Wikipedia

2016 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary

(Redirected from New Hampshire Republican primary, 2016)

The 2016 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary, which took place on February 9, was the second major vote of the cycle. Donald Trump was declared the winner with 35.2% of the popular vote and picked up 11 delegates, while John Kasich emerged from a pack of candidates between 10 and 20% to capture second place with 15.8% of the vote and picked up four delegates.[1]

2016 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary
← 2012 February 9, 2016 (2016-02-09) 2020 →
← IA
SC →
23 pledged delegates to the 2016 Republican National Convention
 
Candidate Donald Trump John Kasich Ted Cruz
Home state New York Ohio Texas
Delegate count 11 4 3
Popular vote 100,735 44,932 33,244
Percentage 35.23% 15.72% 11.63%
 
Candidate Jeb Bush Marco Rubio Chris Christie
Home state Florida Florida New Jersey
Delegate count 3 2 0
Popular vote 31,341 30,071 21,089
Percentage 10.96% 10.52% 7.38%

It occurred on the same day as the Democratic primary.

Chris Christie,[2] Carly Fiorina,[3] and Jim Gilmore dropped out of the race after poor showings in the primary.

Campaign

edit

Politico described the 2016 Republican primary in New Hampshire as a "topsy-turvy" campaign that saw "an all-out assault" on "establishment" politics.[4]

Donald Trump dominated the polling results,[5] with Chris Christie, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and Jeb Bush vying to place second and emerge as the leading mainstream alternative to Trump and to Ted Cruz.[6] In November Chris Christie gained the endorsement of the New Hampshire Union Leader.[7] Candidates receiving the endorsement later received a boost of on average 8 points in the polls, but the endorsed candidate only won a Republican primary in half of the elections from 1980 to 2012.[8] But in late January The Boston Globe and the Concord Monitor endorsed Kasich, leading Politico to dub him the winner of the "newspaper primary."[4]

Major debates and forums

edit

Two major televised gatherings of major candidates took place during the 2015-16 campaign, both took place at the New Hampshire Institute of Politics of Saint Anselm College in Goffstown, New Hampshire.

August 3, 2015 – Voters First Presidential Forum

edit

The 2016 Voters First Presidential Forum was moderated by Jack Heath of WGIR radio, who asked questions of each of the participating candidates based on a random draw.[9] Candidates each had three opportunities to speak: two rounds of questions, and a closing statement.[10] Topics of discussion during the forum were partially selected based on the results of an online voter survey.[11] The facilities were provided by the New Hampshire Institute of Politics and Political Library of St. Anselm College. The forum was organized in response[12] to the top-ten invitation limitations placed by Fox News and CNN on their first televised debates (see descriptions below).

Eleven of the candidates participated: Senators Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marco Rubio participated in the forum via satellite to avoid missing a vote.[13] Three major Republican candidates who did not participate were Donald Trump (who chose not to attend),[9] Jim Gilmore (who missed the cutoff deadline)[9] and Mike Huckabee (who was invited, but did not respond).[9] Mark Everson did not receive an invitation, albeit after a "serious look."[14][15]

The Voters First forum was broadcast nationally[16] by C-SPAN[17] as the originating source media entity, beginning at 6:30 p.m. EDT and lasting[citation needed] from 7 to 9 p.m. The event was also simulcast and/or co-sponsored by television stations KCRG-TV in Iowa, New England Cable News in the northeast, WBIN-TV in New Hampshire,[18] WLTX-TV in South Carolina, radio stations New Hampshire Public Radio, WGIR in New Hampshire, iHeartRadio on the internet (C-SPAN is also offering an online version of the broadcast), and newspapers the Cedar Rapids Gazette in Iowa, the Union Leader in New Hampshire, and the Post and Courier in Charleston South Carolina.[9] There was a live audience, with tickets to the event awarded via a lottery.[12]

Lesser known candidates forum at Goffstown

edit

One of the highlights of the campaign is when the nonrecognized candidates gather together to introduce themselves to the public at this event, which first was held in 1972.[19] Five candidates participated. They were Stephen Comley, Tim Cook, Walter Iwachiw, Andy Martin, and Joe Robinson.

February 6, 2016 – Goffstown, New Hampshire

edit
Candidate Airtime[20] Polls[21]
Trump 15:32 33.2%
Cruz 17:34 20.7%
Rubio 18:14 13.3%
Carson 8:46 7.8%
Bush 12:30 4.5%
Christie 12:53 3.0%
Kasich 10:33 2.8%

The eighth debate was held in New Hampshire, the first state to hold primaries, was organized by ABC News and the Independent Journal Review. It was scheduled to be held in the St Anselm's College Institute of Politics.[22] The eighth debate did not feature an undercard event.[23] David Muir and Martha Raddatz were moderaters, along with WMUR political director Josh McElveen and Mary Katherine Ham.[24]

To participate in the debate, a candidate must either have placed among the top 3 candidates in the popular vote of the Iowa caucus, or placed among the top 6 candidates in an average of New Hampshire or national polls recognized by ABC News. Only polls conducted no earlier than January 1 and released by February 4 were included in the averages.[25]

On February 4, 2016, Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and Donald Trump were invited to the debate.[26] Carly Fiorina and Jim Gilmore were not invited as they did not meet the criteria.[27]

The debate was notable for Rubio's poor performance, where he repeated the same phrase four times, including once while Christie was criticizing him for making "canned" remarks.[28][29]

Candidates

edit

Twenty-six total candidates were on the ballot in the New Hampshire primary.[30] The following notable candidates were listed in five major polls and participated in authorized debates. U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina and former Governors Bobby Jindal of Louisiana and George Pataki of New York withdrew from the race, but remained on the ballot.

The following were listed in national polls and participated in at least one nationally televised debate.

Candidate Résumé Portrait popular vote percentage Delegates won
Donald Trump CEO of The Trump Organization (campaign)   100,406 [1] 35.3%[1] 11
John Kasich Governor of Ohio since 2011; U.S. Representative from Ohio 1983–2001; presidential candidate in 2000 (campaign)[31][32]   44,909[1] 15.8%[1] 4
Ted Cruz U.S. Senator from Texas since 2013; Solicitor General of Texas 2003–2008 (campaign)[33]   33,189[1] 11.7%[1] 3
Jeb Bush Governor of Florida 1999–2007; Florida Secretary of Commerce 1987–1988 (campaign)[34][35]   31,310[1] 11%[1] 3
Marco Rubio U.S. Senator from Florida since 2011; Florida Speaker of the House 2007–2008 (campaign)[36][37][38]   30,032[1] 10.6%[1] 2
Chris Christie Governor of New Jersey since 2010, U.S. Attorney from the district of New Jersey (campaign)[39][40]   21,069[1] 7.4%[1] none
Carly Fiorina Former Hewlett-Packard CEO 1999–2005; nominee for Senate in California in 2010 (campaign)[41][42]   11,706[1] 4.1%[1] none
Ben Carson Author and former Director of Pediatric Neurosurgery at the Johns Hopkins Hospital 1984–2013 (campaign)[43][44][45]   6,509[1] 2.3%[1] none
Jim Gilmore Presidential candidate in 2008, Governor of Virginia 1998–2002 (campaign)[46][47]   133[48] 0.05%[48] none

The following were listed in national polls and participated in at least one nationally televised debate, but withdrew their candidacies before the New Hampshire primary.

Candidate Résumé Portrait popular vote percentage Delegates won
Lindsey Graham U.S. Senator from South Carolina since 2003; U.S. Representative from South Carolina 1995–2003 (campaign)[49][50]   70[48] 0% none (withdrew from the race earlier)
Mike Huckabee Governor of Arkansas 1996–2007; presidential candidate in 2008 (campaign)[51][52]   215[48] 0% none (withdrew from race after Iowa caucuses)
Bobby Jindal Governor of Louisiana since 2008; U.S. Representative from Louisiana 2005–2008 (campaign)[53][54]   64[48] 0% none (withdrew from race earlier)
George Pataki Governor of New York 1995–2006 (campaign)[55][56]   80[48] 0% none (withdrew from race earlier)
Rand Paul U.S. Senator from Kentucky since 2011 and Ophthalmologist (campaign)[57][58][59]   1,900[48] 0.67% none (withdrew from race after Iowa caucuses)[60]
Rick Santorum U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania 1995–2007; U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania 1991–1995; presidential candidate in 2012 (campaign)[61][62]   155[48] 0% none (withdrew from race after Iowa caucuses)

The following candidates have not been listed in major independent polls nor participated in Republican party sanctioned debates:

  • Stephen B. Comley Sr., Massachusetts (31 votes)
  • Tim Cook, North Carolina (77 votes)
  • Brooks A. Cullison, Illinois (54 votes)
  • Matt Drozd, Pennsylvania (5 votes)
  • J. Daniel Dyas Sr., Alabama (14 votes)
  • Kevin Glenn Huey, Colorado (7 votes)
  • Walter N. Iwachiw, New York (9 votes)
  • Frank Lynch, Florida (47 votes)
  • Robert L. Mann, Indiana (5 votes)
  • Andy Martin, New Hampshire (169 votes)
  • Peter Messina (5 votes)
  • Stephen John McCarthy, Ohio (12 votes)
  • Chomi Prag, Wisconsin (14 votes)
  • Joe Robinson, Massachusetts (44 votes)
  • Richard P.H. Witz, Massachusetts (105 votes)[48]

Endorsements

edit
Jeb Bush

U.S. Senators

State Senators

Newspapers

Chris Christie

U.S. Representatives

State Senators

Individuals

Ted Cruz

U.S. Senators

Executive Council

State Senators

Carly Fiorina

State Senators

Individuals

John Kasich

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State Senators

Newspapers

Marco Rubio

Governor

State Senators

Withdrawn candidates

edit
Jim Gilmore (Withdrawn)

State Senators

George Pataki (Withdrawn)

State Senators

Rand Paul (Withdrawn)

State Senators

Polling

edit
Main article: Opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primary in New Hampshire

Aggregate polls

edit
Source of poll

aggregation

Dates

administered

Dates

updated

Marco Rubio
Republican 		Donald Trump
Republican 		Ted Cruz
Republican 		John Kasich
Republican 		Margin
RealClearPolitics[92] until February 9, 2016 February 9, 2016 14.0% 31.2% 11.8% 13.5% Trump +17.2
FiveThirtyEight[93] until February 9, 2016 February 9, 2016 15.7% 26.8% 12.0% 15.2% Trump +11.0
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results[94] February 9, 2016 Donald Trump35.23% John Kasich15.72% Ted Cruz11.63% Jeb Bush 10.96%, Marco Rubio 10.52%, Chris Christie 7.38%, Carly Fiorina 4.12%, Ben Carson 2.28%, Rand Paul 0.68%, Mike Huckabee 0.08%, Rick Santorum 0.06%, Jim Gilmore 0.05%
ARG[95]

Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 418

February 7–8, 2016 Donald Trump
33% 		John Kasich

17%

Marco Rubio

14%

Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson 1%, Undecided 6%
CNN/UNH/WMUR[96]

Margin of error: ± 5.2% Sample size: 362

February 4–8, 2016 Donald Trump
31% 		Marco Rubio

17%

Ted Cruz

14%

John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 7%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Undecided 7%
Gravis Marketing/

One America News[97]

Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 705

February 7, 2016 Donald Trump
28% 		John Kasich

17%

Marco Rubio

15%

Jeb Bush 14%, Ted Cruz 11%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben Carson 3%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Santorum 0.5%
ARG[98]

Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 427

February 6–7, 2016 Donald Trump
30% 		John Kasich

16%

Marco Rubio

16%

Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson 1%, Undecided 9%
UMass Lowell/7 News[99]

Margin of error: ± 5.13% Sample size: 464

February 5–7, 2016 Donald Trump
34% 		Marco Rubio

13%

Ted Cruz

13%

Jeb Bush 10%, John Kasich 10%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Undecided 9%
Emerson College[100]

Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 686

February 4–7, 2016 Donald Trump
31% 		Jeb Bush

16%

John Kasich

13%

Marco Rubio 12%, Ted Cruz 11%, Carly Fiorina 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Ben Carson 3%,
ARG[98]

Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 422

February 5–6, 2016 Donald Trump
31% 		John Kasich

17%

Marco Rubio

17%

Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 1%, Undecided 8%
Monmouth University[101]

Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 508

February 4–6, 2016 Donald Trump
30% 		John Kasich

14%

Marco Rubio

13%

Jeb Bush 13%, Ted Cruz 12%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Other 1%, Undecided 3%
UMass Lowell/7 News[102]

Margin of error: ± 4.82% Sample size: 516

February 4–6, 2016 Donald Trump
36% 		Marco Rubio

14%

Ted Cruz

13%

Jeb Bush 10%, John Kasich 9%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Undecided 7%
CNN/UNH/WMUR[103]

Margin of error: ± 5.2% Sample size: 362

February 3–6, 2016 Donald Trump
33% 		Marco Rubio

16%

Ted Cruz

14%

John Kasich 11%, Jeb Bush 7%, Carly Fiorina 6%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson 2%, Someone Else 1%, Not Sure 6%
Franklin Pierce University/

RKM/Boston Herald[104]

Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 433

February 2–6, 2016 Donald Trump
31% 		Ted Cruz

16%

Marco Rubio

15%

John Kasich 11%, Jeb Bush 10%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Other 2%, Unsure 3%
ARG[105]

Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 415

February 4–5, 2016 Donald Trump
34% 		John Kasich

17%

Marco Rubio

16%

Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Undecided 6%
UMass Lowell/7 News[106]

Margin of error: ± 4.86% Sample size: 501

February 3–5, 2016 Donald Trump
35% 		Marco Rubio

14%

Ted Cruz

13%

John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 10%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Undecided 9%
Suffolk University/

Boston Globe[107]

Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500

February 3–4, 2016 Donald Trump
28.8% 		Marco Rubio

19.4%

John Kasich

13%

Jeb Bush 9.8%, Ted Cruz 6.6%, Chris Christie 5.2%, Ben Carson 4.4%, Carly Fiorina 3.8%, Other 1%, Undecided 8%
ARG[108]

Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 420

February 3–4, 2016 Donald Trump
36% 		Marco Rubio

15%

John Kasich

14%

Ted Cruz 12%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Undecided 6%
MassINC/WBUR[109]

Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 410

February 2–4, 2016 Donald Trump
29% 		Marco Rubio

12%

Ted Cruz

12%

Jeb Bush 9%, John Kasich 9%, Carly Fiorina 8%, Chris Christie 6%, Ben Carson 4%, Jim Gilmore <1% Other <1%, Won't Vote 1%, Don't Know 5%
UMass Lowell/7 News[110]

Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 500

February 2–4, 2016 Donald Trump
34% 		Marco Rubio

15%

Ted Cruz

14%

Jeb Bush 8%, John Kasich 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Other 2%, Undecided 6%
CNN/UNH/WMUR[111]

Margin of error: ± 6.8% Sample size: 209

February 2–4, 2016 Donald Trump
29% 		Marco Rubio

18%

Ted Cruz

13%

John Kasich 12%, Jeb Bush 10%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 2%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Someone Else 2%, Not Sure 8%
NBC News/WSJ/Marist[112]

Margin of error: ± 3.8% Sample size: 653

February 2–3, 2016 Donald Trump
30% 		Marco Rubio

17%

Ted Cruz

15%

John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Other 1%, Undecided 7%
ARG[113]

Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 600

February 2–3, 2016 Donald Trump
34% 		Marco Rubio

14%

John Kasich

13%

Ted Cruz 12%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 2%, Undecided 8%
UMass Lowell/7 News[114]

Margin of error: ± 4.87% Sample size: 487

February 1–3, 2016 Donald Trump
36% 		Marco Rubio

15%

Ted Cruz

14%

Jeb Bush 8%, John Kasich 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Other 8%
Harper Polling[115]

Margin of error: ± 4.75% Sample size: 425

February 1–2, 2016 Donald Trump
31% 		Jeb Bush

14%

John Kasich

12%

Marco Rubio 10%, Ted Cruz 9%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben Carson 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Rick Santorum 0%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 8%
UMass Lowell/7 News[116]

Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 502

January 31–

February 2, 2016

Donald Trump
38% 		Ted Cruz

14%

Marco Rubio

12%

Jeb Bush 9%, John Kasich 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Ben Carson 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rand Paul 2%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 2%, Unsure 4%
UMass Amherst/

WBZ-TV/YouGov[117]

Margin of error: ± 7.1% Sample size: 390

January 29–

February 2, 2016

Donald Trump
35% 		Marco Rubio

15%

John Kasich

11%

Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Other 8%, Unsure 3%
ARG[118]

Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600

January 29–31, 2016 Donald Trump
34% 		John Kasich

16%

Marco Rubio

11%

Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 6%, Rand Paul 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Undecided 6%
UMass Lowell/7 News[119]

Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 461

January 29–31, 2016 Donald Trump
38% 		Ted Cruz

12%

John Kasich

9%

Jeb Bush 9%, Marco Rubio 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Rand Paul 3%, Ben Carson 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Other 2%, Not Sure 5%
CNN/UNH/WMUR[120]

Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 409

January 27–30, 2016 Donald Trump
30% 		Ted Cruz

12%

Marco Rubio

11%

John Kasich 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 3%, Not Sure 10%
Franklin Pierce/RKM/

Boston Herald[121]

Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 439

January 26–30, 2016 Donald Trump
38% 		Ted Cruz

13%

Jeb Bush

10%

Marco Rubio 10%, John Kasich 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 2%, Unsure 2%
Suffolk University[122]

Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500

January 25–27, 2016 Donald Trump
26.6% 		John Kasich

12%

Ted Cruz

11.8%

Jeb Bush 11.2%, Marco Rubio 9.6%, Chris Christie 5.6%, Ben Carson 4.8%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 1.6%, Mike Huckabee 0.4%, Jim Gilmore 0.2%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 0.4%, Undecided 11.8%
Adrian Gray

Consulting[123]

Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 583

January 25–27, 2016 Donald Trump
27% 		Marco Rubio

15%

Ted Cruz

13%

John Kasich 12%, Jeb Bush 11%, Chris Christie 6%, Rand Paul 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Don't know 5%
Emerson College[124]

Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 373

January 25–26, 2016 Donald Trump
35% 		Jeb Bush

18%

John Kasich

14%

Marco Rubio 9%, Ted Cruz 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 0%, Undecided 1%
ARG[125]

Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600

January 23–25, 2016 Donald Trump
31% 		John Kasich

17%

Ted Cruz

12%

Marco Rubio 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Jeb Bush 8%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rand Paul 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 1%, Undecided 6%
Franklin Pierce/RKM/Boston Herald[126]

Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 444

January 20–24, 2016 Donald Trump
33% 		Ted Cruz

14%

John Kasich

12%

Jeb Bush 9%, Marco Rubio 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 1%, Unsure 3%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[127]

Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 612

January 17–23, 2016 Donald Trump
31% 		Ted Cruz

12%

Marco Rubio/

John Kasich 11%

Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Ben Carson 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Other 1%, Undecided 5%
Fox News[128]

Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 401

January 19–21, 2016 Donald Trump
31% 		Ted Cruz

14%

Marco Rubio

13%

John Kasich 9%, Chris Christie 7%, Jeb Bush 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Ben Carson 5%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, None of the above 1%, Don't know 5%
CBS/YouGov[129]

Margin of error: ± 6.2% Sample size: 476

January 19–21, 2016 Donald Trump
34% 		Ted Cruz

16%

Marco Rubio

14%

John Kasich 10%, Chris Christie 7%, Jeb Bush 7%, Ben Carson 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No Preference 0%
ARG[125]

Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600

January 15–18, 2016 Donald Trump
27% 		John Kasich

20%

Marco Rubio

10%

Ted Cruz 9%, Chris Christie 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Rand Paul 5%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 1%, Undecided 7%
CNN/UNH/WMUR[130]

Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 414

January 13–18, 2016 Donald Trump
34% 		Ted Cruz

14%

Marco Rubio

10%

Jeb Bush 10%, Rand Paul 6%, Chris Christie 6%, John Kasich 6%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Don't know 6%
Mason-Dixon/AARP[131]

Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 503

January 12–16, 2016 Donald Trump
32% 		Marco Rubio

14%

John Kasich

13%

Chris Christie 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ted Cruz 8%, Carly Fiorina 6%, Ben Carson 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Undecided 4%
ARG[132]

Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600

January 7–10, 2016 Donald Trump
25% 		Marco Rubio/

John Kasich 14%

Chris Christie

10%

Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Rand Paul 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 0%, Undecided 8%
Monmouth University[133]

Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 414

January 7–10, 2016 Donald Trump
32% 		John Kasich/

Ted Cruz 14%

Marco Rubio

12%

Chris Christie 8%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 0%, Undecided 3%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[134]

Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 569

January 2–7, 2016 Donald Trump
30% 		Marco Rubio

14%

Chris Christie

12%

Ted Cruz 10%, John Kasich 9%, Jeb Bush 9%, Rand Paul 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee <1%, Other <1%, Undecided 5%
NH1/Reach[135]

Margin of error: ± 3.1% Sample size: 1000

January 7, 2016 Donald Trump
31.7% 		Jeb Bush

11.9%

John Kasich 11.8% Chris Christie 11.0%, Ted Cruz 9.7%, Marco Rubio 8.9%, Carly Fiorina 4.6%, Ben Carson 3.8%, Rand Paul 3.0%, Rick Santorum 2.6%, Mike Huckabee 1.0%
Fox News[136]

Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 414

January 4–7, 2016 Donald Trump
33% 		Marco Rubio

15%

Ted Cruz 12% Jeb Bush 9%, John Kasich 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 4%
Public Policy Polling[137]

Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 515

January 4–6, 2016 Donald Trump
29% 		Marco Rubio

15%

Chris Christie/

John Kasich 11%

Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 10%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Undecided 2%

Results

edit
New Hampshire Republican primary, February 9, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 100,735 35.23% 11 0 11
John Kasich 44,932 15.72% 4 0 4
Ted Cruz 33,244 11.63% 3 0 3
Jeb Bush 31,341 10.96% 3 0 3
Marco Rubio 30,071 10.52% 2 0 2
Chris Christie 21,089 7.38% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina 11,774 4.12% 0 0 0
Ben Carson 6,527 2.28% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 1,930 0.68% 0 0 0
Write-ins 2,912 1.02% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 216 0.08% 0 0 0
Andy Martin 202 0.07% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 160 0.06% 0 0 0
Jim Gilmore 134 0.05% 0 0 0
Richard Witz 104 0.04% 0 0 0
George Pataki (withdrawn) 79 0.03% 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 73 0.03% 0 0 0
Brooks Andrews Cullison 56 0.02% 0 0 0
Timothy Cook 55 0.02% 0 0 0
Bobby Jindal (withdrawn) 53 0.02% 0 0 0
Frank Lynch 47 0.02% 0 0 0
Joe Robinson 44 0.02% 0 0 0
Stephen Bradley Comley 32 0.01% 0 0 0
Chomi Prag 16 0.01% 0 0 0
Jacob Daniel Dyas 15 0.01% 0 0 0
Stephen John McCarthy 12 0% 0 0 0
Walter Iwachiw 9 0% 0 0 0
Kevin Glenn Huey 8 0% 0 0 0
Matt Drozd 6 0% 0 0 0
Robert Lawrence Mann 5 0% 0 0 0
Peter Messina 5 0% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 285,916 100.00% 23 0 23
Source: The Green Papers

Note: Delegates were awarded to candidates who got 10% or more of the vote proportionally. Of the 25 candidate/hopefuls, five candidates garnered delegates.

Results by county

edit
County Trump Kasich Cruz
Belknap 35.16% 15.73% 12.89%
Carroll 33.95% 18.55% 11.05%
Cheshire 33.42% 16.05% 13.92%
Coos 36.99% 15.97% 10.18%
Grafton 29.36% 20.83% 10.35%
Hillsborough 34.89% 14.89% 11.43%
Merrimack 33.02% 18.61% 11.39%
Rockingham 38.73% 13.98% 10.78%
Strafford 33.40% 14.50% 15.09%
Sullivan 36.73% 15.91% 11.34%
TOTAL 35.23% 15.71% 11.63%
Source: uselectionatlas.org

Exit polls

edit
2016 New Hampshire Republican Primary by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)[138]
Demographic subgroup Cruz Trump Rubio Kasich Bush % of

total vote

Total vote 11.6 35.2 10.5 15.7 11.0 90%
Gender
Men 12 38 9 16 8 52%
Women 11 33 12 16 14 48%
Age
17–29 years old 17 38 12 11 10 15%
30–44 years old 12 36 18 12 7 17%
45–64 years old 11 36 8 18 11 49%
65+ years old 9 31 11 19 15 19%
Income
Under $30,000 14 39 9 7 16 10%
$30,000 - $49,999 12 40 9 13 9 16%
$50,000 - $99,999 12 37 10 16 11 33%
$100,000 - $199,999 10 32 13 19 11 31%
Over $200,000 9 32 12 20 13 10%
Education
College Graduate 11 30 12 19 12 53%
Non-college 13 42 10 12 9 47%
Issue regarded as most important
Immigration 21 44 8 5 6 15%
Economy 6 30 12 24 12 33%
Terrorism 12 28 13 15 14 24%
Government spending 13 28 8 15 10 26%
Area type
Urban 12 37 9 13 12 10%
Suburban 11 37 11 14 11 54%
Rural 12 33 11 19 11 37%
Religion
Evangelical 24 28 13 11 11 23%
Non-Evangelical 8 38 10 18 11 77%
Gun household
Yes 12 40 8 13 10 57%
No 9 28 15 21 13 43%

Analysis

edit

According to exit polls by Edison Research, Trump's landslide in New Hampshire could be attributed to strong support from non-college whites and voters holding a moderate political ideology.[138] Trump amassed the largest margin of victory in a New Hampshire Republican primary since 2000, when John McCain upset George W. Bush. In his victory speech, Trump promised, "I am going to be the greatest jobs president that God ever created," and that he will "knock the hell out of ISIS."[139] Trump's tough-on-terror message resonated in the state, where 65% of Republican voters supported his proposed Muslim ban.[138]

See also

edit

References

edit
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q "Results from the 2016 New Hampshire primary". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved October 25, 2016.
  2. ^ Burns, Alexander; Haberman, Maggie (February 10, 2016). "Chris Christie Drops Out of Presidential Race After New Hampshire Flop". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved June 18, 2022.
  3. ^ Parker, Ashley (February 10, 2016). "Carly Fiorina Drops Out of Republican Presidential Race". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved June 18, 2022.
  4. ^ a b Gass, Nick (January 26, 2016). "Kasich wins the New Hampshire newspaper primary". Politico. Retrieved January 26, 2016.
  5. ^ Rappeport, Alan (January 26, 2016). "Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump Far Ahead in New Hampshire, Poll Finds". The New York Times. Retrieved January 26, 2016.
  6. ^ Stokols, Eli (December 27, 2015). "The GOP's New Hampshire nightmare". Politico. Retrieved January 26, 2016.
  7. ^ "For our safety, our future: Chris Christie for President". New Hampshire Union Leader. November 28, 2015. Archived from the original on January 26, 2016. Retrieved January 26, 2016.
  8. ^ Enten, Harry (November 30, 2015). "Will The New Hampshire Union Leader's Endorsement Help Chris Christie?". Fivethirtyeight. Retrieved February 11, 2016.
  9. ^ a b c d e Paul Feely (August 1, 2015). "Voters First Forum levels the playing field". New Hampshire Union-Leader. Archived from the original on September 25, 2015. Retrieved August 3, 2015.
  10. ^ Brian Stelter (August 3, 2015). "Republican forum begins Monday without Donald Trump". CNNMoney.
  11. ^ "Voters First Forum Topics". On Monday, August 3, candidates ... will be broadcast live on C-SPAN at 7 p.m. Topics for the forum will be determined by you, the voters. Please choose the top five topics you would like to see discussed. ...from these [five] identical drop-down lists: Iran nuclear deal, Homeland Security (Terrorism), Defense, International Trade, Immigration, Russia, Climate change, Crime, Drugs/heroin, Death penalty, Euthanasia, U.S. debt/deficit, Taxes, Economy and jobs, Campaign spending Reform, Social Security, Medicare, Healthcare/Obamacare, Gay marriage, Religious freedom, Privacy/surveillance, Education/Common Core, Abortion, 1st Amendment, 2nd Amendment, Race.
  12. ^ a b "Trump tells Union Leader: No endorsement, no show". New Hampshire Union Leader. July 29, 2015. Archived from the original on October 20, 2018. Retrieved December 21, 2015.
  13. ^ "Senate roll vote on Planned Parenthood". Associated Press. August 3, 2015. Retrieved September 24, 2015.
  14. ^ Ward, Jon (July 29, 2015). "New Hampshire thumbs its nose at Fox News over presidential debates". The Union Leader considered allowing Mark Everson, the commissioner of the Internal Revenue Service from 2003 to 2007, to take part. Everson announced his candidacy in March. "We had discussions with Mark Everson about whether or not he would qualify. We didn't want to do what Fox did, which was cut the field arbitrarily," Spiner said. "We took a serious look to see if we were missing something here, and we decided we weren't."
  15. ^ Ben Jacobs. "Who is Mark Everson? Why, he's the 18th Republican candidate, of course". the Guardian.
  16. ^ "Outfoxed: Voters Forum to be first for GOP". New Hampshire Union Leader. July 14, 2015. Archived from the original on March 4, 2016. Retrieved August 3, 2015.
  17. ^ "Radio 2016 Republican Candidates Voters First". C-SPAN.
  18. ^ "UPDATED: Bush, Walker, Paul in, Trump out of Voters First forum". New Hampshire Union Leader. July 24, 2015. Archived from the original on October 20, 2018. Retrieved January 5, 2022.
  19. ^ "The existential pleasures of the Lesser Known Candidates presidential debate". The Washington Post. Retrieved October 25, 2016.
  20. ^ Sprunt, Barbara. "On The Clock: Rubio Gets The Most Talking Time In Tonight's Debate". NPR.org. Retrieved February 7, 2016.
  21. ^ "2016 Republican Presidential Nomination". realclearpolitics.com. Retrieved October 25, 2016.
  22. ^ "Scheduled Presidential Candidate Visits & Other Forums - LWV of New Hampshire". lwvnh.org. Archived from the original on December 31, 2015. Retrieved December 16, 2015.
  23. ^ Kamisar, Ben (January 26, 2016). "Rand Paul makes main debate stage". The Hill. Retrieved February 2, 2016.
  24. ^ Anthony, Bennett (February 3, 2016). "When Is the Next GOP Debate?". Heavy.com. Retrieved February 4, 2016.
  25. ^ ABC News (January 27, 2016). "ABC News Announces Criteria For New Hampshire Republican Debate". ABC News. Retrieved February 2, 2016.
  26. ^ "ABC News Announces New Hampshire Republican Debate Candidate Lineup". ABC News. February 4, 2016. Retrieved February 4, 2016.
  27. ^ Kamisar, Ben (February 4, 2016). "Carly Fiorina misses debate stage". The Hill. Retrieved February 4, 2016.
  28. ^ Tom LoBianco. "Chris Christie: 'Whole race changed' after GOP debate". CNN. Retrieved October 25, 2016.
  29. ^ "How Chris Christie owned Marco Rubio in Saturday's GOP debate". The Washington Post. Retrieved October 25, 2016.
  30. ^ "NHSOS". nh.gov. Retrieved October 25, 2016.
  31. ^ Stolberg, Sheryl Gay (July 21, 2015). "John Kasich Enters Crowded 2016 Race Facing Job of Catch-Up". The New York Times. Retrieved July 21, 2015.
  32. ^ "John Kasich FEC Filing" (PDF). FEC.gov. July 23, 2015. Retrieved July 28, 2015.
  33. ^ "Ted Cruz FEC filing" (PDF). FEC.gov. March 23, 2015. Retrieved April 1, 2015.
  34. ^ Rafferty, Andrew (June 15, 2015). "Jeb Bush Makes 2016 Run Official". NBC News. Retrieved June 15, 2015.
  35. ^ "Jeb Bush FEC Filing" (PDF). FEC.gov. June 15, 2015. Retrieved June 16, 2015.
  36. ^ Parker, Ashley (April 13, 2015). "Marco Rubio Announces 2016 Presidential Bid". The New York Times. Retrieved April 13, 2015.
  37. ^ Nelson, Rebecca (April 13, 2015) "Marco Rubio Makes His Pitch as the Fresh Face of the GOP in 2016", National Journal. Retrieved April 14, 2015.
  38. ^ "Marco Rubio FEC Filing" (PDF). FEC.gov. April 13, 2015. Retrieved May 7, 2015.
  39. ^ Barbaro, Michael (June 30, 2015). "Chris Christie Announces Run, Pledging 'Truth' About Nation's Woes". The New York Times. Retrieved June 30, 2015.
  40. ^ "Christopher J. Christie FEC Filing" (PDF). FEC.gov. July 1, 2015. Retrieved July 6, 2015.
  41. ^ Gass, Nick (May 4, 2015). "Carly Fiorina: 'Yes, I am running for president'". Politico. Retrieved May 4, 2015.
  42. ^ "Carly Fiorina FEC Filing" (PDF). FEC.gov. May 4, 2015. Retrieved May 7, 2015.
  43. ^ Terris, Ben (May 3, 2015). "Ben Carson announces presidential campaign". The Washington Post. Retrieved May 4, 2015.
  44. ^ Rafferty, Andrew (May 4, 2015). "Ben Carson Announces 2016 Run". NBCNews.com. Retrieved May 4, 2015.
  45. ^ "Ben Carson FEC Filing" (PDF). FEC.gov. May 4, 2015. Retrieved May 7, 2015.
  46. ^ Allen, Cooper (July 30, 2015). "Jim Gilmore formally joins GOP presidential race". USA Today. Retrieved July 30, 2015.
  47. ^ "Jim Gilmore FEC Filing" (PDF). FEC.gov. July 29, 2015. Retrieved July 29, 2015.
  48. ^ a b c d e f g h i New Hampshire presidential primary, WMUR-TV, Last Updated February 10, 2016. Accessed February 10, 2016
  49. ^ Jaffe, Alexandra (June 1, 2015) "Graham bets on foreign experience in White House bid announcement", CNN. Retrieved June 1, 2015.
  50. ^ "Lindsey Graham FEC Filing" (PDF). FEC.gov. June 1, 2015. Retrieved June 2, 2015.
  51. ^ Trip, Gabriel (May 5, 2015). "Mike Huckabee Joins Republican Presidential Race". The New York Times. Retrieved May 5, 2015.
  52. ^ "Mike Huckabee FEC Filing" (PDF). FEC.gov. Retrieved May 10, 2015.
  53. ^ Fahrenthold, David A.; Hohmann, James (June 24, 2015). "Bobby Jindal announces entry into 2016 presidential race". The Washington Post. Retrieved June 24, 2015.
  54. ^ "Bobby Jindal FEC Filing" (PDF). FEC.gov. June 29, 2015. Retrieved June 30, 2015.
  55. ^ Fahrenthold, David A. (May 28, 2015). "George Pataki announces presidential campaign". The Washington Post. Retrieved May 28, 2015.
  56. ^ "George Pataki FEC filing" (PDF). FEC.gov. June 2, 2015. Retrieved June 4, 2015.
  57. ^ Lambert, Lisa (April 7, 2015). "Republican Rand Paul announces 2016 presidential run on website". Reuters. Retrieved April 7, 2015.
  58. ^ Killough, Ashley (April 7, 2015). "Rand Paul: 'I am running for president'". CNN. Retrieved April 7, 2015.
  59. ^ "Rand Paul FEC filing" (PDF). FEC.gov. April 8, 2015. Retrieved April 9, 2015.
  60. ^ Malone, Clare. "Goodbye, Rand Paul; Goodbye, GOP Dovishness". fivethirtyeight. Retrieved February 3, 2015.
  61. ^ Jackson, David (May 27, 2015). "Santorum officially begins 2016 presidential campaign". USA Today. Retrieved May 28, 2015.
  62. ^ "Rick Santorum FEC filing" (PDF). FEC.gov. May 27, 2015. Retrieved June 1, 2015.
  63. ^ "Updated: Former Sen. Judd Gregg endorses Jeb Bush for president". WMUR9abc. October 29, 2015. Retrieved October 29, 2015.
  64. ^ "Updated: Jeb 2016, Inc". P2016. June 15, 2015. Retrieved June 15, 2015.
  65. ^ "Updated: Bush Receives Major Endorsement In New Hampshire". NBC. October 14, 2015. Retrieved October 14, 2015.
  66. ^ "Jeb Bush backers still supporting ex-governor". Washington Times. October 29, 2015. Retrieved October 29, 2015.
  67. ^ "Bush: Extremely electable". Conway Daily Sun. February 3, 2016. Retrieved February 3, 2016.
  68. ^ "Former US Rep. Bill Zeliff latest to endorse Christie". WMUR9. December 2, 2015. Retrieved December 2, 2015.
  69. ^ "Chris Christie lands Jeb Bradley endorsement". MSNBC. December 7, 2015. Retrieved December 7, 2015.
  70. ^ a b "Will Ted Cruz surprise in New Hampshire?". Politico. February 8, 2016. Retrieved February 8, 2016.
  71. ^ "Christie Campaign Press Release - Former Republican Nominee For Governor Walt Havenstein Endorses Chris Christie For President". The American Presidency Project. November 5, 2015. Retrieved November 5, 2015.
  72. ^ "Former New Hampshire State Senator Bob Letourneau of Derry Endorses Chris Christie for President". Blog4President. November 21, 2015. Retrieved November 21, 2015.
  73. ^ "Will Ted Cruz surprise in New Hampshire?". P2016. May 13, 2015. Retrieved May 13, 2015.
  74. ^ a b "New Hampshire Endorsements—Republicans". P2016. January 8, 2016.
  75. ^ "New Hampshire Endorsements—Republicans". P2016. January 8, 2016. Retrieved January 5, 2016.
  76. ^ "Carly Fiorina Wins Key Endorsement in New Hampshire". NBC. January 2, 2016. Retrieved January 2, 2016.
  77. ^ "Kasich picks up endorsement of former N.H. senator Humphrey". Politico. October 2, 2015. Retrieved October 2, 2015.
  78. ^ "Fmr. NH Sen. Sununu: Why I'm Thrilled John Kasich Decided To Run For President". Real Clear Politics. July 21, 2015. Retrieved June 21, 2015.
  79. ^ "Kasich Campaign Press Release - Endorsement: Former Congressman Charlie Bass Supports John Kasich for President". The American Presidency Project. February 2, 2016. Retrieved February 2, 2016.
  80. ^ "Former Judge, Rep. Douglas Backs Kasich". Patch. January 20, 2016. Retrieved January 20, 2016.
  81. ^ "John Kasich names David Boutin a NH co-chair". New Hampshire Union Leader. September 3, 2015. Retrieved September 3, 2015.
  82. ^ "Portsmouth Herald, Foster's endorse Kasich in NH GOP primary". seacoastonline.com. January 15, 2016. Archived from the original on September 20, 2021. Retrieved June 19, 2022.
  83. ^ "Our choice for the GOP nomination". Nashua Telegraph. January 17, 2016.
  84. ^ "Editorial: John Kasich". Valley News. West Lebanon, N.H. January 24, 2016. Retrieved January 24, 2016.
  85. ^ "Editorial: John Kasich for the Republican nomination". Concord Monitor. January 26, 2016.
  86. ^ "We endorse John Kasich for the Republican presidential nomination". The Keene Sentinel. January 27, 2016.
  87. ^ "Three endorsements that would matter in N.H." The Boston Globe. February 6, 2016. Retrieved February 6, 2016.
  88. ^ "Birdsell, MacDonald co-chairs for Rubio". New Hampshire Union leader. May 19, 2015. Retrieved May 19, 2015.
  89. ^ "New Hampshire Endorsements—Republicans". P2016. January 8, 2016. Retrieved January 8, 2016.
  90. ^ "Sen. Stiles endorses Pataki". SeaCoasyOnline. May 28, 2015. Retrieved May 28, 2015.
  91. ^ "Rand Paul Campaign Press Release - 100 New Hampshire Leaders Stand With Rand". The American Presidency Project. June 25, 2015. Retrieved June 25, 2015.
  92. ^ RealClearPolitics
  93. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  94. ^ Primary results
  95. ^ "ARG Poll". American Research Group. Retrieved February 9, 2016.
  96. ^ "Trump, Sanders lead ahead of New Hampshire's vote". University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Retrieved February 9, 2016.
  97. ^ "Gravis NH Poll Shows Trump Leading in New Hampshire Post ABC Debate". Gravis Marketing. Retrieved February 9, 2016.
  98. ^ a b "ARG Poll". American Research Group. Retrieved February 8, 2016.
  99. ^ "Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell. Retrieved February 8, 2016.
  100. ^ "DONALD TRUMPS NEW HAMPSHIRE; BATTLE FOR SECOND BETWEEN BUSH AND KASICH AS DEBATE FALLOUT CONTINUES. SANDERS WELL AHEAD OF CLINTON" (PDF). Emerson College Polling Society. Retrieved February 9, 2016.
  101. ^ "TRUMP, SANDERS HOLD LEADS" (PDF). Monmouth University. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 14, 2016. Retrieved February 8, 2016.
  102. ^ "Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell. Retrieved February 8, 2016.
  103. ^ "Full CNN/WMUR tracking poll results". Retrieved February 8, 2016.
  104. ^ "Donald Trump's Lead in New Hampshire appears to be Shrinking as Cruz, Rubio, Kasich and Bush Show Modest Signs of Improvement" (PDF). RKM Research and Communications. February 6, 2016. Retrieved February 8, 2016.
  105. ^ "ARG Poll". American Research Group. Retrieved February 7, 2016.
  106. ^ "Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell. Retrieved February 7, 2016.
  107. ^ "New Globe poll shows Rubio closing in on Trump in N.H." Boston Globe. Retrieved February 6, 2016.
  108. ^ "ARG Poll". American Research Group. Retrieved February 6, 2016.
  109. ^ "In N.H., Democratic Race Tightens Slightly, Trump Stays Ahead On GOP Side". WBUR. Retrieved February 6, 2016.
  110. ^ "Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell. Retrieved February 5, 2016.
  111. ^ "CNN/WMUR New Hampshire Republican poll: Full results". Retrieved February 5, 2016.
  112. ^ "NBC News/WSJ/Marsit New Hampshire Poll". Marist. Retrieved February 5, 2016.
  113. ^ "ARG Poll". ARG. Retrieved February 5, 2016.
  114. ^ "Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell. Retrieved February 4, 2016.
  115. ^ "New Hampshire Republican Primary Poll Results" (PDF). Harper Polling. Archived from the original (PDF) on February 7, 2016. Retrieved February 4, 2016.
  116. ^ "Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell. Retrieved February 3, 2016.
  117. ^ "Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters" (PDF). YouGov. Retrieved February 6, 2016.
  118. ^ "ARG Poll". ARG. Retrieved February 2, 2016.
  119. ^ "Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell. Retrieved February 1, 2016.
  120. ^ "CNN Poll" (PDF). University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Retrieved February 1, 2016.
  121. ^ "Donald Trump builds on his lead in New Hampshire, as more than one half of Republican voters in the state now believe he will be the eventual Republican nominee" (PDF). RKM Research. Retrieved February 1, 2016.
  122. ^ "Trump Maintains Lead in Suffolk University Poll of N.H. GOP Primary Voters". Suffolk University. Archived from the original on February 2, 2016. Retrieved January 29, 2016.
  123. ^ "Survey of New Hampshire Primary Voters" (PDF). Adrian Gray Consulting LLC. Retrieved February 3, 2016.
  124. ^ "NEW HAMPSHIRE-TRUMP COMFORTABLY AHEAD; BUSH SURGES TO SECOND, KASICH IN THIRD; SANDERS CRUISING AHEAD OF CLINTON" (PDF). Emerson College Polling Society. Retrieved January 28, 2016.
  125. ^ a b "ARG Poll". ARG. Retrieved January 20, 2016.
  126. ^ "Donald Trump builds on his lead in New Hampshire, as more than one-half of Republican voters in the state now believe he will be the eventual Republican nominee" (PDF). RKM Research and Communications. Retrieved January 26, 2016.
  127. ^ "Trump Leads in IA, NH, and SC… Clinton and Sanders Competitive in IA, Sanders up in NH, Clinton Leads in SC". Marist Poll. Retrieved January 28, 2016.
  128. ^ "New Hampshire Presidential Primary". Fox News. Retrieved January 25, 2016.
  129. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker New Hampshire" (PDF). YouGov. Retrieved January 25, 2016.
  130. ^ "Trump Still on Top in NH, Big Battle for Second, Most Voters Still Undecided" (PDF). University of New Hampshire. Archived from the original (PDF) on January 23, 2016. Retrieved January 21, 2016.
  131. ^ "Likely New Hampshire Primary Voters' Attitudes Toward Social Security" (PDF). AARP. Retrieved January 28, 2016.
  132. ^ "ARG Poll". ARG. Retrieved January 12, 2016.
  133. ^ "Trump Lead Grows" (PDF). Monmouth University. Archived from the original (PDF) on January 18, 2016. Retrieved January 12, 2016.
  134. ^ "Cruz and Trump Vie in IA, Trump NH Favorite… Clinton and Sanders Competitive". Marist Poll. Retrieved January 11, 2016.
  135. ^ "Republican Presidential Poll" (PDF). Retrieved January 9, 2016.
  136. ^ "New Hampshire Presidential Primary Race". Fox News. Retrieved January 9, 2016.
  137. ^ "Establishment Split Leaves Trump Well Ahead in NH" (PDF). PPP. Retrieved January 7, 2016.
  138. ^ a b c "New Hampshire Exit Polls". The New York Times. February 9, 2016. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved June 18, 2022.
  139. ^ Healy, Patrick; Martin, Jonathan (February 9, 2016). "Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders Win in New Hampshire Primary". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved October 2, 2016.
Retrieved from "https://en.wiki.x.io/w/index.php?title=2016_New_Hampshire_Republican_presidential_primary&oldid=1257390759"