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2022 United States Senate election in Indiana

(Redirected from United States Senate election in Indiana, 2022)

For related races, see 2022 United States Senate elections.
Not to be confused with 2022 Indiana State Senate election.

The 2022 United States Senate election in Indiana was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Indiana. Incumbent Senator Todd Young won to a second term.[1]

2022 United States Senate election in Indiana
← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →
 
Nominee Todd Young Thomas McDermott Jr.
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 1,090,165 704,411
Percentage 58.62% 37.87%
Young:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
McDermott:      50–60%      60–70%
U.S. senator before election

Todd Young
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Todd Young
Republican

Young announced on March 2, 2021, that he would be running for a second term.[2] He was first elected to the Senate in 2016 with 52.1% of the vote, succeeding retiring fellow Republican Dan Coats. Hammond Mayor Thomas McDermott Jr. ran for the Democratic nomination. Both ran unopposed and won their respective primaries on May 3, 2022. This was the first election since 1986 for Indiana's Class 3 U.S. Senate seat where neither Dan Coats nor Evan Bayh were on the ballot.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Removed from ballot

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Results

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Republican primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Todd Young (incumbent) 372,738 100.0%
Total votes 372,738 100.0%

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Removed from ballot

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On February 18, 2022, the Indiana Election Commission removed Democratic candidates Haneefah Khaaliq and Valerie McCray, as well as Republican candidate Danny Niederberger, from the primary ballot.[10] On February 4, 2022, McDermott campaign adviser Kevin Smith said the campaign would look closely at whether Khaaliq and McCray met the ballot requirements, and that avoiding a primary challenge could benefit McDermott as he entered this year with about $50,000 in campaign cash.[11] Khaaliq then conducted an investigation[12] and discovered that the individual who filed the challenge against both her and McCray was Scott Yahne, an attorney who was a close friend and ally of McDermott.[13]

As a result of the findings, Khaaliq filed a lawsuit against the Indiana Election Commission[14] and announced her decision to proceed as a write-in candidate in the 2022 general election. Khaaliq was the first African American to run for the U.S. Senate in a general election in Indiana's history.[14]

Declined

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Results

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Democratic primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Thomas McDermott Jr. 173,466 100.0%
Total votes 173,466 100.0%

Libertarian convention

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Candidates

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Nominee

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  • James Sceniak, activist and behavior therapist[19]

Eliminated at convention

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Write-ins

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Candidates

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Declared

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  • Antonio Xavier Alvarez
  • Thomas Baer
  • Phillip Beachy
  • Haneefah Khaaliq, professor at Indiana University[20]
  • Danny Niederberger
  • David G. Storer

Withdrew/disqualified

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  • Ellen Kizik, retail worker[21]

General election

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Incumbent Senator Todd Young sought re-election in 2022. In 2016, Young was initially perceived as the underdog when Former Senator Evan Bayh was chosen to replace Representative Baron Hill.[22][23] Bayh, an Indiana political giant, was considered the frontrunner until he faced criticism for many of his post-senatorial activities, allowing Young to gain momentum and secure a decisive victory.[24]

In March 2021, Young announced he would seek a second term.[25]

Young's main opponent in the election was Thomas McDermott Jr., the longtime mayor of Hammond, Indiana.[26] McDermott ran as a moderate, criticizing Young for his ties to the Republican establishment and emphasizing his pro-choice stance in light of the Dobbs v. Jackson Supreme Court decision.[27] Young, on the other hand, focused on issues like inflation and border security, directing most of his attacks at President Joe Biden rather than McDermott.[28][29] While early polls indicated a close race,[30] a poll conducted around Election Day showed Young with a comfortable lead.[31]

On October 16, three weeks before the election, the only debate was held which featured Young, McDermontt, and Libertarian Nominee James Sceniak. The Debate centered on a number of issues, including The Economy, Immigration/Border security, and Climate change, among others. Young, mainly focused on Immigration, while avoiding attacking his opponents, McDermott attacked Young relentlessly throughout the debate, even stating “When Senator Young supports spending, it is good inflation, but when he doesn't support it, that is bad inflation. The chips act is a spending bill. Todd Young helped to add to our nation inflation problem”.[32]

Young went on to win the election easily, outperforming his 2016 performance by 11 points and receiving nearly 59% of the vote to McDermott's 38%.[33]

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[34] Solid R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[35] Solid R April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[36] Safe R March 1, 2022
Politico[37] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[38] Safe R February 24, 2022
Fox News[39] Solid R May 12, 2022
DDHQ[40] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[41] Solid R July 6, 2022
The Economist[42] Safe R September 7, 2022

Endorsements

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Todd Young (R)

Organizations

Newspapers

Thomas McDermott Jr. (D)

U.S. Representatives

State legislators

Labor unions

Organizations

Haneefah Khaaliq (I) (write-in)

Organizations

  • Freethought Equality Fund[60]
  • Indiana Civil Rights Agency

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Todd
Young (R) 		Thomas
McDermott Jr. (D) 		James
Sceniak (L) 		Other Undecided
Civiqs[61] November 4–7, 2022 707 (LV) ± 4.7% 49% 38% – 9%[b] 4%
ARW Strategies[62] September 25–26, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 37% 6% – 17%
Change Research (D)[63][A] August 20–24, 2022 2,111 (LV) ± 2.6% 45% 42% – – 13%

Results

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State Senate results
 
State House results
2022 United States Senate election in Indiana[64]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Todd Young (incumbent) 1,090,165 58.62% +6.51%
Democratic Thomas McDermott Jr. 704,411 37.87% −4.54%
Libertarian James Sceniak 63,814 3.43% −2.04%
Write-in 1,461 0.08% +0.07%
Total votes 1,859,851 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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By congressional district

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Young won 7 of 9 congressional districts.[65]

District Young McDermott Representative
1st 46.1% 52% Frank J. Mrvan
2nd 65% 32.4% Rudy Yakym
3rd 66.7% 30.4% Jim Banks
4th 63.6% 31.4% Jim Baird
5th 58.5% 37.2% Victoria Spartz
6th 63.9% 30.5% Greg Pence
7th 29% 67.5% André Carson
8th 67.5% 30% Larry Bucshon
9th 63.7% 33.2% Trey Hollingsworth (117th Congress)
Erin Houchin (118th Congress)

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Someone else" with 9%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by McDermott's campaign

References

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  1. ^ "2022 US Senate Election Results: Live Map". ABC News. November 8, 2022. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  2. ^ a b "'I'm running': Todd Young to seek re-election to US Senate". WANE-TV. March 2, 2021. Archived from the original on April 19, 2021. Retrieved March 2, 2021.
  3. ^ Lange, Kaitlin (August 10, 2021). "Sen. Todd Young to vote against infrastructure bill after initially supporting it". The Indianapolis Star. Gannett (published August 9, 2021). Archived from the original on August 22, 2021. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  4. ^ Lange, Kaitlin (May 12, 2020). "2020 Elections: Here's who is running in Indiana's 5th Congressional District". The Indianapolis Star. Gannett (published October 11, 2019). Archived from the original on January 21, 2021. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  5. ^ a b c Lange, Kaitlin. "Sen. Young won't face primary challengers after commission removes opponent from ballot". IndyStar. The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved February 19, 2022.
  6. ^ a b "Indiana Election Results - May 3, 2022". Indiana Election Division. May 9, 2022.
  7. ^ a b "Indiana mayor starts challenge to Republican US Sen. Young". Associated Press. Hammond, Ind. August 19, 2021. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  8. ^ Burgess, Rob (July 27, 2021). "Democratic senatorial candidate visits Wabash". Chronicle-Tribune. Archived from the original on August 22, 2021. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  9. ^ Kukulka, Alexandra (July 26, 2021). "Porter County march, rally calls for access to reproductive health care: 'Nobody should be ashamed of their own particular health care decision'". Post-Tribune. Archived from the original on July 26, 2021. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  10. ^ "Major party candidates for Senate will run unopposed in primary". NPR. February 18, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  11. ^ "3 longshot US Senate hopefuls file for Indiana primary race". Associated Press. February 4, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  12. ^ "Haneefah Khaaliq on her Decision to be a Write-in Candidate in the 2022 U.S. Senate Race". Hoosiers for Haneefah Campaign. September 8, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  13. ^ "Indiana Election Commission Public Session" (PDF). Indiana Election Commission. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  14. ^ a b "Enough is Enough". The Crusader Newspaper Group. September 27, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  15. ^ Laris, Michael; Duncan, Ian. "Senate confirms Pete Buttigieg to lead Transportation Dept., the first openly gay person confirmed to a Cabinet seat". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved February 2, 2021.
  16. ^ Howey, Brian (March 14, 2021). "Joe Donnelly passes on a challenge to Sen. Todd Young". KPCNews. Retrieved March 14, 2021.
  17. ^ a b Wren, Adam (January 24, 2021). "3 takeaways from Buttigieg's first week in Washington". Importantville. Retrieved January 24, 2021.
  18. ^ "2022 Candidate List" (PDF). Indianan Secretary of State. Retrieved February 8, 2022.
  19. ^ a b Box, Terri (March 8, 2022). "The Libertarian Party of Indiana nominates candidates for 2022 | WBIW". Retrieved May 3, 2022.
  20. ^ "United States Senate Election in Indiana". Ballotpedia. Retrieved June 4, 2022.
  21. ^ "Indiana 2022 General Election". The Green Papers. Retrieved May 5, 2022.
  22. ^ says, Howard (September 19, 2016). "With Evan Bayh's surprise entry, Indiana's Senate race has turned from red to purple overnight". USAPP. Retrieved July 2, 2024.
  23. ^ Silk Smith, Jeremy (August 17, 2016). "Poll: Bayh Holds Significant Lead Over Young in Indiana Senate Race". Roll Call. Retrieved July 2, 2024.
  24. ^ Ropeik, Annie (November 9, 2016). "In Senate Loss, Bayh Couldn't Overcome Modern Image Among Voters". WFYI Public Media. Retrieved July 2, 2024.
  25. ^ "Indiana Sen. Todd Young announces 2022 reelection campaign". AP News. March 2, 2021. Retrieved July 2, 2024.
  26. ^ Lange, Kaitlin. "Hammond Mayor Thomas McDermott Jr. files to run for Sen. Todd Young's seat in 2022". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved July 2, 2024.
  27. ^ "Democratic Senate candidate Thomas McDermott talks 'the top issue' — abortion access — and plans if elected". Democratic Senate candidate Thomas McDermott talks ‘the top issue’ — abortion access — and plans if elected - Indiana Daily Student. Retrieved July 2, 2024.
  28. ^ Todd Young (January 11, 2022). Border Collie | Todd Young for U.S. Senate. Retrieved July 2, 2024 – via YouTube.
  29. ^ Todd Young (January 18, 2022). Recapping Joe Biden's Disastrous First Year | Todd Young for U.S. Senate. Retrieved July 2, 2024 – via YouTube.
  30. ^ Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul. "New Poll Shows Close U.S. Senate Race". Indy Politics. Retrieved July 2, 2024.
  31. ^ Wiederkehr, Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Ritchie King, Dhrumil Mehta and Anna (June 28, 2018). "Indiana : U.S. Senate : 2022 Polls". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved July 2, 2024.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  32. ^ "Indiana U.S. Senate Debate | C-SPAN.org". www.c-span.org. Retrieved July 2, 2024.
  33. ^ Cheang, Ko Lyn. "Todd Young wins U.S. Senate seat in Indiana over Democrat Thomas McDermott". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved July 2, 2024.
  34. ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  35. ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  36. ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  37. ^ "Indiana Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  38. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
  39. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  40. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  41. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  42. ^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  43. ^ "Indiana Endorsements". huckpac.com.
  44. ^ "International Franchise Association Announces 2022 Congressional Endorsements". www.franchise.org. International Franchise Association. April 28, 2022. Retrieved April 30, 2022.
  45. ^ a b "INDIANA PRIMARY ELECTION CANDIDATE ENDORSEMENTS ANNOUNCED". local150.org. April 26, 2022.
  46. ^ "Senator Todd Young receives national endorsement in Fort Wayne". wowo.com. June 10, 2022.
  47. ^ "Republicans win endorsement of Indiana small business advocacy organization". August 22, 2022.
  48. ^ "National Right to Life Endorses Todd Young in Indiana Senate Race". www.nationalrighttolifenews.org/. April 26, 2022.
  49. ^ "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 22, 2022.
  50. ^ "SBA List's Candidate Fund PAC Endorses U.S. Sen. Todd Young for Re-election in Indiana". am1050.com. April 19, 2022.
  51. ^ "HODLpac Endorsements - May 4, 2022". hodlpac.substack.com. May 4, 2022. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  52. ^ "U.S. Chamber Endorses Todd Young for U.S. Senate". www.uschamber.com. October 25, 2022. Retrieved December 19, 2022.
  53. ^ "Our view editorial: Destiny Wells has the character to be secretary of state". The Herald Bulletin. October 31, 2022. Retrieved November 6, 2022.
  54. ^ a b "Mrvan, other Democrats stump at Get Out the Vote Rally hosted by Senator Melton". October 26, 2022.
  55. ^ a b "Thomas McDermott, Jr. - The Voter's Self Defense System - Vote Smart". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved September 21, 2022.
  56. ^ "Indiana AFL-CIO Labor 2022 Endorsements". inaflcio.org.
  57. ^ "2022 INDIANA GENERAL ELECTION ENDORSEMENTS" (PDF). www.ikorcc.com. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  58. ^ "Indiana - COMPAC Endorsements". UMWA. Retrieved October 30, 2022.
  59. ^ "Thomas McDermott, Jr.'s Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  60. ^ "Freethought Equality Fund PAC 2022 Endorsements". freethoughtequality.org.[permanent dead link]
  61. ^ Civiqs
  62. ^ ARW Strategies
  63. ^ Change Research (D)
  64. ^ "Indiana Election Results November 8, 2022". Indiana Election Division.
  65. ^ Results. docs.google.com (Report).
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Official campaign websites

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