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Kingston and Surbiton (UK Parliament constituency)

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Kingston and Surbiton (/ˈkɪŋstən ənd ˈsɜːrbɪtən/) is a constituency[a] in Greater London created in 1997 and represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament[b] since 2017 by Ed Davey, the Leader of the Liberal Democrats. Davey previously held the seat from 1997 until losing reelection in 2015 to Conservative James Berry.

Kingston and Surbiton
Borough constituency
for the House of Commons
Map
Boundaries since 2024
Boundary of Kingston and Surbiton in Greater London
Electorate75,410 (2023)[1]
Major settlementsKingston (part), Surbiton and Malden
Current constituency
Created1997
Member of ParliamentEd Davey (Liberal Democrats)
Created fromSurbiton and Kingston (part)

Kingston and Surbiton has been considered a marginal seat, as well as a swing seat since 2010, as the seat has changed hands twice since that year, while its winner's majority did not exceed 6.6% of the vote since the 13.2% majority won in 2010. In 2019, Davey won a 17.2% majority and a majority of the votes cast; the seat is now regarded as a safe seat for the Liberal Democrats.

Boundaries

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Historic

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Kingston and Surbiton, boundaries 1997–2010
 
Kingston and Surbiton, boundaries 2010–2024

1997–2010: The Royal Borough of Kingston upon Thames wards of Berrylands, Burlington, Chessington North, Chessington South, Grove, Hook, Malden Manor, Norbiton Park, Norbiton, St James, St Mark's, Surbiton Hill, Tolworth East, Tolworth South, and Tolworth West.

2010–2024: The Royal Borough of Kingston upon Thames wards of Alexandra, Berrylands, Beverley, Chessington North and Hook, Chessington South, Grove, Norbiton, Old Malden, St James, St Mark's, Surbiton Hill, and Tolworth and Hook Rise.

The new contents reflected the revision of ward names and boundaries which came into effect at the 2002 local elections.

As part of its Fifth Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, the Boundary Commission[c] made minor changes to re-align the constituency boundaries with the boundaries of the local government divisions (wards); moving the entirety of the Beverley ward, which had been partly in Richmond Park, into Kingston and Surbiton. The associated public consultation received 11 submissions, of which 10 in support.[2][3] The revisions came into effect at the 2010 general election.

Current

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Further to the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, which was based on the ward boundaries in place at 1 December 2020, the composition of the constituency from the 2024 United Kingdom general election was reduced to bring it in within the permitted electoral range by transferring the Old Malden and St James wards to Wimbledon. In part compensation, the Coombe Vale ward was transferred in from Richmond Park.[4]

Following a local government boundary review of Kingston-upon-Thames[5] which came into effect in May 2022,[6] the constituency now comprises the following from the 2024 general election:

  • The Royal Borough of Kingston upon Thames wards of: Alexandra; Berrylands; Chessington South & Malden Rushett; Coombe Vale (nearly all); Green Lane & St James (majority); Hook & Chessington North; King George's & Sunray; Kingston Town; New Malden Village (majority); Norbiton; St Mark's & Seething Wells; Surbiton Hill; Tolworth; and a very small part of Old Malden ward.[7]

The constituency covers most of the Royal Borough of Kingston upon Thames, covering the town of Surbiton, Chessington, New Malden, Tolworth and the south of Kingston itself. The northern part of Kingston has remained since 1997 in the Richmond Park seat and Old Malden is now included in Wimbledon.

History

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The constituency was created in 1997, when the number of seats covering the boroughs of Kingston upon Thames and Richmond upon Thames was reduced from four to three. It replaced the former Surbiton constituency completely and also covers the south of the former Kingston constituency.

Political history

Former Chancellor of the Exchequer Norman Lamont represented Kingston from a by-election in 1972 until the 1997 general election, when he was not selected as the Conservative candidate for either of its replacements. Instead, the incumbent Surbiton MP Richard Tracey was selected, while Lamont unsuccessfully contested Harrogate and Knaresborough in North Yorkshire. In the event, Tracey was defeated by the Liberal Democrat candidate Ed Davey by the very narrow margin of 56 votes.

In the 2011 referendum on whether the UK should adopt the Alternative Vote (AV) system, the Royal Borough of Kingston upon Thames, which covers most of the constituency, voted against the proposal by 60.5%.[8]

Davey held on to the seat until the general election of 2015, when he was defeated by the Conservative James Berry during the national Liberal Democrat vote collapse. The 2015 result gave the seat the 26th most marginal majority of the Conservative Party's 331 seats by percentage of majority.[9]

In the 2016 referendum on the UK's membership of the European Union, the borough voted to remain in the European Union by 61.6%.[10]

Davey, now knighted, regained the seat for the Liberal Democrats in the 2017 general election with the eighth largest vote share increase for the party nationally.[11]

The local council, which covers most of the constituency, alternates between Liberal Democrat majority control (1994–1998 and 2002–2014) and no overall control (1986–1994 and 1998–2002). However, in 2014, it became a Conservative-majority council; the last Conservative administration was between 1964 and 1986. Traditionally, the southern wards vote for the Liberal Democrats, whereas the north and north-eastern wards vote for the Conservatives, with some Labour representation in the Norbiton ward.[12]

In all seven elections since its establishment, Kingston and Surbiton has voted for a candidate from the same party as the neighbouring constituency of Twickenham, which was established at the same time. Both seats have seen one Conservative win and six Liberal Democrat wins.

In December 2023, the Labour Party included the seat in its published list of 211 non-battleground seats, suggesting they did not see it as winnable.[13]

Profile

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The seat is a majority middle-class suburbia, much like its neighbouring constituencies of Wimbledon, Richmond Park and Twickenham. The area has a long-established large urban kernel in Kingston town centre, where waves of public initiatives and spending have overhauled much of the area's cohort of ex-council housing and social housing. This is similar to the proportion of such housing stock in the London Boroughs of Merton and Sutton adjoining. The highly commercial town with ancient-founded markets and a public riverside by the River Thames has enjoyed continued economic diversity and prosperity and saw in 2007 a total retail spend of £23.71 billion, placing it 12th among UK towns and cities.[14]

Members of Parliament

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Election Member[15] Party
1997 Ed Davey Liberal Democrats
2015 James Berry Conservative
2017 Ed Davey Liberal Democrats

Elections

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Elections in the 2020s

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[d]
General election 2024: Kingston and Surbiton[16][17]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Democrats Ed Davey 25,870 51.1 −1.5
Conservative Helen Edward 8,635 17.0 −16.1
Labour Eunice O'Dame 6,561 13.0 +2.8
Reform UK Mark Fox 4,787 9.4 +8.3
Green Debojyoti Das 3,009 5.9 +4.3
Kingston Independent Residents Group Yvonne Tracey 1,177 2.3 N/A
Workers Party Ali Abdulla 395 0.8 N/A
Monster Raving Loony A.Gent Chinners 230 0.5 +0.2
Majority 17,235 34.1 +14.5
Turnout 50,664 65.5 −10.2
Registered electors 77,340
Liberal Democrats hold Swing +8.8

Elections in the 2010s

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2019 notional result[18]
Party Vote %
Liberal Democrats 30,058 52.6
Conservative 18,884 33.1
Labour 5,829 10.2
Green 900 1.6
Brexit Party 649 1.1
Others 775 1.3
Turnout 57,095 75.7
Electorate 75,410
General election 2019: Kingston and Surbiton[19]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Democrats Ed Davey 31,103 51.1 +6.4
Conservative Aphra Brandreth 20,614 33.9 –4.2
Labour Leanne Werner 6,528 10.7 –4.1
Green Sharron Sumner 1,038 1.7 +0.8
Brexit Party Scott Holman 788 1.3 New
Independent James Giles 458 0.8 New
Monster Raving Loony Chinners Chinnery 193 0.3 0.0
UKIP Roger Glencross 124 0.2 –0.9
Majority 10,489 17.2 +10.6
Turnout 60,846 74.2 –2.0
Liberal Democrats hold Swing +5.3
 
Results of UK House of Commons seat Kingston and Surbiton
General election 2017: Kingston and Surbiton[20][21]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Democrats Ed Davey 27,810 44.7 +10.2
Conservative James Berry 23,686 38.1 −1.1
Labour Laurie South 9,203 14.8 +0.3
UKIP Graham Matthews 675 1.1 −6.2
Green Chris Walker 536 0.9 −3.0
Monster Raving Loony Chinners 168 0.3 New
Independent Michael Basman 100 0.2 New
Majority 4,124 6.6 N/A
Turnout 62,178 76.2 +3.3
Registered electors 81,588
Liberal Democrats gain from Conservative Swing +5.7
General election 2015: Kingston and Surbiton[22][23]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative James Berry 23,249 39.2 +2.7
Liberal Democrats Ed Davey 20,415 34.5 −15.3
Labour Lee Godfrey 8,574 14.5 +5.2
UKIP Ben Roberts 4,321 7.3 +4.8
Green Clare Keogh 2,322 3.9 +2.9
CPA Daniel Gill 198 0.3 −0.1
TUSC Laurel Fogarty 174 0.3 New
Majority 2,834 4.7 N/A
Turnout 59,253 72.9 +2.5
Registered electors 81,238
Conservative gain from Liberal Democrats Swing +9.0
See also: Opinion polling in United Kingdom constituencies, 2010–15 § Kingston and Surbiton
General election 2010: Kingston and Surbiton[24][25][26][27]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Democrats Ed Davey 28,428 49.8 −1.3
Conservative Helen Whately 20,868 36.5 +3.5
Labour Max Freedman 5,337 9.3 −3.8
UKIP Jonathan Greensted 1,450 2.5 +1.2
Green Chris Walker 555 1.0 New
Monster Raving Loony Monkey The Drummer 247 0.4 New
CPA Tony May 226 0.4 New
Majority 7,560 13.3 −4.7
Turnout 57,111 70.4 +2.7
Registered electors 81,115
Liberal Democrats hold Swing −2.4

Elections in the 2000s

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General election 2005: Kingston and Surbiton
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Democrats Ed Davey 25,397 51.0 −9.2
Conservative Kevin Davis 16,431 33.0 +4.8
Labour Nick Parrott 6,553 13.2 +4.4
UKIP Barry Thornton 657 1.3 +0.4
Socialist Labour John Hayball 366 0.7 +0.1
Veritas David Henson 200 0.4 New
Rainbow Dream Ticket George Weiss 146 0.3 New
Majority 8,966 18.0 −14.0
Turnout 49,750 68.5 +1.0
Registered electors 72,658
Liberal Democrats hold Swing −7.0
General election 2001: Kingston and Surbiton
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Democrats Ed Davey 29,542 60.2 +23.5
Conservative David Shaw 13,866 28.2 −8.4
Labour Philip Woodford 4,302 8.8 −14.2
Green Christopher Spruce 572 1.2 New
UKIP Patricia Burns 438 0.9 +0.1
Socialist Labour John Hayball 319 0.6 New
Unrepresented People's Party Jeremy Middleton 54 0.1 New
Majority 15,676 32.0 +31.9
Turnout 49,093 67.5 −7.8
Registered electors 72,687
Liberal Democrats hold Swing +15.9

Elections in the 1990s

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{
General election 1997: Kingston and Surbiton
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Democrats Ed Davey 20,411 36.7 +10.7
Conservative Richard Tracey 20,355 36.6 −16.5
Labour Sheila Griffin 12,811 23.0 +3.4
Referendum Gail Tchiprout 1,470 2.6 New
UKIP Amy Burns 418 0.8 New
Natural Law Mark Leighton 100 0.2 New
Rainbow Dream Ticket Clifford Port 100 0.2 New
Majority 56 0.1 N/A
Turnout 55,665 75.3
Registered electors 73,836
Liberal Democrats gain from Conservative Swing −5.8

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ A borough constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer).
  2. ^ As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.
  3. ^ For the subregion used see South London
  4. ^ As the constituency borders changed, the percentage changes are based on notional values.

References

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  1. ^ "The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume two: Constituency names, designations and composition – London". Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved 22 June 2024.
  2. ^ "South London Boroughs – Proposals for Parliamentary Constituencies" (PDF). Boundary Commission for England. 19 April 2001. Archived from the original (PDF) on 12 June 2010.
  3. ^ Fifth periodical report (PDF) (Report). Vol. 3 Mapping for the London Boroughs and the Metropolitan Counties. Boundary Commission for England. 5 February 2007. ISBN 978-0-10-170322-2.
  4. ^ "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 3 London region.
  5. ^ LGBCE. "Kingston upon Thames | LGBCE". www.lgbce.org.uk. Retrieved 27 March 2024.
  6. ^ "The Royal Borough of Kingston upon Thames (Electoral Changes) Order 2021".
  7. ^ "New Seat Details – Kingston and Surbiton". www.electoralcalculus.co.uk. Retrieved 27 March 2024.
  8. ^ "AV referendum results, district by district". The Guardian. 6 May 2011. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 25 April 2017.
  9. ^ "Conservative Members of Parliament 2015". UK Political.info. Archived from the original on 8 June 2017. Retrieved 12 February 2017.
  10. ^ "EU Referendum Results". BBC News. Retrieved 25 April 2017.
  11. ^ "GE2017 – Constituency results". Britain Elects (Google Docs). Retrieved 10 June 2017.
  12. ^ "Kingston Council Local Elections Results, 2014". Kingston Council. 22 May 2014. Retrieved 25 April 2017.
  13. ^ Belger, Tom (8 December 2023). "Labour selections: Full list of 211 'non-battleground' seats now open to applications". labourlist.org. Archived from the original on 9 December 2023. Retrieved 3 January 2024.
  14. ^ "Kingston upon Thames" Retail Week, 23 November 2007
  15. ^ Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "K" (part 2)
  16. ^ "UK Parliamentary election: Kingston and Surbiton constituency Statement of Persons Nominated and Notice of Poll". 7 June 2024. Retrieved 8 June 2024.
  17. ^ "Kingston and Surbiton – General election results 2024". BBC News. Retrieved 11 July 2024.
  18. ^ "Notional results for a UK general election on 12 December 2019". Rallings & Thrasher, Professor David Denver (Scotland), Nicholas Whyte (NI) for Sky News, PA, BBC News and ITV News. UK Parliament. Retrieved 11 July 2024.
  19. ^ "Kingston and Surbiton Parliamentary constituency".
  20. ^ "Kingston & Surbiton parliamentary constituency". BBC News.
  21. ^ "General Election 2017: results and analysis" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 25 February 2018.
  22. ^ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  23. ^ "Election results for Kingston and Surbiton, 7 May 2015". 12 May 2015. Archived from the original on 12 May 2015.
  24. ^ "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  25. ^ Statement of Persons Nominated Archived 2011-06-08 at the Wayback Machine, Royal Borough of Kingston upon Thames, 20 April 2010
  26. ^ Election results for Kingston and Surbiton – Parliamentary General Election – Thursday 6 May 2010 Archived 10 May 2010 at the Wayback Machine Royal Borough of Kingston upon Thames
  27. ^ Election 2010 – Kingston & Surbiton BBC News, 7 May 2010
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51°22′37″N 0°17′28″W / 51.377°N 0.291°W / 51.377; -0.291

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