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Economy of Brunei

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The economy of Brunei, a small and wealthy country, is a mixture of foreign and domestic entrepreneurship, government regulation and welfare measures, and village traditions. It is almost entirely supported by exports of crude oil and natural gas, with revenues from the petroleum sector accounting for over half of GDP. Per capita GDP is high, and substantial income from overseas investment supplements income from domestic production. The government provides for all medical services and subsidizes food and housing. The government has[citation needed] shown progress in its basic policy of diversifying the economy away from oil and gas. Brunei's leaders are concerned that steadily increased integration in the world economy will undermine internal social cohesion although it has taken steps to become a more prominent player by serving as chairman for the 2000 APEC (Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation) forum. Growth in 1999 was estimated at 2.5% due to higher oil prices in the second half.

Economy of Brunei
Champion Oil Field off the Bruneian coast
CurrencyBrunei dollar (BND, B$)
1 Brunei dollar = 1 Singapore dollar
1 April – 31 March (from April 2009)
Trade organisations
APEC, ASEAN, WTO, CPTPP, RCEP, BIMP-EAGA
Country group
Statistics
PopulationIncrease 460,346 (2022)[3]
GDP
GDP rank
GDP growth
  • 1.3% (2017)
  • 0.1% (2018)
  • 3.9% (2019)
  • 1.1% (2020)
  • -1.6% (2021)
GDP per capita
GDP per capita rank
GDP by sector
0.149% (2018)[4]
Population below poverty line
NA
NA
  • Decrease 0.823 very high (2022)[6] (55th)
  • N/A IHDI (2021)[7]
Labour force
  • Increase 218,000 (2019)[8]
  • 56.9% employment rate (2017)[9]
Labour force by occupation
  • agriculture: 4.2%
  • industry: 62.8%
  • services: 33%
  • (2008 est.)[5]
Unemployment4.2% (2021)[10]
Main industries
petroleum, petroleum refining, liquefied natural gas, construction, agriculture, aquaculture, transportation
External
ExportsIncrease $5.885 billion (2017 est.)[5]
Export goods
mineral fuels, organic chemicals
Main export partners
ImportsIncrease $2.998 billion (2017 est.)[5]
Main import partners
Increase $2.021 billion (2017 est.)[5]
Steady $0 (2014)[5][note 1]
Public finances
Positive decrease 2.8% of GDP (2017 est.)[5]
−17.3% (of GDP) (2017 est.)[5]
Revenues2.245 billion (2017 est.)[5]
Expenses4.345 billion (2017 est.)[5]
Not rated
Increase $3.488 billion (31 December 2017 est.)[5]
All values, unless otherwise stated, are in US dollars.

Brunei is the third-largest oil producer in Southeast Asia, averaging about 180,000 barrels per day (29,000 m3/d).[11] It also is the ninth-largest producer of liquefied natural gas in the world.[12]

Macro-economic trend

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In the 1970s, Brunei invested sharply increasing revenues from petroleum exports and maintained government spending at a low and constant rate. Consequently, the government was able to build its foreign reserves and invest them around the world to help provide for future generations. Part of the reserve earnings were reportedly also used to help finance the government's annual budget deficit. Since 1986, however, petroleum revenues have decreased, and government spending has increased. The government has been running a budget deficit since 1988. The disappearance of a revenue surplus has made Brunei's economy more vulnerable to petroleum price fluctuations.

Brunei's gross domestic product (GDP) soared with the petroleum price increases of the 1970s to a peak of $5.7 billion in 1980. It declined slightly in each of the next 5 years, then fell by almost 30% in 1986.

This drop was caused by a combination of sharply lower petroleum prices in world markets and voluntary production cuts in Brunei. The GDP recovered somewhat since 1986, growing by 12% in 1987, 1% in 1988, and 9% in 1989. In recent years, GDP growth was 3.5% in 1996, 4.0% in 1997, 1.0% in 1998, and an estimated 2.5% in 1999. However, the 1999 GDP was still only about $4.5 billion, well below the 1980 peak.

The Asian financial crisis in 1997 and 1998, coupled with fluctuations in the price of oil have created uncertainty and instability in Brunei's economy. In addition, the 1998 collapse of Amedeo Development Corporation, Brunei's largest construction firm whose projects helped fuel the domestic economy, caused the country to slip into a mild recession.

This is a chart of trend of gross domestic product of Brunei Darussalam at market prices estimated[13] by the International Monetary Fund with figures in millions of Bruneian dollars.

Year Gross domestic product US dollar exchange Inflation index (2000=100)
1985 7,777 2.20 Bruneian dollars 76
1990 6,509 1.81 Bruneian dollars 82
1995 7,394 1.41 Bruneian dollars 95
2000 7,441 1.72 Bruneian dollars 100
2005 10,401 1.62 Bruneian dollars 100

For purchasing power parity comparisons, the US dollar is exchanged at 1.52 Bruneian dollars only. Mean wages were $25.38 per man-hour in 2009.

The government regulates the immigration of foreign labor out of concern it might disrupt Brunei's society. Work permits for foreigners are issued only for short periods and must be continually renewed. Despite these restrictions, foreigners make up a significant portion of the work force. The government reported a total work force of 122,800 in 1999, with an unemployment rate of 5.5%.

Oil and natural gas account for almost all exports. Since only a few products other than petroleum are produced locally, a wide variety of items must be imported. Brunei statistics show Singapore as the largest point of origin of imports, accounting for 25% in 1997. However, this figure includes some transshipments, since most of Brunei's imports transit Singapore. Japan and Malaysia were the second-largest suppliers. As in many other countries, Japanese products dominate local markets for motor vehicles, construction equipment, electronic goods, and household appliances. The United States was the third-largest supplier of imports to Brunei in 1998.

Brunei's substantial foreign reserves are managed by the Brunei Investment Agency (BIA), an arm of the Ministry of Finance and Economy. BIA's guiding principle is to increase the real value of Brunei's foreign reserves while pursuing a diverse investment strategy, with holdings in the United States, Japan, western Europe, and the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries.

The Brunei Government actively encourages more foreign investment. New enterprises that meet certain criteria can receive pioneer status, exempting profits from income tax for up to 5 years, depending on the amount of capital invested. The normal corporate income tax rate is 30%. There is no personal income tax or capital gains tax.

One of the government's most important priorities is to encourage the development of Brunei Malays as leaders of industry and commerce. There are no specific restrictions of foreign equity ownership, but local participation, both shared capital and management, is encouraged. Such participation helps when tendering for contracts with the government or Brunei Shell Petroleum.

Companies in Brunei must either be incorporated locally or registered as a branch of a foreign company and must be registered with the Registrar of Companies. Public companies must have a minimum of seven shareholders. Private companies must have a minimum of two but not more than 50 shareholders. At least half of the directors in a company must be residents of Brunei.

Between 1981[14] and 2013 the Sultan owned cattle stations in Australia that supplied most of the country's beef.[15][16] In 1984 it was reported that at 2,262 square miles (5,860 km2), the total area of the stations was larger than Brunei itself.[17] Some of the stations were sold in 2006[14] and 2014.[18] As of 2019, the Sultan still owned the Opium Creek station.[19] Eggs and chickens are largely produced locally, but most of Brunei's other food needs must be imported. Agriculture and fisheries are among the industrial sectors that the government has selected for highest priority in its efforts to diversify the economy.

The following table shows the main economic indicators in 1983–2021 (with IMF staff estimates in 2022–2027). Inflation below 5% is in green.[20]

Year GDP

(in Bil. US$PPP)

GDP per capita

(in US$ PPP)

GDP

(in Bil. US$nominal)

GDP per capita

(in US$ nominal)

GDP growth

(real)

Inflation rate

(in Percent)

Unemployment

(in Percent)

Government debt

(in % of GDP)

1982 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a  0.0% n/a n/a
1983 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a  1.2% n/a n/a
1984 n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a  3.1% n/a n/a
1985 12.3 55,627.7 4.8 21,606.1 n/a  2.1% n/a 0.0%
1986  12.3  54,133.4  3.3  14,434.4  -2.7%  1.8% n/a  0.0%
1987  12.8  54,771.6  3.8  16,435.8  2.0%  1.2% n/a  0.0%
1988  13.4  55,520.5  3.7  15,165.5  1.1%  1.2% n/a  0.0%
1989  13.8  55,942.4  4.1  16,557.0  -1.1%  1.3% n/a  0.0%
1990  14.5  57,024.3  4.9  19,281.9  1.1%  2.1% n/a  0.0%
1991  15.4  59,154.3  5.2  20,018.8  3.1%  1.6% n/a  0.0%
1992  16.5  61,787.9  5.5  20,523.3  4.8%  1.3% n/a  0.0%
1993  17.0  61,983.5  5.5  20,275.6  0.3%  4.3% n/a  0.0%
1994  17.9  63,533.3  6.0  21,188.9  3.1%  2.5% n/a  0.0%
1995  19.1  66,308.1  7.1  24,707.3  4.5%  6.0% n/a  0.0%
1996  20.0  67,767.4  7.1  24,275.8  2.9%  2.0% n/a  0.0%
1997  20.0  66,300.8  7.0  23,167.9  -1.5%  1.7% n/a  0.0%
1998  20.1  64,992.3  5.3  17,164.1  -0.6%  -0.4% n/a  0.0%
1999  21.0  66,333.7  5.7  18,099.1  3.1%  -0.4% n/a  0.0%
2000  22.1  68,072.5  6.7  20,473.3  2.8%  1.6% n/a  0.0%
2001  23.2  69,788.5  6.2  18,646.0  2.7%  0.6% n/a  0.0%
2002  24.5  72,049.2  6.5  19,037.8  3.9%  -2.3% n/a  0.0%
2003  25.7  74,229.5  7.3  20,975.5  2.9%  0.3% n/a  0.0%
2004  26.5  75,323.6  8.7  24,759.5  0.5%  0.8% n/a  0.0%
2005  27.5  76,638.4  10.6  29,459.7  0.4%  1.2% n/a  0.0%
2006  29.6  81,119.6  12.7  34,869.2  4.4%  0.2% n/a  0.6%
2007  30.4  82,199.5  13.6  36,678.3  0.2%  1.0% n/a  0.7%
2008  30.4  81,056.2  15.9  42,529.7  -1.9%  2.1% n/a  0.9%
2009  30.1  79,061.0  11.9  31,287.3  -1.8%  1.0% n/a  1.1%
2010  31.2  80,668.9  13.7  35,437.3  2.6%  0.4% n/a  1.1%
2011  33.0  84,001.0  18.5  47,092.3  3.7%  0.1% 9.3%  2.1%
2012  35.2  88,311.7  19.0  47,776.4  0.9%  0.1%  8.5%  2.1%
2013  33.9  84,019.1  18.1  44,865.2  -2.1%  0.4%  7.7%  2.2%
2014  33.3  81,806.0  17.1  41,947.5  -2.5%  -0.2%  6.9%  3.2%
2015  25.9  62,921.9  12.9  31,353.8  -0.4%  -0.5%  7.7%  3.0%
2016  23.6  56,638.3  11.4  27,322.0  -2.5%  -0.3%  8.5%  3.0%
2017  25.9  60,281.7  12.1  28,237.9  1.3%  -1.3%  9.3%  2.8%
2018  26.5  59,953.3  13.6  30,666.6  0.1%  1.0%  8.7%  2.6%
2019  28.0  61,028.0  13.5  29,312.8  3.9%  -0.4%  6.8%  2.6%
2020  28.7  63,276.0  12.0  26,467.8  1.1%  1.9%  6.8%  2.9%
2021  29.4  68,416.7  14.0  32,573.3  -1.6%  1.7%  6.8%  2.5%
2022  31.9  74,196.0  18.5  42,939.4  1.2%  2.5%  6.8%  1.9%
2023  34.1  79,408.5  17.9  41,713.0  3.3%  2.0%  6.8%  1.9%
2024  36.0  83,693.3  18.1  42,046.7  3.2%  1.5%  6.8%  1.9%
2025  37.8  88,002.0  18.4  42,711.8  3.2%  1.0%  6.8%  1.9%
2026  39.5  91,921.3  18.7  43,499.7  2.5%  1.0%  6.8%  1.9%
2027  41.7  96,927.8  19.3  44,913.6  3.4%  1.0%  6.8%  1.8%

Oil and gas industry

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Brunei Shell Petroleum (BSP), a joint venture owned in equal shares by the Brunei Government and the Royal Dutch/Shell group of companies, is the chief oil and gas production company in Brunei. It also operates the country's only refinery. BSP and four sister companies constitute the largest employer in Brunei after the government. BSP's small refinery has a distillation capacity of 10,000 barrels per day (1,600 m3/d). This satisfies domestic demand for most petroleum products.

The French oil company Elf Aquitaine became active in petroleum exploration in Brunei in the 1980s. Its affiliate Elf Petroleum Asia BV has discovered commercially exploitable quantities of oil and gas in three of the four wells drilled since 1987, including a particularly promising discovery announced in early 1990. Recently, UNOCAL, partnered with New Zealand's Fletcher Challenge has been granted concessions for oil exploration. Brunei is preparing to tender concessions for deep water oil and gas exploration.

Brunei's oil production peaked in 1979 at over 240,000 barrels per day (38,000 m3/d). Since then it has been deliberately cut back to extend the life of oil reserves and improve recovery rates. Petroleum production is currently averaging some 200,000 barrels per day (32,000 m3/d). Japan has traditionally been the main customer for Brunei's oil exports, but its share dropped from 45% of the total in 1982 to 19% in 1998. In contrast, oil exports to South Korea increased from only 8% of the total in 1982 to 29% in 1998. Other major customers include Taiwan (6%), and the countries of ASEAN (27%). Brunei's oil exports to the United States accounted for 17% of the total exported.

Almost all of Brunei's natural gas is liquefied at Brunei Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) plant, which opened in 1972 and is one of the largest LNG plants in the world. Over 82% of Brunei's LNG produced is sold to Japan under a long-term agreement renewed in 1993. The agreement calls for Brunei to provide over 5 million tons of LNG per year to three Japanese utilities. The Japanese company, Mitsubishi, is a joint venture partner with Shell and the Brunei Government in Brunei LNG, Brunei Coldgas, and Brunei Shell Tankers, which together produce the LNG and supply it to Japan. Since 1995, Brunei has supplied more than 700,000 tons of LNG to the Korea Gas Corporation as well. In 1999, Brunei's natural gas production reached 90 cargoes per day. A small amount of natural gas is used for domestic power generation. Brunei is the fourth-largest exporter of LNG in the Asia-Pacific region behind Indonesia, Malaysia, and Australia.

Brunei's proven oil and gas reserves are sufficient, as of 2015, to last until at least 2035.[21] Deep sea exploration may find significant new reserves but can be prohibitively expensive. The government sought in the past decade to diversify the economy with limited success.[22] Oil and gas and government spending still account for most of Brunei's economic activity. Brunei's non-petroleum industries include agriculture, forestry, fishing, and banking.

In 2015, Brunei registered its third year of economic recession, the only ASEAN nation to do so. Declining oil prices and a drop in production due to maintenance and repair work at major oil wells have dented the country's budget which will see a deficit in the fiscal years 2015-16 and 2016–17.[23]

In 2020, more than 99% of produced electricity in Brunei was based on fossil fuels, while electricity produced from renewable energy accounted for less than 1%.[24] It is advised for Brunei to diversify the economy away from the use of fossil fuels and focus more on renewable energy as part of climate change mitigation measures.[25]

Petrochemical industry

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In the western part of the country, Liang is currently experiencing a major development with the establishment of SPARK,[26] which is a 271-hectare (670-acre) site developed to be a world-class petrochemical hub. The first major investment at SPARK is the US$450 million Methanol plant developed by the Brunei Methanol Company, a joint venture between Petroleum Brunei and two leading Japanese companies, Mitsubishi Chemical Holdings and Itochu. The plant design will give an output of 2,500t of methanol per day (850,000t annually). The plant was officially launched by Sultan of Brunei Hassanal Bolkiah on 25 May 2010.[27]

Halal brand

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Brunei Darussalam in July 2009 launched its national halal branding scheme Brunei Halal[28] which allows manufacturers in Brunei and in other countries to use the premium Brunei Halal trademark to help them penetrate lucrative markets in countries with significant numbers of Muslim consumers. The Brunei Halal brand is said to be the first proper attempt to put together a global halal brand that will reap the potential commercial returns of catering to the consumption needs of Muslims worldwide.[citation needed]

As envisioned by the Sultanate, the use of the Brunei Halal brand would signify to Muslim consumers the manufacturers' strict compliance with laws relating to Islamic teachings. Brunei also aims to build confidence in the brand through strategies that will both ensure the halal integrity of the products and unfaltering compliance with set rules governing the sourcing of raw materials, manufacturing process, logistics and distribution.[citation needed]

A new company, government-owned Brunei Wafirah Holdings Sdn Bhd, has been established as the owner of the Brunei Halal brand. Wafirah has entered into a joint venture with Brunei Global Islamic Investment and Hong Kong-based logistics firm Kerry FSDA Limited to form Ghanim International Food Corporation Sdn Bhd. Ghanim International manages the use of the Brunei Halal trademark. Producers that want to use the brand are required to first acquire the Brunei halal label (or the certification for compliance with accepted manufacturing and slaughtering practices under Islam) through the Department of Syariah Affairs' Halal Food Control Section. They can then approach Ghanim for their application to use the brand.[citation needed]

References

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  1. ^ "World Economic Outlook Database, April 2019". IMF.org. International Monetary Fund. Retrieved 29 September 2019.
  2. ^ "World Bank Country and Lending Groups". datahelpdesk.worldbank.org. World Bank. Retrieved 29 September 2019.
  3. ^ "Population, total - Brunei Darussalam". Retrieved 15 December 2022.
  4. ^ a b c d e "World Economic Outlook Database, April 2023". IMF.org. International Monetary Fund. April 2023. Retrieved 21 April 2023.
  5. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m "Brunei". The World Factbook (2024 ed.). Central Intelligence Agency. Retrieved 16 January 2020. (Archived 2020 edition.)
  6. ^ "Human Development Index (HDI)". hdr.undp.org. HDRO (Human Development Report Office) United Nations Development Programme. Retrieved 17 November 2022.
  7. ^ "Inequality-adjusted Human Development Index (IHDI)". hdr.undp.org. HDRO (Human Development Report Office) United Nations Development Programme. Retrieved 17 November 2022.
  8. ^ "Labor force, total - Brunei Darussalam". data.worldbank.org. World Bank. Retrieved 16 January 2020.
  9. ^ "Employment to population ratio, 15+, total (%) (national estimate) - Brunei Darussalam". data.worldbank.org. World Bank. Retrieved 16 January 2020.
  10. ^ Haris, Nabilah; Bandial, Ain (17 March 2021). "Unemployment rate drops to 4.2%". The Scoop. Retrieved 20 March 2022.
  11. ^ International Monetary Fund (2014). "BRUNEI DARUSSALAM" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on 9 October 2022.
  12. ^ "Country Facts | Brunei Darussalam". www.un.int. Retrieved 17 April 2017.
  13. ^ "International Monetary Fund". Archived from the original on 11 June 2010.
  14. ^ a b Brann, Matt (23 September 2013). "Cattle, goats and buffalo shipped out of Darwin for Brunei". Australian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved 14 April 2022.
  15. ^ "U.S. Relations With Brunei". U.S. Department of State. 19 August 2016.
  16. ^ Kieran Cooke. "Brunei Darussalam: Diversifying is hard to do". global-briefing.org. Retrieved 8 December 2016.
  17. ^ Quinn-Judge, Paul (11 January 1984). "WORLD'S NEWEST NATION; Brunei leaves Britain's nest". Retrieved 14 April 2022.
  18. ^ Brann, Matt (13 April 2014). "Indonesian company buys NT's Willeroo Station from the Sultan of Brunei". Australian Broadcasting Corporation. Retrieved 14 April 2022.
  19. ^ Rogers, Destiny (28 April 2019). "More Brunei protests planned as shell investments questioned". qnews.com.au. Retrieved 14 April 2022.
  20. ^ "Report for Selected Countries and Subjects".
  21. ^ "Brunei Darussalam Natural Gas". Retrieved 10 March 2021.
  22. ^ "Brunei's Economy to Diversify". - InvestAsian. Archived from the original on 7 February 2015. Retrieved 4 March 2015.
  23. ^ Maierbrugger, Arno (5 December 2015). "Brunei bracing for tougher times after oil joyride | Investvine". Investvine. Archived from the original on 1 December 2022. Retrieved 2 March 2016.
  24. ^ Vakulchuk, R., Chan, H.Y., Kresnawan, M.R., Merdekawati, M., Overland, I., Sagbakken, H.F., Suryadi, B., Utama, N.A. and Yurnaidi, Z. 2020. Brunei Darussalam: How to Build an Investment Climate for Renewable Energy?. ASEAN Centre for Energy (ACE) Policy Brief Series, No. 4. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/341793594
  25. ^ Overland, Indra; Sagbakken, Haakon Fossum; Chan, Hoy-Yen; Merdekawati, Monika; Suryadi, Beni; Utama, Nuki Agya; Vakulchuk, Roman (December 2021). "The ASEAN climate and energy paradox". Energy and Climate Change. 2: 100019. doi:10.1016/j.egycc.2020.100019. hdl:11250/2734506.
  26. ^ "Ministry of Foreign Affairs & Trade Official Website, Brunei Darussalam". Archived from the original on 31 August 2010. Retrieved 2 May 2011.
  27. ^ http://news.brunei.fm/2010/05/26/hm-launches-methanol-plant-opening/ | Official Launching of Brunei Methanol Company
  28. ^ Hadi Dp Mahmudbandar Seri Begawan (1 August 2009). "Brunei pioneers national halal branding". Bt.com.bn. Archived from the original on 2 August 2009. Retrieved 30 December 2009.
  1. ^ public external debt only; private external debt unavailable
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