The 2022 United States Senate election in Arkansas was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member to the United States Senate to represent the state of Arkansas. Incumbent Republican Senator John Boozman ran for a third term.[1] He won the May 24, 2022 Republican primary with 58.03% of the vote and the general election with 65.73% of the vote.[2]
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| Turnout | 50.81%  | ||||||||||||||||
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  Boozman: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% James: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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This was the best performance for a Republican senator in the state's history, and was the first time for either U.S. Senate seat in Arkansas that Republicans won three consecutive elections.
Republican primary
editIncumbent senator John Boozman ran with the endorsement of former President Donald Trump. However, he attracted multiple opponents from the right who questioned his loyalty to Trump, attacking him for refusing to object to the results of the 2020 United States presidential election.[3] Despite it being his first time running for office, former NFL football player Jake Bequette and his supporting groups raised over $2.6 million.[4] Boozman ultimately won with 58% of the vote, easily avoiding a runoff.
Candidates
editNominee
edit- John Boozman, incumbent U.S. Senator[1]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Jake Bequette, former NFL player and U.S. Army veteran[5]
- Heath Loftis, pastor[6]
- Jan Morgan, gun range owner and candidate for governor of Arkansas in 2018[7]
Withdrew
edit- Michael Deel, corporate analyst[8]
Endorsements
editJohn Boozman
U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders, 31st White House press secretary (2017–2019) and candidate in the 2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election[9]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[10]
U.S. Senators
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–present) and U.S. Representative for Arkansas's 4th congressional district (2013–2015)[9]
- Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senate Minority Leader from Kentucky (1985–present)[11]
Organizations
Jake Bequette
U.S. Representatives
- Madison Cawthorn, Congressman from North Carolina's 11th congressional district (2021–2023)[15]
- Burgess Owens, Congressman from Utah's 4th congressional district (2021–present)[15]
Individuals
- Stuart Scheller, former lt. colonel[16]
Fundraising
edit| Campaign finance reports as of May 4, 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
| John Boozman (R) | $5,515,449 | $4,930,354 | $1,580,776 |
| Jake Bequette (R) | $1,262,746 | $875,103 | $375,720 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[17] | |||
Polling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jake Bequette |
John Boozman |
Heath Loftis |
Jan Morgan |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College[18] | May 2, 2022 | 802 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 19% | 45% | 2% | 17% | 18% |
Results
edit
Boozman
- 40-50%
- 50-60%
- 60-70%
- 70-80%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Boozman (incumbent) | 201,677 | 58.03% | |
| Republican | Jake Bequette | 71,809 | 20.66% | |
| Republican | Jan Morgan | 65,958 | 18.98% | |
| Republican | Heath Loftis | 8,112 | 2.33% | |
| Total votes | 347,556 | 100.0% | ||
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Natalie James, realtor[20]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Jack Foster, former Pine Bluff city alderman[21]
- Dan Whitfield, blue collar worker and independent candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[22]
Polling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jack Foster |
Natalie James |
Dan Whitfield |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College[18] | May 2, 2022 | 597 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 5% | 17% | 15% | 63% |
Results
edit
James
- 30-40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
- 60–70%
James/Whitfield tie
- 40–50%
Whitfield
- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 50–60%
Foster
- 30–40%
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Natalie James | 49,722 | 54.09% | |
| Democratic | Dan Whitfield | 28,319 | 30.80% | |
| Democratic | Jack Foster | 13,891 | 15.11% | |
| Total votes | 91,932 | 100.0% | ||
Libertarian convention
editCandidates
editNominated at convention
edit- Kenneth Cates, firefighter[23]
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[24] | Solid R | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[25] | Solid R | April 1, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] | Safe R | March 1, 2022 |
| Politico[27] | Solid R | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[28] | Safe R | February 24, 2022 |
| Fox News[29] | Solid R | May 12, 2022 |
| DDHQ[30] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[31] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[32] | Safe R | September 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
editJohn Boozman (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders, 31st White House press secretary (2017–2019) and candidate in the 2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election[9]
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021)[10]
U.S. Senators
- Tom Cotton, U.S. Senator from Arkansas (2015–present) and U.S. Representative for Arkansas's 4th congressional district (2013–2015)[9]
- Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senate Minority Leader from Kentucky (1985–present)[11]
Organizations
Natalie James (D)
Polling
edit| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
John Boozman (R) |
Natalie James (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College[36] | September 12, 2022 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 44% | 31% | 5% [b] | 21% |
| Echelon Insights[37] | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 382 (RV) | ± 7.7% | 56% | 32% | – | 12% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Boozman (incumbent) | 592,437 | 65.73% | +5.96% | |
| Democratic | Natalie James | 280,187 | 31.09% | −5.08% | |
| Libertarian | Kenneth Cates | 28,682 | 3.18% | −0.78% | |
| Total votes | 901,306 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
edit- Chicot (largest city: Dermott)
- Clark (largest city: Arkadelphia)
- Crittenden (largest city: West Memphis)
- Desha (largest city: Dumas)
- Lee (largest city: Marianna)
- St. Francis (largest city: Forrest City)
- Woodruff (largest city: Augusta)
By congressional district
editBoozman won all 4 congressional districts.[39]
| District | Boozman | James | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 72% | 25% | Rick Crawford |
| 2nd | 59% | 38% | French Hill |
| 3rd | 63% | 33% | Steve Womack |
| 4th | 70% | 27% | Bruce Westerman |
See also
editNotes
editReferences
edit- ^ a b "Senator Boozman seeks re-election in 2022". Southwest Times Record. March 15, 2021. Retrieved March 17, 2021.
- ^ "AP PROJECTS: Republican John Boozman wins reelection to U.S. Senate from Arkansas". ky3. November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
- ^ "Boozman blasted for private remarks about Trump". April 5, 2022.
- ^ "Senate Candidate Jake Bequette and Supporting Groups Raise over $2.6 Million to Date".
- ^ "Former NFL player, Iraq war veteran Jake Bequette challenges Arkansas Sen. Boozman". Fox News. July 12, 2021. Retrieved July 12, 2021.
- ^ "Another challenger to John Boozman from the right". Arkansas Times. March 24, 2021. Retrieved April 9, 2021.
- ^ "Former gubernatorial candidate Jan Morgan launches U.S. Senate bid". Arkansas Democrat Gazette. March 17, 2021. Retrieved March 18, 2021.
- ^ Staff Reports. "Young Republican Michael Deel makes bid for U.S. Senate". Southwest Times Record. Retrieved May 10, 2021.
- ^ a b c d Frank E. Lockwood (March 18, 2021). "Gun-rights activist Jan Morgan kicks off Senate run". Northwest Arkansas Democrat Gazette.
- ^ a b "Donald Trump endorses Sen. John Boozman for reelection". FoxNews. March 8, 2021. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
- ^ a b Raju, Manu; Rogers, Alex (March 12, 2021). "McConnell quietly courts Senate primary candidates 'who can win' regardless of Trump ties". CNN. Archived from the original on August 24, 2021.
- ^ "Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions Announces Second Round of Congressional Endorsements for the 2022 Election Cycle". cresenergy.com. Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions. May 4, 2022. Archived from the original on August 21, 2022. Retrieved June 7, 2022.
- ^ a b "John Boozman Endorsements".
- ^ a b "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
- ^ a b "Republican congressmen endorse Sen. Boozman's primary opponent". January 18, 2022.
- ^ https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=915738115796020 [user-generated source]
- ^ "2022 Election United States Senate - Arkansas". Federal Election Commission.
- ^ a b Hendrix College
- ^ a b "2022 Preferential Primary and Nonpartisan Judicial General Election".
- ^ Staff, A. M. P. (June 14, 2021). "Democrat Natalie James Announces for U.S. Senate". AMP. Retrieved June 15, 2021.
- ^ "Foster to run for US senate". Arkansas Democratic Gazette. April 10, 2021. Retrieved April 10, 2021.
- ^ "Dan Whitfield to run against Boozman for US Senate seat in 2022". KFSM. January 13, 2021. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
- ^ "Libertarians nominate more than 50, including Harrington for governor". Talk Business & Politics. February 21, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
- ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
- ^ "Arkansas Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
- ^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
- ^ "Natalie James Earns LCV Action Fund Endorsement to Fight for Arkansas Communities in the Senate". October 19, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved November 2, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
- ^ Hendrix College
- ^ Echelon Insights
- ^ "2022 General Election and Nonpartisan Judicial Runoff Election".
- ^ Results. docs.google.com (Report).
External links
editOfficial campaign websites