The 2004 United States presidential election in Delaware took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose three representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.
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Delaware was won by Democratic nominee John Kerry by a 7.6% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations handicapping the election predicted that Kerry would win Delaware, though with varying degrees of confidence; the First State was a key bellwether for much of the 20th century, but Al Gore's comfortable victory four years earlier amidst a national loss marked its move towards the Democratic Party. Kerry won Delaware without either campaign seriously contesting it, but with a 5.5% swing to Bush compared to Gore's performance in 2000. The swing was largely concentrated in Kent and Sussex Counties, in which Bush's margins increased by double digits; New Castle County, the state's most populous, only swung about a point to Bush, continuing its consolidation as the state's Democratic base.
As of 2020, this is the last election in which Delaware was decided by a single-digit margin, and the first time since 1948 that Delaware has not backed the national popular vote winner. Bush became the first Republican since 1880 to win the popular vote without Delaware, and the last to win 60% of the vote in any county in the state (namely Sussex). Bush was the first Republican since Abraham Lincoln to win two terms without ever carrying the state.
Primaries
editCampaign
editPredictions
editThere were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[1]
| Source | Ranking |
|---|---|
| D.C. Political Report | Likely D |
| Associated Press | Solid D |
| CNN | Likely D |
| Cook Political Report | Likely D |
| Newsweek | Lean D |
| The New York Times | Lean D |
| Rasmussen Reports | Likely D |
| Research 2000 | Solid D |
| The Washington Post | Likely D |
| Washington Times | Solid D |
| Zogby International | Likely D |
| Washington Dispatch | Likely D |
Polling
editOnly two polls of the state were taken before the election, both of which Kerry won.[2]
Fundraising
editBush raised $523,150.[3] Kerry raised $260,657.[4]
Advertising and visits
editNeither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign.[5][6]
Results
edit| 2004 United States presidential election in Delaware[7] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Running mate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes | |
| Democratic | John Kerry | John Edwards | 200,152 | 53.35% | 3 | |
| Republican | George W. Bush (Inc.) | Dick Cheney (incumbent) | 171,660 | 45.75% | 0 | |
| Independent | Ralph Nader | Peter Camejo | 2,153 | 0.57% | 0 | |
| Libertarian | Michael Badnarik | Wayne Allyn Root | 586 | 0.16% | 0 | |
| Constitution | Chuck Baldwin | Michael Peroutka | 289 | 0.08% | 0 | |
| Green | David Cobb | Rosa Clemente | 250 | 0.07% | 0 | |
| Natural Law | Walt Brown | Mary Alice Herbert | 100 | 0.03% | 0 | |
| Totals | 375,190 | 100.00% | 3 | |||
| Voter turnout (Voting Age population) | 60.6% | |||||
By county
edit| County | John Kerry Democratic |
George W. Bush Republican |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Kent | 23,875 | 42.64% | 31,578 | 56.40% | 538 | 0.96% | -7,703 | -13.76% | 55,991 |
| New Castle | 146,179 | 60.52% | 93,079 | 38.54% | 2,269 | 0.94% | 53,100 | 21.98% | 241,527 |
| Sussex | 30,098 | 38.71% | 47,003 | 60.45% | 651 | 0.83% | -16,905 | -21.74% | 77,752 |
| Totals | 200,152 | 53.34% | 171,660 | 45.74% | 3,458 | 0.92% | 28,492 | 7.60% | 375,270 |
By congressional district
editDue to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.
| District | Bush | Kerry | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| At-large | 45.8% | 53.4% | Mike Castle |
Electors
editTechnically the voters of Delaware cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Delaware is allocated three electors because it has one congressional district and two senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of three electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all three electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.
The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were the members of the Electoral College from Delaware. All were pledged to and voted for John Kerry and John Edwards:[8]
- James Johnson
- Nancy W. Cook
- Timothy G. Willard
See also
editReferences
editGeneral
- ^ http://www.dcpoliticalreport.com/members/2004/Pred2.htm#NW [permanent dead link]
- ^ "2004 Presidential Election Polls". US Election Atlas.
- ^ "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President".
- ^ "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President".
- ^ "CNN.com Specials". CNN.
- ^ "CNN.com Specials". CNN.
- ^ "Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives".
- ^ "The Electoral College". May 20, 2019.
Specific
- "Federal Elections 2004: Election Results for the U.S. President, the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House of Representatives" (PDF). Federal Elections Commission. May 2005. p. 28. Retrieved January 13, 2008.
- "New Castle County by Office" (PDF). 2004 General Election. State of Delaware Elections System. November 2, 2004. p. 1. Retrieved January 13, 2008.