ "'Did a remarkable job': Cooper reelected as Speaker in Alberta legislature". CTV News. June 20, 2023. Archived from the original on August 16, 2023. Retrieved August 16, 2023.
  4. ^ "Final Message from Jordan Wilkie as Leader of the Green Party of Alberta". Facebook. Green Party of Alberta. September 18, 2023. Archived from the original on October 15, 2023. Retrieved September 18, 2023.
  5. ^ "Jordan Wilkie". CTV News Edmonton. Bell Media. Archived from the original on October 5, 2023. Retrieved October 5, 2023.
  6. ^ "THE ALBERTA PARTY POLITICAL ASSOCIATION ANNOUNCES THE RESIGNATION OF LEADER BARRY MORISHITA". Alberta Party. Archived from the original on November 9, 2023. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
  7. ^ "Barry Morishita resigns as leader of seatless Alberta Party". CTV Edmonton. November 8, 2023. Archived from the original on November 10, 2023. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
  8. ^ Mertz, Emily (January 16, 2024). "Former Alberta premier Rachel Notley stepping down as NDP leader". Global News. Archived from the original on January 16, 2024. Retrieved January 16, 2024.
  9. ^ "Bill 21: Emergency Statutes Amendment Act, 2024". Legislative Assembly of Alberta. Retrieved June 9, 2024.
  10. ^ "Former Calgary mayor Naheed Nenshi named Alberta NDP leader in landslide victory | Globalnews.ca". Global News. Retrieved October 22, 2024.
  11. ^ "Shannon Phillips stepping down as Lethbridge-West MLA". CTV Calgary. June 10, 2024. Retrieved October 22, 2024.
  12. ^ "Alberta politician who compared transgender kids to feces rejoins UCP caucus". The Globe and Mail. October 9, 2024. Retrieved October 22, 2024.
  13. ^ "Lethbridge-West byelection set for Dec. 18". CBC Calgary. November 20, 2024. Retrieved November 20, 2024.

Opinion poll sources

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  1. ^ "Alberta Provincial Polling September 17-28, 2024". Cardinal Research. October 3, 2024. Retrieved October 4, 2024.
  2. ^ "Government of Alberta Report Card August 2024" (PDF). Leger. August 13, 2024. Retrieved August 16, 2024.
  3. ^ "Alberta – Province Wide Survey of Decided Voters". Sovereign North Strategies. July 19, 2024. Retrieved July 23, 2024.
  4. ^ Polczer, Shaun (July 18, 2024). "EXCLUSIVE: Poll says Nenshi would be premier if election held tomorrow". Western Standard. Retrieved July 23, 2024.
  5. ^ Coletto, David; Sheppard, Eddie (July 4, 2024). "Alberta Politics: UCP ahead of NDP by 14-points post-Nenshi leadership victory". Abacus Data. Retrieved July 8, 2024.
  6. ^ "Alberta May Polling" (PDF). Leger. May 31, 2024. Retrieved June 4, 2024.
  7. ^ "Government of Alberta Report Card: April 2024" (PDF). Leger Marketing. April 4, 2024. Retrieved April 5, 2024.
  8. ^ "Alberta Politics: UCP ahead of NDP by 15-points". Abacus Data. March 27, 2024. Retrieved March 27, 2024.
  9. ^ "Pallas Alberta Poll: UCP 52, NDP 45". Pallas Data. March 18, 2024. Archived from the original on March 18, 2024. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  10. ^ Kaufmann, Bill (March 14, 2024). "Nenshi's leadership would boost voter support for Alberta NDP: poll". Calgary Herald. Postmedia Network. Archived from the original on March 14, 2024. Retrieved March 14, 2024.
  11. ^ "Alberta Omni Report – March 2024" (PDF). Leger Marketing. Archived (PDF) from the original on March 15, 2024. Retrieved March 15, 2024.
  12. ^ "Legislation on Gender Affirming Care for Children & Polling: Survey of Albertans" (PDF). Leger. February 15, 2024. Archived (PDF) from the original on February 17, 2024. Retrieved February 17, 2024.
  13. ^ "Changes to the NDP in Alberta: Alberta Omni Report" (PDF). Leger. January 26, 2024. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 27, 2024. Retrieved January 26, 2024.
  14. ^ "Alberta Vote Intentions: Alberta Omni Report" (PDF). Leger. January 19, 2024. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 20, 2024. Retrieved January 20, 2024.
  15. ^ "Alberta Spotlight: Split over health care restructuring, most blame lack of resources for current challenges". Angus Reid Institute. December 7, 2023. Archived from the original on December 16, 2023. Retrieved December 19, 2023.
  16. ^ "2023.12.06_Alberta_Only.pdf" (PDF). Angus Reid Institute. Archived (PDF) from the original on December 12, 2023. Retrieved December 19, 2023.
  17. ^ "Alberta Vote Intentions" (PDF). Leger. Archived (PDF) from the original on November 10, 2023. Retrieved October 10, 2023.
  18. ^ "Government of Alberta Report Card" (PDF). Leger. October 5, 2023. Archived (PDF) from the original on December 20, 2023. Retrieved October 5, 2023.
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