2012 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota
(Redirected from United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota, 2012)
The 2012 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota was held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the single U.S. Representative from South Dakota's At-large congressional district, comprising the entire state of South Dakota. The election coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election.
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County results Noem: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Varilek: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Kristi Noem, incumbent U.S. Representative[1]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Matt Varilek, staffer for Senator Tim Johnson[2]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Jeff Barth, Minnehaha County Commissioner[1]
Declined
edit- Stephanie Herseth Sandlin, former U.S. Representative[3]
Primary results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Matt Varilek | 21,759 | 71.9 | |
Democratic | Jeff Barth | 8,494 | 28.1 | |
Total votes | 30,253 | 100.0 |
General election
editPolling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kristi Noem (R) |
Matt Varilek (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nielson Brothers Polling[5] | October 31 – November 4, 2012 | 633 | ± 3.90% | 54% | 41% | 5% |
Nielson Brothers Polling[6] | October 28–31, 2012 | 671 | ± 3.78% | 50% | 44% | 5% |
Nielson Brothers Polling[7] | August 29 – September 6, 2012 | 509 | ± 4.34% | 51% | 42% | 7% |
Nielson Brothers Polling[8] | July 19–23, 2012 | 541 | ± 4.21% | 47% | 46% | 7% |
Hypothetical polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kristi Noem (R) |
Stephanie H. Sandlin (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling[9] | January 28–30, 2011 | 1,045 | ± 3.0% | 45% | 46% | 8% |
Endorsements
editMatt Varilek (D)
Organizations
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee "Emerging Races" Program[10]
Predictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[11] | Likely R | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg[12] | Safe R | November 2, 2012 |
Roll Call[13] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Likely R | November 5, 2012 |
NY Times[15] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
RCP[16] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
The Hill[17] | Safe R | November 4, 2012 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Kristi Noem (incumbent) | 207,640 | 57.45% | +9.33% | |
Democratic | Matt Varilek | 153,789 | 42.55% | −3.34% | |
Total votes | '361,429' | '100.0%' | N/A | ||
Republican hold |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
edit- Beadle (Largest city: Huron)
- Bon Homme (Largest city: Springfield)
- Brule (Largest city: Chamberlain)
- Corson (Largest city: McLaughlin)
- Deuel (Largest city: Clear Lake)
- Grant (Largest city: Milbank)
- Jerauld (Largest city: Wessington Springs)
- Kingsbury (Largest city: De Smet)
- Lake (Largest city: Madison)
- Miner (Largest city: Howard)
- Minnehaha (Largest city: Sioux Falls)
- Moody (Largest city: Flandreau)
- Sanborn (Largest city: Woonsocket)
- Brookings (largest city: Brookings)
- Aurora (largest city: Plankinton)
- Bennett (largest city: Martin)
- Clark (largest city: Clark)
- Spink (largest city: Redfield)
- Mellette (Largest city: White River)
References
edit- ^ a b Luther, Megan (July 16, 2011). "Rep. Noem gears up for re-election campaign". Argus Leader. Retrieved July 20, 2011.[permanent dead link]
- ^ Hayworth, Bret (December 2, 2011). "Politically Speaking: Varilek enters race for South Dakota congressional seat". Sioux City Journal. Retrieved December 2, 2011.
- ^ "Stephanie Herseth Sandlin officially announces she will not run for office in 2012". Argus Leader. January 21, 2011. Retrieved January 29, 2011.[permanent dead link]
- ^ "Statewide Races". Secretary of State of South Dakota. June 25, 2012. Retrieved August 3, 2012.
- ^ Nielson Brothers Polling
- ^ Nielson Brothers Polling
- ^ Nielson Brothers Polling
- ^ Nielson Brothers Polling
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ "RED TO BLUE 2012". DCCC. Archived from the original on October 26, 2012. Retrieved March 5, 2023.
- ^ "The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races". Cookpolitical.com. November 5, 2012. Retrieved November 6, 2012.
- ^ "House Ratings". Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com. November 2, 2012. Retrieved November 4, 2012.
- ^ [1], as of November 4, 2012[update]
- ^ Crystal Ball, as of November 5, 2012[update]
- ^ House Race Ratings, The New York Times, as of November 4, 2012[update]
- ^ [2], as of November 4, 2012[update]
- ^ "House Ratings". The Hill. November 3, 2012. Retrieved November 4, 2012.
- ^ "Secretary of State — Statewide Races" (PDF). South Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved November 28, 2012.
External links
edit- Elections from the South Dakota Secretary of State
- United States House of Representatives elections in South Dakota, 2012 at Ballotpedia
- South Dakota - At-Large from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from OpenSecrets
- Outside spending at the Sunlight Foundation
Official campaign websites (Archived)