2010 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota

The 2010 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota took place on Tuesday, November 2, 2010. Voters selected a representative for their single At-Large district, who run on a statewide ballot. On June 8, 2010, the Republicans nominated Kristi Noem, Assistant Majority Leader of the South Dakota House of Representatives and the Democrats nominated the incumbent Stephanie Herseth Sandlin. B. Thomas Marking ran as an Independent candidate. In the general election, Noem defeated Herseth Sandlin, winning 48.1 percent of the vote to 45.9 percent for Herseth Sandlin.

2010 United States House of Representatives election in South Dakota

← 2008 November 2, 2010 2012 →
 
Nominee Kristi Noem Stephanie Herseth Sandlin B. Thomas Marking
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Popular vote 153,703 146,589 19,134
Percentage 48.1% 45.9% 6.0%

County results
Noem:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Herseth Sandlin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
     70–80%      >90%

U.S. Representative before election

Stephanie Herseth Sandlin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Kristi Noem
Republican

Democratic Primary

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Nominee

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Announced

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Potential

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Republican Primary

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Nominee

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Announced

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Withdrew

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Declined

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Primary results

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2010 Republican primary election – At Large Congressional District of South Dakota[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kristi Noem 34,527 42.1
Republican Chris Nelson 28,380 34.6
Republican Blake Curd 19,134 23.3
Total votes 82,041 100.0

Campaign

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Issues

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During the general election campaign, Republicans criticized Herseth Sandlin's voting record. They also criticized her lobbyist husband's list of clients, noting that the companies had interests in legislation that would come before Congress.[10] Noem pointed out that the National Association of Broadcasters paid Herseth Sandlin's husband, Max Sandlin, a lobbyist and former Congressman, $320,000 during the years 2008 and 2009 to lobby on their behalf, including a bill co-sponsored by Herseth Sandlin called the Local Radio Freedom Act.[10][11] Herseth Sandlin responded that Noem's example was "laughable".[11] The Rapid City Journal editorial board stated that Herseth Sandlin should not be laughing at a legitimate concern.[12] Roll Call called the Republican effort an attempt "to stoke anti-Beltway emotions".[10] Herseth Sandlin's campaign responded that she did not allow family members to lobby her or her staff.[10] According to a Washington attorney, Herseth Sandlin's policy seemed compliant with House ethics rules that had been tightened in 2007, though Republicans charged Herseth Sandlin was violating the spirit of the conflict interest rules.[10] "The Sunlight Foundation, Public Citizen and other watchdog groups are highly critical of Herseth Sandlin and other Members whose relatives work Congressional corridors", according to Roll Call.[10] The groups have said the House ethics rules should be comparable to the Senate's rules and should ban all lobbying "under the Dome" by relatives of Members.[10]

Polling

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Poll source Date(s) administered Stephanie
Herseth
Sandlin (D)
Kristi
Noem (R)
Rasmussen Reports[13] February 23, 2010 49% 34%
Rasmussen Reports[14] March 25, 2010 46% 35%
Rasmussen Reports[15] April 26, 2010 50% 35%
Rasmussen Reports[16] May 27, 2010 46% 43%
Rasmussen Reports[17] June 14, 2010 41% 53%
Rasmussen Reports[17][18] July 6, 2010 44% 49%
Rasmussen Reports[19][20] August 3, 2010 42% 51%
Rasmussen Reports[21] September 8, 2010 47% 45%
Rasmussen Reports[22] October 4, 2010 44% 47%
Rasmussen Reports[22] October 20, 2010 44% 49%
Nielson Brothers Polling[23] October 20–22, 2010 42% 40%

On October 24, 2010, Nate Silver of The New York Times' FiveThirtyEight.com blog predicted that there was a 69.9% chance that Noem would defeat Sandlin.[24]

Fundraising

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The race saw each candidate spend over $1.75 million and was the first in Herseth Sandlin's career where she was outspent.[25]

Funding from political parties and interest groups totaled $2,651,621 for the race, with 78% benefiting Noem.[26] Groups supporting Herseth-Sandlin included the DCCC and CUNA. Noem was supported by the American Action Network, the NRCC and the American Future Fund.[26]

Results

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South Dakota's at-large congressional district election, 2010[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kristi Noem 153,703 48.12
Democratic Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (incumbent) 146,589 45.89
Independent B. Thomas Marking 19,134 5.99
Total votes 319,426 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

By county

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Source[28]

Kristi Noem
Republican
Stephanie Herseth Sandlin
Democrat
B. Thomas Marking
Independent
Margin Total
County Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes
Aurora 593 42.54% 707 50.72% 94 6.74% -114 -8.18% 1,394
Beadle 2,941 42.62% 3,541 51.32% 418 6.06% -600 -8.70% 6,900
Bennett 499 47.16% 502 47.45% 57 5.39% -3 -0.28% 1,058
Bon Homme 1,265 44.64% 1,334 47.07% 235 8.29% -69 -2.43% 2,834
Brookings 4,147 37.19% 6,195 55.56% 808 7.25% -2,048 -18.37% 11,150
Brown 5,712 39.46% 8,100 55.95% 665 4.59% -2,388 -16.50% 14,477
Brule 971 45.20% 1,017 47.35% 160 7.45% -46 -2.14% 2,148
Buffalo 91 20.09% 351 77.48% 11 2.43% -260 -57.40% 453
Butte 2,357 63.43% 1,128 30.36% 231 6.22% 1,229 33.07% 3,716
Campbell 452 45.22% 301 38.10% 37 4.68% 151 19.11% 790
Charles Mix 1,710 48.69% 1,620 46.13% 182 5.18% 90 2.56% 3,512
Clark 773 45.85% 787 46.68% 126 7.47% -14 -0.83% 1,686
Clay 1,642 35.01% 2,802 59.74% 246 5.25% -1,160 -24.73% 4,690
Codington 4,983 48.16% 4,684 45.27% 679 6.56% 299 2.89% 10,346
Corson 362 41.51% 450 51.61% 60 6.88% -88 -10.09% 872
Custer 2,378 59.91% 1,278 32.20% 313 7.89% 1,100 27.71% 3,969
Davison 3,467 47.64% 3,437 47.22% 374 5.14% 30 0.41% 7,278
Day 937 33.97% 1,668 60.48% 153 5.55% -731 -26.50% 2,758
Deuel 877 42.86% 999 48.83% 170 8.31% -122 -5.96% 2,046
Dewey 442 28.05% 1,070 67.89% 64 4.06% -628 -39.85% 1,576
Douglas 1,083 65.12% 489 29.40% 91 5.47% 594 35.72% 1,663
Edmunds 838 46.69% 834 46.46% 123 6.85% 4 0.22% 1,795
Fall River 1,824 58.54% 1,056 33.89% 236 7.57% 768 24.65% 3,116
Faulk 553 50.87% 466 42.87% 68 6.26% 87 8.00% 1,087
Grant 1,597 45.63% 1,638 46.80% 265 7.57% -41 -1.17% 3,500
Gregory 1,129 54.99% 785 38.24% 139 6.77% 344 16.76% 2,053
Haakon 718 69.37% 254 24.54% 63 6.09% 464 44.83% 1,035
Hamlin 1,463 55.29% 963 36.39% 220 8.31% 500 18.90% 2,646
Hand 906 49.24% 804 43.70% 130 7.07% 102 5.54% 1,840
Hanson 1,048 60.09% 594 34.06% 102 5.85% 454 26.03% 1,744
Harding 490 73.03% 127 18.93% 54 8.05% 363 54.10% 671
Hughes 3,849 49.95% 3,432 44.54% 425 5.52% 417 5.41% 7,706
Hutchinson 1,822 56.92% 1,176 36.74% 203 6.34% 646 20.18% 3,201
Hyde 412 57.22% 277 38.47% 31 4.31% 135 18.75% 720
Jackson 534 55.51% 369 38.36% 59 6.13% 165 17.15% 962
Jerauld 461 40.76% 581 51.37% 89 7.87% -120 -10.61% 1,131
Jones 377 63.90% 180 30.51% 33 5.59% 197 33.39% 590
Kingsbury 1,044 42.18% 1,229 49.66% 202 8.16% -185 -7.47% 2,475
Lake 2,414 46.39% 2,458 47.23% 332 6.38% -44 -0.85% 5,204
Lawrence 5,431 53.26% 4,019 39.41% 747 7.33% 1,412 13.85% 10,197
Lincoln 9,440 52.44% 7,699 42.77% 862 4.79% 1,741 9.67% 18,001
Lyman 677 48.36% 604 43.14% 119 8.50% 73 5.21% 1,400
Marshall 660 35.64% 1,107 59.77% 85 4.59% -447 -24.14% 1,852
McCook 1,216 48.41% 1,126 44.82% 170 6.77% 90 3.58% 2,512
McPherson 692 57.33% 447 37.03% 68 5.63% 245 20.30% 1,207
Meade 5,741 61.10% 3,049 32.45% 606 6.45% 2,692 28.65% 9,396
Mellette 320 42.22% 373 49.21% 65 8.58% -53 -6.99% 758
Miner 458 41.08% 581 52.11% 76 6.82% -123 -11.03% 1,115
Minnehaha 28,968 44.50% 32,430 49.82% 3,698 5.68% -3,462 -5.32% 65,096
Moody 1,111 40.80% 1,433 57.18% 201 2.02% -503 -16.39% 2,745
Pennington 21,489 57.94% 13,597 36.66% 2,002 5.40% 7,892 21.28% 37,088
Perkins 859 62.38% 418 30.36% 100 7.26% 441 32.03% 1,377
Potter 745 56.35% 518 39.18% 59 4.46% 227 17.17% 1,322
Roberts 1,507 39.12% 2,077 53.92% 268 6.96% -570 -14.80% 3,852
Sanborn 514 44.16% 578 49.66% 72 6.19% -64 -5.50% 1,164
Shannon 191 7.63% 2,260 90.29% 52 2.08% -2,069 -82.66% 2,503
Spink 1,201 40.85% 1,564 53.20% 175 5.95% -363 -12.35% 2,940
Stanley 726 50.88% 601 42.12% 100 7.01% 125 8.76% 1,427
Sully 427 57.24% 270 36.19% 49 6.57% 157 21.05% 746
Todd 421 21.03% 1,500 74.93% 81 4.05% -1,079 -53.90% 2,002
Tripp 1,390 37.52% 949 59.07% 169 3.41% 441 17.58% 2,508
Treasure 1,875 49.30% 1,676 44.07% 252 6.63% 199 5.23% 3,803
Union 3,356 55.60% 2,408 39.89% 272 4.51% 948 15.71% 6,036
Walworth 1,229 54.89% 871 38.90% 139 6.21% 358 15.99% 2,239
Yankton 3,653 42.18% 4,336 50.07% 671 7.75% -683 -7.89% 8,660
Ziebach 245 35.61% 415 60.32% 28 4.07% -170 -24.71% 688

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

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See also

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References

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  1. ^ a b "Statewide Candidate List" (PDF). sd.gov. September 30, 2010. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 16, 2010. Retrieved November 3, 2010.
  2. ^ a b "Herseth Sandlin running for reelection - The Scorecard". Politico. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  3. ^ "CNN Political Ticker: All politics, all the time Blog Archive - Obama campaign guru eyes House seat". Politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com. March 16, 2010. Archived from the original on March 23, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  4. ^ "Curd for Congress". www.curdforcongress.com. Archived from the original on 15 January 2010. Retrieved 4 December 2018.
  5. ^ "Help Chris Make South Dakota Better!". Nelson For SD.
  6. ^ "Yankton Press & Dakotan > Archives > News > S.D. Legislator Considers U.S. House". Yankton.net. September 4, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  7. ^ "It's Official: Thad Wasson Ends Congressional Campaign, Endorses Curd". Dakotavoice.com. January 7, 2010. Archived from the original on August 19, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  8. ^ "Yankton Press & Dakotan > Archives > News > Krebs Decides Against U.S. House Run". Yankton.net. November 12, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  9. ^ "2010 South Dakota Official Primary Election Results". South Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved December 10, 2023.
  10. ^ a b c d e f g Murray, Matthew (July 26, 2010). "GOP Assails Sandlin Family Ties". Roll Call. Retrieved March 7, 2011. Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin's family situation is becoming a major headache for the South Dakota Democrat in her tough re-election bid, with Republicans ramping up their criticisms of her voting record — and her lobbyist husband's extensive list of clients. In March 2007, the lawmaker married lobbyist and ex-Rep. Max Sandlin, a Texas Democrat who lost his seat to Rep. Louie Gohmert (R) in 2004.
  11. ^ a b Montgomery, David (September 27, 2010). "Noem targets Herseth Sandlin's lobbyist husband in heated House race". Rapid City Journal. Retrieved March 7, 2011. As Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin battles Republican challenger Kristi Noem in this fall's election, she has found herself under attack from Republicans for her husband's day job -– political lobbyist. Noem and her campaign are claiming Herseth Sandlin is being improperly influenced by lobbying contracts of Max Sandlin, a former Texas congressman who married the congresswoman in 2007.
  12. ^ Rapid City Journal Editorial Board (September 30, 2010). "Sandlin's job no laughing matter". Rapid City Journal. Retrieved March 7, 2011. Herseth Sandlin's claim that transparency and disclosure are adequate doesn't cut it. She should not be laughing off this legitimate concern.
  13. ^ "Toplines - 2010 South Dakota House of Representatives Election - February 23, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports®". www.rasmussenreports.com.
  14. ^ "Toplines - 2010 South Dakota House of Representatives Election - March 25, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports®". www.rasmussenreports.com.
  15. ^ "Toplines - 2010 South Dakota House of Representatives Election - April 21, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports®". www.rasmussenreports.com.
  16. ^ "Toplines - South Dakota House of Representatives Election - May 27, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports®". www.rasmussenreports.com.
  17. ^ a b "Toplines - South Dakota House of Representatives Election - June 10, 2010 - Rasmussen Reports®". www.rasmussenreports.com.
  18. ^ Woster, Kevin. Poll: Herseth Sandlin gains back ground, but Noem still leads in House race, Rapid City Journal, July 9, 2010.
  19. ^ "Rasmussen Reports".
  20. ^ Rasmussen, Scott (August 6, 2010). "Election 2010: South Dakota House of Representatives". Rasmussen Reports. Retrieved August 7, 2010. Republican Kristi Noem again passes the 50% mark of support this month against incumbent Democrat Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin in the race for South Dakota's only House seat.
  21. ^ "Election 2010: South Dakota House of Representatives". www.rasmussenreports.com.
  22. ^ a b "Election 2010: South Dakota House of Representatives". www.rasmussenreports.com.
  23. ^ "Nielson Brothers Polling". Archived from the original on October 28, 2010.
  24. ^ Silver, Nate (October 20, 2010). "FiveThirtyEight Forecasts South Dakota At Large District". The New York Times. Retrieved October 24, 2010.
  25. ^ Montgomery, David (October 22, 2010). "Noem cruises past Herseth Sandlin in campaign funding in U.S. House race". Rapid City Journal.
  26. ^ a b "Campaign cash: South Dakota's 1st congressional district". The Washington Post. Retrieved November 9, 2010.
  27. ^ "2010 South Dakota Official General Election Results: Statewide Candidate Races - November 2, 2010". South Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved November 16, 2024.
  28. ^ "2010 South Dakota Official General Election Results: Statewide Candidates by County - November 2, 2010". South Dakota Secretary of State. Retrieved November 16, 2024.
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Debates