Opinion polling for the 2008 Russian presidential election
(Redirected from Opinion polling for the Russian presidential election, 2008)
This is a collection of scientific, public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2008 Russian presidential election.
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Opinion polls by "Levada-center"
editSources: https://web.archive.org/web/20071130210431/http://www.levada.ru/vybory2008.html[1] Russia votes
First round
edit2004 polls
editOpinion polling | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | 13-16 August 2004 | ||||||||||||||
Vladimir Putin | 49 | - | |||||||||||||
Sergei Ivanov | - | 2 | |||||||||||||
Gennady Zyuganov | 5 | 6 | |||||||||||||
Vladimir Zhirinovsky | 6 | 9 | |||||||||||||
No preference | 26 | - | |||||||||||||
Other | 15 | 46 | |||||||||||||
Undecided | 8 | 23 | |||||||||||||
Wouldn't vote | 12 | 15 |
2005 polls
editOpinion polling | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | 15–18 July 2005 | 19–22 August 2005 | 26–29 September 2005 | 14−17 October 2005 | 11−14 November 2005 | 9−12 December 2005 | 16−19 December 2005 | ||||||||
Vladimir Putin | 36 | 37 | 35 | 35 | - | 36 | - | 36 | - | - | |||||
Sergei Ivanov | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | 8 | |||||
Gennady Zyuganov | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 17 | |||||
Vladimir Zhirinovsky | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 9 | |||||
No preference | 45 | 47 | 48 | 51 | - | 49 | - | 51 | - | - | |||||
Other | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 10 | 47 | 6 | 47 | 37 | |||||
Undecided | 24 | 23 | 22 | 30 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 21 | |||||
Unsure if I will vote | 8 | 7 | 11 | 7 | - | 9 | - | 10 | - | - | |||||
Wouldn't vote | 10 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 17 |
2006 polls
editOpinion polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | 20-24 January 2006 | 10–14 February 2006 | 10–13 March 2006 | 20–25 April 2006 | 19–22 May 2006 | 10–14 June 2006 | 14–17 July 2006 | 18–21 August 2006 | 15–18 September 2006 | 13–16 October 2006 | 10–13 November 2006 | 8–12 December 2006 | |||||||||||
Vladimir Putin | 33 | - | 34 | - | 31 | - | 33 | - | 32 | - | - | 40 | - | 40 | - | 39 | - | 37 | - | 38 | - | 36 | - |
Sergei Ivanov | 0 | 25 | 1 | 25 | 2 | 26 | - | 23 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 27 | 1 | 29 | 1 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
Dmitry Medvedev | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | 2 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 19 |
Gennady Zyuganov | 3 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 5 |
Vladimir Zhirinovsky | 3 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
No preference | 53 | - | 52 | - | 53 | - | 52 | - | 50 | - | - | 47 | - | 45 | - | 48 | - | 50 | - | 46 | - | 51 | - |
Other | 8 | 37 | 7 | 36 | 6 | 36 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 28 | 30 | 5 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
Unsure if I will vote | 9 | - | 9 | - | 12 | - | 8 | - | 11 | - | - | 6 | - | 9 | - | 14 | - | 7 | - | 11 | - | 10 | - |
Wouldn't vote | 31 | 15 | 25 | 18 | 27 | 17 | 30 | 15 | 27 | 16 | 17 | 27 | 16 | 22 | 29 | 10 | 26 | 29 | 25 | 22 | 28 | 27 | 18 |
2007 polls
editJanuary–June
editOpinion polling | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | January 2007 | 19-22 January 2007 | February 2007 | 16-19 February 2007 | March 2007 | 16-19 March 2007 | April 2007 | 13-16 April 2007 | May 2007 | 11-14 May 2007 | June 2007 | 15-18 June 2007 | ||||||
Vladimir Putin | - | 34 | - | - | 32 | - | - | 33 | - | - | 31 | - | - | 41 | - | - | 44 | - |
Sergei Ivanov | 21 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 4 | 18 | 31 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 5 | 19 |
Dmitry Medvedev | 33 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 5 | 19 | 31 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 3 | 17 |
Gennady Zyuganov | 14 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 9 |
Vladimir Zhirinovsky | 14 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 9 |
Sergey Glazyev | 5 | - | - | 5 | - | - | 6 | - | - | 5 | - | - | 3 | - | - | 5 | - | - |
"Liberal Candidate"* | 11 | - | - | 8 | - | - | 8 | - | - | 6 | - | - | 6 | - | - | 7 | - | - |
Dmitry Rogozin | 1 | - | - | 2 | - | - | 4 | - | - | 2 | - | - | 2 | - | - | 2 | - | - |
No preference | - | 46 | - | - | 46 | - | - | 47 | - | - | 45 | - | - | 41 | - | - | 35 | - |
Other | - | 10 | 10 | - | 11 | 9 | - | 9 | 8 | - | 6 | 9 | - | 8 | 9 | - | 6 | 8 |
Undecided | - | 25 | 28 | - | 25 | 20 | - | 25 | 27 | - | 25 | 23 | - | 25 | 44 | - | 19 | 20 |
Unsure if I will vote | - | 8 | 8 | - | 5 | 4 | - | 9 | 8 | - | 11 | 8 | - | 7 | 6 | - | 8 | 10 |
Wouldn't vote | - | 10 | 20 | - | 11 | 21 | - | 9 | 13 | - | 6 | 10 | - | 8 | 8 | - | 6 | 11 |
July–December
editOpinion polling | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | 13—16 July 2007 | August 2007 | 10—13 August 2007 | September 2007 | 14—17 September 2007 | October 2007 | 12—15 October 2007 | November 2007 | 9—12 November 2007 | December 2007 | 21—24 December 2007 | ||||
Vladimir Putin | 48 | - | - | 40 | - | 32 | - | 35 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Sergei Ivanov | 4 | 22 | 36 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 6 | 18 | 25 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 16 | 21 | - |
Dmitry Medvedev | 3 | 17 | 34 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 5 | 16 | 26 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 13 | 35 | 79 |
Viktor Zubkov | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | - | - | 19 | - | 10 | 20 | 11 | 17 | - |
Gennady Zyuganov | 4 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
Vladimir Zhirinovsky | 3 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 9 |
Sergey Glazyev | - | - | 1 | - | - | 4 | - | - | 3 | - | - | 4 | - | - | - |
"Liberal Candidate"* | - | - | 3 | - | - | 3 | - | - | 2 | - | - | 4 | - | 3 | 2 |
Dmitry Rogozin | - | - | 1 | - | - | <1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
No preference | 34 | - | - | 41 | - | 46 | - | 44 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Other | 4 | 5 | - | 3 | 3 | - | 3 | 4 | - | 5 | 3 | - | 4 | - | - |
Undecided | 18 | 22 | - | 22 | 23 | - | 28 | 27 | - | 28 | 26 | - | 22 | - | - |
Unsure if I will vote | 7 | 6 | - | 10 | 10 | - | 11 | 7 | - | 10 | 7 | - | 9 | - | - |
Wouldn't vote | 8 | 14 | - | 7 | 14 | 8 | - | 7 | 12 | - | 11 | - | 10 | - | - |
2008 polls
editOpinion polling | ||
---|---|---|
Candidate | January 2008 | February 2008 |
Dmitry Medvedev | 82 | 80 |
Gennady Zyuganov | 9 | 10.5 |
Vladimir Zhirinovsky | 8 | 9 |
"Liberal Candidate"* | 1 | - |
Andrey Bogdanov | <1 | 0,5 |
Second-round
editTwo-way contest | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | 1st candidate | % | vs | % | 2nd candidate | |||||||||
December 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 44 | -------> | 56 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
December 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 58 | <------- | 42 | Viktor Zubkov | |||||||||
December 2007 | Dmitry Medvedev | 63 | <------- | 37 | Viktor Zubkov | |||||||||
November 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 53 | <------- | 47 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
November 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 57 | <------- | 43 | Viktor Zubkov | |||||||||
November 2007 | Dmitry Medvedev | 57 | <------- | 43 | Viktor Zubkov | |||||||||
October 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 53 | <------- | 47 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
October 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 59 | <------- | 41 | Viktor Zubkov | |||||||||
October 2007 | Dmitry Medvedev | 56 | <------- | 44 | Viktor Zubkov | |||||||||
September 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 59 | <------- | 41 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
August 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 54 | <------- | 46 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
June 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 55 | <------- | 46 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
May 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 49 | -------> | 51 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
April 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 55 | <------- | 45 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
March 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 52 | <------- | 48 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
February 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 48 | -------> | 52 | Dmitry Medvedev | |||||||||
January 2007 | Sergei Ivanov | 46 | -------> | 54 | Dmitry Medvedev |
Polls by FOM
edit2007 polls
editOpinion polling | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dates | November 24—25[2] | November 27—28[3][4] | December 11—12[5] | December 15—16[6] | December 22—23[7] | ||||||||||
Vladimir Putin | 57 | 57 | 60 | 54 | - | - | |||||||||
Dmitry Medvedev | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 32 | 46 | |||||||||
Gennady Zyuganov | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6 | |||||||||
Vladimir Zhirinovsky | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 | |||||||||
Boris Gryzlov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |||||||||
Sergei Ivanov | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - | |||||||||
Sergey Mironov | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | |||||||||
Sergey Shoygu | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | |||||||||
Viktor Zubkov | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | |||||||||
Other | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - | |||||||||
Will not participate | 10 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | |||||||||
Don't know | 16 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 28 | 25 |
2008 polls
editOpinion polling | |||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dates | January 12—13[7] | January 19—20[7] | January 26—27[7] | February 2—3[7] | February 9—10[7] | February 16—17[8] | February 20[9] | February 23—24[10] | March 2[11] | ||||||
Dmitry Medvedev | 50 | 50 | 54 | 52 | 49 | 49.6 | 67.8 | 50 | 70.0 | 50 | |||||
Gennady Zyuganov | 6 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 9.1 | 16.3 | 9 | 15.8 | 9 | |||||
Vladimir Zhirinovsky | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8.7 | 13.7 | 9 | 12.4 | 8 | |||||
Andrey Bogdanov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | |||||
Will make ballot invalid | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1 | — | 1 | |||||
Will not participate | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 9.3 | — | 9 | — | 10 | |||||
Don't know | 26 | 26 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 22.1 | — | 22 | — | 22 |
Exit polls
editAgency | Medvedev | Zyuganov | Zhirinovsky | Bogdanov |
---|---|---|---|---|
POF[10][12] | 67.4% | 19.5% | 10.5% | 1.4% |
References
edit- ^ (in Russian) Левада-Центр > ВЫБОРЫ 2008 Archived 2007-11-30 at the Wayback Machine
- ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
- ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
- ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
- ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
- ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
- ^ a b c d e f "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
- ^ Preliminary forecast of the results of the election of the President of the Russian Federation on March 2, 2008 (according to a poll from February 16-17)
- ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
- ^ a b Elections of the President of the Russian Federation: FOM forecast, exit-poll results and election results (CEC) FOM
- ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы".
- ^ Election of the President of the Russian Federation on March 2, 2008. Poll at the exit from polling stations (exit-poll). Final results FOM