2024 Indiana gubernatorial election

(Redirected from Eric Doden)

The 2024 Indiana gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2024, to elect the next governor of Indiana, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Republican Senator Mike Braun won his first term in office, defeating Democrat former state Superintendent of Public Instruction Jennifer McCormick. He will succeed Republican incumbent Eric Holcomb, who was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term.

2024 Indiana gubernatorial election

← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee Mike Braun Jennifer McCormick
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Micah Beckwith Terry Goodin
Popular vote 1,566,081 1,183,741
Percentage 54.38% 41.11%

County results
Braun:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
McCormick:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%

Governor before election

Eric Holcomb
Republican

Elected Governor

Mike Braun
Republican

Primary elections took place on May 7, 2024, in which Republican U.S. Senator Mike Braun, Democratic former state Superintendent of Public Instruction Jennifer McCormick, and Libertarian software engineer Donald Rainwater won their respective parties' nominations.[1] Braun defeated McCormick with 54.4 percent of the vote in the general election.[2]

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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Declined

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Endorsements

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Brad Chambers

U.S. representatives

Local officials

Individuals

Suzanne Crouch

U.S. representatives

State officials

State legislators

Local officials

Organizations

Eric Doden

Organizations

Curtis Hill

U.S. Executive branch officials

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin of
error
Mike
Braun
Brad
Chambers
Suzanne
Crouch
Eric
Doden
Curtis
Hill
Jamie
Reitenour
Undecided
SurveyUSA[40][A] April 4–7, 2024 447 (LV) ± 4.47% 44% 8% 10% 8% 2% 2% 26%
Indy Politics/Crossroads Public Affairs[41] March 24–25, 2024 500 (LV) ± 4.8% 33% 10% 11% 11% 5% 1% 30%
Emerson College/The Hill[42] March 2–5, 2024 526 (LV) ± 4.2% 34% 5% 7% 7% 2% 2% 43%
Mark It Red[43][B] December 18–20, 2023 (LV) 40% 5% 13% 3% 5% 30%
Mark It Red[44][B] November 18–22, 2022 750 (LV) ± 2.5% 47% 10% 5% 37%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Mike
Braun
Suzanne
Crouch
Eric
Doden
Trey
Hollingsworth
Todd
Rokita
Other Undecided
Bellwether Research[45] December 11–17, 2022 1,000 (LV) 25% 7% 3% 6% 9% 9% 40%

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of April 16, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike Braun (R) $12,420,094 $9,760,847 $946,167
Brad Chambers (R) $12,810,055[b] $12,048,947 $761,108
Suzanne Crouch (R) $8,129,813 $4,391,792 $3,055,958
Eric Doden (R) $11,236,992[c] $10,040,685 $250,969
Curtis Hill (R) $574,604 $560,352 $34,394
Jamie Reitenour (R) $75,923 $68,920 $6,191
Source: Indiana Secretary of State[46]

Debates & Forums

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2024 Indiana gubernatorial election Republican primary debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Braun Chambers Crouch Doden Hill Reitenour
1 March 11, 2024 Current Publishing Ann Marie Shambaugh Video P P P P P P
2 March 26, 2024 FOX 59 Beairshelle Edmé
Dan Spehler
Video P P P P N N
3 March 27, 2024 WISH-TV Phil Sanchez
April Simpson
Video P P P P P N
4 April 23, 2024 Indiana Debate Commission Jon Schwantes Video A P P P P P
2024 Indiana gubernatorial election Republican primary forum
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Braun Chambers Crouch Doden Hill Reitenour
1 January 25, 2024 First Principles Forum Devin Anderson
Joy Pullmann
Anchor Fanchon
Video P P P P P N

Results

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Results by county:
  Braun
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  Crouch
  •   40–50%
  Chambers
  •   20–30%
Republican primary results[47]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Braun 236,641 39.6
Republican Suzanne Crouch 130,146 21.8
Republican Brad Chambers 104,653 17.5
Republican Eric Doden 71,135 11.9
Republican Jamie Reitenour 28,757 4.8
Republican Curtis Hill 26,837 4.5
Total votes 598,169 100.0

Lieutenant governor selection

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The Republican nominee for lieutenant governor was chosen at a convention on June 15. After winning the gubernatorial primary, Mike Braun endorsed state representative Julie McGuire to be his running mate,[48] but during the convention, delegates instead selected pastor Micah Beckwith in an upset.[49]

Nominee

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Eliminated at convention

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Endorsements

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Julie McGuire

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

Statewide officials

Results

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Republican convention results[49]
Candidate Round 1
Votes %
Micah Beckwith 891 51.83
Julie McGuire 828 48.17
Total ballots 1,719 100.00

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Declared

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Disqualified

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  • Tamie Dixon-Tatum, municipal official and perennial candidate[54] (ran for lieutenant governor)[55]

Withdrawn

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  • Bob Kern, retired paralegal and perennial candidate (ran for lieutenant governor)[56]

Declined

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Endorsements

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Jennifer McCormick

State legislators

County officials

Labor unions

Political parties

Results

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Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jennifer McCormick 180,404 100.00%
Total votes 180,404 100.00%

Lieutenant governor selection

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The Indiana Democratic Party nominated their candidate for lieutenant governor on July 13, 2024. On June 20, McCormick announced Terry Goodin as her preferred running mate, leading to controversy over Goodin's past positions on abortion, guns, and LGBT rights.[66]

Nominee

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Eliminated at convention

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  • Tamie Dixon-Tatum, municipal official and perennial candidate[55]
  • Bob Kern, retired paralegal and perennial candidate[56]
  • Clif Marsiglio, educator and candidate for Mayor of Indianapolis in 2023[68]

Declined

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Endorsements

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Terry Goodin

Statewide officials

State legislators

Individuals

Results

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Democratic convention results[72]
Candidate Round 1
Votes %
Terry Goodin 1,209 79.28
Tamie Dixon-Tatum 162 10.62
Clif Marsiglio 145 9.51
Bob Kern 9 0.59
Total ballots 1,525 100.00

Libertarian convention

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Candidates

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Nominee

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General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[74] Likely R October 15, 2024
Inside Elections[75] Likely R September 26, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[76] Likely R October 4, 2024
RCP[77] Likely R July 13, 2024
Elections Daily[78] Safe R July 12, 2023
CNalysis[79] Likely R November 1, 2024

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin of
error
Mike
Braun (R)
Jennifer
McCormick (D)
Donald
Rainwater (L)
Undecided
ActiVote[80] October 5–28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 56% 44%
ActiVote[81] September 3 – October 5, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46%
ARW Strategies[82][C] September 23–25, 2024 600 (LV) 44% 37% 9% 10%
GBAO (D)[83][D] September 19–22, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 44% 41% 8% 7%
Emerson College[84][E] September 12–13, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 45% 34% 6% 13%
Lake Research Partners (D)[85][F] August 26 – September 2, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 39% 9% 11%
Public Policy Polling (D)[86][G] August 15–16, 2023 663 (RV) ± 3.8% 46% 35% 19%
Hypothetical polling

Suzanne Crouch vs. Jennifer McCormick

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin of
error
Suzanne
Crouch (R)
Jennifer
McCormick (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[86][G] August 15–16, 2022 663 (RV) ± 3.81% 39% 35% 28%

Curtis Hill vs. Jennifer McCormick

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin of
error
Curtis
Hill (R)
Jennifer
McCormick (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[86][G] August 15–16, 2022 663 (RV) ± 3.81% 36% 36% 28%

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike Braun (R) $13,452,526 $12,167,024 $1,285,502
Jennifer McCormick (D) $2,353,947 $1,857,591 $496,356
Donald Rainwater (L) $108,844 $92,012 $16,833
Source: Indiana Secretary of State[87]

Debates

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Governor debates

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2024 Indiana gubernatorial election debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Braun McCormick Rainwater
1 October 2, 2024 FOX 59/CBS 4 Dan Spehler & Beairshelle Edmé Video P P N
2 October 3, 2024 WISH-TV Phil Sanchez Video P P P
3 October 24, 2024 Indiana Debate Commission Laura Merrifield Wilson Video P P P

Lieutenant governor debate

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2024 Indiana lieutenant gubernatorial election debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Beckwith Goodin Hudson
1 August 13, 2024 AgrIInstitute Gerry Dick Video P P P

Results

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2024 Indiana gubernatorial election[88]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mike Braun
Micah Beckwith
1,561,279 54.38 −2.13
Democratic Jennifer McCormick
Terry Goodin
1,179,967 41.11 +9.06
Libertarian Donald Rainwater
Tonya Hudson
129,439 4.52 −6.92
Total votes 2,865,801 100.00
Republican hold

By county

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Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Notes

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  1. ^ a b c d e Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ $8,000,000 of this total was self-funded by Chambers
  3. ^ $100,000 of this total was self-funded by Doden

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll commissioned by State Affairs and Howey Politics
  2. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Braun's campaign.
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by IndyPolitics.org
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by The Hill
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by the campaign of Destiny Wells, 2024 Democratic nominee for attorney general
  7. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by McCormick's campaign.

See also

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References

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  1. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. ^ "Indiana Governor Election Results 2024: McCormick vs. Braun". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 7, 2024.
  3. ^ "U.S. Senator Mike Braun launches campaign for governor". The Indianapolis Star. December 12, 2022.
  4. ^ Dwyer, Kayla. "Former IEDC head Brad Chambers announces bid for Indiana governor".
  5. ^ "Lt. Gov. Suzanne Crouch launches campaign for governor". The Indianapolis Star. December 12, 2022.
  6. ^ "Former state official announces 2024 gubernatorial run 3 years ahead of Election Day". The Indianapolis Star. May 6, 2021. Retrieved September 7, 2021.
  7. ^ Dwyer, Karla (July 10, 2023). "Curtis Hill, the former Indiana attorney general, to run for governor". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved July 10, 2023.
  8. ^ Johnson, Maura (January 20, 2023). "Jamie Reitenour announces candidacy for Indiana governor". ABC 57. Retrieved September 2, 2023.
  9. ^ Wren, Adam (June 17, 2022). "Mitch Daniels weighing return to politics". Politico. Retrieved June 17, 2022.
  10. ^ "Mitch Daniels pondering Senate bid, but says no to governor 'rerun'". January 7, 2023.
  11. ^ "Indiana Attorney General Todd Rokita not seeking higher office". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved February 22, 2023.
  12. ^ Mueller, Julia (November 1, 2023). "Trump endorses Braun in run for Indiana governor". The Hill. Retrieved November 1, 2023.
  13. ^ "Americans for Prosperity Announces Endorsement of Mike Braun for Indiana Governor".
  14. ^ Mitola, Will (September 12, 2023). "Club for Growth PAC Endorses Sen. Mike Braun for IN-GOV". Club for Growth. Archived from the original on September 13, 2023. Retrieved September 13, 2023.
  15. ^ a b c "Indiana Right to Life PAC announces primary endorsements". irtl.org. March 27, 2023. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
  16. ^ "IFA Endorses Mike Braun for Governor and Jim Banks for U.S. Senate Ahead of Next Week's Indiana Primary Elections". www.franchise.org. May 3, 2024. Retrieved May 6, 2024.
  17. ^ "Carpenters Union Endorses Mike Braun in Indiana's Governor's Race". irtl.org. April 29, 2024. Retrieved April 17, 2024.
  18. ^ "SMART-TD endorses U.S. Sen. Mike Braun (R-Indiana) as the next governor of the Hoosier State!". irtl.org. April 12, 2024. Retrieved April 17, 2024.
  19. ^ a b Carloni, Brittany (April 2, 2024). "Brad Chambers never aspired to run for office. Then he joined the Indiana governor's race". Indianapolis Star. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
  20. ^ Fadness, Scott (March 28, 2024). "I'm the mayor of Fishers. Brad Chambers is the leader Indiana needs". IndyStar. Retrieved March 28, 2024.
  21. ^ Howey, Brian A. (May 11, 2023). "Crouch endorsed by congressmen, mayors" (PDF). State Affairs Pro. Vol. 28, no. 36. Howey Politics Indiana. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  22. ^ Reporter, The (June 8, 2023). "Former Congressman Dan Burton endorses Suzanne Crouch for Governor". The Hamilton County Reporter. Retrieved June 15, 2023.
  23. ^ McKnight, Zach (May 9, 2023). "Congressman Greg Pence endorses Crouch for Governor". WEHT/WTVW Eyewitness News. Retrieved May 9, 2023.
  24. ^ "Former Secretary of State Connie Lawson endorses Suzanne Crouch for Governor". The Hamilton County Reporter. May 13, 2023. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  25. ^ de la Bastide, Ken (June 11, 2023). "COMMENTARY: Indiana Republican candidates for governor flush with cash". Indiana Economic Digest. Retrieved June 15, 2023.
  26. ^ a b Carden, Dan (June 26, 2023). "Crouch picks up endorsements from two more Northwest Indiana lawmakers". The Times of Northwest Indiana. Retrieved July 25, 2023.
  27. ^ "State Senator Jim Buck endorses Suzanne Crouch for Governor". Hamilton County Reporter. July 8, 2023. Retrieved July 25, 2023.
  28. ^ a b Carden, Dan (June 21, 2023). "Two Lake County state senators backing Crouch for governor". The Times of Northwest Indiana. Retrieved June 21, 2023.
  29. ^ Howey, Brian; Meeks, Jarred; Davies, Tom (August 17, 2023). "Doriot endorses Crouch" (PDF). Howey Politics. Retrieved October 18, 2023.
  30. ^ Howey, Brian (July 27, 2023). "Crouch endorsements" (PDF). Howey Politics Indiana State Affairs Pro. Retrieved August 17, 2023.
  31. ^ Howey, Brian (May 25, 2023). "Crouch is trotting out daily endorsements". State Affairs. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  32. ^ Herron, Arika (May 18, 2023). "Crouch snags key endorsements in gubernatorial bid". Axios. Retrieved July 25, 2023.
  33. ^ Carden, Dan (June 20, 2023). "Region Republican lawmaker supporting Crouch for Indiana governor". The Times of Northwest Indiana. Retrieved July 25, 2023.
  34. ^ "State Sen. Sandlin supports Crouch's gubernatorial bid". The Journal Gazette. July 11, 2023. Retrieved July 25, 2023.
  35. ^ "State Rep. Jerry Torr endorses Suzanne Crouch for Governor". The Hamilton County Reporter. June 21, 2023. Retrieved June 27, 2023.
  36. ^ "State Rep. JD Prescott endorses Suzanne Crouch for Governor". Facebook Reporter. June 26, 2023. Retrieved July 9, 2023.
  37. ^ "As Noblesville mayor, I've seen why Suzanne Crouch is the best choice for Indiana governor". The Indianapolis Star. April 23, 2024. Retrieved April 23, 2024.
  38. ^ Bonilla Muñiz, Leslie (May 9, 2023). "U.S. Rep. Pence endorses Crouch for governor". Indiana Capital Chronicle. Retrieved May 9, 2023.
  39. ^ "Curtis Hill was a rising GOP star before the groping allegations. Can the grassroots save him?". The Indianapolis Star. April 3, 2024. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
  40. ^ SurveyUSA
  41. ^ Indy Politics/Crossroads Public Affairs
  42. ^ Emerson College/The Hill
  43. ^ Mark It Red
  44. ^ Mark It Red
  45. ^ Bellwether Research
  46. ^ "Political Race Search". campaignfinance.in.gov. Indiana Secretary of State. Retrieved September 12, 2023.
  47. ^ "Indiana Governor Primary Election Results". The New York Times. May 7, 2024. ISSN 1553-8095. Retrieved May 7, 2024.
  48. ^ a b Gay, David (May 8, 2024). "Braun picks Indiana Rep. McGuire as preferred choice for Lt. Governor position". WXIN. Retrieved May 8, 2024.
  49. ^ a b c d Dwyer, Kayla; Carloni, Brittany (June 15, 2024). "Bucking tradition, Indiana Republicans nominate Micah Beckwith for lieutenant governor". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved June 15, 2024.
  50. ^ Lange, Kaitlin (June 14, 2024). "Trump makes surprise endorsement for lieutenant governor ahead of contested GOP convention". Indianapolis Star. Retrieved June 14, 2024.
  51. ^ a b Dwyer, Kayla (May 17, 2024). "The Republican race for lieutenant governor is closed. Here's who is officially running". Indianapolis Star. Retrieved May 17, 2024.
  52. ^ Bopp, James Jr. (June 5, 2024). "Conservative Leaders: Finish the Job and Nominate Julie McGuire for Lt. Governor". Bopp Law Firm, PC. Retrieved June 14, 2024.
  53. ^ Davies, Tom (May 4, 2023). "Ex-Indiana schools chief McCormick enters governor's race". Associated Press. Retrieved May 4, 2023.
  54. ^ Smith, Casey (February 27, 2024). "Indiana Election Commission, state Supreme Court rule against John Rust, removing him from ballot". Indiana Capital Chronicle. Democrat gubernatorial candidate Tamie Dixon-Tatum also faced a signature challenge...the commission voted unanimously in favor of the challenge
  55. ^ a b Downard, Whitney (July 10, 2024). "Wells, White vie for Democratic attorney general nod at Saturday's convention". Indiana Capital Chronicle.
  56. ^ a b Miller, Andrew (December 14, 2023). "Bob Kern drops out of gubernatorial race, leaves uncontested Democratic primary". Indiana Daily Student. Retrieved December 21, 2023.
  57. ^ Wren, Adam (June 13, 2023). "Joe Donnelly plans to stay on as ambassador to the Vatican through 2024, forgoing an Indiana governor or Senate run". Politico.
  58. ^ Howey, Brian (May 11, 2023). "McCormick INGov; McDermott out" (PDF). Howey Politics.
  59. ^ Dalton, Alex (May 4, 2023). "Jennifer McCormick launches campaign for Indiana governor". Chicago Tribune. Retrieved October 23, 2023.
  60. ^ Colwell, Jack (May 11, 2023). "Jennifer McCormick runs for governor; GOP has long controlled office". South Bend Tribune. Retrieved October 26, 2023.
  61. ^ Downard, Whitney (November 28, 2023). "McCormick campaign hits signature milestone". Indiana Capital Chronicle.
  62. ^ "2024 Indiana | CWA Endorsed Candidates | Communications Workers of America". cwa-union.org. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
  63. ^ "Labor 2024 | Indiana State AFL-CIO". inaflcio.org. Retrieved June 18, 2024.
  64. ^ "Indiana - COMPAC Endorsements". United Mine Workers of America. Retrieved April 2, 2024.
  65. ^ "Indiana Democratic Party endorses Jennifer McCormick for governor". ABC57. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  66. ^ Smith, Casey (June 20, 2024). "Democrat Jennifer McCormick taps former Indiana Rep. Terry Goodin for lieutenant governor". Indiana Capital Chronicle. Retrieved June 20, 2024.
  67. ^ Colombo, Hayleigh (July 13, 2024). "Democrats select Terry Goodin, Destiny Wells for November ballot". IndyStar. Retrieved July 13, 2024.
  68. ^ Kelly, Niki (June 17, 2024). "Democrat announces run for lieutenant governor". Indiana Capital Chronicle. Retrieved June 17, 2024.
  69. ^ a b Meeks, Jared (June 26, 2024). "J.D. Ford says he won't run for lieutenant governor". Retrieved June 26, 2024.
  70. ^ Montgomery, Gregg (June 20, 2024). "Indiana governor's race: Democrat McCormick names her running mate". WISH-TV. Retrieved June 20, 2024.
  71. ^ Gay, David (June 20, 2024). "Former 'folksy state lawmaker' endorsed by McCormick for Dem. lieutenant governor nominee". WANE-TV. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
  72. ^ Adkins, Jay (July 13, 2024). "Wells, Goodin win Democratic nominations". WISH-TV. Retrieved July 14, 2024.
  73. ^ a b Bergquist, Garrett (March 2, 2024). "Indiana Libertarians nominate 2024 candidates". WISH-TV. Retrieved March 3, 2024.
  74. ^ "2024 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  75. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  76. ^ "2024 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  77. ^ "2024 Governor Races". www.realclearpolling.com. Retrieved July 16, 2024.
  78. ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. July 22, 2023. Retrieved July 24, 2023.
  79. ^ "Governor Forecasts". CNalysis. Retrieved August 17, 2024.
  80. ^ ActiVote
  81. ^ ActiVote
  82. ^ ARW Strategies
  83. ^ GBAO (D)
  84. ^ Emerson College
  85. ^ Lake Research Partners (D)
  86. ^ a b c Public Policy Polling (D)
  87. ^ "Candidate Search". Indiana Secretary of State.
  88. ^ "Indiana Governor Election Results". The New York Times. November 5, 2024. Retrieved November 5, 2024.
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Official campaign websites