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2023 Alberta general election

(Redirected from 2023 Alberta provincial election)

The 2023 Alberta general election was held on May 29, 2023.[1] Voters elected the members of the 31st Alberta Legislature. The United Conservative Party under Danielle Smith, the incumbent Premier of Alberta, was re-elected to a second term with a reduced majority.[2] Across the province, 1,763,441 valid votes were cast in this election.[3]

2023 Alberta general election
← 2019 May 29, 2023 (May 29, 2023)[1] Next →
All 87 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Alberta
44 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout59.5% (Decrease8.0pp)
  First party Second party
 
Danielle Smith 2014.jpg
Rachel Notley crop.jpg
Leader Danielle Smith Rachel Notley
Party United Conservative New Democratic
Leader since October 6, 2022 October 18, 2014
Leader's seat Brooks-Medicine Hat Edmonton-Strathcona
Last election 63 seats, 54.87% 24 seats, 32.69%
Seats before 60 23
Seats won 49[a] 38
Seat change Decrease 11 Increase 15
Popular vote 928,896 777,397
Percentage 52.63% 44.05%
Swing Decrease2.23pp Increase11.36pp
2023 Alberta General Election Map
Premier before election

Danielle Smith
United Conservative

Premier after election

Danielle Smith
United Conservative

The writs of election were issued on May 1, triggering the campaign. This was the first election following 2021 amendments to Alberta's Election Act which had set the date of the election to the last Monday of May, subject to the lieutenant governor's usual authority to dissolve the legislature sooner in accordance with the conventions of the Westminster system.

Background

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The 2019 Alberta general election resulted in a majority government for the United Conservative Party led by Jason Kenney. The election of the new United Conservative government was widely predicted by pollsters and academics during the campaign. The United Conservatives captured 54.88 per cent of the popular vote and won 63 of the 87 seats in the Alberta Legislature.[4] The incumbent New Democratic Party, led by Premier Rachel Notley, experienced a drop in its popular vote share from 40.62 per cent in the 2015 Alberta general election to 32.67 per cent, and formed the Official Opposition with 24 seats.[4] The Alberta Party, led by former Edmonton mayor Stephen Mandel, received 9.08 per cent of the popular vote but failed to win any seats in the legislature. Various other parties and independent candidates combined for 3.37 per cent of the popular vote, without gaining any seats in the legislature. Journalist Graham Thomson described the 2019 election campaign as "more vicious, more personal, and more divisive" than any other campaign in Alberta's history.[5]

The United Conservatives were formed through the merger of the two major conservative parties in Alberta, the Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta and the Wildrose Party, in 2017. Jason Kenney, a former member of Parliament and minister in Stephen Harper's Conservative Party of Canada federal government, won the 2017 Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta leadership election on a platform of uniting the right-wing parties in Alberta.[6] The merger took place after 95 per cent of Wildrose Party members voted in favour of joining the new United Conservative Party and forming the Official Opposition.[7] In the same year, Jason Kenney won the 2017 United Conservative Party leadership election and became the leader of the Opposition.[8]

Initially, the Kenney government enjoyed substantial support among Albertans, with an approval rating of 60 per cent in June 2019.[9] Kenney's approval rating started to decline with the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in Alberta,[9] dropping below 50 per cent in February 2020 and falling further to below 33 per cent by June 2021.[10] Growing dissatisfaction within the United Conservative Party led to calls for a leadership review, with discontent primarily centred around the Kenney government's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic. As a result, Central Peace-Notley MLA Todd Loewen resigned, and the United Conservative Caucus voted to expel both Loewen and Cypress-Medicine Hat MLA Drew Barnes on May 13, 2021.[11] On May 18, 2022, Kenney announced his intention to resign as the leader of the United Conservative Party, after receiving only 51.4 per cent support during the party's leadership review.[12]

The 2022 United Conservative Party leadership election was held on October 6. Former Wildrose Party leader Danielle Smith returned to politics and defeated five other candidates to become the party leader.[13][14] After being sworn in as the premier of Alberta on October 11,[15] the Smith ministry was presented on October 21.[16] On May 1, 2023, acting on the premier's advice, the lieutenant governor dissolved the legislature and called an election for May 29.[17]

Procedure

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Procedures for provincial elections in Alberta are governed by the Election Act, and financial regulatory aspects are governed under the Election Finances and Contributions Disclosure Act. Eligibility to vote in 2023 was limited to Canadian citizens aged 18 years of age or older, and who was an ordinary resident of an Alberta electoral district.[18]

Under the Election Finances and Contributions Disclosure Act, total expenses by political parties were limited to a total of $3,208,127 during the election period from when the writ was dropped to the election day, which was $1.16 per registered elector. Individual candidates expenses were limited to $53,100 during the election period. Third-party advertisers were limited to $159,200 during the election period.[19]

In 2021, the Alberta Legislature passed the Election Statutes Amendment Act, 2021 (No. 2), which amended both the electoral acts to fix the election date to be the last Monday in May unless the lieutenant governor dissolves the Legislature sooner. The bill raised total election expense limits for each political party from $2 million to a formula of $1.16 per elector, which was expected to be near $3.2 million. The bill also prohibited an entity from registering as a third-party advertiser if someone who is a affiliated with a political party holds a "significant position" on in the entity.[20]

Electoral system

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Alberta's 87 MLAs are elected through single-member contests by plurality, also known as first past the post.

Timeline

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2019

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2020

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2021

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  • January 4: Six UCP MLAs are demoted by Jason Kenney for travelling internationally during the COVID-19 pandemic in Alberta.[34]
  • March 6: John Roggeveen is appointed interim leader of the Alberta Liberal Party.[35]
  • April 7: 17 UCP MLAs sign an open letter criticizing the Alberta government for reimposing more stringent public health restrictions aimed at combatting COVID-19.[36][37]
  • July 13: Paul Hinman is elected leader of the WIP.[38]
  • August 31: Barry Morishita is acclaimed as leader of the Alberta Party.[39]
  • November 15: 22 UCP constituency associations announce they have passed special motions calling for a review of Jason Kenney's leadership by March 1, 2022.[40]

2022

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  • March 24: UCP MLAs Jason Stephan and Peter Guthrie call on Jason Kenney to resign.[41]
  • May 18: Jason Kenney won 51.4% of votes in favour of him staying as leader in a UCP leadership review vote. However, he announced he would resign shortly after the result was revealed.[42]
  • May 19: The UCP caucus meets and decides to keep Jason Kenney as party leader and premier until a successor is chosen.[43]
  • October 6: The results of the 2022 UCP leadership election were announced, with former Wildrose Party leader Danielle Smith elected leader and therefore the next premier. In her victory speech, she invited former UCP MLA and fellow leadership candidate Todd Loewen back into caucus.[44]
  • October 11: Danielle Smith is sworn in as the 19th premier of Alberta.[45]
  • October 21: Wildrose Independence Party leader Paul Hinman is removed as leader by a court decision. Jeevan Mangat is named interim party leader. Hinman is appealing the decision.[46][47]
  • December 8: John Roggeveen is appointed permanent leader of the Alberta Liberal Party.[48][49]

2023

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  • May 1: Writs of election issued.[1]
  • May 6: A state of emergency is declared in Alberta due to ongoing wildfires throughout the province.[50]
  • May 18: The Alberta Ethics Commissioner released a report finding UCP leader Danielle Smith violated the Conflict of Interest Act over a conversation with Justice Minister Tyler Shandro regarding a COVID-19 prosecution.[51]
  • May 18: Smith-Notley Debate.[52][53]
  • May 23–27: Advance voting.[1]
  • May 29: Election day.[1]

Changes in MLAs

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Changes in seats held (2019–2023)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Lesser Slave Lake January 14, 2021 Pat Rehn █ United Cons. Removed from caucus due to lack of constituency work[54] █ Independent
July 14, 2021 █ Independent Returned to caucus[55][56] █ United Cons.
Central Peace-Notley May 13, 2021 Todd Loewen █ United Cons. Expelled by caucus over criticism of then premier Jason Kenney's COVID-19 policies [57][58] █ Independent
October 7, 2022 █ Independent Returned to caucus[59] █ United Cons.
Cypress-Medicine Hat May 13, 2021 Drew Barnes █ United Cons. Expelled by caucus over criticism of then premier Jason Kenney's COVID-19 policies[57][58] █ Independent
Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche August 15, 2021 Laila Goodridge █ United Cons. Resigned to stand for election to Fort McMurray-Cold Lake in the 2021 Canadian federal election[60] March 15, 2022 Brian Jean[61] █ United Cons.
Edmonton-South December 21, 2021 Thomas Dang █ New Democratic Resigned from caucus after RCMP investigation was conducted █ Independent
Calgary-Elbow August 31, 2022 Doug Schweitzer █ United Cons. Resigned from Legislature; retired from politics for private sector[62] █ Vacant
Brooks-Medicine Hat October 7, 2022 Michaela Frey █ United Cons. Resigned from Legislature to allow Danielle Smith to stand in a by-election[63] November 8, 2022 Danielle Smith[64] █ United Cons.
Calgary-Lougheed November 30, 2022 Jason Kenney █ United Cons. Resigned from Legislature; left politics[65] █ Vacant

Incumbent MLAs not seeking re-election

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In the months leading up to the 2023 Alberta general election, several members of the Legislative Assembly announced they would not seek re-election. This included three members of the Smith ministry including leadership contest runner-up Travis Toews (Minister of Finance and president of Treasury Board),[66] Sonya Savage (Minister of Environment and Protected Areas),[67] and Rajan Sawhney (Minister of Trade, Immigration and Multiculturalism). Shortly after Sawhney's decision not to run again, she was nominated by Smith as the United Conservative candidate for Calgary-North West.[68] Other United Conservative members of the Legislative Assembly who decided not to run again included former Ministers in the Kenney ministry: Leela Aheer,[69] Ron Orr,[70] Tracy Allard,[71] and Brad Rutherford;[72] as well as caucus members Mark Smith,[73] Roger Reid,[74] and Richard Gotfried.[75] Dave Hanson, member for Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul, lost his nomination contest against former Bonnyville-Cold Lake representative Scott Cyr;[76] and Tany Yao, member for Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo, lost his nomination contest to Zulkifl Mujahid, who was subsequently removed by the provincial board and replaced by Yao due to ongoing legal matters.[77]

New Democratic members of the Legislative Assembly deciding not to run in 2023 included members of the Notley ministry, such as Deron Bilous,[78] along with Richard Feehan,[75] as well as caucus member Jon Carson. Chris Nielsen, member for Edmonton-Decore, lost his nomination contest to Sharif Haji.[79] Two independent members of the Legislative Assembly decided not to run in 2023: former New Democrat Thomas Dang,[80] along with former United Conservative Drew Barnes.[81]

MLAs who did not run again in 2023
Retiring incumbent Electoral district Subsequent party nominee Elected MLA
  Thomas Dang[80] Independent[b] Edmonton-South Rhiannon Hoyle Rhiannon Hoyle
  Deron Bilous[78] New Democratic Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview Peggy Wright Peggy Wright
  Jon Carson New Democratic Edmonton-West Henday Brooks Arcand-Paul Brooks Arcand-Paul
  Richard Feehan[75] New Democratic Edmonton-Rutherford Jodi Calahoo Stonehouse Jodi Calahoo Stonehouse
  Drew Barnes[81] Independent[c] Cypress-Medicine Hat Justin Wright Justin Wright
  Leela Aheer[69] United Conservative Chestermere-Strathmore Chantelle de Jonge Chantelle de Jonge
  Richard Gotfried[82] United Conservative Calgary-Fish Creek Myles McDougall Myles McDougall
  Ron Orr[70] United Conservative Lacombe-Ponoka Jennifer Johnson[d] Jennifer Johnson
  Pat Rehn[83] United Conservative Lesser Slave Lake Scott Sinclair Scott Sinclair
  Roger Reid[74] United Conservative Livingstone-Macleod Chelsae Petrovic Chelsae Petrovic
  Brad Rutherford[72] United Conservative Leduc-Beaumont Brandon Lunty Brandon Lunty
  Mark Smith[73] United Conservative Drayton Valley-Devon Andrew Boitchenko Andrew Boitchenko
  Sonya Savage[67] United Conservative Calgary-North West Rajan Sawhney[68] Rajan Sawhney
Rajan Sawhney[84][e] United Conservative Calgary-North East Inder Grewal Gurinder Brar
  Travis Toews[66] United Conservative Grande Prairie-Wapiti Ron Wiebe Ron Wiebe
  Tracy Allard[71] United Conservative Grande Prairie Nolan Dyck Nolan Dyck
MLAs that lost nomination races
Outgoing incumbent Electoral district Subsequent party nominee Elected MLA
  Dave Hanson United Conservative Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul Scott Cyr[76] Scott Cyr
  Chris Nielsen New Democratic Edmonton-Decore Sharif Haji[79] Sharif Haji
  Tany Yao United Conservative Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo Tany Yao[77][f] Tany Yao

Campaign

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The election campaign was tense and featured a wide gulf between the two opposing parties, with an increasingly populist UCP facing a left-leaning NDP.[85]

Issues

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Healthcare

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Following her selection as leader of the United Conservative Party, Danielle Smith made a number of changes to Alberta's healthcare system. Smith fired the Alberta Health Services Board of Governors, replacing the board with a single administrator.[86] In addressing ambulance capacity, the Smith government changed non-medical patient transports, using taxis and other services to open capacity for ambulance crews.[87] Ambulance measures came after it came to light that 9,629 ambulance shifts in Calgary were unfilled in 2022.[87] The United Conservative Party promised to hire more obstetricians and educational support in a focus on women and children, and offered a bonus for healthcare professionals moving to Alberta.[88] During her leadership campaign, Smith advocated for a government funded $300 Health Spending Account for all Albertans to fund services that are not covered by the province, such as dental care;[89][90] however, the promise was not included in the Smith government's 2023-24 budget.[91] Smith's previous advocacy for creating co-payments and shifting the burden of healthcare payments from the government to individuals, employers and insurance companies[92] was criticized by the New Democratic Party.[89]

The New Democratic Party made a number healthcare related campaign promises, including hiring 1,500 healthcare professionals to increase the capacity of family doctors,[93] offering $10,000 signing bonus for healthcare workers and increasing the number of healthcare spaces in post-secondary schools.[88] The New Democratic Party included a pledge to review private health service contracts made by the Jason Kenney's government for private surgical centres and diagnostic laboratories.[94]

Economy

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During their campaign, the United Conservative Party pledged to reduce personal income taxes by introducing a new tax bracket for individuals earning below $60,000. This move creating an 8 per cent tax rate would result in a $1 billion reduction in government revenue.[95] As an affordability measure, the United Conservatives proposed extending the fuel tax holiday, previously budgeted until June 2023, to December 2023, at an estimated cost of $570 million.[95] Danielle Smith advocated for a non-refundable tax credit for post-secondary graduates who chose to remain in Alberta. The credit would range from $3,000 to $10,000 and was projected to cost $50 million over a four-year period.[96] The United Conservatives pledged to extend the net-zero transition of the electricity grid, moving the federally mandated timeline of 2035 to 2050.[97] In the lead-up to the election, Danielle Smith announced support for the construction of a $1.2 billion arena in Calgary. The provincial government would contribute $330 million towards the project if re-elected.[98]

The New Democratic Party campaigned on a platform that emphasized no increase in personal income taxes for a four-year period and a freeze on personal insurance rates.[95] Additionally, they made a commitment to implement the recommendations of Todd Hirsch, the former ATB Financial Chief Economist. These recommendations would establish fixed formulas for non-renewable natural resource revenue, debt, and GDP to guide future spending.[95] Rachel Notley, the leader of the New Democratic Party, expressed her support for transitioning the electrical grid to net-zero emissions by 2035.[97] Prior to the election, Notley pledged her support for a $200 million post-secondary campus in downtown Calgary. The intention behind this pledge was to foster innovation and promote economic diversification in the Calgary core.[99]

Education

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During the campaign, both the United Conservative Party and New Democratic Party made a conscious decision to steer clear of controversial education-related issues, such as proposed changes to the provincial curriculum and expansion of charter school funding. University of Calgary political scientist Lisa Young noted the parties avoided these topics in an effort to avoid alienating undecided voters.[100]

Prior to the election, the United Conservative government of Jason Kenney had an education policy favouring charter schools,[101] and undergoing a curriculum review, which was criticized by the Alberta Teachers' Association.[102] The New Democratic Party committed to increasing funding for public education by $700 million over a four years. The funding would hire 4,000 teachers and 3,000 support workers in an effort to reduce class sizes.[103]

Public safety

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In an effort to enhance confidence in public safety, Danielle Smith promised to implement an ankle bracelet monitoring program to supervise violent offenders who were released on bail. This program was estimated to cost $2 million annually.[104] Additionally, the United Conservative Party pledged to hire 100 additional police officers in Calgary and Edmonton.[104] They also proposed deploying Alberta Sheriffs to the border to combat drug and gun trafficking and to increase funding for specialized law enforcement teams.[104] Prior to the start of the election, Danielle Smith said that she would not campaign on the previous United Conservative promise to replace the Royal Canadian Mounted Police with the Alberta Provincial Police. She indicated that the issue would be revisited if the United Conservatives were re-elected.[105]

The New Democratic Party pledged to strengthen law enforcement by hiring an additional 150 police officers and 150 support staff, including social workers and addiction counselors.[106] They proposed funding this initiative by reversing the changes implemented by the United Conservative Party in 2019 which increased the provincial share of police fine revenue from 26.7 per cent to 40 per cent.[106] Furthermore, the New Democrats committed to canceling the United Conservative Party's efforts to replace the Royal Canadian Mounted Police with a provincial police force.[106]

Debates

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On May 18, a televised debate took place between Smith and Notley.[52][53]

Endorsements

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Endorsements received by each party
Type UCP NDP
Media
Politicians and public figures
Unions and business associations
Others

Opinion polling

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The following is a list of published opinion polls of voter intentions.

Opinion polls during campaign period
Pollster Client Dates
conducted 		Source UCP NDP Alberta Liberal IPA Green WIP SMA Others Margin of error Sample
size 		Polling
method 		Lead
General Election — May 29, 2023 [p 1] 52.6% 44.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.3% — — — — 8.6%
Forum Research N/A May 28, 2023 [p 2] 50.4% 44.3% — — — 1.6% — — 3.7% 3.1% 1,000 IVR 6.1%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 26–28, 2023 [p 3][p 4] 49.8% 47.8% 0.5% — — 1% 0.3% — 0.5% 2.5% 1,504 IVR 2%
Abacus Data N/A May 26–28, 2023 [p 5] 49% 48% 1% — — — — — 2% 2.9% 1,200 Online 1%
Research Co. N/A May 26–27, 2023 [p 6] 50% 46% — — — 1% — 1% 2% 4.0% 600 Online 4%
Ipsos Global News May 24–27, 2023 [p 7] 51% 46% — — — — — — 3% 3.1% 1,300 Online/Phone 5%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 24–27, 2023 [p 8] 48% 47% 2% — — 1% 1% — 1% 2.2% 1,922 IVR 1%
Counsel Public Affairs N/A May 25–26, 2023 [p 9][p 10] 41% 46% 5% 5% — — — — 4% 3% 1,232 Online 5%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 23–26, 2023 [p 11] 49% 46% 2% — — 1% 1% — 1% 2.3% 1,841 IVR 3%
Sovereign North Strategies N/A May 22–26, 2023 [p 12] 46% 48% 2% — — 2% — — 2% 1.8% 3,053 IVR/SMS 2%
EKOS N/A May 19–26, 2023 [p 13][p 14] 50.4% 47.3% 0.8% 0.4% — — — — 1.1% 2.35% 1,741 Online/IVR 3.1%
Leger Postmedia May 23–25, 2023 [p 15][p 16] 49% 46% 1% — — 1% — 1% 2% 3.1% 1,011 Online 3%
Oraclepoll Research N/A May 22–25, 2023 [p 17] 49% 46% 2% — — 3% — — — 3.5% 800 Telephone 3%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 22–25, 2023 [p 18] 48% 46% 2% — — 2% 1% — 1% 2.3% 1,734 IVR 2%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 21–24, 2023 [p 19] 49% 45% 2% — — 2% 1% — 1% 2.3% 1,700 IVR 4%
Janet Brown Opinion Research CBC May 12–24, 2023 [p 20][p 21] 52% 44% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% — <1% 2.8% 1,200 Telephone/Online 8%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 20–23, 2023 [p 22] 50% 44% 2% — — 1% 1% — 1% 2.4% 1,662 IVR 6%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 19–22, 2023 [p 23] 50% 44% 2% — — 2% 1% — 2% 2.4% 1,655 IVR 6%
Abacus Data N/A May 19–22, 2023 [p 24] 51% 47% 1% — — — — — 1% 2.6% 1,507 Online 4%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 18–21, 2023 [p 25] 49% 44% 3% — — 1% 1% — 1% 2.4% 1,656 IVR 5%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 17–20, 2023 [p 26] 47% 46% 3% — — 2% 1% — 2% 2.4% 1,645 IVR 1%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 16–19, 2023 [p 27] 48% 45% 3% — — 2% 1% — 1% 2.4% 1,657 IVR 3%
May 18, 2023 Televised leaders' debate.
Mainstreet Research N/A May 15–18, 2023 [p 28] 47% 47% 3% — — 2% 1% — 1% 2.5% 1,519 IVR Tie
Research Co. N/A May 16–17, 2023 [p 29] 47% 49% — — — 1% — 1% 2% 4.0% 529 Online 2%
Abacus Data N/A May 15–17, 2023 [p 30] 46% 49% 3% — — — — — 2% 3.4% 498 Online 3%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 14–17, 2023 [p 31] 48% 46% 2% — — 2% 1% — 1% 2.6% 1,404 IVR 2%
Sovereign North Strategies N/A May 13–16, 2023 [p 32] 47% 49% 2% — — 1% — — 1% 1.7% 3,431 IVR/SMS 2%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 13–16, 2023 [p 33] 49% 45% 2% — — 1% 1% — 1% 2.7% 1,296 IVR 4%
Angus Reid N/A May 12–16, 2023 [p 34][p 35] 51% 43% 3% 1% — — — — 1% 3% 1,202 Online 8%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 12–15, 2023 [p 36] 49% 45% 3% — — 1% 1% — 1% 2.8% 1,218 IVR 4%
Counsel Public Affairs N/A May 12–14, 2023 [p 37][p 38] 38% 48% 5% 4% — — — — 5% 3% 1,219 Online 10%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 11–14, 2023 [p 39] 49% 45% 3% — — 1% 1% — 1% 2.9% 1,140 IVR 4%
Ipsos Global News May 10–13, 2023 [p 40] 48% 45% 3% — — — — — 4% 3.9% 800 Online 3%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 10–13, 2023 [p 41] 49% 44% 2% — — 2% 1% — 1% 2.9% 1,103 IVR 5%
Sovereign North Strategies Western Standard May 8–13, 2023 [p 42][p 43] 45% 50% 2% — — 2% — — 2% 1.8% 2,909 IVR/SMS 5%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 9–12, 2023 [p 44] 50% 44% 2% — — 1% 1% — 2% 2.7% 1,280 IVR 6%
Abacus Data N/A May 9–12, 2023 [p 45] 41% 51% 5% — — — — — 3% 3.4% 885 Online 10%
Janet Brown Opinion Research N/A May 1–11, 2023 [p 46] 51% 40% — — — — — — — 3.3% 900 Telephone 11%
Sovereign North Strategies N/A May 1–7, 2023 [p 47] 48% 47% 3% — — 1% — — 2% 1.9% 2,491 IVR/SMS 1%
Mainstreet Research N/A May 1–2, 2023 [p 48] 50% 43% 4% — — 1% — — 2% 2.5% 1,524 IVR 7%
Leger Postmedia April 28–May 1, 2023 [p 49] 43% 45% 4% 3% — — 1% — 3% 3.1% 1,000 Online 2%
Opinion polling before campaign period began
Pollster Client Dates
conducted 		Source UCP NDP Alberta Liberal IPA Green WIP Others Margin of error Sample
size 		Polling
method 		Lead
Ipsos Global News April 26–30, 2023 [p 50] 48% 44% 4% — — — — 4% 3.2% 1,200 Online/Phone 4%
ThinkHQ N/A April 25–29, 2023 [p 51] 46% 46% 5% 1% — — — 2% 2.5% 1,529 Online Tie
Abacus Data N/A April 21–25, 2023 [p 52] 46% 46% 5% — — — — 4% 3.1% 1,000 Online Tie
Oraclepoll Research N/A April 17–20, 2023 [p 53] 44% 46% 3% — — 5% 1% 1% 3.5% 800 Telephone 2%
Innovative Research N/A Apr 13–19, 2023 [p 54] 41% 40% 4% 7% — 4% 3% <1% N/A 1,324 Online 1%
Leger N/A Mar 24–27, 2023 [p 55] 44% 47% 2% 3% — — 1% 2% 3.1% 1,001 Online 3%
Mainstreet Research N/A Mar 21–22, 2023 [p 56] 45% 45.9% 3.2% — — — 2.2% 3.6% 2.9% 1,108 IVR 0.9%
Innovative Research N/A Mar 2–20, 2023 [p 57] 39% 40% 5% 7% — 6% 4% 0% N/A 489 Online 1%
ThinkHQ N/A Mar 14–16, 2023 [p 58] 45% 46% 6% 2% — — — 1% 2.9% 1,122 Online 1%
Angus Reid N/A Mar 6–13, 2023 [p 59] 49% 42% 4% 2% — — 2% 1% 3% 827 Online 7%
Abacus Data N/A Mar 2–4, 2023 [p 60] 45% 45% 6% — — — — 4% 3.8% 700 Online Tie
Leger Postmedia Feb 10–12, 2023 [p 61] 43% 47% 2% 4% — — 2% 2% 3.1% 1,002 Online 4%
Pivotal Research N/A Jan 31–Feb 7, 2023 [p 62][p 63] 42% 46% 6% 6% — — 1% — 4.8% 662 Online 4%
Abacus Data N/A Feb 1–6, 2023 [p 64] 47% 45% 5% — — — — 3% 3.1% 1,000 Online 2%
ThinkHQ N/A Jan 19–20, 2023 [p 65] 48% 45% 4% — — — — 1% 2.9% 1,144 Online 3%
Mainstreet Research N/A Jan 19–20, 2023 [p 66] 45.6% 41.3% 5.9% — — — 3.6% 3.6% 3.9% 646 Smart IVR 4.3%
Abacus Data N/A Dec 6–10, 2022 [p 67] 43% 51% 3% — — — — 3% 3.1% 1,000 Online 8%
Mainstreet Research N/A Dec 2–3, 2022 [p 68] 47% 45% 3.8% — — — 0.8% 3.3% 4% 615 IVR 2%
Angus Reid N/A Nov 28–Dec 3, 2022 [p 69] 48% 44% 5% 1% — — 1% 1% 4% 591 Online 4%
Leger Postmedia Nov 24–28, 2022 [p 70] 44% 47% 2% 4% — — 2% 2% 3.1% 1,001 Online 3%
Janet Brown Opinion Research CBC Oct 12–30, 2022 [p 71] 38% 47% 3% 2% 1% <1% 1% 8% 2.8% 1,200 Telephone 9%
Navigator Ltd. N/A Oct 7–11, 2022 [p 72] 38% 53% 4% — — — — 5% 3.5% 1,002 Online 15%
Leger Postmedia Oct 7–10, 2022 [p 73] 42% 44% 3% 4% — — 4% 4% 3.1% 1,000 Online 2%
October 6, 2022 Danielle Smith elected leader of the UCP and is appointed premier on October 11.
Angus Reid N/A Sep 19–21, 2022 [p 74][p 75] 47% 41% 4% 2% — — 5% 1% 3% 598 Online 6%
Leger Postmedia Sep 1–5, 2022 [p 76] 44% 41% 4% 2% — — 4% 3% 3.1% 1,006 Online 3%
Leger Postmedia July 15–17, 2022 [p 77] 41% 45% 5% 2% — — 4% 3% 3.1% 1,025 Online 4%
Angus Reid N/A June 7–13, 2022 [p 78] 42% 40% 6% 2% — — 9% 2% 4% 592 Online 2%
Counsel Public Affairs N/A June 8–11, 2022 [p 79] 37% 42% 5% — — — 8% 9% 3.5% 788 Online 5%
Leger N/A May 20–23, 2022 [p 80] 42% 40% 3% 3% — — 5% 4% 3.1% 1,000 Online 2%
May 18, 2022 Jason Kenney announced his intention to resign as premier of Alberta and leader of the UCP.
ThinkHQ N/A Mar 29–April 1, 2022 [p 81] 34% 46% 5% 2% — — 13% 2% 2.9% 1,135 Online 12%
Mainstreet Research N/A Mar 23–24, 2022 [p 82] 37% 40% 6% 2% — 1% 9% 4% 3% 1,290 IVR 3%
Leger N/A Mar 18–20, 2022 [p 83] 35% 44% 3% 4% — — 8% 6% 3.1% 1,002 Online 9%
Angus Reid N/A Mar 10–15, 2022 [p 84][p 85] 38% 40% 6% 2% — — 11% 3% 4% 584 Online 2%
Research Co. N/A Mar 11–13, 2022 [p 86] 30% 45% 7% 5% 1% 3% 8% 1% 4% 600 Online 15%
Janet Brown Opinion Research N/A Feb 25–Mar 10, 2022 [p 87] 40% 36% — — — — — — 3.3% 900 Telephone 4%
Yorkville Strategies N/A Mar 3–9, 2022 [p 88] 44% 39% 4% 3% — — 8% 2% 4% 600 Telephone 5%
Angus Reid N/A Jan 7–12, 2022 [p 89] 31% 42% 8% 1% — — 16% 2% 4% 548 Online 11%
Leger Postmedia Dec 2–5, 2021 [p 90] 32% 43% — — — — 10% — 2.8% 1,249 Online 11%
Nanos Yellowstone to Yukon Oct 13–Nov 1, 2021 [p 91] 38.8% 47.2% 6.5% 2.1% — 0.1% 3.3% 1.8% 3.5% 801 Online 8.4%
Mainstreet Research Western Standard Oct 12–13, 2021 [p 92] 29% 45% 6% 2% — 1% 13% — 3.2% 935 IVR 16%
Commonground N/A Sep 21–Oct 6, 2021 [p 93] 26.9% 49.5% 6.7% 5.2% — — 5.3% 6.4% N/A 1,204 Online 22.6%
Innovative Research N/A Sep 24–Oct 5, 2021 [p 94] 29% 45% 5% 9% — 2% 8% 1% N/A 672 Online 16%
Angus Reid N/A Sep 29–Oct 3, 2021 [p 95] 31% 43% 7% 2% — 1% 15% 2% 2.0% 552 Online 12%
Innovative Research N/A Sep 10–12, 2021 [p 96] 31% 44% 5% 8% — 4% 7% 1% N/A 209 Online 13%
Leger Postmedia July 22–26, 2021 [p 97] 34% 45% 6% 4% — — 8% 2% 3% 1,377 Online 11%
Angus Reid N/A June 2–7, 2021 [p 98] 30% 41% 7% 1% — — 20% 2% 4% 502 Online 11%
Mainstreet Research Western Standard May 19–20, 2021 [p 99] 31% 38% 6% 3% — 3% 17% — 3% 1,010 IVR 7%
Janet Brown Opinion Research CBC Mar 15–April 10, 2021 [p 100] 37% 45% 6% — — — 6% 7% 2.1% 1,200 Online 8%
Leger Calgary Herald Mar 5–8, 2021 [p 101] 30% 51% 5% 7% — — — 6% 3.1% 1,001 Online 21%
Commonground N/A Mar 1–8, 2021 [p 102] 32% 42% 5% 6% — — 4% 9% N/A 802 Online 9%
Angus Reid N/A Feb 26–Mar 3, 2021 [p 103][p 104] 38% 41% 10% 2% — 1% — 11% 4% 603 Online 3%
Mainstreet Research Western Standard Jan 6–7, 2021 [p 105] 31% 48% 4% 3% — 2% 10% 2% 3.1% 1,003 Smart IVR 17%
Research Co. N/A Dec 2–4, 2020 [p 106] 40% 43% 9% 2% — 2% 2% — 4% 600 Online 3%
Angus Reid N/A Nov 24–30, 2020 [p 107][p 108] 43% 39% 10% 2% — 1% — 5% — 553 Online 4%
Environics Research CUPE Nov 10–23, 2020 [p 109] 40% 47% 8% — — — — 5% — 1,205 — 7%
Angus Reid N/A Aug 26–Sep 1, 2020 [p 110][p 111] 38% 38% 9% 2% 7% 1% — 5% 4% 512 Online Tie
Commonground N/A Aug 17–30, 2020 [p 112] 37% 30% — 11% — — — 21% N/A 824 Online 7%
Innovative Research Group N/A Jul 14–20, 2020 [p 113] 42% 32% 9% 12% — 3% — 3% — 300 Online 10%
Innovative Research Group N/A Jun 19–23, 2020 [p 114] 44% 38% 5% 6% — 3% — 3% — 267 Online 6%
Innovative Research Group N/A May 29–June 1, 2020 [p 115] 42% 28% 11% 14% — 3% — 2% — 276 Online 14%
Janet Brown Opinion Research CBC May 25–June 1, 2020 [p 116] 46% 36% 10% 6% — — — 3% 3.3% 900 Online 10%
Angus Reid N/A May 19–24, 2020 [p 117][p 118] 42% 36% 5% 2% 8% 2% — 4% 1.4% 580 Online 6%
Northwest Research Group Western Standard May 14–19, 2020 [p 119] 40% 34% 8% 7% — 1% 10% — 3% 1,094 IVR 6%
Innovative Research Group N/A May 1–5, 2020 [p 120] 45% 30% 6% 8% — 7% — 2% — 314 Online 15%
Angus Reid N/A Feb 24–28, 2020 [p 121][p 122] 40% 36% 8% 2% 9% 1% — 4% — 555 Online 4%
Mainstreet Research 338Canada Feb 22, 2020 [p 123] 47% 38% 6% 4% — — — 5% 4% 751 IVR 9%
Stratcom N/A Nov 21, 2019 [p 124] 42% 46% — — — — — 12% 2.2% 1,798 IVR 4%
Lethbridge College N/A Oct 5-10, 2019 [p 125] 58.1% 23.2% 5.8% 7.8% — — — 5.2% 3.17% 953 Telephone 34.9%
2019 general election April 16, 2019 54.9% 32.7% 9.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% — 1.2% — — — 22.2%
Pollster Client Dates
conducted 		Source Others Margin of error Sample
size 		Polling
method 		Lead
UCP NDP Alberta Liberal IPA Green WIP

Regional polls

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Opinion polls in Calgary
Pollster Client Dates
conducted 		Source UCP NDP Alberta Liberal Green WIP Others Margin of error Sample
size 		Polling
method 		Lead
ThinkHQ N/A May 19–23, 2023 [p 126] 43% 49% 6% 2% – – 1% 3% 973 Online 6%
Mainstreet Research N/A April 17–18, 2023 [p 127] 45.6% 44.1% – – – – – 2.4% <1,651 Smart IVR 1.5%
Janet Brown Opinion Research CBC Mar 23–April 6, 2023 [p 128] 42% 47% 3% 1% 1% 1% – 3.1% 1,000 Telephone / Online 5%
2019 general election April 16, 2019 53.2% 34.0% 9.5% 2.0% 0.6% — — — — — 18.6%
Pollster Client Dates
conducted 		Source UCP NDP Alberta Liberal Green WIP Others Margin of error Sample
size 		Polling
method 		Lead

Candidates

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Candidates who are ran were as follows:[121]

Party leaders are in bold. Candidate names appear as they appeared on the ballot.

† = Not seeking re-election
‡ = Running for re-election in different riding § = Represents that the incumbent lost that party's nomination

Northern Alberta

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Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Alberta Party Alberta Independence Other
Athabasca-Barrhead-Westlock Glenn van Dijken Landen Tischer Glenn van Dijken
Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul Scott Cyr Caitlyn Blake Dave Hanson§
Central Peace-Notley Todd Loewen Megan Ciurysek Wanda Lynn Lekisch Rodney Bowen Nancy O'Neill (SMA) Todd Loewen
Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche Brian Jean Calan William Simeon Hobbs Kdmkevin Johnston (Ind.) Brian Jean
Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo Tany Yao Tanika Chaisson Bradley Friesen Funky Banjoko (Ind.)
Zulkifl Mujahid (Ind.) 		Tany Yao
Grande Prairie Nolan Dyck Kevin McLean Preston Mildenberger David Braun Shane Diederich (Green) Tracy Allard†
Grande Prairie-Wapiti Ron Wiebe Dustin Archibald Brooklyn Biegel Travis Toews†
Lesser Slave Lake Scott Sinclair Danielle Larivee Bert "Bertrand" Seatter (SMA) Pat Rehn†
Peace River Dan Williams Liana Paiva Sharon Noullett Conrad Nunweiler (Ind.) Dan Williams

Edmonton

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Central

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Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Green Other
Edmonton-City Centre Richard Wong David Shepherd David Clark David Shepherd
Edmonton-Glenora Melissa Crane Sarah Hoffman Julian Schulz David John Bohonos (SMA) Sarah Hoffman
Edmonton-Gold Bar Miles Berry Marlin Schmidt Ernestina Malheiro Graham Lettner (Ind.) Marlin Schmidt
Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood Nicholas Kalynchuk Janis Irwin Kristine Kowalchuk Naomi Rankin (Comm.) Janis Irwin
Edmonton-Riverview Terry Vankka Lori Sigurdson Robin George Eric Champagne (Lib.) Lori Sigurdson
Edmonton-Strathcona Emad El-Zein Rachel Notley Robert Gooding-Townsend Andrew Jacobson (Buffalo)
Robert Nielsen (WLC) 		Rachel Notley

North

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Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Green Other
Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview Luke Suvanto Peggy Wright Michael Hunter Andrzej "Andy" Gudanowski (Ind.) Deron Bilous†
Edmonton-Castle Downs Jon Dziadyk Nicole Goehring Patrick Stewart (AP) Nicole Goehring
Edmonton-Decore Sayid Ahmed Sharif Haji Brent Tyson (AP)
Don Slater (Lib.) 		Chris Nielsen§
Edmonton-Manning Albert Mazzocca Heather Sweet Derek Thompson Heather Sweet
Edmonton-McClung Daniel Heikkinen Lorne Dach Terry Syvenky Andrew J. Lineker (Ind.) Lorne Dach
Edmonton-North West Ali Haymour David Eggen Tyler Beaulac David Eggen
Edmonton-West Henday Slava Cravcenco Brooks Arcand-Paul Kristina Howard Dan Bildhauer (Lib.) Jon Carson†

South

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Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Green Other
Edmonton-Ellerslie R. Singh Bath Rod Loyola Angela Stretch (WLC) Rod Loyola
Edmonton-Meadows Amrit Singh Matharu Jasvir Deol Corrine Benson (Comm.) Jasvir Deol
Edmonton-Mill Woods Raman Athwal Christina Gray Christina Gray
Edmonton-Rutherford Laine Larson Jodi Calahoo Stonehouse Jordan Wilkie Richard Feehan†
Edmonton-South Joseph Angeles Rhiannon Hoyle Chryssy Beckmann Thomas Dang†
Edmonton-South West Kaycee Madu Nathan Ip Jeff Cullihall Kaycee Madu
Edmonton-Whitemud Raj Sherman Rakhi Pancholi Cheri Hawley Donna Wilson (Lib.) Rakhi Pancholi

Suburbs

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Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Green SMA Other
Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville Jackie Armstrong-Homeniuk Taneen Rudyk Margaret MacKay Kelly Zeleny (APA)
Kathy Flett (Ind.) 		Jackie Armstrong-Homeniuk
Leduc-Beaumont Brandon Lunty Cam Heenan Bill Kaufmann Sharon MacLise (IPA)
Kirk Cayer (Ind.) 		Brad Rutherford†
Morinville-St. Albert Dale Nally Karen Shaw Kurt Klingbeil Wayne Rufiange (AP) Dale Nally
St. Albert Angela Wood Marie Renaud Cameron Jefferies Marie Renaud
Sherwood Park Jordan Walker Kyle Kasawski Sue Timanson (AP)
Jacob Stacey (Lib.) 		Jordan Walker
Spruce Grove-Stony Plain Searle Turton Chantal Saramaga-McKenzie Daniel Birrell Darlene Clarke Searle Turton
Strathcona-Sherwood Park Nate Glubish Bill Tonita Jody Balanko (Ind.) Nate Glubish

Central Alberta

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West

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Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Green WLC SMA Other
Drayton Valley-Devon Andrew Boitchenko Harry Singh Jon Hokanson Gail Tookey Dale Withers (APA) Mark Smith†
Innisfail-Sylvan Lake Devin Dreeshen Jason Heistad Brandon Pringle David Reid (IPA)
Jeevan Mangat (WIP)
Randy Thorsteinson (Reform) 		Devin Dreeshen
Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland Shane Getson Oneil Carlier Vanessa Diehl Marilyn Burns (APA)
Janet Jabush (AP) 		Shane Getson
Red Deer-North Adriana LaGrange Jaelene Tweedle Heather Morigeau Kallie Dyck Vicky Bayford (IPA) Adriana LaGrange
Red Deer-South Jason Stephan Michelle Baer Ashley MacDonald Jesse Stretch Pamela Liebenberg Jason Stephan
Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre Jason Nixon Vance Buchwald Tami Tatlock Carol Nordlund Kinsey (APA)
Fred Schwieger (Ind.)
Tim Hoven (Ind.) 		Jason Nixon
West Yellowhead Martin Long Fred Kreiner Martin Long

East

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Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Green WLC SMA Other
Camrose Jackie Lovely Richard Bruneau Pamela Henson Bob Blayone (Ind.) Jackie Lovely
Drumheller-Stettler Nate Horner Juliet Franklin Hannah Stretch Viens Carla Evers Shannon Packham (IPA) Nate Horner
Lacombe-Ponoka Jennifer Johnson Dave Dale Taylor Lowery Daniel Jeffries Nathan Leslie Myles Chykerda (AP) Ron Orr†
Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin Rick Wilson Katherine Swampy Justin Fuss Suzanne Jubb Marie Rittenhouse (Ind.) Rick Wilson
Vermilion-Lloydminster-Wainwright Garth Rowswell Dawn Flaata Tigra-Lee Campbell Danny Hozack Darrell Dunn (AP)
Matthew Powell (Ind.) 		Garth Rowswell

Calgary

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Central

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Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Green SMA Other
Calgary-Buffalo Astrid Kuhn Joe Ceci Jonathan Parks Lola Henry Joe Ceci
Calgary-Currie Nicholas Milliken Janet Eremenko Lane Robson Dawid Pawlowski Leila Keith (Lib.)
Jason Avramenko (AP) 		Nicholas Milliken
Calgary-Elbow Chris Davis Samir Kayande Artur Pawlowski Kerry Cundal (AP) Vacant
Calgary-Klein Jeremy Nixon Lizette Tejada Kenneth Drysdale Rob Oswin Jeremy Nixon
Calgary-Mountain View Pamela Rath Kathleen Ganley Christopher Wedick Lucas Hernandez (Pro-Life)
Frances Woytkiw (Lib.) 		Kathleen Ganley
Calgary-Varsity Jason Copping Luanne Metz Kent Liang Oaklan Davidsen (WLC) Jason Copping

East

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Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Green SMA Other
Calgary-Cross Mickey Amery Gurinder Singh Gill Aman Sandhu Kathryn Lapp Mickey Amery
Calgary-East Peter Singh Rosman Valencia Jayden Baldonado Garry Dirk Jonathan Trautman (Comm.) Peter Singh
Calgary-Falconridge Devinder Toor Parmeet Singh Boparai Ahmed Hassan Evan Wilson Kyle Kennedy (Ind.) Devinder Toor
Calgary-Bhullar-McCall Amanpreet Singh Gill Irfan Sabir Irfan Sabir
Calgary-North East Inder Grewal Gurinder Brar Rajan Sawhney‡
Calgary-Peigan Tanya Fir Denis Ram Shaun Pulsifer Tanya Fir

Northwest

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Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Alberta Party SMA Other
Calgary-Beddington Josephine Pon Amanda Chapman Wayne Jackson Zarnab Shahid Zafar (Lib.) Josephine Pon
Calgary-Bow Demetrios Nicolaides Druh Farrell Paul Godard Manuel Santos Demetrios Nicolaides
Calgary-Edgemont Prasad Panda Julia Hayter Allen Schultz Miles Williams Nan Barron (WLC) Prasad Panda
Calgary-Foothills Jason Luan Court Ellingson Kami Dass Keenan DeMontigny (Ind.) Jason Luan
Calgary-North Muhammad Yaseen Rajesh Angral Muhammad Yaseen
Calgary-North West Rajan Sawhney Michael Lisboa-Smith Jenny Yeremiy Alain Habel Serena Thomsen (Ind.) Sonya Savage†
Calgary-West Mike Ellis Joan Chand'oiseau Jason McKee (Green) Mike Ellis

South

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Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Green SMA Other
Calgary-Acadia Tyler Shandro Diana Batten Paul Bechthold Linda McClelland Larry R. Heather (Ind.)
Donna Kathleen Scott (WLC) 		Tyler Shandro
Calgary-Fish Creek Myles McDougall Rebecca Bounsall Dave Hughes Charlie Heater (Lib.) Richard Gotfried†
Calgary-Glenmore Whitney Issik Nagwan Al-Guneid Steven Maffioli Whitney Issik
Calgary-Hays Richard William "Ric" McIver Andrew Stewart Evelyn Tanaka Garry Leonhardt Ric McIver
Calgary-Lougheed Eric Bouchard Venkat Ravulaparthi Nathaniel Pawlowski John Roggeveen (Lib.) Vacant
Calgary-Shaw Rebecca Schulz David Cloutier Pietro Cervo Rebecca Schulz
Calgary-South East Matt Jones Justin Huseby Catriona Wright Heinrich Friesen Matt Jones

Suburbs

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Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Green SMA Other
Airdrie-Cochrane Peter Guthrie Shaun Fluker Michelle Overwater Giles Michael Andrusco Ron Voss (WLC) Peter Guthrie
Airdrie-East Angela Pitt Dan Nelles Michael Jacobsen Angela Pitt
Banff-Kananaskis Miranda Rosin Sarah Elmeligi Regan Boychuk Kyle Jubb Miranda Rosin
Chestermere-Strathmore Chantelle de Jonge Raj Jessel Jed Laboucane Kerry Lambert (IPA)
Terry Nicholls (Ind.) 		Leela Aheer†
Highwood R.J. Sigurdson Jessica Hallam Mike Lorusso (WIP) R. J. Sigurdson
Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills Nathan Cooper Cheryl Hunter Loewen Judy Bridges Katherine Kowalchuk (IPA)
Cam Tatlock (WLC) 		Nathan Cooper

Southern Alberta

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Electoral district Candidates Incumbent
UCP NDP Alberta Party Alberta Independence Liberal Other
Brooks-Medicine Hat Danielle Smith Gwendoline Dirk Barry Morishita Danielle Smith
Cardston-Siksika Joseph Schow Colleen Quintal Terry Wolsey Par Wantenaar (SMA)
Angela Tabak (Ind.) 		Joseph Schow
Cypress-Medicine Hat Justin Wright Cathy Hogg Cody Ray Both Matt Orr (WLC) Drew Barnes†
Lethbridge-East Nathan Neudorf Rob Miyashiro Helen McMenamin Nathan Neudorf
Lethbridge-West Cheryl Seaborn Shannon Phillips Braham Luddu Pat Chizek Shannon Phillips
Livingstone-Macleod Chelsae Petrovic Kevin Van Tighem Kevin Todd Corrie Reed Toone Dylin Hauser Erik Abildgaard (Ind.) Roger Reid†
Taber-Warner Grant Hunter Jazminn Hintz Frank Kast Paul Hinman (WLC)
Joel Hunt (Green)
Brent Ginther (SMA) 		Grant Hunter

Results

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Main article: Results of the 2023 Alberta general election

The United Conservative Party was re-elected to majority government, receiving both majority of votes cast and majority of the seats in the Legislative Assembly.[122][123] The Alberta NDP received the highest share of the vote in its history and elected its second-best-ever number of MLAs. The race was noteworthy both as one of the fiercest two-way battles in the last hundred years[85] in Canadian history and by its results — electing only two parties in the Legislature, unusually producing a second back-to-back two-party legislature.

The UCP swept nearly all ridings outside of Calgary and Edmonton: the NDP won only four seats outside of either city, with two being suburban seats in Metro Edmonton (St. Albert and Sherwood Park), one seat in Lethbridge (Lethbridge-West) and a single rural seat surrounding Banff National Park (Banff-Kananaskis). Conversely, the NDP made a clean one-party sweep of Edmonton's 20 seats. The parties ran nearly evenly in Calgary: the NDP won 14 seats to the UCP's 12, with several seats decided by very narrow margins.

The Liberal Party got its lowest vote record in its history with just 0.24%.

The elections set several firsts — the election of the first Black woman and the first First Nations woman. These were Rhiannon Hoyle in Edmonton-South and Jodi Calahoo Stonehouse in Edmonton-Rutherford, respectively.[124] As well, the first black Muslim and first Somali-Canadian was elected in Alberta in Edmonton-Decore – Sharif Haji.[125][126]

Legislature summary

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Main article: 31st Alberta Legislature
 
Party Votes Seats
United Conservative 928,896
52.6%
   2.2pp
49 / 87 (56%)
   14
New Democratic 777,397
44.0%
   11.4pp
38 / 87 (44%)
   14
     Others and independents 58,613
3.3%
0 / 87 (0%)
Alberta Legislature[127]
Party Leader[128] Candidates Seats Popular vote
2019 Dissol. 2023 +/- Votes % +/-
United Conservative Danielle Smith 87[a] 63 60 49 -14 928,896 52.63% −2.23
New Democratic Rachel Notley 87 24 23 38 +14 777,397 44.05% +11.36
Green Jordan Wilkie 41 – – – – 13,458 0.76% +0.36
Alberta Party Barry Morishita 19 – – – – 12,576 0.71% −8.37
  Independent 22 – 2 – – 12,163 0.69% +0.28
Alberta Independence Vacant 14 – – – – 5,045 0.29% −0.43
Solidarity Movement Artur Pawlowski 38 New – – – 4,664 0.26% New
Liberal John Roggeveen 13 – – – – 4,259 0.24% −0.74
Wildrose Loyalty Coalition Paul Hinman 16 New – – – 4,220 0.24% New
Wildrose Independence Jeevan Mangat (i) 2 New – – – 820 0.05% New
Advantage Party Marilyn Burns 4 – – – – 701 0.04% −0.26
Communist Naomi Rankin 3 – – – – 379 0.02% +0.01
Reform Randy Thorsteinson 1 – – – – 132 0.01% +0.00
Buffalo John Molberg 1 New – – – 106 0.01% New
Pro-Life Murray Ruhl 1 – – – – 90 0.01% +0.00
  Vacant 2
Valid votes 1,764,906 99.30 –
Blank and invalid votes 12,415 0.70 –
Total 349 87 87 87 87 1,777,321 100.00% –
Registered voters/turnout 2,987,208 59.50% –

Synopsis of results

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2023 Alberta general election - synopsis of riding results[a 1]
Riding[a 2] 2019 Winning party Turnout
[a 3] 		Votes[a 4]
Party Votes Share Margin
# 		Margin
% 		UCP NDP Green AP WLC Sol Mvt Ind Other Total
 
Calgary-Acadia   UCP   NDP 10,959 48.6% 22 0.1% 64.3% 10,937 10,959 293 – 119 92 162 – 22,562
Calgary-Beddington   UCP   NDP 10,269 49.7% 543 2.6% 58.3% 9,726 10,269 – 473 – – – 210 20,678
Calgary-Bow   UCP   UCP 13,175 49.7% 623 2.4% 66.4% 13,175 12,552 – 670 – 89 – – 26,486
Calgary-Buffalo   NDP   NDP 13,221 63.0% 5,929 28.3% 56.2% 7,292 13,221 349 – – 125 – – 20,987
Calgary-Cross   UCP   UCP 7,533 50.2% 514 3.4% 49.8% 7,533 7,019 254 – – 202 – – 15,008
Calgary-Currie   UCP   NDP 12,261 54.8% 3,080 13.8% 62.4% 9,181 12,261 222 409 – 83 – 216 22,372
Calgary-East   UCP   UCP 7,123 50.2% 698 4.9% 44.4% 7,123 6,425 403 – – 166 – 64 14,181
Calgary-Edgemont   UCP   NDP 11,681 49.3% 284 1.2% 65.7% 11,397 11,681 – 488 66 64 – – 23,696
Calgary-Elbow   UCP   NDP 12,189 49.0% 743 3.0% 68.8% 11,446 12,189 – 1,136 – 99 – – 24,870
Calgary-Falconridge   UCP   NDP 7,786 56.4% 2,310 16.7% 48.5% 5,476 7,786 203 – – 91 252 – 13,808
Calgary-Fish Creek   UCP   UCP 13,743 53.8% 2,489 9.7% 69.5% 13,743 11,254 – – – 186 – 378 25,561
Calgary-Foothills   UCP   NDP 11,054 49.9% 261 1.2% 61.9% 10,793 11,054 – – – 105 190 – 22,142
Calgary-Glenmore   UCP   NDP 12,687 49.3% 48 0.2% 70.2% 12,639 12,687 422 – – – – – 25,748
Calgary-Hays   UCP   UCP 11,807 55.6% 2,820 13.3% 60.4% 11,807 8,987 321 – – 118 – – 21,233
Calgary-Klein   UCP   NDP 10,564 50.9% 867 4.2% 59.2% 9,697 10,564 353 – – 153 – – 20,767
Calgary-Lougheed   UCP   UCP 9,690 56.4% 2,766 16.1% 60.1% 9,690 6,924 – – – 184 – 369 17,167
Calgary-Bhullar-McCall   NDP   NDP 7,265 58.0% 2,004 16.0% 52.9% 5,261 7,265 – – – – – – 12,526
Calgary-Mountain View   NDP   NDP 16,516 64.7% 8,048 31.5% 65.4% 8,468 16,516 – – – 119 – 425 25,528
Calgary-North   UCP   UCP 7,927 50.4% 129 0.8% 56.8% 7,927 7,798 – – – – – – 15,725
Calgary-North East   UCP   NDP 11,117 55.0% 2,039 10.1% 57.4% 9,078 11,117 – – – – – – 20,195
Calgary-North West   UCP   UCP 11,921 48.3% 143 0.6% 70.1% 11,921 11,778 – 778 – 45 153 – 24,675
Calgary-Peigan   UCP   UCP 11,892 55.0% 2,797 12.9% 62.3% 11,892 9,095 626 – – – – – 21,613
Calgary-Shaw   UCP   UCP 13,970 56.3% 3,379 13.6% 63.2% 13,970 10,591 – – – 236 – – 24,797
Calgary-South East   UCP   UCP 14,087 58.8% 4,645 19.4% 62.8% 14,087 9,442 318 – – 104 – – 23,951
Calgary-Varsity   UCP   NDP 13,449 58.3% 4,072 17.6% 70.7% 9,377 13,449 – – 141 112 – – 23,079
Calgary-West   UCP   UCP 12,793 56.7% 3,325 14.7% 66.3% 12,793 9,468 313 – – – – – 22,574
Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview   NDP   NDP 8,510 57.7% 2,820 19.1% 49.0% 5,690 8,510 337 – – – 222 – 14,759
Edmonton-Castle Downs   NDP   NDP 10,044 55.7% 2,758 15.3% 53.6% 7,286 10,044 – 707 – – – – 18,037
Edmonton-City Centre   NDP   NDP 12,431 74.9% 8,740 52.7% 51.0% 3,691 12,431 476 – – – – – 16,598
Edmonton-Decore   NDP   NDP 8,109 52.8% 1,783 11.6% 47.0% 6,326 8,109 – 631 – – – 295 15,361
Edmonton-Ellerslie   NDP   NDP 11,429 61.7% 4,612 24.9% 54.8% 6,817 11,429 – – 264 – – – 18,510
Edmonton-Glenora   NDP   NDP 12,443 69.2% 7,387 41.1% 56.3% 5,056 12,443 332 – – 150 – – 17,981
Edmonton-Gold Bar   NDP   NDP 15,508 69.5% 9,334 41.8% 63.3% 6,174 15,508 316 – – – 321 – 22,319
Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood   NDP   NDP 9,491 71.5% 6,141 46.2% 45.2% 3,350 9,491 339 – – – – 102 13,282
Edmonton-Manning   NDP   NDP 10,547 59.8% 3,778 21.4% 50.9% 6,769 10,547 333 – – – – – 17,649
Edmonton-McClung   NDP   NDP 9,603 59.5% 3,574 22.1% 56.1% 6,029 9,603 199 – – – 309 – 16,140
Edmonton-Meadows   NDP   NDP 11,013 62.6% 4,635 26.3% 55.2% 6,378 11,013 – – – – – 213 17,604
Edmonton-Mill Woods   NDP   NDP 11,063 61.7% 4,194 23.4% 56.5% 6,869 11,063 – – – – – – 17,932
Edmonton-North West   NDP   NDP 9,978 59.7% 3,590 21.5% 52.0% 6,388 9,978 335 – – – – – 16,701
Edmonton-Riverview   NDP   NDP 12,875 67.1% 7,311 38.1% 63.3% 5,564 12,875 347 – – – – 413 19,199
Edmonton-Rutherford   NDP   NDP 13,012 65.1% 6,646 33.2% 63.5% 6,366 13,012 624 – – – – – 20,002
Edmonton-South   NDP   NDP 14,171 59.0% 4,679 19.5% 60.1% 9,492 14,171 369 – – – – – 24,032
Edmonton-South West   UCP   NDP 14,380 56.5% 3,639 14.3% 62.7% 10,741 14,380 323 – – – – – 25,444
Edmonton-Strathcona   NDP   NDP 13,980 79.7% 10,948 62.4% 58.4% 3,032 13,980 324 – 93 – – 106 17,535
Edmonton-West Henday   NDP   NDP 11,495 56.8% 3,539 17.5% 57.7% 7,956 11,495 382 – – – – 391 20,224
Edmonton-Whitemud   NDP   NDP 12,797 60.4% 4,998 23.6% 64.7% 7,799 12,797 221 – – – – 370 21,187
Airdrie-Cochrane   UCP   UCP 18,074 60.1% 6,851 22.8% 66.4% 18,074 11,223 393 – 183 199 – – 30,072
Airdrie-East   UCP   UCP 15,215 62.0% 6,518 26.6% 61.8% 15,215 8,697 623 – – – – – 24,535
Athabasca-Barrhead-Westlock   UCP   UCP 15,631 74.3% 10,230 48.6% 60.1% 15,631 5,401 – – – – – – 21,032
Banff-Kananaskis   UCP   NDP 11,562 49.7% 303 1.3% 67.5% 11,259 11,562 336 – – 105 – – 23,262
Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul   UCP   UCP 13,315 75.5% 8,988 50.9% 51.5% 13,315 4,327 – – – – – – 17,642
Brooks-Medicine Hat   UCP   UCP 13,315 66.5% 7,838 39.1% 56.9% 13,315 5,477 – 1,233 – – – – 20,025
Camrose   UCP   UCP 13,032 63.4% 7,453 36.3% 61.6% 13,032 5,579 – – 205 – 1,740 – 20,556
Cardston-Siksika   UCP   UCP 10,550 74.1% 8,023 56.4% 55.1% 10,550 2,527 – – – 35 871 251 14,234
Central Peace-Notley   UCP   UCP 9,280 77.7% 7,064 59.1% 58.5% 9,280 2,216 – 166 – 46 – 238 11,946
Chestermere-Strathmore   UCP   UCP 15,362 69.7% 9,243 41.9% 58.2% 15,362 6,119 – – – 45 258 264 22,048
Cypress-Medicine Hat   UCP   UCP 13,489 61.9% 5,792 26.6% 53.2% 13,489 7,697 – – 322 – – 287 21,795
Drayton Valley-Devon   UCP   UCP 16,532 73.7% 11,523 51.4% 61.9% 16,532 5,009 – – 580 121 – 189 22,431
Drumheller-Stettler   UCP   UCP 15,270 82.1% 12,586 67.7% 60.6% 15,270 2,684 – – 150 104 – 382 18,590
Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche   UCP   UCP 7,692 73.6% 5,131 49.1% 42.9% 7,692 2,561 – – – – 202 – 10,455
Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo   UCP   UCP 6,483 67.7% 4,599 48.0% 41.6% 6,483 1,884 – 255 – – 956 – 9,578
Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville   UCP   UCP 14,126 58.1% 5,062 20.8% 60.1% 14,126 9,064 – – – 108 801 227 24,326
Grande Prairie   UCP   UCP 10,001 63.9% 5,111 32.7% 48.7% 10,001 4,890 160 242 – – – 348 15,641
Grande Prairie-Wapiti   UCP   UCP 15,093 76.2% 11,030 55.7% 54.5% 15,093 4,063 – – – – – 645 19,801
Highwood   UCP   UCP 17,990 68.9% 10,450 40.0% 67.3% 17,990 7,540 – – – – – 580 26,110
Innisfail-Sylvan Lake   UCP   UCP 16,385 71.6% 10,685 46.7% 61.4% 16,385 5,700 – – – 149 – 648 22,882
Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland   UCP   UCP 14,923 69.0% 9,055 41.8% 61.3% 14,923 5,868 205 463 – – – 182 21,641
Lacombe-Ponoka   UCP   UCP 14,324 67.6% 9,329 44.0% 61.3% 14,324 4,995 196 1,167 444 74 – – 21,200
Leduc-Beaumont   UCP   UCP 14,118 56.7% 4,049 16.3% 62.5% 14,118 10,069 – – – 144 292 257 24,880
Lesser Slave Lake   UCP   UCP 5,171 65.0% 2,535 31.9% 49.0% 5,171 2,636 – – – 144 – – 7,951
Lethbridge-East   UCP   UCP 10,998 50.3% 636 2.9% 57.7% 10,998 10,362 – – – – – 488 21,848
Lethbridge-West   NDP   NDP 12,082 53.9% 2,557 11.4% 60.5% 9,525 12,082 – 425 – – – 375 22,407
Livingstone-Macleod   UCP   UCP 16,491 66.9% 9,999 40.6% 64.5% 16,491 6,492 – 975 – – 130 547 24,635
Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin   UCP   UCP 11,640 67.5% 6,839 39.7% 58.0% 11,640 4,801 187 – – 86 520 – 17,234
Morinville-St. Albert   UCP   UCP 13,472 51.8% 1,744 6.7% 66.0% 13,472 11,728 230 590 – – – – 26,020
Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills   UCP   UCP 18,228 75.3% 13,675 56.5% 62.1% 18,228 4,553 – – 183 105 – 1,140 24,209
Peace River   UCP   UCP 8,236 72.8% 5,649 50.0% 45.5% 8,236 2,587 – – – – 290 194 11,307
Red Deer-North   UCP   UCP 10,629 57.5% 3,485 18.8% 55.5% 10,629 7,144 257 – – 183 – 281 18,494
Red Deer-South   UCP   UCP 13,469 56.1% 3,493 14.5% 61.8% 13,469 9,976 274 – 160 146 – – 24,025
Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre   UCP   UCP 15,571 69.5% 12,178 54.3% 64.9% 15,571 3,118 – – 96 – 3,528 103 22,416
Sherwood Park   UCP   NDP 13,108 50.3% 1,661 6.4% 70.3% 11,447 13,108 – 1,293 – – – 225 26,073
Spruce Grove-Stony Plain   UCP   UCP 14,365 57.0% 4,168 16.5% 61.5% 14,365 10,197 422 – – 223 – – 25,207
St. Albert   NDP   NDP 15,021 58.5% 4,821 18.8% 66.4% 10,200 15,021 455 – – – – – 25,676
Strathcona-Sherwood Park   UCP   UCP 13,865 53.1% 2,219 8.5% 70.0% 13,865 11,646 – – – – 614 – 26,125
Taber-Warner   UCP   UCP 12,379 75.3% 9,562 58.2% 56.3% 12,379 2,817 239 – 754 124 – 129 16,442
Vermilion-Lloydminster-Wainwright   UCP   UCP 13,097 74.4% 10,022 56.9% 52.4% 13,097 3,075 146 475 460 – 351 – 17,604
West Yellowhead   UCP   UCP 14,456 71.8% 8,777 43.6% 55.4% 14,456 5,679 – – – – – – 20,135
  1. ^ "Provincial Results". officialresults.elections.ab.ca. Elections Alberta. Archived from the original on June 15, 2023. Retrieved June 30, 2023.
  2. ^ initially sorted by electoral district number
  3. ^ including spoilt ballots
  4. ^ minor political parties (those other than the top six) are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately
  = results as certified in a judicial recount
  = open seat
  = turnout is above provincial average
  = incumbent re-elected
  = incumbent failed to get renominated
  = candidate disqualified from seeking UCP nomination[129]

Detailed analysis

edit
Party rankings (1st to 5th place)
Party 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th
United Conservative 49 38
New Democratic 38 48 1
Independent 1 13 4 1
Green 26 12 2
Alberta Party 16 3
Alberta Independence 8 5 1
Liberal 7 4 2
Wildrose Loyalty Coalition 5 7 4
Solidarity Movement 2 17 15
Communist 1 1 1
Wildrose Independence 1 1
  Advantage Party 3 1
Buffalo 1
  Pro-Life 1
Resulting composition of the 31st Legislative Assembly of Alberta
Source Party
UCP NDP Total
Seats retained Incumbents returned 36 19 55
Open seats held 12 4 16
Incumbents not renominated 1 1 2
Seats changing hands Incumbents defeated 12 12
Open seats gained 2 2
Total 49 38 87

Seats that changed hands

edit

MLAs who lost their seats

edit
Constituency Party Name Year elected Seat held by party since Defeated by Party
Banff-Kananaskis[130] █ United Conservative Miranda Rosin 2019 2019 Sarah Elmeligi █ New Democratic
Calgary-Acadia[131] █ United Conservative Tyler Shandro 2019 2019 Diana Batten █ New Democratic
Calgary-Beddington[132] █ United Conservative Josephine Pon 2019 2019 Amanda Chapman █ New Democratic
Calgary-Currie[133] █ United Conservative Nicholas Milliken 2019 2019 Janet Eremenko █ New Democratic
Calgary-Edgemont[134] █ United Conservative Prasad Panda 2015 2019 Julia Hayter █ New Democratic
Calgary-Falconridge[135] █ United Conservative Devinder Toor 2019 2019 Parmeet Singh Boparai █ New Democratic
Calgary-Foothills[136] █ United Conservative Jason Luan 2019 2017 Court Ellingson █ New Democratic
Calgary-Glenmore[137] █ United Conservative Whitney Issik 2019 2019 Nagwan Al-Guneid █ New Democratic
Calgary-Klein[138] █ United Conservative Jeremy Nixon 2019 2019 Lizette Tejada █ New Democratic
Calgary-Varsity[139] █ United Conservative Jason Copping 2019 2019 Luanne Metz █ New Democratic
Edmonton-South West █ United Conservative Kaycee Madu 2019 2019 Nathan Ip █ New Democratic
Sherwood Park[140] █ United Conservative Jordan Walker 2019 2019 Kyle Kasawski █ New Democratic

Open seats changing hands

edit
Riding Party Candidate Incumbent retiring from the House Won by Party
Calgary-Elbow[141] █ United Conservative Chris Davis Doug Schweitzer (resigned on August 31, 2022) Samir Kayande █ New Democratic
Calgary-North East[142] █ United Conservative Inder Grewal Rajan Sawhney (stood in Calgary-North West) Gurinder Brar █ New Democratic

Notes

edit
  1. ^ a b Includes Jennifer Johnson, who appeared on the ballot as a UCP candidate but was disavowed by the party during the campaign. She will not be seated as a member of the UCP caucus.
  2. ^ Dang was elected in the 2019 election as an NDP candidate but later became an Independent MLA.
  3. ^ Barnes was elected in the 2019 election as a UCP candidate but later became an Independent MLA.
  4. ^ Johnson will not caucus with the UCP due to her comments on trans youth.
  5. ^ Though Sawhney initially declared that she would not seek re-election in her own riding of Calgary-North East, she was later appointed the UCP candidate in Calgary-North West.
  6. ^ Yao originally lost the UCP nomination to Zulkifl Mujahid in December 2022; after Mujahid was disqualified in April 2023, Yao was appointed the UCP candidate in his place.

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edit
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Works cited

See also

edit

Footnotes

edit

Opinion poll sources

edit
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